Moving on.. Denver -5.5 vs Spurs

head_strong · 02-11-10, 12:35 AM

good luck man...

lakerfan420 · 02-11-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by head_strong

good luck man...

any opinons about the game?

lyon804 · 02-11-10, 12:40 AM

Really I am shocked the line is not higher.. Just my opinion. Looks real easy to me. I wonder if someone knows something we don't know?? The last time Denver was favored in this range was against the Suns recently at home and we know how that went. I don't know how the Spurs stay within 20 of Denver on the road. I am sure some experts will say the line is right on. Good Luck!

lakerboy · 02-11-10, 12:43 AM

Spurs are gonna cover this one. Nuggets will have a letdown after the big blowout over Denver. The Spurs had a bad game in LA and all the public remembers is how the spurs coudnt beat a shortmanned la team. The Spurs will cover this trust me unless George Hill is busy making porn videos.

Lint Pockets · 02-11-10, 12:45 AM

gl with your pick, i have the over 204.5 on this game.

lakerfan420 · 02-11-10, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Spurs are gonna cover this one. Nuggets will have a letdown after the big blowout over Denver. The Spurs had a bad game in LA and all the public remembers is how the spurs coudnt beat a shortmanned la team. The Spurs will cover this trust me unless George Hill is busy making porn videos.

yea I think he's filming tomorrow haha. Anyways, the spurs aren't even great on the road. The last few games they have playe in Denver they have lost. Maybe I should just stay away.. Then again I'm glad I didn't stay away from orlando today

HoulihansTX · 02-11-10, 12:48 AM

Spurs and the UNDER for me.

wait until minutes B4 tipoff for the best lines though.

blackbox · 02-11-10, 01:07 AM

My only thoughts on this game are if the Spurs are the least bit road weary now- the altitude in Denver will not help any. I have heard this same comment over and over again on the Nuggets broadcasts.

Mac4Lyfe · 02-11-10, 01:21 AM

Spur's look older then Ronald Reagan. I don't see how they can last up in that altitude. I'm taking Denver and will hammer the 2nd half line no matter what it is... but then again I'm on tilt so you probably shouldn't tail me.

lakerfan420 · 02-11-10, 01:25 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Spur's look older then Ronald Reagan. I don't see how they can last up in that altitude. I'm taking Denver and will hammer the 2nd half line no matter what it is... but then again I'm on tilt so you probably shouldn't tail me.

exactly how I feel too. I really don't see how Spurs will keep up in the second half

lyon804 · 02-11-10, 01:35 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Spur's look older then Ronald Reagan. I don't see how they can last up in that altitude. I'm taking Denver and will hammer the 2nd half line no matter what it is... but then again I'm on tilt so you probably shouldn't tail me.

Originally posted by lakerfan420

exactly how I feel too. I really don't see how Spurs will keep up in the second half

Fellas, we all agree that Denver is gonna run the Spurs out of the buiding. Funny thing is Vegas is much better 'handicappers' than we are and have installed the line at only -5.5??? Why? Is my question. Anybody that has watched any basketball recently will be pounding Denver. Is this just a gift or do they know something we don't or do they just want conspiracy theorist like me not to play it because I think it looks to easy.. I am different breed of gambler. Me, I will pass on this sure fire "winner". Now If Denver was favored like -10.5 at the opener I would have dropped at least 1K on it, but that's just me. At least with that line I would know things were on the up and up.

lyon804 · 02-11-10, 01:43 AM

LOL!! I just looked at that line again and wanted to reach through my computer screen and eat it. Seriously, it's the juiciest line I have seen in some time. I mean I want to take all my money and rob some banks and go all in big time on Denver -5.5... I will do all you a favor and jinx the play for you now and you can move on and not bet the game.

Denver -5.5 is the lock of all locks. The easiest money I have ever seen!

lunchbawks · 02-11-10, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by lyon804

Fellas, we all agree that Denver is gonna run the Spurs out of the buiding. Funny thing is Vegas is much better 'handicappers' than we are and have installed the line at only -5.5??? Why? Is my question. Anybody that has watched any basketball recently will be pounding Denver. Is this just a gift or do they know something we don't or do they just want conspiracy theorist like me not to play it because I think it looks to easy.. I am different breed of gambler. Me, I will pass on this sure fire "winner". Now If Denver was favored like -10.5 at the opener I would have dropped at least 1K on it, but that's just me. At least with that line I would know things were on the up and up.

the spurs aren't dogs man, they're just boring when they win so noone pays attention. the spurs have tony parker back, coming off a humiliating loss in LA. Spurs cover

ackem19 · 02-11-10, 01:47 AM

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more
100-24 since 1997. ( 80.6% | 48.6 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | -4.5 units )

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

https://www.statfox.com

Launched in 2000, StatFox.com quickly gained a reputation for providing the most thorough and unique game analysis available.

not saying this is my play, but maybe a helpful statistic for those interested.

lyon804 · 02-11-10, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by lunchbawks

the spurs aren't dogs man, they're just boring when they win so noone pays attention. the spurs have tony parker back, coming off a humiliating loss in LA. Spurs cover

Dude, they might not be dogs, but they sure as hell ain't no match for a "Motivated" Denver team on the road. Problem is everybody knows that and yet the line is only -5.5.

All that being said from my vast experience betting in the NBA I believe your play has a much higher degree chance of winning than the fellas starting this thread. The easy money in the NBA never looks good to everybody. You have to know what to look for and if you read my above post you would have understood what I meant if Denver was -10.5 I would have pounded that line. Now, I know the mathmaticians and the "pro's" out there reading this or shaking there head, but I have forgot more about this than they know. Rarely is Vegas just giving money away. Let's see... What has the public seen lately??? They saw Spurs get drilled on the road to a shorthanded Lakers team. They have watched Denver run LA out of there own building, beat the Jazz handily and completely embarrased the listless Mavs at home and now they are only -5.5 at home to the Spurs??? Call me crazy, but I will pass here. It might be easy money, but I have lost enough in my past in spots like this to know better.

anthonyc023 · 02-11-10, 02:24 AM

vegas does not play the gme the players do unless its the clippers and baron davis scoring 5 points tonight

AzNDooM · 02-11-10, 02:37 AM

Lyon, I agree with you that Denver looks like an easy play but as inregards to the line, I see the Denver line getting pushed to -7. I gotta admit looks like a trap play, but I just cant see it either. The pros must know something we dont, in anycase.. a DENVER in my model is looking attractive at this stage.

anthonyc023 · 02-11-10, 02:49 AM

how is it a trap game? dallas was +7 last night against denver. and oh ya that magic game against bulls -5 tonight must have been a trap as well

dannynoo · 02-11-10, 02:59 AM

Yeah I'm taking Denver here but I'm not going to hammer it.

THEGREAT30 · 02-11-10, 03:02 AM

buy it down to 5 and murder it, GL

mkoren · 02-11-10, 03:36 AM

Denver is just better.

anthonyc023 · 02-11-10, 03:47 AM

Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings.
Spurs are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Denver.
Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Denver.
Spurs are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

THEGREAT30 · 02-11-10, 03:50 AM

Originally posted by mkoren

Denver is just better.

true but only the beginning

S.K.M. · 02-11-10, 04:15 AM

Denver wins SU in SA as a 5.5 point dog so why are they only favored by 5.5 at home? The Spurs are still the Spurs. That's why this line isn't bigger imo. The public still likes the spurs most nights so they get respect from the books. Since when did Denver become so high and mighty that everyone should fear them? Yes they are good but they have yet to prove anything. The spurs are in a revenge spot after getting beat down at home by the Nuggs. They are also coming off an embarrassing performance in LA the other night. The spurs are also 2-2 so far on the rodeo trip and they havn't been playing well at all. They need a win going into the all-star break. Pop will have them focused and ready. I wouldn't be surprised if they win the game SU. The problem with the Spurs is that they are so inconsistent it is difficult to bet on them. The point I'm trying to make here is that the line being 5.5 isn't really surprising. When was the last time the Spurs were a 7 or 8 point dog? It just doesn't happen.

Grind House · 02-11-10, 05:43 AM

The Magic only laid something like 4-5 points last night. I knew that was a ass whooping no doubt. You don't always have to out think the situation.

And SKM I don't even think the Spurs are going to make the playoffs. It's either bet with Denver or I'm not betting at all. San Antonio has fukked me too many times.

PAPSMEAR · 02-11-10, 05:52 AM

Originally posted by anthonyc023

vegas does not play the gme the players do unless its the clippers and baron davis scoring 5 points tonight

true but vegas pays the players who are playing the game

HoulihansTX · 02-11-10, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by ackem19

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more 100-24 since 1997. ( 80.6% | 48.6 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | -4.5 units ) www.statfox.com not saying this is my play, but maybe a helpful statistic for those interested.

That is an amazing stat. Not the outcome, but many qualifiers that the stat has.

xxdjstriderxx · 02-11-10, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Spurs are gonna cover this one. Nuggets will have a letdown after the big blowout over Denver. The Spurs had a bad game in LA and all the public remembers is how the spurs coudnt beat a shortmanned la team. The Spurs will cover this trust me unless George Hill is busy making porn videos.

oiler · 02-11-10, 10:24 AM

well hope he has his camera out cause it wont happen,but gl

khaden · 02-11-10, 10:39 AM

We always have these discussions about the conspiracy line looks too good to be true theory. Denver is playing much better, anthony is back, they are at home, and will be looking to get a big win for the home fans before the break.
Spurs imo will be looking ahead to the break and will just want to get home and relax and try to regroup for the second half of the season. This is i think their 5th road game in the past week or so, they are tired and just want to end this road trip and rest their old asses. I see this as a denver blow out.

SpreadSniper · 02-11-10, 10:41 AM

ya, this line looks tricky the more I look at it.... SA obviously been in DEN for 2 days now and will be adjusted. Public is going to go hog wild on DEN all day long.... i said I was going to blow my load on DEN tonight, but im glad I didn't go and pull the trigger yet

2daBank · 02-11-10, 10:46 AM

luckily for me i hardly ever watch NBA games so it is easy for me to take the Spurs

....gl every1

tmorton · 02-11-10, 03:06 PM

Vegas is literally giving money away tonight. The only decision you have to make is how much money do you want and put it on the Nuggets.

Wilforth · 02-11-10, 04:24 PM

The lines won't affect how the players will play. Denver wins this one and covers the spread!