Fade public on Monday: CHA -1/PHI +4

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  • pronk
    Restricted User
    • 11-22-08
    • 6887

    #36
    Backing menopausal teams like Charlotte, Memphis or sixers will destroy your bankroll in a hurry.
    Comment
    • whatsgood5
      Restricted User
      • 10-13-09
      • 15359

      #37
      Staying away from the Philly game here, but I do like the Mavs play. I will admit to it being a square play though, GL tonight!
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #38
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        Bobcats host Dallas on a quick turnaround, and I think their defense will be ready to roll. Philly welcomes Orlando, which is due for a clunker and, like Dallas, playing a B2B on the road.

        Early on at my book, 94% on Dallas and 97% on Orlando. I'm going with the contrarian point of view.

        Playing against "public opinion" on overnight lines is not a good strategy. You're not getting an accurate read of what the public thinks at all... Once there's 5000+ bets in on a game then you can start talking about fading the public.
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        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #39
          Originally posted by suicidekings
          Playing against "public opinion" on overnight lines is not a good strategy. You're not getting an accurate read of what the public thinks at all... Once there's 5000+ bets in on a game then you can start talking about fading the public.
          69% on Dallas, 87% on Orlando at the moment.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #40
            Originally posted by Grind House
            You have a good chance of going 0-2 tonight buddy. Square plays or not.
            Who doesn't? That's why it's called gambling.
            Comment
            • Grind House
              SBR MVP
              • 01-01-10
              • 1405

              #41
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Who doesn't? That's why it's called gambling.
              I don't because I'm taking the Magic and laying off the Mavs game. Guaranteed not to go 0-2.
              Comment
              • pronk
                Restricted User
                • 11-22-08
                • 6887

                #42
                Comment
                • Grind House
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-01-10
                  • 1405

                  #43
                  You people make too much out of this square/public shit. Sometimes the lines are there to be taken advantage of.
                  Comment
                  • tk101
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-14-10
                    • 111

                    #44
                    You people with your stupid formulas


                    You really thought PHI was gonna win PHI of all people.
                    Comment
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