Being Roag Part 2 - $200 to $10,000 in 6 months

RoagBettor · 07-02-10, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Why with caution if you are confident on it?

Because I want to make sure everyone understands that I'm betting such a large amount to move the project forward. It's pretty much a "Going Roag" play which means it does not follow a proper money management strategy.

sweetjones55 · 07-02-10, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Because I want to make sure everyone understands that I'm betting such a large amount to move the project forward. It's pretty much a "Going Roag" play which means it does not follow a proper money management strategy.

I personally disagree with this statement. I think if you are up a decent amount and feel highly confident about a play like you do about this play then it is more than ok to go bigger than usual on it relative to your roll.

Ace_of_Spades · 07-02-10, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Brazil dominated the 1H and then choked. The books cleaned up today as they have all World Cup. I will have a play on the Uruguay/Ghana match coming up in a couple of hours.

Can't argue that.

RoagBettor · 07-02-10, 08:56 PM

LOL but it's almost my whole roll. It's not wise for someone with a similar roll to bet the same amount. I can afford to lose it, others can't.

sweetjones55 · 07-02-10, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

LOL but it's almost my whole roll. It's not wise for someone with a similar roll to bet the same amount. I can afford to lose it, others can't.

$300 almost your whole roll? I was looking at your sig that has you at $823. At $300 you are risking less than half your profit which isn't that risky.

RoagBettor · 07-02-10, 09:09 PM

SJ, I made an earlier bet also for $220 to win $200, so I have $550 to win $500 at Mercury -3 on this game.

sweetjones55 · 07-02-10, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

SJ, I made an earlier bet also for $220 to win $200, so I have $550 to win $500 at Mercury -3 on this game.

Oooo I see, I thought you had just upped your play from 200 to 300. At the end of the day you are still only risking your profit and not your entire roll. Good luck with the play, hope you hit. You kind of have to take chances like this trying to do the project you are doing it.

RoagBettor · 07-02-10, 09:17 PM

Also, the account balance is $673.82 after the 2 World Cup losses today:

Starting Project Balance: $200.00
Current Project Balance: $673.82
Record: 34-30-1

dume walker · 07-02-10, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

SJ, I made an earlier bet also for $220 to win $200, so I have $550 to win $500 at Mercury -3 on this game.

I misunderstood too. I also thought you just upped it to a total of $330. Sure do hope you hit it.

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 10:57 AM

Mercury spread has jumped to 4/4.5 at most books. RAS may be on it also.

sweetjones55 · 07-03-10, 12:58 PM

Roag, you correctly warned everybody to stay off Phoenix 2H the other night after leading at half. Phoenix has struggled late in games this year. Why not play Phoenix 1H instead of the full game? TheGreek is juicing Phx 1H -115, the only 1H they are juicing.

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 01:09 PM

Mercury will do everything they can to win this game, I really foresee a blowout especially with Poindexter's return. The value is on the full game not chancing a halftime bet for this much money.

JumpoffJoeBeezy · 07-03-10, 05:57 PM

Its going over, right?

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by JumpoffJoeBeezy

Its going over, right?

I actually like the under but I will never bet a Phoenix under.

JumpoffJoeBeezy · 07-03-10, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

I actually like the under but I will never bet a Phoenix under.

Hm. Blowout games usually end up going under the total.. And I, like you, anticipate a Phoenix blowout.. Just depends on how many points the Mercury intend on scoring.

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 06:12 PM

They've never gone over 183, ever. Now, had the line opened at 183 I would have taken the over, but it opened at 177.5 and the public has pushed it up to has high as 184.5 on some books. I think the under is the play but with Phoenix I can't do it.

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 07:05 PM

Play #68:

WNBA

Sky/Dream 2H over 87

$55 to win $50

stefan084 · 07-03-10, 07:09 PM

sky/dream got a lot of help for 1st half over w/ both teams shooting foul shots w/ 6 min. left in half

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 07:14 PM

Yeah, I expect more of the same; it should be close, down to 86 now I should have waited. Oh well.

phillybadboy · 07-03-10, 07:34 PM

so you're risking 550 on mercury -3 tonight? good luck roag

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 07:35 PM

Yep, $550 to win $500. Thanks.

Jedi · 07-03-10, 07:52 PM

yep.. Mercury is the pick... you'll win that.. that is also my pick for the day...

got it yesterday at (-3)
today (-4)

i would put down more than $500, it's pretty safe, good pick, GL .

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 08:42 PM

Tulsa scored 4 points in the 2Q! I could score 4 points in the 2Q of a WNBA game without hardly trying.

phillybadboy · 07-03-10, 10:26 PM

your pheonix mercury bet is lookin good

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #66:

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury vs. NY Liberty

Phoenix Mercury -3

$220 to win $200

kobefanatic · 07-03-10, 11:02 PM

nice hit on your mercury bet

dume walker · 07-03-10, 11:07 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

That was a monster call, Roag.

Left points in appreciation and admiration.

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 11:07 PM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Play #67:

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury vs. NY Liberty

Phoenix Mercury -3

$330 to win $300

Note: This will be my only play for Saturday as I am making my move on this game to increase the project account balance. I am confident this will be a Mercury blowout, but tail with caution.

And the under hit also as predicted (barely though)

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 11:08 PM

Starting Project Balance: $200.00
Current Project Balance: $1,118.82
Record: 36-31-1

RoagBettor · 07-03-10, 11:11 PM

Thanks guys. Once the Mercury lost to the Mystics the other night, this became a situation that happens in the NBA and WNBA only a few times a season. You just have to drop the big bomb every once in awhile when these types of games come up.

TeamTT · 07-03-10, 11:14 PM

Nice play Roag! Hit the one that counts

JohnnyD4916 · 07-03-10, 11:34 PM

Nice Play!!

eldoctord · 07-03-10, 11:54 PM

Could see this blowout from a mile away

. NOW for everyone that went big and won, remember money management is especially important after a big win. Keep what you have and don't ever think of profits as playing with the houses' money. Stay smart and keep your emotions grounded.

samdapatriotsfan · 07-04-10, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by eldoctord

Could see this blowout from a mile away

. NOW for everyone that went big and won, remember money management is especially important after a big win. Keep what you have and don't ever think of profits as playing with the houses' money. Stay smart and keep your emotions grounded.

Good reminder Dr. Something to definitely keep in mind.

Plus a big shout out to Roag. I had a good feeling too and also went Roag on the Mercury bet. For once I did not watch the game or check the scores and after a night out at the movies with the family, I come home to...........

Nice way to end a good Saturday!!!

Ace_of_Spades · 07-04-10, 01:01 AM

Thats how to move things along quickly. Nicely done.