Being Roag Part 2 - $200 to $10,000 in 6 months

[RoagBettor]

I made a small personal play on the Celtics/Lakers under 189; this is not an official project play, but it fits a system that has had some good success so I have to throw a little at it.

[Extra Innings]

Good Luck!

[samdapatriotsfan]

Roag......I followed your first 2 WNBA picks of the day and then left the house with the family. I returned to find that I am 2-0 for the day.

Thanks, and I will definitely be following you with my Bookmaker account and hoping for the best.

Excellent start for me........... Thanks again!!!

[RoagBettor]

Roag......I followed your first 2 WNBA picks of the day and then left the house with the family. I returned to find that I am 2-0 for the day.

Thanks, and I will definitely be following you with my Bookmaker account and hoping for the best.

Excellent start for me........... Thanks again!!!

So far so good; there will be bumps in the road but hopefully we can avoid wagering Armageddon. No promises though, sometimes I "Go Roag" and it gets dicey!

[RoagBettor]

I made a small personal play on the Celtics/Lakers under 189; this is not an official project play, but it fits a system that has had some good success so I have to throw a little at it.

Should have made it a project play, but hindsight is 20/20.

[RoagBettor]

Major props to SexyMit, he has taught me most of what I know about capping basketball in the past 2 years, and his system is what I followed for the Celtics/Lakers under. Gotta give credit where credit is due.

[RoagBettor]

Play #6 (yeah, I know I said no World Cup, but I like this play):

World Cup (match starts at 7:30 AM EST tomorrow morning)

Netherlands -1 (-112 at 5Dimes)

$56 to win $50

[aunty jack]

there's something absorbing about these don quixote type challenges. they invariably crash and burn, but you managed to get further into orbit than most, roag.

best of luck on this latest quest.

as a side note... i steer clear of inter and intra forum politics, but i'm glad to see you posting again.

cheers.

[TeamTT]

Goodluck in the soccer., I think it's a good pick

[RoagBettor]

Play #6 (yeah, I know I said no World Cup, but I like this play):

World Cup (match starts at 7:30 AM EST tomorrow morning)

Netherlands -1 (-112 at 5Dimes)

$56 to win $50

Starting Project Balance: $200
Current Project Balance: $500
Record: 5-0-1

[Premierr23]

Cash that soccer ticket!
Thx

[peterpan19]

GL man
btw whats the system in NBA you use, can you give a few more details ?

BOL

[RoagBettor]

GL man
btw whats the system in NBA you use, can you give a few more details ?

BOL

Hey peter, it's good to see you still around.

It's not my system to give out unfortunately. I have too much respect for SM to reveal anything he told me in confidence. Thanks for understanding.

[sterkarm]

Great start so far

[RoagBettor]

GL man
btw whats the system in NBA you use, can you give a few more details ?

BOL

Hey peter, it's good to see you still around.

It's not my system to give out unfortunately. I have too much respect for SM to reveal anything he told me in confidence. Thanks for understanding.

[kd2]

I'm a little late on this board....but I'm on it! BOL!

[RoagBettor]

Play #7:

World Cup (match starts at 1:30 EST today - in about 20 minutes)

Italy PK,-1/2 -116 (5Dimes)

$58 to win $50

[Wilforth]

Roag,

Good to see this project come alive again.

[yuperz]

hey italy -1/2 -116 ...italy -0.5???????? draw u push lose????? -.0.5 u lose if the game is 0-0 1-1 2-2....

why dont you just take italy moneyline at +116 then.....if -1/2 draw u lose?no

[RoagBettor]

Roag,

Good to see this project come alive again.

Thanks Wil. You know I'll be following you closely and looking for some of those big ML specials! Let's do this.

[RoagBettor]

hey italy -1/2 -116 ...italy -0.5???????? draw u push lose????? -.0.5 u lose if the game is 0-0 1-1 2-2....

why dont you just take italy moneyline at +116 then.....if -1/2 draw u lose?no

If it's a Draw I lose half my money. If Italy wins I win the full bet.

I didn't take Italy ML because if it's a Draw I lose; I'd rather take less profit for the win and hedge against the Draw.

[yuperz]

oh okay thanx for that info, i didnt know....draw means you can get half money bak...that's asian betting right?

[RoagBettor]

oh okay thanx for that info, i didnt know....draw means you can get half money bak...that's asian betting right?

I call it "smart betting"

[Wilforth]

Thanks Wil. You know I'll be following you closely and looking for some of those big ML specials! Let's do this.

Don't go huge on any team when playing its first game of a tournament. UNDERs will cash for the most part in the first round of games.
Slovakia -1 (-125) is a very good bet tomorrow. New Zealand are only happy to be in the tournament.

[RoagBettor]

Play #7:

World Cup (match starts at 1:30 EST today - in about 20 minutes)

Italy PK,-1/2 -116 (5Dimes)

$58 to win $50

Now you know why I played it like this. We get $29 back from our original bet, but it still counts as the first project loss.

[Ace_of_Spades]

Anything for the WNBA game? thinking Dream +2.5

[eldoctord]

I like the Slovakia -1; Also consider Portugal DNB over Ivory Coast manana

[RoagBettor]

Anything for the WNBA game? thinking Dream +2.5

Well, the first thing I have to ask myself is why is a last place team giving points to a first place team after they recently lost to them by 10 points?

Also, the total opens at 164 which is 14 pts higher than the total points in their previous game (150).

The line has moved to Chicago -3 at most books. I will wait until tomorrow but I will probably just play the 2H. There are better games later in the week.

[RoagBettor]

OK we end today as follows after losing the half stakes ($29) on the Italy match:

Starting Project Balance: $200
Current Project Balance: $471
Record: 5-1-1

[Bull_Shark]

Also, the total opens at 164 which is 14 pts higher than the total points in their previous game (150).

Didn't Chi beat Alt by 10 earlier in the season (You said it was the other way around)

That total is intruiging. I went back and had a look at the previous game between these two and had my fingers crossed that the total was below tomorrow's number (but above 150).

Even tomorrow's number (1 lower than their earlier season total that went under) looks like the books are taking a clear position that both teams shoot a lot better and the game is higher scoring. Quite a few other matchups this season that have gone significantly under or over a total have been adjusted significantly for the next matchup, but not this one. Interesting.

[RoagBettor]

Bull, you're right. I made a mistake on my comment.

Yes, the total is screaming over, but I think I'm going to wait to see how they play in the 1H. I'm still not sold on Chicago even though they've picked it up.

Thanks.

[SexyMit]

wow that"s a low price

[TodaysAction]

Keep up the great results RoagBettor.

[sterkarm]

I'm sorry, did you say something about a low price?

[RoagBettor]

wow that"s a low price

LOL, what's a low price? Have you been sleeping outside again?