Sj55 nba playoff picks

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  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #71
    Originally posted by SparJMU
    Joe Public won a lot of money this weekend? I don't know about that. The biggest public play all weekend was PHX.
    Clev won, Dallas won, Boston won, Char won, Atl won, and Denver won. All of these plays were public plays. The public went 6-2
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
    Comment
    • SparJMU
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-10
      • 1648

      #72
      I considered each of those games before I posted, but I feel like a lot of public money was on MIA and ORL, and by far the biggest public bet of the weekend was PHX. Needless to say the public won on CLE, DAL, ATL, and probably DEN, but those last three games weren't drastically one sided.

      I don't think its worth arguing about, but I just wanted to point out it may not have been as one sided as you said. Joe Public lost on MIA and ORL, and LOST BIG on PHX.
      Comment
      • sweetjones55
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-07-09
        • 5257

        #73
        Originally posted by SparJMU
        I considered each of those games before I posted, but I feel like a lot of public money was on MIA and ORL, and by far the biggest public bet of the weekend was PHX. Needless to say the public won on CLE, DAL, ATL, and probably DEN, but those last three games weren't drastically one sided.

        I don't think its worth arguing about, but I just wanted to point out it may not have been as one sided as you said. Joe Public lost on MIA and ORL, and LOST BIG on PHX.
        There's nothing to argue, those teams were public plays. Half the public was on the Heat/Boston but 60% of the public was on Boston ML so that was a public play as well. Denver was definitely a big public play.
        Scared money don't make money

        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
        Comment
        • Dexter
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-24-08
          • 25829

          #74
          Originally posted by sweetjones55
          There's nothing to argue, those teams were public plays. Half the public was on the Heat/Boston but 60% of the public was on Boston ML so that was a public play as well. Denver was definitely a big public play.
          what was the public bet % on the celts/heat for the pointspread?

          forget about the moneyline - we are talking about vs the spread.
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #75
            Not sure what sites you use sj but charl was not a public play.
            Comment
            • peterpan19
              Restricted User
              • 11-02-08
              • 3377

              #76
              Originally posted by Dexter
              what was the public bet % on the celts/heat for the pointspread?

              forget about the moneyline - we are talking about vs the spread.
              50/50, like he said

              Originally posted by lakerboy
              Not sure what sites you use sj but charl was not a public play.
              char was never a public play, sure PHO was the biggest one, but all the other plays were pretty much even 55/45 max...
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #77
                Originally posted by peterpan19
                50/50, like he said



                char was never a public play, sure PHO was the biggest one, but all the other plays were pretty much even 55/45 max...
                yeah, i take notice of anything 60% or more....
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #78
                  Honestly it doesn't even matter. I just know I lost 5 plays that the public was on by 1-2 points, Dal game, Dal 1st half, Clev, Over 204.5 Por/Pho, and the Heat which was the worst loss by far. That's history and I plan on having a profitable week this week. On to the plays for tonight.
                  Last edited by sweetjones55; 04-19-10, 12:10 PM.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • sweetjones55
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-07-09
                    • 5257

                    #79
                    Monday Final Card

                    Bulls +6.5 1st Half LOCKED
                    Bulls +11 LOCKED
                    Bulls/Cavs Over 191.5 LOCKED
                    Bulls/Cavs Over 98.5 1H LOCKED
                    Bulls/Cavs Over 50 1Q LOCKED
                    Utah 1H +4.5 -117 LOCKED
                    Utah +7.5 -115 LOCKED
                    Utah/Den Under 107 1H LOCKED ADDED PLAY
                    Last edited by sweetjones55; 04-19-10, 11:35 PM.
                    Scared money don't make money

                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                    Comment
                    • sweetjones55
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-07-09
                      • 5257

                      #80
                      Good luck to everyone on their plays tonight.
                      Scared money don't make money

                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #81
                        Sj give me your thoughts on the Jazz game as i see you picked them. How do you see it unfolding?
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94379

                          #82
                          Originally posted by sweetjones55
                          Monday Final Card

                          Bulls +6.5 1st Half LOCKED
                          Bulls +11 LOCKED
                          Bulls/Cavs Over 98.5 1H LOCKED
                          Utah 1H +4.5 -117 LOCKED
                          Utah +7.5 -115 LOCKED

                          Good luck on your plays tonight. I like the bulls /cavs over fh play alot.
                          Comment
                          • trojanman
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-09-10
                            • 204

                            #83
                            hope those dogs bark

                            Any opinion on the totals?

                            Any comment on the ref assignments as it pertains to totals or your picks?


                            thx....
                            Comment
                            • gshock1
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-04-09
                              • 5366

                              #84
                              Good luck today SJ. Which of these do you like best? You are due for a bounceback in a huge way!
                              Comment
                              • xGrr
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 02-24-10
                                • 216

                                #85
                                first half play over cav/bulls looks pretty tempting
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                  Monday Final Card

                                  Bulls +6.5 1st Half LOCKED
                                  Bulls +11 LOCKED
                                  Bulls/Cavs Over 98.5 1H LOCKED
                                  Utah 1H +4.5 -117 LOCKED
                                  Utah +7.5 -115 LOCKED
                                  nice job finding an 11 today on chi....ive been waiting for it to drop to 10, but all of my guys have 10.5 and im sensing it may go back up.
                                  Comment
                                  • hadjiro
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 04-14-10
                                    • 42

                                    #87
                                    haha buddy now your assuming that I am hating on the guy? all i said is that he is 0-4. big deal? not really, and yes i might be new to the thread but what does that have to do with anything? I am not taking credit away from SJ, and sure I might not have the 'respect' that others have, but i am 4-1 in playoffs you can see my boston -5 thread, and lakers - 7 thread with the under that i said would be LOCKS, and it happened, also bobcats did me good with +10.5. anyways, this isn't about me, but i just want YOU to know that i was never 'hating' on the guy.
                                    Comment
                                    • sweetjones55
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-07-09
                                      • 5257

                                      #88
                                      A lot of people feel that pointing out that someone is getting killed and going 0-4 is hating hadjiro. Keep on picking winners, good luck tonight
                                      Scared money don't make money

                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                      Comment
                                      • hadjiro
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 04-14-10
                                        • 42

                                        #89
                                        hey man maybe it sounded bad but it was never meant that way, and don't get me wrong, you do bring some strong stats into your decisions and I can see why you do make the picks. Goodluck to you as well!
                                        Comment
                                        • SparJMU
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-10
                                          • 1648

                                          #90
                                          I certainly wasn't trying to hate on anyone. 0-4 nights happen to everybody, nothing to be ashamed of. Just wanted to play devils advocate on the "Joe Public" card.

                                          Good luck tonight. Considering the domination of the home teams in game 1s, there should be good value playing underdogs in game 2.
                                          Comment
                                          • Justa Buck
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 03-03-10
                                            • 467

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                            Monday Final Card

                                            Bulls +6.5 1st Half LOCKED
                                            Bulls +11 LOCKED
                                            Bulls/Cavs Over 98.5 1H LOCKED
                                            Utah 1H +4.5 -117 LOCKED
                                            Utah +7.5 -115 LOCKED

                                            I am taken bulls +11
                                            Utah +7.5
                                            Thats the plays that look good to me
                                            Comment
                                            • fly fisher
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-25-10
                                              • 2587

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by hadjiro
                                              hey man maybe it sounded bad but it was never meant that way, and don't get me wrong, you do bring some strong stats into your decisions and I can see why you do make the picks. Goodluck to you as well!
                                              Hey man, I was one of the guys giving you a bad time for that comment, since you didn't mean it that way, then apologies from me. to you and good luck.
                                              Comment
                                              • QUEST001
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-01-09
                                                • 779

                                                #93
                                                Gl SJ...ODDS you bounce back my line -955. GL BROTHA..
                                                Comment
                                                • sweetjones55
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                  • 5257

                                                  #94
                                                  Ok a few quick reasons on each play. I'm sorry I can't put up full writeups but honestly I am just spending more time capping the games and trying to find winners that I just haven't had the time.

                                                  UTAH 1H and GAME why? Utah played Denver very tough last game but JR Smith went absolutely nuts in the fourth quarter. I just don't see that happening again and I am confident this game will go down to the last shot. Utah will be playing with a sense of urgency and I think Denver will play a little bit more lax. I see a strong defensive effort tonight from Utah. I really like the 1H because #1 Utah covered the 1H spread last game and we are getting an inflated line tonight since Denver won the full game last game. Utah is a much better 1H team than Denver. Denver comes out flat a lot of the times at home and then turns it up 2H. I don't think they will be able to just turn it on and off tonight and manage to beat the Jazz by 8.

                                                  Bulls 1H and Game The Bulls 1H line is heavilyy inflated. They are +6.5 1st half and that is just way too many points to give any playoff team. I think the Bulls will have the carryover effect in this game as they played very well in the 2H against Cleveland. Cleveland just played the best game I have seen them play all year last game and I think tonight will be much closer. Chicago at the worst just wants to be competitive and have a shot to win and I think that will be the case tonight. The Bulls don't match up that bad against Clev. Rose-Williams Hinrich-Parker Deng-James Noah-Shaq Jamison-Taj Gibson. I know Cleveland is better but I don't think they are 12 points better, especially off a double digt win ATS last game.

                                                  Bulls/Cavs 1Q, 1H and Game OVER- This is pretty plain and simple. I do not see the Bulls coming out and scoring 83 points tonight. I think they were a little stunned at how good the Cavs played and they just got nervous and didn't move the ball well offensively. All the pressure is now off the Bulls as every single writer/tv figure is saying they have no shot in the world. I love situations like this. The Bulls are going to put up a good amount of points and the Cavs will be themselves at home and get their own as well. Vegas dropped the line 1.5 points from last game to this game from 193 to 191.5, I think this is just an overadjustment based on one game and is too much. I see Bulls in the high 90's and Cavs low 100's
                                                  Last edited by sweetjones55; 04-20-10, 12:34 AM.
                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweetjones55
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                    • 5257

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    Good luck on your plays tonight. I like the bulls /cavs over fh play alot.
                                                    Good luck on that play then lol. I addded the full game 191.5 OVER and 1Q 50 OVER as well now to my final card
                                                    Scared money don't make money

                                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brumbies
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                      • 1487

                                                      #96
                                                      Lucky to get the push for the 1Q over 50. On to the second half! Come on bulls!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • trojanman
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 04-09-10
                                                        • 204

                                                        #97
                                                        Nice start!!!

                                                        Nice start - as long as Bulls stay feisty things looking good.

                                                        Sweet....how does Jazz under look? Gotta think with Jazz shorthanded they will not run up and down like last game and hopefully JR calms down or Sloan figures a way to slow him down as well.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #98
                                                          SJ, tailed on the Cavs 1H over. thanks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brumbies
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-21-09
                                                            • 1487

                                                            #99
                                                            BiffTFinancial, who is that chick in your avatar?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doctor_on_call
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 03-29-10
                                                              • 274

                                                              #100
                                                              gudluck on your plays sj55. i played bulls +11.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by brumbies
                                                                BiffTFinancial, who is that chick in your avatar?
                                                                Amanda Knox
                                                                Comment
                                                                • trojanman
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-09-10
                                                                  • 204

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Sweeeetttt

                                                                  Called that game perfectly - from start to finish! Nice job. Let's go Jazz!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sweetjones55
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                                    • 5257

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Added play Utah/Den Under 107 1H LOCKED
                                                                    Scared money don't make money

                                                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brumbies
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                                      • 1487

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Sweetjones, you are killing it today! Do you wager the same for each play?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sweetjones55
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-07-09
                                                                        • 5257

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SJ, tailed on the Cavs 1H over. thanks.



                                                                        Originally posted by doctor_on_call
                                                                        gudluck on your plays sj55. i played bulls +11.
                                                                        Score was way too close for those who didn't watch but nonetheless another winner!
                                                                        Scared money don't make money

                                                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                        Comment
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