Fade public on Monday: CHA -1/PHI +4

rake922 · 03-01-10, 12:16 AM

sounds good to me tony

tealish · 03-01-10, 12:23 AM

I wonder what the sample size is for public play % at this point.

teecee · 03-01-10, 12:23 AM

As soon as I saw Charlotte's line, I knew I would be on them. Sixers line looks nice as well. Usually like Philly 1st half.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by tealish

I wonder what the sample size is for public play % at this point.

Probably small, but I guarantee at least 70% will still be on Dallas and Orlando by the opening tip.

Patrick McIrish · 03-01-10, 12:41 AM

Liking Philly as well.

Augustus · 03-01-10, 12:56 AM

good luck

t-wizzle · 03-01-10, 12:59 AM

I think maybe you should wait and see what your public numbers say tomorrow. You'll get a much better idea then... that is, i doubt there will be 97% on the magic for instance.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I think maybe you should wait and see what your public numbers say tomorrow. You'll get a much better idea then... that is, i doubt there will be 97% on the magic for instance.

I'm sure those numbers will come down, but like I said, I'd be willing to bet they're both in the 70% range.

jasont · 03-01-10, 01:48 AM

The early lines are usually played by people who know what their doing. With that being said- I like both of your plays- I just wouldnt look THAT much into early action, especially in this case.

Shifty107 · 03-01-10, 02:56 AM

Im feeling both of these plays tomorrow. Will see how the lines pan out though.

Tomasitas · 03-01-10, 03:08 AM

I like Hornets at home

seanjohn007 · 03-01-10, 04:15 AM

probably not a good idea to fade those numbers. for one because there probably havent been a lot of bets plaved yet, so the numbers are inflated. and another reason is because i dont know a lot of squares that place bets over night. not saying they wont win, but you should make your bets based purely on those numbers

ciscothinker · 03-01-10, 04:24 AM

Dallas played a good game yesterday. i see the same dallas for tomorrow as well. GL!

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 11:57 AM

Currently at 89 percent for ORL and 70 percent for DAL at my book.

Intangible · 03-01-10, 12:00 PM

Huge RLM for DAL/CHA

THEGREAT30 · 03-01-10, 12:14 PM

Does anyone keep track of numbers such as what percentage of the time this fade the public mess works?, good day

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 12:14 PM

CHA now favored by 2.5 with nearly 70% on DAL?

Premierr23 · 03-01-10, 12:48 PM

do you think the line is gonna change in the CHA-DAL in favour of the bobcats??
or do you have to take it right now?

habel · 03-01-10, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by Premierr23

do you think the line is gonna change in the CHA-DAL in favour of the bobcats??
or do you have to take it right now?

@ bet 365 Bobcats -3 and Mavs +3

Jaug · 03-01-10, 01:04 PM

How have you been doing betting like this?

I know the number fading public in NBA gives you about 50% win over the long run (last couple of seasons).

Jaug · 03-01-10, 01:04 PM

Other sports usually have at least 52% win fading public etc. NBA is just a square sport from this point of view.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by Jaug

How have you been doing betting like this?

I know the number fading public in NBA gives you about 50% win over the long run (last couple of seasons).

I actually don't, normally, but this CHA game especially is calling.

pronk · 03-01-10, 01:09 PM

Dallas rolls tonight, and stop kidding yourself- this will not be close, I see mavs winning by at least 15. Same goes for magic.

princesspolamalu · 03-01-10, 01:41 PM

Dallas Im buying but Orlando smells like a trap to me. Good Luck all!

Champ4all · 03-01-10, 02:13 PM

Not strong on the the 76ers but Char makes a ton of sense, GL tho!!!!!!

SOUP · 03-01-10, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by pronk

Dallas rolls tonight, and stop kidding yourself- this will not be close, I see mavs winning by at least 15. Same goes for magic.

Charlotte can play with any team, you must be on something predicting a win margin by at least 15 points.

brko · 03-01-10, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by SOUP

Charlotte can play with any team...

New Jersey counts too?

og4667 · 03-01-10, 04:19 PM

great picks. catching both MAvs and Magic on b2b's. If you bet the Mavs then you need to stop gambling. Backing any team off of a b2b no matter who they are playing is nuts!

og4667 · 03-01-10, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by brko

New Jersey counts too?

do the cavs count too?

Glitch · 03-01-10, 04:29 PM

i like the logic and the dallas/bobcats line seems really off so the bobcats will probably win (and also most likely cover) it should be dallas -2 easy how these teams have been playing.

as far as the sixers are concerned. they are GREAT for scoring first and pretty good for first half spreads. but they are bad for the games. gl

jcljack25 · 03-01-10, 04:32 PM

Cavs roll the Knicks tonight but I would buy 2 pts to be safe from a back door cover.

pronk · 03-01-10, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by og4667

do the cavs count too?

Cavs played the nuggets night before.

bigjonson · 03-01-10, 04:52 PM

Personally I think Bobcats destroy Dallas tonight.

Not sure about Philly... laying off that.

Grind House · 03-01-10, 05:21 PM

You have a good chance of going 0-2 tonight buddy. Square plays or not.