My Moneyline Thread

[MUHerd37]

I'm glad to see LB doing a moneyline thread. I love moneylines myself. They can be tricky tho, like Celtics losing at home to Nets.

[TodaysAction]

Okay i am going to do a moneyline only plays thread. The plays will be coming here and there. Just an experiment to see how laying chalk can be profitable if done in spots. There will be no limits on the chalk and vice versa. Feel free to chime in.

No i will be very selective in these plays. I am out to prove to folks that you can win good money using smart moneyline moneymanagement. Nothing wrong with taking lakers -3300 at home over teams like INDY

Play #1 - Celtics over Pistons -200 (1x)


So that is to win 1unit.

lakerboy,

For what it's worth, playing money-lines can very profitable as long as one pays a little attention to whats going on. It can build a bank-roll quickly or knock out a more than average -110 wager that spreads and totals generally carry. For what it's worth, I too have Boston tonight to win twenty units spread out over multiple accounts on the money-line. Good luck with this "experiment" and your regular NBA thread.

TA

[Lefttee]

I had a buddy that used to only play moneylines. He used to do pretty well, but man those days when a big dog would win it would kill a good week worth of work.

[Teaser Sucker]

It can be profitable, being selective. I enjoy structuring a 2, sometimes 3, team ML parlay, which I do multiple times weekly. Putting that smaller amount down, and then enjoying the larger reward that comes in. GL.

[tealish]

I'm glad to see LB doing a moneyline thread. I love moneylines myself. They can be tricky tho, like Celtics losing at home to Nets.

I'm glad they got that huge dog loss out of the way and that paved way to a good value -180 moneyline for tonight.

[lakerboy]

lakerboy,

For what it's worth, playing money-lines can very profitable as long as one pays a little attention to whats going on. It can build a bank-roll quickly or knock out a more than average -110 wager that spreads and totals generally carry. For what it's worth, I too have Boston tonight to win twenty units spread out over multiple accounts on the money-line. Good luck with this "experiment" and your regular NBA thread.

TA

Thanks TA

[chrislau86]

Good luck with this thread LB. I've had some success with ML's so this should be a fun experiment

[lakerboy]

Play #1 - Celtics over Pistons -200 (1x)


So that is to win 1unit.

Okay so 1-0 so far.


Play # 2 Lakers over Pacers -825 (2x)

So thats to win 2 units.

[lakerboy]

2-0 so far and up 3 units.

[Wilforth]

[thechaoz]

So far so good. I've never considered doing many ML's with favorites. Last I can recall was saints +190. Anyway interesting thread and I have always been curious is this is more profitable then sides.

[S.K.M.]

Another reason why I need to change books. Bodog is pathetic. Ive been talking about dropping them for a couple months now and still haven't done it. They don't even offer ML for a lot of games. Or totals in most college games......

[Saunders FTW]

I'm glad to see LB doing a moneyline thread. I love moneylines myself. They can be tricky tho, like Celtics losing at home to Nets.

yep

[TGoat]

Another reason why I need to change books. Bodog is pathetic. Ive been talking about dropping them for a couple months now and still haven't done it. They don't even offer ML for a lot of games. Or totals in most college games......

I wouldn't drop them, but keep them as an alternative for betting on dogs. I've seen 1/2 to 1 point better prices on dogs at Bodog.

Other than that I know nothing about them. I don't bet online, so my opinion might not be worth much.

[Gopi-1]

My local has it at 205...

Up 1 unit, I'll be riding LB's thread until it gets derailed!
I took the Suns ML at -165 for today, Wednesday, 3/03. GL everyone!

[The fiddler]

Hate playing moneylines in the NBA. I think next to teasers, ML is the quickest way to the poorhouse. Lot of people paid big cash on Kansas and Kentucky last Saturday. One day like that wipes out a 16 game winning streak.

[million2one]

Are you really betting money on these ML favs or is it just an experiment ?
If so I think you are playing with fire my friend, good luck though.

[lakerboy]

Are you really betting money on these ML favs or is it just an experiment ?
If so I think you are playing with fire my friend, good luck though.

I already answered that question- i dont pretend bet. Im not too worried i know when to pick spots.

[million2one]

Thanks man,

You have a great reputation that is the only reason I asked, so I thought it odd that you would lay so much juice.
I trust u are smart with your money and wish you the best of luck.
I'll probably steal some of your plays and go with ML parlays though.

Thanks for all your work on this forum


Hawks ML tonight? Sixers stink

[lakerboy]

Play # 3 Nuggets ml over OKC -325 (2 units)

So that is to win 2 units laying 650

[lakerboy]

So many plays for this option tonight. Hawks looks easy but you never know.

[PatrickBateman]

I like Cleveland today, are they really going to lose to the NEts?

[Jive]

Betting the moneyline is great, IMO. My only suggestion is that you base your bet on risk, not automatically betting to win a unit. It makes for a slower growing bank roll when you win, but upsets don't crush you.

[PAYTON20]

I like your idea of playing the money lines. I really would suggest doing ML parlays to increase the payout and also allow yourself to bet on bigger favorites to increase your win %. I've been doing really well using this strategy. For instance, last night I cashed on Thunder -650, Ohio St -700, and Lakers -800. Took only $200 to win a unit.

For tonight, I wonder why you are so confident in the Nuggets? Just because the Thunder are one of the hottest teams in the NBA (winners of 12 of 14).

In my opinion, you'd be safer doing a ML paraly- such as the Hawks, Cavs, and Blazers. That 3-teamer only requires you to lay 253 to win 200, instead of 650. And if you were feeling lucky, you could bet 650 for a tasty 512 payout

[PAYTON20]

Hate playing moneylines in the NBA. I think next to teasers, ML is the quickest way to the poorhouse. Lot of people paid big cash on Kansas and Kentucky last Saturday. One day like that wipes out a 16 game winning streak.

I don't get your point. Kanasas and Kentucky were road teams that were hardly favored on Saturday. It wasn't like they were -800 and people were laying 800 to win 100. I bet on Kentucky to cover the spread and that lost too. The ML bets weren't the only losers... People seem to forget, upsets can happen when betting on speads too!

[freeVICK]

great job LB

[krazey47409]

happy to see your on nuggets ml to lb i got them in my ml parlay to instead of blazers who loss last couple home games and who have not faired well vs the pacers in recent meetings but cavs ml looks like a lock they wont lose to nets

[PAYTON20]

Or throw in the Nuggets ML in that parlay:

4-teamer
Cavs ML
Blazers ML
Hawks ML
Nuggets ML

Pays out 133%

147 to win 200

[krazey47409]

Or throw in the Nuggets ML in that parlay:

4-teamer
Cavs ML
Blazers ML
Hawks ML
Nuggets ML

Pays out 133%

147 to win 200

should be good but im playing it safe 3's enough for me iv loss on these ml parlays before iand i can afford a loss tonight i got 125$ on cavs hawks and nuggets and im still scared hawks might lose or nuggets might lose but it should be good hopefully if not ill be down to 50$

[PAYTON20]

Yeah it's tempting to throw in that extra one for the payout but it can easily come back to bite you. I like your parlay. To be honest, the only one I was hesitant about was the Nuggets ML...

Cavs are good.
Sixers are horrible and without Brand or Iverson their team relies on guys like Lou Williams, Jrue Holliday, and Dalembert. Jrue Holliday is not going to shoot 90% from 3-point land and score a career high like he did vs the Magic a couple days ago (Magic still demolished @ Sixers).
Pacers are on back to back road games and the Blazers are on a roll right now. With Roy back and getting better each day, the acquisition of Camby, and Batum suddenly producing great numbers, I don't see the Pacers having a great chance. Plus the West playoff seeding is so tight, the Blazers know they can't drop this one at home if they want to keep on pace.
As for the Nuggets, I was originally worried because of OKC's hot streak as of late (won 12 of 14). But this is a big home game for them coming off the loss- and the Nuggets always seem to play their best against the better teams. Crossing my fingers Durant isn't lights out. The more I think about it though, the more I like the experience of the Nuggets at home coming down the stretch.

GL guys let's gooo baby

[DV008]

good luck

[lakerboy]

Why are the nets so low on the moneyline?

[BettingWizard]

dont see how big moneylines are profitable in the long-run, even when being selective

like tonight the mavs are -2700, dog is +1500. You can't say there's value, long-term, with that much inflation.

If you can find teams that are something like -200 and should be -400, for example, then i agree you can win.

[PAYTON20]

Why are the nets so low on the moneyline?

That's a good question. Probably because Shaq is out and it's on the road. Nets have stayed within 10 points in all 3 previous matchups with the Cavs this season. That being said, 10.5 points on the road isn't exactly low...

dont see how big moneylines are profitable in the long-run, even when being selective

like tonight the mavs are -2700, dog is +1500. You can't say there's value, long-term, with that much inflation.

If you can find teams that are something like -200 and should be -400, for example, then i agree you can win.

I agree with that because the risk of an upset outweighs the small payout for the huge favorite to win. But we are talking about games that are in the -300 to -550 range right now, not -2700

[MUHerd37]

I totally don't understand why the Cavs are only -590. And -330 for the 1st half. What is up with that?