BLs NBA picks to pay your womans shoes

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  • Danskeren
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-27-09
    • 498

    #106
    Allready cahsed on Magic tonight.
    Later on the card i got:

    Lakers -6.5
    Celtics -10.5

    think I'll make a play on the thunder too.

    What's your leans?
    Comment
    • laban82
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-31-09
      • 39

      #107
      do you mean over 206.5?
      Comment
      • Danskeren
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-27-09
        • 498

        #108
        Originally posted by laban82
        do you mean over 206.5?
        Talking to me?
        - If so, then it's a play on thunder +3 I'm considering.
        Comment
        • laban82
          SBR Rookie
          • 08-31-09
          • 39

          #109
          No. BL plays over 196.5 but when I see it it is over 206.5 so just wondered if I should pass on 206.5
          Comment
          • BL
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-09
            • 4070

            #110
            Congratulations on your Magic win! I cashes the over in that game so I am pleased, too
            I like the Lakers and the Celts to win big tonight. I made a play on Lakers 1Q (2x) as they will come out angry tonight and simply roll over the hawks.
            My lean in the Celtics-game is Boston to win but NO to cover. I would not recommend to bet on the Celts ATS because it's the biggest spread for this matchup since years plus the line not moving with almost 80% on the Celts.
            Comment
            • Danskeren
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-27-09
              • 498

              #111
              I see . The lakers 1st Q seems like a good play too.
              Try and have a look at the Thunder, and tell me what you think.
              Comment
              • BL
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-09
                • 4070

                #112
                Originally posted by laban82
                No. BL plays over 196.5 but when I see it it is over 206.5 so just wondered if I should pass on 206.5
                Uh sorry my fault! Of course it's Memphis@Denver Over 206,5
                Comment
                • BL
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-11-09
                  • 4070

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Danskeren
                  I see . The lakers 1st Q seems like a good play too.
                  Try and have a look at the Thunder, and tell me what you think.
                  Portland b2b plus in this matchup the hometeam is 9-1 SU in last 10 games. Oklahoma looks like to be the play as the spread looks quite low if you compare it with the spreads in the past! I really like it but don't know if I'll add a play on Oklahoma as I already booked Portland 1Q
                  Comment
                  • Danskeren
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-27-09
                    • 498

                    #114
                    i see. Just hate to overthink a game - if you know what i mean.
                    Comment
                    • williams22
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-19-08
                      • 6134

                      #115
                      Danskeren-
                      I like the Thunder here, but I'm only going to go small on them as I'm not sure if they are for real yet. They should be ATS killers this year, but I need to see how they do against stronger competition. I'll take them for 1 unit here.
                      Comment
                      • BL
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-11-09
                        • 4070

                        #116
                        best of luck. Let's hope Portland wins 1Q but will lose big the entire match
                        Comment
                        • travisowain
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 10-28-09
                          • 94

                          #117
                          BL, thats solid insight on the line not moving but 80% of the bets on the celts. linemakers totally egging us on to keep betting on the celts. i teased them down to -3.5 and have them in a 3rd quarter bet. im real high on 3Q bets with solid teams who know how to win. its the quarter that most correlates with a win and has the highest pt differential for the winning team 3rd>1st>2nd>4th
                          Comment
                          • italiano22
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-16-09
                            • 264

                            #118
                            if u dnt mind me asking...how do u recieve points on sbr and wat r they used for?
                            Comment
                            • BL
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-11-09
                              • 4070

                              #119
                              Originally posted by travisowain
                              im real high on 3Q bets with solid teams who know how to win. its the quarter that most correlates with a win and has the highest pt differential for the winning team 3rd>1st>2nd>4th
                              Travis this sounds really interesting. As I like to play 1st quarters I am really interested in getting feeling for betting the 3rd.
                              Celtics 3Q looks like a really solid bet based on these statistics:

                              Last year Boston was leading 58 times after 2ndQ. They were leading 65 times after Q3. Hornets were leading 45 times after Q2 and tonly 43 times after Q3. So there really seems to be a trend. You got more statistics or insight? You really caught my attention on those bets
                              Comment
                              • williams22
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-19-08
                                • 6134

                                #120
                                Originally posted by BL
                                Travis this sounds really interesting. As I like to play 1st quarters I am really interested in getting feeling for betting the 3rd.
                                Celtics 3Q looks like a really solid bet based on these statistics:

                                Last year Boston was leading 58 times after 2ndQ. They were leading 65 times after Q3. Hornets were leading 45 times after Q2 and tonly 43 times after Q3. So there really seems to be a trend. You got more statistics or insight? You really caught my attention on those bets
                                Check out my thread, you'll see I've been making quite a profit off of 3rd quarters. I bet them at halftime though, not prior to the game. In games with large spreads (like the Celtics tonight) I love it because the favorite generally tries to make a strong push in the 3rd so the starters can rest in the 4th.

                                I should note, my Cavs are one team I don't bet much in the 3rd quarter, as they normally have a let down after halftime.
                                Comment
                                • BL
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-11-09
                                  • 4070

                                  #121
                                  Thanks williams, I really have to take a deeper look at your 3rdQ plays.
                                  Comment
                                  • BL
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-11-09
                                    • 4070

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by italiano22
                                    if u dnt mind me asking...how do u recieve points on sbr and wat r they used for?
                                    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                    Read this information. You can use your points to join contests on SBR, to buy stuff or cashprizes for several sportsbooks in the SBR-Shop (klick on your points above)
                                    Comment
                                    • Danskeren
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-27-09
                                      • 498

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by williams22
                                      Danskeren-
                                      I like the Thunder here, but I'm only going to go small on them as I'm not sure if they are for real yet. They should be ATS killers this year, but I need to see how they do against stronger competition. I'll take them for 1 unit here.
                                      I played them in a parlay with chargers -7 2nd half.
                                      Lost big on Jets and giants tonight, hopefully i can get some of it back!

                                      Originally posted by BL
                                      best of luck. Let's hope Portland wins 1Q but will lose big the entire match
                                      Deal .
                                      Comment
                                      • italiano22
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-16-09
                                        • 264

                                        #124
                                        thanks alot man
                                        Comment
                                        • williams22
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-19-08
                                          • 6134

                                          #125
                                          I don't have the numbers, but I'm pretty sure the 3rd quarter is the highest scoring, on average, yet the linesmakers generally make the o/u for each quarter pretty similar.
                                          Comment
                                          • travisowain
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-28-09
                                            • 94

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by BL
                                            Travis this sounds really interesting. As I like to play 1st quarters I am really interested in getting feeling for betting the 3rd.
                                            Celtics 3Q looks like a really solid bet based on these statistics:

                                            Last year Boston was leading 58 times after 2ndQ. They were leading 65 times after Q3. Hornets were leading 45 times after Q2 and tonly 43 times after Q3. So there really seems to be a trend. You got more statistics or insight? You really caught my attention on those bets
                                            NBA 2008-09 season player stats by quarter and overtime, including points, rebounds, assists, field goal percentage and more.

                                            An occasional feature on the 82games.com web site is the random stat -- today's edition looks at teams quarter by quarter won lost records and how each quarter correlates to winning the game.


                                            this is the best i could do right now. i have a test tomorrow, otherwise id be compiling 3rd quarter pt differentials/spread ratios all night long!!! its worked solid for me this year so far, i know we are only a couple games in, but the teams who know who to win will win the 3rd and separate themselves more so than any other quarter. i played overseas/D1 and its just one of those things good teams do (trust me, ive been on teams who cant do it! and we sucked)
                                            Comment
                                            • BL
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-09
                                              • 4070

                                              #127
                                              thanks a lot
                                              Comment
                                              • PockyStick
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-05-08
                                                • 154

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by williams22
                                                I don't have the numbers, but I'm pretty sure the 3rd quarter is the highest scoring, on average, yet the linesmakers generally make the o/u for each quarter pretty similar.
                                                Where can you bet quarters during halftime? I always thought they close the quarters line at the start of game.
                                                Comment
                                                • williams22
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-19-08
                                                  • 6134

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by PockyStick
                                                  Where can you bet quarters during halftime? I always thought they close the quarters line at the start of game.
                                                  I use 5Dimes.

                                                  I'm taking the Celtics -2 in the 3rd.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PockyStick
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-05-08
                                                    • 154

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by williams22
                                                    I use 5Dimes.

                                                    I'm taking the Celtics -2 in the 3rd.
                                                    Thanks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-11-09
                                                      • 4070

                                                      #131
                                                      I didn't bet Celts 3Q because I think it's even better to bet on teams 3Q which did not cover the first half. Hope you cash your ticket! I am watching my Portland 1Q play right now... up by 10, 2:30 to go
                                                      Comment
                                                      • williams22
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-19-08
                                                        • 6134

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by BL
                                                        I didn't bet Celts 3Q because I think it's even better to bet on teams 3Q which did not cover the first half. Hope you cash your ticket! I am watching my Portland 1Q play right now... up by 10, 2:30 to go
                                                        Good call sitting this one out. Celtics look slow out there. Definitely not the same team that beat up on Chicago and Charlottle
                                                        Comment
                                                        • travisowain
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 10-28-09
                                                          • 94

                                                          #133
                                                          so 5 dimes will let you bet the 3rd quarter at half time? what about the 2nd quarter after the game has already started? or the 4th? just wondering, cause im on bookmaker and they close the quarter bets during the game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Danskeren
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 05-27-09
                                                            • 498

                                                            #134
                                                            That celtic game was heart breaking . lost by ½ point..
                                                            - worst day in many months. Really got killed in the NFl tonight.



                                                            Hope you manage to do better tonight!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ztballer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-24-09
                                                              • 1007

                                                              #135
                                                              Hey BL, how did you know that the total was going over with the Lakers play?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • williams22
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-19-08
                                                                • 6134

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by travisowain
                                                                so 5 dimes will let you bet the 3rd quarter at half time? what about the 2nd quarter after the game has already started? or the 4th? just wondering, cause im on bookmaker and they close the quarter bets during the game
                                                                Sorry for the delayed response. 5Dimes lets you bet the 3rd and 4th quarters at halftime, as well as 2nd half lines. You can't bet the 2nd or 4th quarters mid-game. My system has been very profitable so far for selecting proper 3rd quarter Over/Unders. I find the 4th quarter much more difficult to predict, and therefore normally avoid it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BL
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                                  • 4070

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Kobe Bryant Could have been a great day if he didn't miss the last shot in 1Q

                                                                  Lakers 1Q
                                                                  220 to win 200 LOSER
                                                                  1Q Raptors -0,5
                                                                  110 to win 100 LOSER
                                                                  Den-Mem OVER 206,5 110 to win 100 WINNER
                                                                  Orl-Tor OVER 200 220 to win 200 WINNER
                                                                  1Q Portland -0,5 110 to win 100 WINNER



                                                                  Starting bankroll: 2000 €

                                                                  Actual bankroll: 1965 €

                                                                  won/lost/push: 13 / 11 / 0
                                                                  Last edited by BL; 11-02-09, 03:42 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BL
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-09
                                                                    • 4070

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by ztballer
                                                                    Hey BL, how did you know that the total was going over with the Lakers play?
                                                                    noticed some RLM as only 60% were betting the over what is very low for a total and the line went up 2 points at most books. Didn't bet on it as I was leaning the under before
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BL
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-11-09
                                                                      • 4070

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Nets@Bobcats
                                                                      Bobcats -6,5
                                                                      240 to win 200

                                                                      Here my first play of the day! A lot of smart money on Charlotte tonight! bought half a point.
                                                                      Highest spread so far for this matchup played in Charlotte. The public is pounding Nets for sure but the
                                                                      line already moved in the other direction at most books! I liked Bobcats to win this one before the spread came out.
                                                                      After I saw it was at -7 I knew it is the right play! Don't be fooled and bet on the Nets. This one has Blowout written all
                                                                      over it !
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BL
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-11-09
                                                                        • 4070

                                                                        #140
                                                                        anybody has an opinion on the UNDER 203 at Sacramento
                                                                        Comment
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