Lakerboy NBA thread for rest of Season until playoffs end

talnted · 03-15-10, 04:14 PM

Good luck today LB

lakerboy · 03-15-10, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Alright LB I want an opinion from our local Laker expert...

Can I count on the Lakers to cover on the road against a team they clearly outmatch at nearly every position or do we have to worry about the Lakers doing their passive bs tonight? I gotta think if they come to play they should win this game by 10-15.

Alright i will give you 2 ways to look at this game

1. The lakers got the big win in phoenix and now have been woken up and will smash the warriors tonight just like they did last time in state( i made a nickel on that one

). Also the warriors never shoot good after a high shooting game like the other night over the raps. The # is 8 right now and thats an odd #. Its perfect for a backdoor cover with an 10 point lead and Ellis chucking a 3 at the buzzer

2. The lakers dominate the paint but because they are slow the warriors small guys will continue to get outside looks and knock them down all night long. The warriors will want to run and the lakers have to play tomorrow night in sactown and will be wary of expending too much energy.

Lakers ml or -7 at best are the plays.

freeVICK · 03-15-10, 04:16 PM

dude chimp, just tell ur bookie straight up, that 10% tax is BS, and ur gonna leave if he doesnt throw that out.

S.K.M. · 03-15-10, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

In all seriousness though - British Colombia, Canada is one of the most beautiful places in the world. If you have never been, you have to go sometime.

Nuggets went to -2.5

Dangling the bait in front of our eyes?

No doubt I used to live in Bellingham, WA last year.

Yes they are dangling that tasty treat that's why Im on the Rockets.

lyon804 · 03-15-10, 04:22 PM

Did I just read about a poster that has a local that takes 10% of winnings???

freeVICK · 03-15-10, 04:24 PM

chimp got me thinking... for those of you who bet thru locals, do you guys tip em out when you win? or even the middleman (if you have one) who meets up with you?

Flopa3 · 03-15-10, 04:25 PM

GL tonight everyone. I spent the weekend with the wife so I only got to catch up on what was going on looks like it was a good weekend.

Today I'm headed out to do taxes and dinner.

Have fun and I hope you slay the books!!!

suicidekings · 03-15-10, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by paco

Thinking Boston game stays well below the #

This number is a little bit higher than expected, but at the same time I feel like it's not high enough to take the Under. Detroit's recent games have been characterized by above average scoring and below average defense. Boston, on the other hand, is coming off a road loss and will have a great deal of pressure on them to perform tonight. They're not themselves lately, and I feel like given the opportunity to run against a team that's subpar defensively, they're going to push the pace tonight rather than play defense.

Currently 78% of bettors on the Under but only a 1pt drop in the total. I like the Over 195.

chrislau86 · 03-15-10, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by S.K.M.

No doubt I used to live in Bellingham, WA last year.

Yes they are dangling that tasty treat that's why Im on the Rockets.

Nuggets tonight are a....

Maybe this pic will help the relaxation techniques of some cappers too!

lyon804 · 03-15-10, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Alright i will give you 2 ways to look at this game

1. The lakers got the big win in phoenix and now have been woken up and will smash the warriors tonight just like they did last time in state( i made a nickel on that one

). Also the warriors never shoot good after a high shooting game like the other night over the raps. The # is 8 right now and thats an odd #. Its perfect for a backdoor cover with an 10 point lead and Ellis chucking a 3 at the buzzer

2. The lakers dominate the paint but because they are slow the warriors small guys will continue to get outside looks and knock them down all night long. The warriors will want to run and the lakers have to play tomorrow night in sactown and will be wary of expending too much energy.

Lakers ml or -7 at best are the plays.

Personally, the outside shooting doesn't bother me. The warriors are going to score on anybody at home. What I want is the Lakers to clean the glass on misses. Against Portland,, State kept getting lucky long offensive rebounds that turned into a made 3. Lakers need to grind it out offensively and shoot in the pait and crash the glass and they will score every possession thus also limiting long rebounds that lead to states transition game which is good. If the Lakers take good shots and clean the glass and don't turn the ball over this is an easy win because State will not score enough otherwise.

On the flip side if Lakers play states game than anything is possible. State is real good at getting teams sucked in there tempo and that's there only chance because they will be murdered in the half court by Lakers. If Lakers work the clock and get good shots there is no reason not to crusie to a victory here.

memo99 · 03-15-10, 04:45 PM

when gs is at home every team seems to play along with gs style. the over is a good possibility

dmac2132 · 03-15-10, 04:46 PM

I really like the celtics and lakers but strictly ML plays for me... what are everyones thoughts on the knicks? I feel like they should be too much offense for the sixers but it is the knicks so i dont know... by the way LOCK in hockey wings -115... I also like the hornets tonite curious to hear everyones take..

fox sixers · 03-15-10, 04:49 PM

Really trying to get a feel on this boston game.. just don't know what to expect.. any thoughts guys?

jspectyper · 03-15-10, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by PAYTON20

Hey I'll take it as a good sign that this pick isn't as crazy as it seems.

Hope the Wizards bring their big guns to this one!

Ha sorry bad joke

lol I always wondered if they wear their retro jerseys that have "Bullets" on them. I never pay attention to them so I couldn't tell you.

phillybadboy · 03-15-10, 04:52 PM

good luck people

paco · 03-15-10, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by phillybadboy

good luck people

Positive night?

SpreadSniper · 03-15-10, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

This number is a little bit higher than expected, but at the same time I feel like it's not high enough to take the Under. Detroit's recent games have been characterized by above average scoring and below average defense. Boston, on the other hand, is coming off a road loss and will have a great deal of pressure on them to perform tonight. They're not themselves lately, and I feel like given the opportunity to run against a team that's subpar defensively, they're going to push the pace tonight rather than play defense.

Currently 78% of bettors on the Under but only a 1pt drop in the total. I like the Over 195.

nice post and now you got me thinking... bah **** it, Im not hedging

memo99 · 03-15-10, 05:01 PM

gl with you wiz pick LB on it too also like det/cgy under 5.5

S.K.M. · 03-15-10, 05:08 PM

Who likes the clipjoint tonight?

trevlyn1983 · 03-15-10, 05:09 PM

GL Tonight Everyone

tavinator13 · 03-15-10, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

This number is a little bit higher than expected, but at the same time I feel like it's not high enough to take the Under. Detroit's recent games have been characterized by above average scoring and below average defense. Boston, on the other hand, is coming off a road loss and will have a great deal of pressure on them to perform tonight. They're not themselves lately, and I feel like given the opportunity to run against a team that's subpar defensively, they're going to push the pace tonight rather than play defense.

Currently 78% of bettors on the Under but only a 1pt drop in the total. I like the Over 195.

I'm leaning to the over on this as well, especially cus the line only moved one point all day even with heavy under. Hate to go against paco after the tear hes been on is all, you play this yet paco?

talnted · 03-15-10, 05:13 PM

I like the wizards to cover, may follow lb and sprinkle some on the ML

crownontheground · 03-15-10, 05:16 PM

let's do this booyah

MrTwiz · 03-15-10, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by fox sixers

Really trying to get a feel on this boston game.. just don't know what to expect.. any thoughts guys?

Im thinking that the celtics are healthy now for the first time in a long time. They are now, even healthy a low top tier team, say #5 in the east. But that still puts them well ahead of the pistons. I see another pacers game here and the celtics win by DD, just waiting till game time for the spread to get as low as possible

MrTwiz · 03-15-10, 05:22 PM

Every 1H over is heavily bet by betting public

S.K.M. · 03-15-10, 05:22 PM

The wiz ML aint gonna happen. Sorry guys. The Jazz have lost two straight I don't care if its their first game back home or whatever they ain't gonna lose at home to the Wiz.

paco · 03-15-10, 05:22 PM

Lb, really like Denver here again. I don't think it's as square of a play as many are saying. Denver should not be faded at this time. They have the advantage at every position. I'll lay 2-2.5 with Denver over Houston 8/10 times. Just my 2€

As for the Boston total under 196 yes I already played it. Yea, it a Hugh public play but so was the lakers against the Suns and we all know what happened in that game

lakerboy · 03-15-10, 05:23 PM

One thing you must all realize the celtics were never gonna beat the cavs yesterday so get that picture out of your mind. Detroit is so worthless.

lakerboy · 03-15-10, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by paco

Lb, really like Denver here again. I don't think it's as square of a play as many are saying. Denver should not be faded at this time. They have the advantage at every position. I'll lay 2-2.5 with Denver over Houston 8/10 times. Just my 2€

As for the Boston total, yes I already played it. Yea, it a Hugh public play but so was the lakers against the Suns and we all know what happened in that game

Sounds good - no clue about the total but you went 8-0 yesterday

Maybe i should fade you not denver

MrTwiz · 03-15-10, 05:24 PM

Oh and kevin martin (Hou) is going off at my book for +700 for high scorer of the day, thats my call for the day.

Hoping it comes in so I look cool!

paco · 03-15-10, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Sounds good - no clue about the total but you went 8-0 yesterday

Maybe i should fade you not denver

law of averages

tealish · 03-15-10, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by paco

Lb, really like Denver here again. I don't think it's as square of a play as many are saying. Denver should not be faded at this time. They have the advantage at every position. I'll lay 2-2.5 with Denver over Houston 8/10 times. Just my 2€

^Agreed, Paco. I know a lot of sharper guys are expecting a Denver letdown here. Long road trip, 6 straight wins already....tired, no real need to win this game, play down to the competition, etc.

I think that is all true and Denver WILL come out a bit flat and at best, bring their B game. I just think that inspite of all this, they will still cover 2.5 points against the Rockets.

Lakers714 · 03-15-10, 05:32 PM

I'm likin the knicks 1H +1.5 guys. Thoughts? 2 shitty teams but knicks are playing with a lot more heart these days.

SpreadSniper · 03-15-10, 05:34 PM

there is no question that DEN should win this game by 5+ points... I think that much we can all agree on.... why throw up a creme puff of a line though? I've seen enough NBA lines (allbeit in 2 seasons) to know lines like that are like that 80% of the time for a reason. I'm not questioning CAN DEN cover the spread so much as why was the line set that low?

No coincidences · 03-15-10, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by tealish

^Agreed, Paco. I know a lot of sharper guys are expecting a Denver letdown here. Long road trip, 6 straight wins already....tired, no real need to win this game, play down to the competition, etc.

I think that is all true and Denver WILL come out a bit flat and at best, bring their B game. I just think that inspite of all this, they will still cover 2.5 points against the Rockets.

I don't like the fact that Lawson's still out. And Houston's finally healthy.

With that being said, I hate backing the Rockets. Just hate it.