philly has a strong fade trend against them as well as winning teams that lost previous game as a dog but covered ats only cover 31% as a dog in following game.
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Favoring the magic and lakers tonight; teams facing opponents that shoot under 43% on season but shot over 52% last game are 15-3 ats since start of last season.
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this is a good progressive trend that has been hitting over 60% ats and under. it has lost two in a row and 3 of 4 with each loss going over as well. good time to chase ats and under.
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going with another teaser tonight and it's based on reasoning. dallas, hawks, blazers, wolves. dallas as they should beat the knicks who don't score a ton, but mavs put up points at home. hawks coming off a home beatdown should be respectable tonight against the kings. portland has lost 3 in a row su/ats. i think they are a playoff team and wins are important in the west. and wolves as they are playing against g league warriors. gl tonight.Comment -
i noticed so far early in season,lakers at home have started off dlow 1st halfs then pour it on 2nd half close again w heat almost halfComment -
penetrate youComment -
jazz came through with both.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
only 8 games together. no real rhythm yet on offense. vogel perfect hire. has defense in right direction and a team with d howard, avery bradley, rondo, lebron and ad; when offense isn't flowing the d can hold things together. and iguodala waiting in the wings....this defense is gonna be tough to score on. lebron has never had it this easy. he can truly be a playmaker and pick his spots. need a shooter by trade deadline tho.Originally posted by cincinnatikid513Comment -
thunder are 1-5 o/u as at home this season. but with bucks in town, tough call.Comment -
Cavs have one of stronger trends on their sides. going against a losing team off a close win, teams are 126-60 ats
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knicks are 16-35 o/u since january. but the cavs give up 115 ppg. i did play knicks tt under small. i think cavs win su.
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the nets are giving up 120 ppg and have still won 3 of 4 su/ats. not sure how long this can continue. at suns tonight who are 7-1 ats and giving up just under 109 ppg.
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both hawks and blazers struggling right now. hawks have lost 4 of 5 and been blownout last 2 at home. blazers are 0-3 su/ats at home and have lost 4 in a row su/ats. blazers struggling to stop teams giving up 115 ppg with lack of size inside. hawks are 10-3 ats on road since last feb. portland desperate for a win, but can they play defense to get it? Hawks tt is 109 tonight.
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Lakers strong defense continues to impress as they are now 9-1 ats at home since end of last season. impressive for a lebron team as lines are usually over valued. since june of '18 they are 7-26 o/u as a fav holding teams to just over 101 ppg
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nuggets have multi under trends in their favor. they are 7-25 o/u as a fav. but they are playing the wolves who just want to outscore you without playing defense. wolves are 8-2 o/u at home and giving up 122 ppg while scoring 116. there is an under trend in favor of both teams that 16-31 o/u
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Mavs are 12-1 ats since march. celts are 3-10 ats in same time frame. love the trend. hate the line
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jazz are the fade the fav team tonight. i think in general, dubs are a team that is gonna turn it around ats and vegas is giving them big dog lines everynight.
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Raptors have gone 13-4 ats since end of last season. tonight is the 4th game of a 5 game road trip. blazers have lost 5 of 6 su/ats.
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spurs have a fade and under trend against them. 8-17 ats and 6-20 o/u
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magic another team that is heavy under. 3-12 o/u last 15 and they have been getting beat ats 4-9 as they struggle to score avg 96 ppg
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i've seen this trend often and haven't paid attention as i didn't think fast break points (FBP) was really relative to the next game. but apparently it is by the numbers. teams off a game with less than ten FBP are 15-45 ats. celtics tonight.
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Lakers lost to the rapts the other night but are still 19-14 ats as a home fave and the o/u is 8-26
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celts fell ats last night. its against the heat tonight.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
Mavs are 12-2 ats on road since end of last season. knicks are 21-44 ats at home last 2 years. also 9-29 o/u as a dog with less than 2 days rest. playing knicks tt under is good often as their defense isn't.
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Nuggs are 8-26 o/u as a fav. they got ran by the hawks the other night. nets don't play a lot of defense so they will have to hold them to get the under tonight. nets tt is 107.5
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Suns are 8-2 ats on the season. teams that go over the total by 10 pts 3 games in a row are 69-30 o/u. it cooled off at end of last season and only in play once this season so far.
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Teams that are home off an away win with more than 2 days rest (Bucks) is 21-10 ats since 17 season.
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Teams off an away loss are 27-4 ats under these conditions (Clippers)
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Big road favs (Mavs) are covering 57% of the time. again this is one of best progressive betting trends.
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Jazz vs. grizz tonight.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
Lakers home again tonight. now 20-14 ats and o/u 8-27.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
Mavs lost last night. favoring celtics tonight.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
Fade vs. t'wolves tonight.Originally posted by kingdomComment -
spurs are 2-9 ats this season giving up 114 ppg. magic are 9-3 ats as a home fav giving up only 97 ppg.
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warriors are 15-34 ats at home since nov. of last season. for totally different reasons this season than last.
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