Heavy! Bucks @ heat

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:08 AM

I am done with this game. The line just went to -3. Thank goodness I left the heavy play pending and waited to see line movement.

jetsjets1028 · 03-26-10, 11:09 AM

heat wins!

krazey47409 · 03-26-10, 11:09 AM

dam im fuked bogut really out ima idiot bought this at 4 and no bogut shitttttttttttttttttttt

kobefanatic · 03-26-10, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Yes, very well could be. The Heat had two nights rest before last nights game and Wade, Oneal and Beasley didn't play the fourth. The flight from Chicago to Milwaukee is 45 minutes long.

i dont think heat will want to be swept

vic · 03-26-10, 11:29 AM

The Book will make their $ from the Bucks before season end.

lakerboy · 03-26-10, 11:31 AM

stitchez · 03-26-10, 11:31 AM

This is going to be hard.. no play

krazey47409 · 03-26-10, 11:32 AM

im riding with the bucks fuk it line movement dont scare me im hoping bucks go up big first half then i take maimi 2nd half hit a middle

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:32 AM

Yes, it's true Bogut is out for tonights game hence the line movement. http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/89270312.html

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by krazey47409

im riding with the bucks fuk it line movement dont scare me im hoping bucks go up big first half then i take maimi 2nd half hit a middle

That's a terrible idea. The Heat never come back in the 2nd half if they are down at half. Vice versa the Heat never blow leads when up at half. Heat are 32-6 if leading at half, Heat are 5-27 if trailing at half

krazey47409 · 03-26-10, 11:36 AM

well im pretty much fuk now with no bogut i thought it was a joke him being out i still think bucks might pull it off caus of heats rep on b2b aw to aw i i could cancel it and take heat ml but i was talking bout if heat down like 20 or 30 at half i take them 2nd half just to come back a little if spread right

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:38 AM

Damn I am highly thinking about pounding the Heat now. Bogut averages 16 points and 10 rebounds for them, he is so crucial to that teams success. F*ck it I am riding with my Heat for a small play, I think there is a false favorite now in this game with Bogut out. The heat suck on B2B but this is the ideal situation for the Heat to come out and win one on B2B. They rested their starters last night, only flew for 45 minutes from chicago to milwaukee, and now the Bucks best player is out.

Heat +3 LOCKED

kobefanatic · 03-26-10, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Damn I am highly thinking about pounding the Heat now. Bogut averages 16 points and 10 rebounds for them, he is so crucial to that teams success. F*ck it I am riding with my Heat for a small play, I think there is a false favorite now in this game with Bogut out.

Heat +3 LOCKED

really didn't see it coming? maybe vegas is fixing all of this?

lakerboy · 03-26-10, 11:41 AM

Unreal about face in this thread.

krazey47409 · 03-26-10, 11:44 AM

sht hopefully its all set up caus public all over heat now hopefully bucks stilll cover somehow with their bumass backup centers

og4667 · 03-26-10, 11:49 AM

bogut has been in a mini slump anyway. Bucks can still cover

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:49 AM

Think about the matchups for tonigh

F Carlos Delfino F Quentin Richardson
Similiar players who like to shoot but Q-Rich has stepped up his D on the Heat, a team that stresses D as much as any team in the NBA. He came in great shape and is still in great shape.

F Michael Beasley F Luc Mbah a Moutte
I like Beasley in this matchup. He should easily take him off the dribble. Luc defense is better but when Beasley gets going offensively the Heat are very tough to beat

C Jermaine O'neal C Ersan Illyasova (backup Kurt Thomas)

This is the kind of guy that Jermaine O'neal will get fits. Jermaine really steps up big when he knows he's got the upperhand in the matchup at center. He sucks when he plays against good competition but against weak competition he really plays with a lot of confidence in the post.

G Dwayne Wade G John Salmons

Wade obviously has the upper hand here. He has not played well vs the Bucks this year thusfar but he is obviously capable of blowing up tonight. John Salmons is a nice player

PG Brandon Jennings/Luke Ridnour PG Carlos Arroyo/Mario Chalmers

Big Advantage Bucks

I personally think the Heat have the upperhand in four out of the five starters.

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Unreal about face in this thread.

Big line movement and a star player out will do that. One thing I have learned sometimes is if you are so sure you should cancel out of a game then you should probably just go and pick up the money on the other side. Most people just lay off but I like to collect when I do it.

lakerboy · 03-26-10, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Big line movement and a star player out will do that. One thing I have learned sometimes is if you are so sure you should cancel out of a game then you should probably just go and pick up the money on the other side. Most people just lay off but I like to collect when I do it.

I thought star players being out in NBA usually menas you take the team with the guy missing ATS. Always stick with your original play.

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I thought star players being out in NBA usually menas you take the team with the guy missing ATS. Always stick with your original play.

Yes you are correct you should almost always take the team with the guy missing ATS but my god-daughter said to take the Heat as I posted earlier and sure enough 30 mins later Bogut is out. It's fate. I am only putting one unit on it so its not that big a deal if it doesn't come through, I am up 10 units this week.

mundane · 03-26-10, 11:57 AM

Ersan Ilyasova's status for Friday night's game is up in the air due to a bad case of the flu.
"He may be able to come later on and possibly play, but I'd say somewhere between probable and doubtful," coach Scott Skiles said. Thanks Scott, that's as clear as mud. If you're in a deep league relying on Ilyasova's services, it's probably best to just check back before tip-off.

i already liked heat +5 and ML last night. and now no bogut and his backup ilyasova not 100%?? hmmm. even better!

Aurelius · 03-26-10, 12:02 PM

the plot thickens

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 12:04 PM

Oghh and I just remembered one of my autobets I posted yesterday, take the underdogs ML on Friday nights! Let's go HEAT!

lakerboy · 03-26-10, 12:06 PM

SJ good luck with your plays tonight. God bless your soul.

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

SJ good luck with your plays tonight. God bless your soul.

Lol thanks. That is probably going to be my only play tonight. I don't like gambling on the weekends, hate being out and watching and worrying about a game I bet on.

lyon804 · 03-26-10, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

SJ good luck with your plays tonight. God bless your soul.

No you didn't.

Gopi-1 · 03-26-10, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Lol thanks. That is probably going to be my only play tonight. I don't like gambling on the weekends, hate being out and watching and worrying about a game I bet on.

Wanna throw some chump change on the Magic 1h at -8.5 sweet? It's worth a
shot imo and GL with your 180 degree bet for today on your very weird thread!

yomillionaire · 03-26-10, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Salmons is a hell of a defender himself. You know what the problem with the Heat is? They have the worst point guards in the NBA bar none. Brandon Jennings will get to any spot he wants on the floor. Expect a big game from him tonight. When Jennings gets rolling at home the whole team rallies behind him and they usually come out on top. Bogut has been playing damn good basketball and is at least finally starting to live up to that #1 pick. The whole cohesiveness on this team right now is great, the chemistry is all there. Nobody cares who is scoring and their are zero egos on this team. They got a great mix of youth and experience. The Heat are a Jekyll and Hyde team on the road, the Bucks are very consistent at home.

Heat point guards are no where near the worse in the league bud. Arroyo has committed like 1 turnover in 6 games and Chalmers backing him up is not terrible. They aren't all stars no, but they take care of the ball. (Not so much Chalmers but he can score).

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by yomillionaire

Heat point guards are no where near the worse in the league bud. Arroyo has committed like 1 turnover in 6 games and Chalmers backing him up is not terrible. They aren't all stars no, but they take care of the ball. (Not so much Chalmers but he can score).

Lol all coming from someone with a Marlins avatar, I think I sense a little homerism. Taking care of the ball doesn't make them good in the least bit. Try and think of 5 teams with worst point guards, you can't. I'll give you New York but other than that who has worse?

Lakers714 · 03-26-10, 12:34 PM

Bogut matters a ton to the bucks and if he's not playing, the heat r the play. I'm bot concerned that they played last night.

ThisGuy · 03-26-10, 12:40 PM

I've been betting against Miami on the wrong side a lot lately and I've been watching Arroyo hitting mid range 12 footer over and over, he tries on D too. Still a favorable match up for Jennings, it's just a matter of staying home on Arroyo.

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 12:41 PM

I got to throw down the Heat National Anthem. I swear they play this song like ten times a game during intermissions at the home games.

krazey47409 · 03-26-10, 01:06 PM

shit im heavy as shit on bucks got them ats -4 and ml parlay i was thinking bout csancel it out n take maiami caus with bogut out i dont love this play no more but i guess i should just ssay fuk it ride it out n stick with my original if i lose im just losing money i never had ne way and still will have 100$ lef tto work with

sweetjones55 · 03-26-10, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by krazey47409

shit im heavy as shit on bucks got them ats -4 and ml parlay i was thinking bout csancel it out n take maiami caus with bogut out i dont love this play no more but i guess i should just ssay fuk it ride it out n stick with my original if i lose im just losing money i never had ne way and still will have 100$ lef tto work with

I think you should at least put $50 on the Heat so if the Heat do win at least you don't get smoked for the full $110. I personally would just bet the exact same amount on the Heat and just lose the juice. It sucks but it happens sometimes when unexpected injuries pop up. What do you guys think he should do?

reppin_the_847 · 03-26-10, 01:20 PM

lol, they don't even have too many flights running that route. Of course the Heat get chartered flights. But honestly, the drive from Chicago to Milwaukee is only an hour and a half with no traffic (it's only 90 miles). It's exactly like the distance from NYC to Philly. Not far at all.

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Yes, very well could be. The Heat had two nights rest before last nights game and Wade, Oneal and Beasley didn't play the fourth. The flight from Chicago to Milwaukee is 45 minutes long.