NBA injury theory

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  • ferndog
    SBR MVP
    • 02-22-07
    • 1386

    #36
    Hit the Hawks-5 they won by 7 & Pelicans+7.5 lost by 7 & lost with the Cavs+2.5. How u guys do?
    Comment
    • shadymcgrady
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-27-12
      • 10036

      #37
      Won
      Atlanta ats
      Nyk ats
      Okc 1h ats
      Atlanta 1h ats 0.5u
      Nyk 1h ats 0.5u

      Lost
      Cle ats
      Cle 1h ats 0.5u
      Cle ML 0.5u

      Only the listed plays are tracked for the purpose of this theory/thread. Atlanta ats, nyk ats, cle ats
      Comment
      • ferndog
        SBR MVP
        • 02-22-07
        • 1386

        #38
        Good job shady...will keep an eye on this thread. GL
        Comment
        • shadymcgrady
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-27-12
          • 10036

          #39
          Rajon rondo may return tonight so Utah ats a possible play. Line has been moving up.

          Was gonna play milwaukee 1h and SU as a personal play but now Goran the dragon dragic is possibly returning which would make milwaukee a play in this thread.

          Will update official plays once injuries/availabilities announced
          Comment
          • shadymcgrady
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-27-12
            • 10036

            #40
            Looks Goran dragic is gonna play. Milwaukee +3.5 ATS is an official play. U can play the 1h ATS or ML at ur own leisure but they are not official plays for this thread.

            Rajon rondo is out for Chicago and not returning tonight. Derrick favors is also out tonight for utah. While I personally like utah to cover ATS tonight I am not making it an official play for 3 reasons.

            1. More than 1 injury variable in the game with rondo and favors

            2. Favors name brand is not considered a star imo

            3. I am skeptical of players that are oft injured in the case of favors

            Star returning. Dragic. Milwaukee ats is the play tonight
            Comment
            • shadymcgrady
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-27-12
              • 10036

              #41
              Bradley beal is also returning tonight. For many of the same reasons as favors I don't believe this oft injured player is a star and so washington is not an official play. Nyk ats isn't a bad play on a side note
              Comment
              • shadymcgrady
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-27-12
                • 10036

                #42
                Milwaukee lost 96-73

                YTD

                Star out
                3-2 +0.90

                Star returning
                1-1 -0.05
                Comment
                • shadymcgrady
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-27-12
                  • 10036

                  #43
                  Made a mistake a few days ago, thought jrue holiday was returning and Davis missing but holiday returns tonight along with davis. Norl covered that night, should've included it but did not. Norl will be a pass tonight for tracking purposes.

                  Dwight Howard is returning tonight so Charlotte -2 ats is a play for star returning.

                  AL horford is returning tonight so gsw -7 ats is a play for star returning.

                  Star returning
                  Charlotte -2
                  Gsw -7
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #44
                    Paul George now out.
                    Comment
                    • shadymcgrady
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-27-12
                      • 10036

                      #45
                      Paul George out tonight. Line moving from indy -7 to -4.5 now. Indy ats is a play.

                      Star out
                      Indy -4.5
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Hortford now out and not returning tonight.
                        Comment
                        • shadymcgrady
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-27-12
                          • 10036

                          #47
                          Al horford is not returning tonight. Okc ats is not a play for star returning. I just had to bet Boston ats for a unit. The line went to 8.5 from 7
                          Comment
                          • shadymcgrady
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-27-12
                            • 10036

                            #48
                            Thanks LT. Ur spot on right away
                            Comment
                            • vegaschulo
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-22-16
                              • 957

                              #49
                              Thanks for the updates shady..bol tonight. .cheers!
                              Comment
                              • shadymcgrady
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-27-12
                                • 10036

                                #50
                                Indiana lost 116-96

                                Charlotte won 100-96

                                YTD

                                Star out
                                3-3 -0.15

                                Star returning
                                2-1 +0.95
                                Comment
                                • shadymcgrady
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-27-12
                                  • 10036

                                  #51
                                  Al horford is probable to return. Detroit is a play if horford plays.

                                  Star returning

                                  Detroit ATS
                                  Comment
                                  • shadymcgrady
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-27-12
                                    • 10036

                                    #52
                                    Detroit lost 94-92

                                    YTD
                                    Star out
                                    3-3 -0.15

                                    Star returning
                                    2-2 -0.10
                                    Comment
                                    • shadymcgrady
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-27-12
                                      • 10036

                                      #53
                                      Dwayne wade missed the game last night and Chicago covered. Busy all day and didnt get a chance to bet chicago after the nyg effed me over.

                                      Myles turner is out but Paul George is also out so no play on that game in this thread.

                                      So far nothing yet but will update injury plays if they are announced
                                      Comment
                                      • gojetsgomoxies
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-12
                                        • 4222

                                        #54
                                        hadn't noticed the thread but i do like the idea.

                                        sorry, i forgot but you are backing teams who lost a star player........ i do think these teams and the new starter have lots of positive energy first game without star and then deteroirate and opponents adjust.

                                        fading star's 1st game back makes sense too
                                        Comment
                                        • shadymcgrady
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-27-12
                                          • 10036

                                          #55
                                          LaMarcus Aldridge and Tony parker out. This game is now a cluster fuk of injuries along with dirk nowitzki, Deron Williams and Andrew bogut. No play
                                          Comment
                                          • shadymcgrady
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-27-12
                                            • 10036

                                            #56
                                            Dwayne wade returning tonight. Denver +2.5 is a play
                                            Comment
                                            • shadymcgrady
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-27-12
                                              • 10036

                                              #57
                                              Denver won SU 100-97

                                              YTD
                                              Star out 3-3
                                              -0.15

                                              Star returning 3-2
                                              +0.90
                                              Comment
                                              • shadymcgrady
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-27-12
                                                • 10036

                                                #58
                                                Goran dragic is out tonight which makes miami ats a play.

                                                Paul George is also out making indy ats a play as well
                                                Comment
                                                • shadymcgrady
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-27-12
                                                  • 10036

                                                  #59
                                                  Miami won SU 90-81

                                                  Indiana won 118-97

                                                  YTD

                                                  Star out
                                                  5-3 +1.85

                                                  Star returning
                                                  3-2 +0.90
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shadymcgrady
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-27-12
                                                    • 10036

                                                    #60
                                                    Looks like al horford the new big gay al is gonna be out tonight.

                                                    Conversely Goran dragic is returning to the lineup which would make this game between the heat and Celtics unplayable bc of to many moving parts.

                                                    However miami has been so erratic with players sitting and returning and covering and not covering I think it's safe to assume hassan Whiteside is now the only player considered star worthy on the heat.

                                                    So with that in mind Boston ATS is a play tonight. The line is currently -4.5 but should drop throughout the day as news of horford coupled with the news of dragic should push this lower and closer to -3 by tip off. Wait for a better line
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sportsbook_12
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-30-13
                                                      • 348

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by shadymcgrady
                                                      Looks like al horford the new big gay al is gonna be out tonight.

                                                      Conversely Goran dragic is returning to the lineup which would make this game between the heat and Celtics unplayable bc of to many moving parts.

                                                      However miami has been so erratic with players sitting and returning and covering and not covering I think it's safe to assume hassan Whiteside is now the only player considered star worthy on the heat.

                                                      So with that in mind Boston ATS is a play tonight. The line is currently -4.5 but should drop throughout the day as news of horford coupled with the news of dragic should push this lower and closer to -3 by tip off. Wait for a better line
                                                      He's absence is the sole reason why Celtics are not being discussed that much.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shadymcgrady
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-27-12
                                                        • 10036

                                                        #62
                                                        Line is acting weird, anyone care to explain? I got Boston -4.5 when I posted earlier then saw it drop down to -3. I assumed this was news of horford absence coupled with dragic return. Now it's up to -5.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jeffjam_
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-02-14
                                                          • 107

                                                          #63
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shadymcgrady
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-27-12
                                                            • 10036

                                                            #64
                                                            Wtf. Thanks Jeff jam. Boston ats is am official no play. To many moving pieces with Whiteside and horford missing. Taking miami +5.5 and just gonna hope for a middle
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shadymcgrady
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-27-12
                                                              • 10036

                                                              #65
                                                              Blake griffin is out tonight making lob city ATS a play. The lines went from -12.5 to -10 once news of griffin was released. Clippers -10. GLTA
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shadymcgrady
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-27-12
                                                                • 10036

                                                                #66
                                                                Clipshow lost SU 127-122

                                                                YTD
                                                                Star out
                                                                5-4 +0.80

                                                                Star returning
                                                                3-2 +0.90
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shadymcgrady
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-27-12
                                                                  • 10036

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Pau gasol is out tonight making spurs ATS a play. Line has moved from -13 to -9. Star out spurs -9
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shadymcgrady
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-27-12
                                                                    • 10036

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Meant to include Memphis with Conley missing the first game of 6 weeks but it alrdy tipped off. If anyone got Memphis ATS in great job
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shadymcgrady
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-27-12
                                                                      • 10036

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Spurs didn't cover 94-87

                                                                      YTD

                                                                      Star out
                                                                      5-5 -0.25

                                                                      Star returning
                                                                      3-2 +0.90
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • shadymcgrady
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-27-12
                                                                        • 10036

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Blake griffin returning to the lineup tonight. Cle is currently at -3.5 ats. Star returning cle ats is a play
                                                                        Comment
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