BLs NBA picks to pay your womans shoes

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  • BL
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-09
    • 4070

    #246
    Thanks guys. Will have a early look at todays games

    Miami Heat ML 110 to win 100 WINNER
    Under 191,5 220 to win 200 WINNER
    Charlotte +2 440 to win 400 WINNER
    MEM@LAL Under 211 110 to win 100 LOSER


    Starting bankroll: 2000 €
    Actual bankroll: 2595 €
    won/lost/push: 24 / 20 / 0
    Comment
    • BL
      SBR MVP
      • 05-11-09
      • 4070

      #247
      Tonight: Atlanta Hawks

      Will wait for the line to move...
      Comment
      • BL
        SBR MVP
        • 05-11-09
        • 4070

        #248
        Denver@Atlanta
        Atlanta -2
        240 to win 200

        Atlanta hosting the Nuggets tonight. Both teams are playing their 4th game in 5 days. As I told you yesterday Atlanta didn't care too much about yesterdays game. Tonight is the night too bounce back. Homecourtadvantage means a lot in this series as Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver. I expect this trend to be continued, bought the hook and I am quite confident this will be a winner.
        Good Luck if you decide to play the same side
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #249
          Hey dude we coudnt lay off that laker under coud we. Since Denver is a morrison bet the books seem to know that Atlanta is a winner. The public is all over Denver and the line is moving against them This could be a huge Hawks blowout.
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #250
            yeah lakerboy. And remember JM-backers buy 3 Points so they are playing Denver +5,5 !
            And the line isn't moving....
            Comment
            • xXxBallin21xXx
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-11-09
              • 590

              #251
              Tailing u with Atl -2

              Leans:
              New Jersey +14
              Toronto +7.5
              Memh/Clips under 203

              Watchu think?
              Comment
              • BL
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-09
                • 4070

                #252
                I like the Under but the line went down too much. In those other games I actually like Toronto and New Jersey to cover, too.
                But I do not have enough time to get enough insight in those games because I gotta leave right now. So Atl will be my only play. Good Luck tonight!
                Comment
                • xXxBallin21xXx
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-11-09
                  • 590

                  #253
                  right on, thanks. Gl to all!
                  Comment
                  • marabdl86
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-06-09
                    • 1067

                    #254
                    Hey BL great call. All week you get these weird lines that make you scratch your head. Giants last sunday, spurs, hawks, nuggets, how does vegas know these guys will loose and manipulate the lines accordingly. This is fascinating to me.

                    Now in college, Houston should have been the favorite against Tulsa and everyone jumped on them when they saw they were getting +1. Sure enough Tulsa's beating them. The oddsmakers have some inside information or psychics or something

                    what do you think?
                    Last edited by marabdl86; 11-07-09, 10:15 PM.
                    Comment
                    • BL
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-11-09
                      • 4070

                      #255
                      Atlanta -2 240 to win 200 WINNER


                      Starting bankroll: 2000 €
                      Actual bankroll: 2795 €
                      won/lost/push: 25 / 20 / 0
                      Comment
                      • pho3nix32
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-09-09
                        • 1465

                        #256
                        Originally posted by BL
                        Atlanta -2 240 to win 200 WINNER


                        Starting bankroll: 2000 €
                        Actual bankroll: 2795 €
                        won/lost/push: 25 / 20 / 0

                        good job BL!
                        Comment
                        • ragiche
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-08
                          • 3110

                          #257
                          Thanks for the Atl pick yesterday.
                          Comment
                          • BL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-09
                            • 4070

                            #258
                            Phoenix has beaten Boston in a big upset! After a look at the statistics the Suns should have had to lay way more points than 2. Now the line opened at 2, Joe Public jumped on them heavy and the line is moving in reverse. "Another" chicken dinner? I don't think so and booked Washington ML. And you all know... if I lose this bet I can easily win everything back by pounding the Suns in their next homegame... but I really do not think that I'll have to.

                            Phoenix@Washington
                            Washington ML
                            200 to win 200
                            Comment
                            • ztballer
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-24-09
                              • 1007

                              #259
                              Hey mate

                              when I saw the lines for today, that Phoenix game stuck out like a sore thumb - it made absolutely no sense much like the Cats and Hawks game

                              I wasn't going to touch this game because of the weird lines but now that you and alias are on it, I like my chances even more.

                              BOL!
                              Comment
                              • BL
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-11-09
                                • 4070

                                #260
                                Minnesota@Portland
                                OVER 184,5
                                220 to win 200

                                The total line opened 3 times under 185 in the last 2 years Everytime the Match went OVER the total. The OVER is 1-5 for both teams this season. This trend should stop today as I do not expect Portland to blow out Minnesota with >12 what makes the OVER look even better. I won't bet on any side in this game because the OVER looks the easier call for me.
                                Comment
                                • BL
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-11-09
                                  • 4070

                                  #261
                                  Minnesota@Portland
                                  1st Half TWolves +7
                                  165 to win 150

                                  As I already said I do not see a big blowout in this match. 7 points at halftime? Way too much! I'll take the points and hope Minnesota will hold it close until halftime!
                                  Comment
                                  • ztballer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-24-09
                                    • 1007

                                    #262
                                    Mate there are a few weird lines today, assuming that SBR Odds is true in stating where the publics money lies.

                                    80% on 76ers but line remains constant at -1,5

                                    67 On GSW but Kings line drops 2 points
                                    Comment
                                    • BL
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-11-09
                                      • 4070

                                      #263
                                      The lines for those games were released very late so in order to analyze the line movement in those games we have to wait few more hours.
                                      Comment
                                      • KiDBaZkiT
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-20-09
                                        • 14962

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by BL

                                        Phoenix@Washington
                                        Washington ML
                                        200 to win 200
                                        On the same play Its just too bad we dont have "skills" Miller today.
                                        Comment
                                        • BL
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-09
                                          • 4070

                                          #265
                                          Warriors@Kings
                                          1Q Kings +1
                                          110 to win 100

                                          Sacramento won the last 7 (!) 1Q playing against the Warriors no matter if they faced each other at home or on the road. I like getting a extra point for this
                                          Comment
                                          • BL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-11-09
                                            • 4070

                                            #266
                                            1st Half TWolves +7 165 to win 150 LOSER
                                            Washington ML 200 to win 200 LOSER
                                            POR-MIN OVER 184,5 220 to win 200 WINNER
                                            1Q Kings +1 110 to win 100 WINNER


                                            Starting bankroll: 2000 €
                                            Actual bankroll: 2730 €
                                            won/lost/push: 27 / 22 / 0
                                            Comment
                                            • BL
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-09
                                              • 4070

                                              #267
                                              Raptors@Spurs
                                              Over 202,5
                                              220 to win 200

                                              Tony Parker will miss in todays game vs Toronto. Spurs without Parker always means the pace will go up. Even the high opening total should be no problem for these two teams tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • BL
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-11-09
                                                • 4070

                                                #268
                                                my second play will be the knicks... will wait and see where the line will move before placing my wager
                                                Comment
                                                • marabdl86
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-06-09
                                                  • 1067

                                                  #269
                                                  That knicks line screams pick Utah. Over 90% of public is on utah yet the lines goes from -4.5 to -4. Something smells

                                                  Hate to pick the knicks though because they suck lol

                                                  Will wait and see the line as well
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BL
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                    • 4070

                                                    #270
                                                    leaning: Knicks, Sixers, Clippers

                                                    NY Knicks are 9-0 ATS vs Utah. Cannot pass this one

                                                    Sixers are playing vs Suns. The Suns are playing their 5th roadgame in 7 days. Perfect letdown situation. Opening-Spread shows that Philadelphia is the play, too. Why should they be favourite vs Suns which are 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia? Because Sixers will win !

                                                    Clippers are 0-5 at home vs Hornets and now the Bookies are making them the favorite for a win? Clippers were homedogs vs Hornets in the last 4 meetings in LA.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ztballer
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-24-09
                                                      • 1007

                                                      #271
                                                      I'm on 1H Knicks and if that doesn't cash, Roag and I have been cashing on 2H NYK when they are facing a deficit at home

                                                      I am leaning Hornets, as bad as they are - or at least total over for either 1Q or 1H

                                                      Not touching the Suns/76ers game. I got screwed over betting against them yesterday.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BL
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                        • 4070

                                                        #272
                                                        watching at some more totals, too. There are some lines in a free fall... over will be the bet here
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BL
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-11-09
                                                          • 4070

                                                          #273
                                                          Raptors@Spurs
                                                          1Q Spurs -2
                                                          220 to win 200

                                                          Raptors are 1-5 in 1st quarters this year. I expect the Spurs to come out strong and hold a big lead after 12mins. I was leaning Spurs -6 but I feal more confident taking them in the first quarter only.
                                                          Last edited by BL; 11-09-09, 12:56 PM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • darkenergy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-08-09
                                                            • 4013

                                                            #274
                                                            Originally posted by BL
                                                            Raptors@Spurs Over 202,5 220 to win 200 Tony Parker will miss in todays game vs Toronto. Spurs without Parker always means the pace will go up. Even the high opening total should be no problem for these two teams tonight.
                                                            BL if you like Over in this game you should consider play team total too.
                                                            Raptor TT 97.5 and Spurs TT 104 in my book. Raptor have been scored 100+ in their last 5 games, Spurs doing 100+ per game when they are at home.
                                                            I have Spurs -5, OVER 202.5 and Raptor OVER 97.5 in this game. I do love Spurs TT OVER 104 too, but still thinking about it with the fact that Parker is out.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BL
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-11-09
                                                              • 4070

                                                              #275
                                                              Thanks for your input but after the total line moved that much I do not want to put more money on the over. I do not like the fact that the total already went up 3 points.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • laban82
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 08-31-09
                                                                • 39

                                                                #276
                                                                I'm a little confused here you are talking about the suns and the spurs in the same play 1st Q
                                                                Comment
                                                                • darkenergy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-08-09
                                                                  • 4013

                                                                  #277
                                                                  I think he just mistype, he mean spurs -6
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BL
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                                    • 4070

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by laban82
                                                                    I'm a little confused here you are talking about the suns and the spurs in the same play 1st Q
                                                                    I was writing about the Suns just before I posted my play Of course it's SA Spurs
                                                                    The Spurs won every 1Q at home this season (well, only played 2 times at home..)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • laban82
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 08-31-09
                                                                      • 39

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Originally posted by BL
                                                                      I was writing about the Suns just before I posted my play Of course it's SA Spurs
                                                                      The Spurs won every 1Q at home this season (well, only played 2 times at home..)
                                                                      Good to know.
                                                                      You still got 1 more suns in the text if you like to know
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BL
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                                        • 4070

                                                                        #280
                                                                        thanks, corrected
                                                                        Comment
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