AzNDooM NBA BETS THREAD 2010 (ROOKIE YEAR)

[quick$]

GL today AznD

[himeshforex]

HEY AZND ....good to see an aussie around ..... me from melbourne ... where r u frm? do u cap baseball as well ?? uve got an interesting system here

[AzNDooM]

March 17th, 2010
============
1) 5.0x OKC -1
2) 2.5x OKC / CHA OVER 187
3) 2.5x CLE -14.5
4) 1.0x CLE / IND UNDER 209

[AzNDooM]

5) 2.5x NJN +6.5
6) 5.0x NJN / PHI UNDER 191

[schenker88]

superb!
i like:
1, 2, 5, 6
i have no leans on 3 and 4

[AzNDooM]

7) 1.0x TOR -3.0
8) 1.5x TOR / ATL UNDER 208

[AzNDooM]

9) 1.5x NYK +9
10) 2.0x NYK / BOS OVER 209.5

[AzNDooM]

Just a couple of observations:

I know you're a math guy, so this question is probably redundant, but are you tracking the individual unit plays? In other words, are you keeping a tally of your 1x, 2x 3x, unit plays, etc.? I'm guessing most handicappers don't do this, but it can be quite revealing.

Someone like LakerBoy can successfully do a 1-50 unit spread, but for us mere mortals that can be a daunting challenge. I tried a 1-8 spread for a while and failed miserably although the 6x and above plays did well and showed more profit than anything else. I'm wondering if 1-3 would be more profitable or just as profitable, or conversely, show a smaller loss than a 1-5 spread, and with less risk. How hard would it be for you to check both methods?

Another thing I used to do was to check all of my plays just betting one unit on each one as well as my variable unit designations.

I'll tell you what though, it's a lot of work keeping tabs on all these different things, and you can get burned out real easy. That's what happened to me.

I guess the main point I'm trying to make is that until guys like you (and me) have a long term proven track record, using a smaller unit spread might make more long run sense. I have no way of quantifying that idea without having a large sample base to draw from, so it's just an intuitive guess from the time I've spent experimenting with a lot of different methods.

TGoat, when you say burn out I know the feeling, but like anything you do you gotta keep at it and preserve and I personally think hard work pays off. I hope that in the long run with all the studying/analyzing I do, ill become one of the best in the SBR Forum in capping and I have a passion for this, so it gets easier day by day when I do all this heavy admin.. the load just feels like it comes natural after a while.

As inregards to tracking my unit picks, of course, I have a massive database system which williams22 and I have started chatting in designing. I help put together a Debiting/Crediting report for him and that got me thinking, why not create a program that tracks picks, which is what we have done. I have leveraged on his system for the NBA Best Bets System and integrated it into my unit conversion system. Im currently using this system for NRL and will be making it the BETA version for MLB. At the moment it holds stats of current ranks, power rankings, win record status, current funds earned and streak. I have to make a few modifications to make it all automated but this is being done by a few mates of mine who have extreme talent in programming.

As inregards to your experimentation, there is no argument here. I have seen and read about 85% of your blogs/posts and I know your good at reading data. Its just your work ethics and consistency as you probably have less time then I do as my work is all INTERNET related. Thus im in a better spot, but keep at it as I reckon your tear it up once you get back online. The key that you have taught me is that there is no emotions when it comes to this, you either rigorously stick to the system or you dont. Hence, LB doesnt believe in stats, but i do but i also believe in SBR Angle Sharp Vision (thats what I call it) where he uses RLM and his judgement to go against the flow. You add this variable to my system and the stats of it at the moment is staggering. Anycase you've got my msn messenger now so just hit me up on a PM if you ever want to talk about making something better. Im opened to new ideas and with a mind of yours ill be glad to hear anything you have to put up in the air.

[AzNDooM]

superb!
i like:
1, 2, 5, 6
i have no leans on 3 and 4

Tam, as always glad to see your on board with me. Lets hope to cash this. ^^

[AzNDooM]

GL today AznD

Appreciate it, I will need all of it that I can get.

HEY AZND ....good to see an aussie around ..... me from melbourne ... where r u frm? do u cap baseball as well ?? uve got an interesting system here

Heyhimeshforex,
Unfortunately no, im in SYDNEY. Yes I cap Baseball as thats my main knowledge based sport. I was raised in Toronto where I started tracking baseball when Toronto won the Championships in 1999/2000. Thus I have a large background in it and thanks, appreciate the kind words in the system but it was bad yesterday going 10-9 -1.95U.

[AzNDooM]

11) 1.5x SAS +7
12) 1.5x SAS/ORL OVER 193

[AzNDooM]

13) 1.5x MEM +5
14) 3.5x HOU/MEM UNDER 213

[AzNDooM]

15) 2.0x CHI +14
16) 1.0x CHI / DAL UNDER 208

[AzNDooM]

17) 1.5x UTAH -15
18) 3.5x UTAH/MIN UNDER 219

[AzNDooM]

19) 1.0x GSW -4
20) 1.5x GSW / NOH UNDER 228

[AzNDooM]

21) 1.0x MIL -5
22) 1.0x MIL/LAC OVER 193

[AzNDooM]

A Day I want to forget, got decimated today.

1) 5.0x OKC -1
2) 2.5x OKC / CHA OVER 187
3) 2.5x CLE -14.5
4) 1.0x CLE / IND UNDER 209
5) 2.5x NJN +6.5
6) 5.0x NJN / PHI UNDER 191
7) 1.0x TOR -3.0
8) 1.5x TOR / ATL UNDER 208
9) 1.5x NYK +9
10) 2.0x NYK / BOS OVER 209.5
11) 1.5x SAS +7
12) 1.5x SAS/ORL OVER 193
13) 1.5x MEM +5
14) 3.5x HOU/MEM UNDER 213
15) 2.0x CHI +14
16) 1.0x CHI / DAL UNDER 208
17) 1.5x UTAH -15
18) 3.5x UTAH/MIN UNDER 219
19) 1.0x GSW -4
20) 1.5x GSW / NOH UNDER 228
21) 1.0x MIL -5
22) 1.0x MIL/LAC OVER 193

Got a long way to get back to the TOP again.
8-14 -17.35U

[lyon804]

Some days are like that my friend. There is nothing you can do about it.

[himeshforex]

let us pull it back together !!

[SpreadSniper]

hey... I have a friend in misery... to us bud

[AzNDooM]

All 1.1 Unit plays.
1) ORL -8
2) MIA -6.5
3) MIN +4.5
4) ATL +6
5) SAS +5
6) HOU +2.5
7) NOH +4.5
8) UTAH -4.5
9) SAC +2.5
10) PHX -5

[phenomenon]

good luck brother

[AzNDooM]

1) ORL -8
2) MIA -6.5
3) MIN +4.5
4) ATL +6
5) SAS +5
6) HOU +2.5
7) NOH +4.5
8) UTAH -4.5
9) SAC +2.5
10) PHX -5

6-4 +1.6U

[paco]

Keep up the good work bud!




Just surprised I didn't make ur top 5 cappers after all the winners I posted day in day out

[quick$]

azn, unless I am mistaken PHX didn't cover. But you still 6-4 so good day if you are not bleeding.

[AzNDooM]

Keep up the good work bud!




Just surprised I didn't make ur top 5 cappers after all the winners I posted day in day out

I never get to see your picks, you were definitely hot today but I only managed to see what you posted aftewards. You seriously need your own thread and updated!!!

[paco]

I never get to see your picks, you were definitely hot today but I only managed to see what you posted aftewards. You seriously need your own thread and updated!!!

All in Lb's NBA and NCAA thread b4 he closed em

[AzNDooM]

All in Lb's NBA and NCAA thread b4 he closed em

Ahh, i dont really read the chatter that goes in his thread, too much crap going on and I have respect for the man not to spam on his page F5 just to see his picks and his leans. I normally just select the user and read all the posts he puts down as its easier to read and im going to read his stuff, not people who jump into his thread and clog it 24/7. Thus hence why I never see your picks.

[AzNDooM]

1) 1.0x was +6.5
2) 1.0x nyk +6.5
3) 1.0x ind +4
4) 1.0x dal -9.5

[AzNDooM]

1) 1.0x was +6.5
2) 1.0x nyk +6.5
3) 1.0x ind +4
4) 1.0x dal -9.5

3-1 +1.9U

[williams22]

Nice night azn

[quick$]

Good job Azn. It's always good when you cash!
Keep it up. did you buy down Dal 9.5?

[AzNDooM]

Nice night azn

Thanks, 10-4 on the new system which is looking very very impressive. The 4 losses were all pretty close.

Good job Azn. It's always good when you cash!
Keep it up. did you buy down Dal 9.5?

No, I got it on my books as is. Line didnt move and it stayed put at 9.5. This is from sportsbet.com.au

[AzNDooM]

24/03/2010
all 1 unit plays
1) ORL +1.5
2) MIL -10
3) CHA -9.5
4) UTA -3.5
5) IND -8.5
6) DEN +5
7) MEM -1.5
8) SAC -1.5
9) CLE -6
10) HOU +8
11) SAS -2

[paco]

With u on #6, and #11