JJONES NBA Ref Picks

[JJones07]

12/20

PHI+3.5	-110
CHA-8.5	-110
TOR-15	-110
NY-4.5	-110
MIA-3.5	-110
MIL+4	-110
MEM+2.5	-110
DEN+8.5	-110
GS-12	-110
SAC-1.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/20

3-7
-4.7

PHI+3.5	-110	L
CHA-8.5	-110	L
TOR-15	-110	L
NY-4.5	-110	W
MIA-3.5	-110	L
MIL+4	-110	L
MEM+2.5	-110	L
DEN+8.5	-110	L
GS-12	-110	W
SAC-1.5	-110	W

Season 149-186-4
44%
-52.56

[JJones07]

12/21

MIL+6	-110
MIN+4.5	-110
MEM+6.5	-110
OKC-2.5	-110
SAC+7	-110
PHX+6.5	-110
DAL+5.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/21

5-2
+2.8

MIL+6	-110	L
MIN+4.5	-110	W
MEM+6.5	-110	W
OKC-2.5	-110	W
SAC+7	-110	W
PHX+6.5	-110	L
DAL+5.5	-110	W

Season 154-188-4
45%
-49.76

[JJones07]

12/22

BOS-1	-110
ORL+5.5	-110
MIA-4.5	-110
SA-1.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/22

2-2
-0.2

BOS-1	-110	W
ORL+5.5	-110	L
MIA-4.5	-110	W
SA-1.5	-110	L

Season 156-190-4
45%
-49.96

[JJones07]

12/23

CHI+4.5	-110
LAL+5.5	-110
CLE-16.5	-110
DET+8	-110
WAS+3	-110
MIA+4.5	-110
DEN-5	-110
TOR-2	-110
PHX-4.5	-110
LAC-6	-110

[JJones07]

12/23

5-5
-0.5

CHI+4.5	-110	L
LAL+5.5	-110	L
CLE-16.5	-110	W
DET+8	-110	W
WAS+3	-110	L
MIA+4.5	-110	W
DEN-5	-110	L
TOR-2	-110	W
PHX-4.5	-110	W
LAC-6	-110	L

Season 161-195-4
45%
-50.46

[JJones07]

12/25

BOS-3	-110
GS-2.5	-110
CHI+9	-110
MIN+5	-110
LAL+7	-110

Merry Christmas everyone!

[JJones07]

I don't know if its the season right now or what, but I have a great feeling about the rest of the NBA season. Anyways Merry Christmas everybody, hope everyone has a fantastic day!

[BetThenSweat]

12/25

BOS-3	-110
GS-2.5	-110
CHI+9	-110
MIN+5	-110
LAL+7	-110

Merry Christmas everyone!

Good luck today and Merry Christmas

[franknikki1]

Thanks for all the Picks. Merry Christmas JJones

[JJones07]

12/25

2-3
-1.3

BOS-3	-110	W
GS-2.5	-110	L
CHI+9	-110	L
MIN+5	-110	L
LAL+7	-110	W

Season 163-198-4
45%
-51.76

[JJones07]

Ok so I just thought of this...

I'm going to be adding another little wrinkle to this "system" I got going. I haven't kept track of it at all, but I will start today. Counting the trend differential. Example from today:


I noticed an abnormally huge differential in the Minnesota/Atlanta game:

ALL TRENDS COMBINED
HOME FAV	0
HOME DOG	0
AWAY FAV		7
AWAY DOG		2
HOME	0
AWAY		4
DOG	0
FAV	0
	Minnesota Timberwolves	Atlanta Hawks
IF HOME FAV	0	6
IF HOME DOG	0	11

I haven't seen/remember any number this big. Anyways long story short, I'll be keeping an eye on all the trend differential, (i.e.: Bigger overall trends -(-minus-)- Smaller overall trends) ) thus the difference.

All records will of course still remain, obviously, but will add another column. The number before the game is that game's trend difference. I will not be tracking those +/- units or percentages just W/L by each each category, 1-3, 4-6, and 7+. I guess theoretically a tier system 1 Star, 2 Stars, 3 Stars, all still betting 1 unit for tracking purposes. Bet what you wish, or just keep fading until it turns itself around, .

Thanks for reading, either way, lets keep getting money, peace.

[JJones07]

12/26

2	WAS-4	-110
2	MEM-3	-110
4	CHA-7	-110
1	DET-4.5	-110
1	CHI-2	-110
5	NO-4.5	-110
1	PHX+13	-110
6	ATL+1	-110
6	POR+7.5	-110

SINCE 12/26
T.D.'s	1-3	4-6	7+
Records	0-0	0-0	0-0

[JJones07]

12/26

5-4
+0.6

2	WAS-4	-110	W
2	MEM-3	-110	L
4	CHA-7	-110	L
1	DET-4.5	-110	W
1	CHI-2	-110	W
5	NO-4.5	-110	W
1	PHX+13	-110	L
6	ATL+1	-110	L
6	POR+7.5	-110	W

Season 168-202-4
45%
-51.16

Slightly modified the trend differential (T.D.) "tier" system if you will

SINCE 12/26
T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+
Records	3-2	0-1	2-1	0-0	0-0

[JJones07]

12/27

8	MEM+6	-110
9	OKC-3	-110
2	HOU-6.5	-110
1	UTA-5	-110

[44 Mag]

Looking good JJ. !!!!

[JJones07]

Thanks MAGS!!!

[JJones07]

12/27

2-2
-0.2

8	MEM+6	-110	L
9	OKC-3	-110	W
2	HOU-6.5	-110	W
1	UTA-5	-110	L

SINCE 12/26
T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+
Records	4-3	0-1	2-1	0-1	1-0

Season 170-204-4
45%
-51.36

[JJones07]

12/28

3	IND+5	-110
2	CHA-3	-110
3	NY+3.5	-110
7	MIL+3	-110
6	CHI-9	-110
3	NO-5	-110
3	PHX+14.5	-110
2	MIN+4	-110
1	SAC-3	-110
3	GS-9.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/28

4-6
-2.6

3	IND+5	-110	L
2	CHA-3	-110	W
3	NY+3.5	-110	L
7	MIL+3	-110	W
6	CHI-9	-110	L
3	NO-5	-110	L
3	PHX+14.5	-110	L
2	MIN+4	-110	W
1	SAC-3	-110	L
3	GS-9.5	-110	W

Season 174-210-4
45%
-53.96

SINCE 12/26
T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+
Records	6-4	1-5	2-2	1-1	1-0

[JJones07]

12/29

2	CHA-7	-110
8	CLE-6.5	-110
10	OKC+1.5	-110
2	TOR-8.5	-110
3	UTA-13.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/29

2-3
-1.3

2	CHA-7	-110	W
8	CLE-6.5	-110	L
10	OKC+1.5	-110	L
2	TOR-8.5	-110	L
3	UTA-13.5	-110	W

Season 176-213-4
45%
-55.26

SINCE 12/26
T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+
Records	7-5	2-5	2-2	1-2	1-1

[JJones07]

12/30

4	CHI+4.5	-110
2	MIA+9.5	-110
2	NYK+2	-110
1	DET+2.5	-110
3	LAC+6	-110
8	SA-12	-110
9	PHI+11.5	-110
6	DAL+18.5	-110

[44 Mag]

12/30

4	CHI+4.5	-110
2	MIA+9.5	-110
2	NYK+2	-110
1	DET+2.5	-110
3	LAC+6	-110
8	SA-12	-110
9	PHI+11.5	-110
6	DAL+18.5	-110

JJ hope you sweep tonight. BOL.

[JJones07]

12/30

4-4
-0.4

4	CHI+4.5	-110	L
2	MIA+9.5	-110	W
2	NYK+2	-110	L
1	DET+2.5	-110	L
3	LAC+6	-110	L
8	SA-12	-110	W
9	PHI+11.5	-110	W
6	DAL+18.5	-110	W

Season 180-217-4
45%
-55.66

Yet again I added something else:

JJ hope you sweep tonight. BOL.

Thanks Mags. Well that didn't happen, but on the bright side we're getting more data and close to solving this puzzle, maybe. I really wish I noticed and kept track of this when the season started. But here is more of the records broken down one step further:

SINCE 12/26
ALL T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	8-7	2-7	3-2	2-2	2-1	17-19
T.D.'s HOME	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-0	2-1	2-1	1-1	0-0	9-3
T.D.'s AWAY	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-7	0-6	1-1	1-1	2-1	8-16
T.D.'s DOGS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	0-5	1-1	2-1	1-1	6-11
T.D.'s FAVS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	6-4	2-2	2-1	0-1	1-0	11-8
Home Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0
Away Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-4	0-5	1-0	1-1	1-1	5-11
Home Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-0	2-1	1-1	1-1	0-0	8-3
Away Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	3-5

If anyone can see anything that I can't let me know. I'm thinking currently when this "system" says to play on Home teams, play it, and/or Favorites, at the moment anyways. Or probably since the season is so long it will all level itself out eventually, just a bad stretch right now. Or maybe I'm just reading way too much into this.... . Anyways... Here is todays "plays", next post.

[JJones07]

12/31

3	SAC-1.5	-110
6	CHI-2.5	-110
3	LAC+5	-110
1	HOU-11	-110
3	UTA-11.5	-110

[JJones07]

12/31

0-5
-5.5

3	SAC-1.5	-110	L
6	CHI-2.5	-110	L
3	LAC+5	-110	L
1	HOU-11	-110	L
3	UTA-11.5	-110	L

<iframe src="//giphy.com/embed/8p8E1sylIARDW" width="480" height="204" frameborder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowfullscreen=""></iframe>via GIPHY


Season 180-222-4
45%
-61.16

SINCE 12/26
ALL T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	8-8	2-10	3-3	2-2	2-1	17-24
T.D.'s HOME	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	2-2	1-1	0-0	9-7
T.D.'s AWAY	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-7	0-7	1-1	1-1	2-1	8-17
T.D.'s DOGS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	0-6	1-1	2-1	1-1	6-12
T.D.'s FAVS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	6-5	2-4	2-2	0-1	1-0	11-12
Home Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0
Away Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-4	0-6	1-0	1-1	1-1	5-12
Home Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	1-2	1-1	0-0	8-7
Away Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	3-5

[JJones07]

1/1

7	IND-5.5	-110
4	DET-5	-110
4	POR+5.5	-110

Lets get this year started off right. Happy New Years everybody!

[JJones07]

1/1

3-0
+3

7	IND-5.5	-110	W
4	DET-5	-110	W
4	POR+5.5	-110	W

Season 183-222-4
45%
-58.16

SINCE 12/26
ALL T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	8-8	4-10	3-3	3-2	2-1	20-24
T.D.'s HOME	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	2-2	2-1	0-0	10-7
T.D.'s AWAY	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-7	2-7	1-1	1-1	2-1	10-7
T.D.'s DOGS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	1-6	1-1	2-1	1-1	7-12
T.D.'s FAVS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	6-5	3-4	2-2	1-1	1-0	13-12
Home Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0
Away Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-4	1-6	1-0	1-1	1-1	6-12
Home Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	1-2	2-1	0-0	9-7
Away Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	1-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	4-5

[JJones07]

1/2

5	UTA-6.5	-110
5	NYK-3.5	-110
3	WAS+9.5	-110
5	CHA+1	-110
1	DEN+15	-110

[JJones07]

1/2

2-3
-1.3

5	UTA-6.5	-110	W
5	NYK-3.5	-110	L
3	WAS+9.5	-110	L
5	CHA+1	-110	L
1	DEN+15	-110	W

Season 185-225-4
45%
-59.46

SINCE 12/26
ALL T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	9-8	4-11	4-5	3-2	2-1	22-27
T.D.'s HOME	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	2-2	2-1	0-0	10-7
T.D.'s AWAY	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	5-7	2-8	2-3	1-1	2-1	12-20
T.D.'s DOGS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	3-3	1-7	1-2	2-1	1-1	8-14
T.D.'s FAVS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	6-5	3-4	3-3	1-1	1-0	14-13
Home Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	0-0	0-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	1-0
Away Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	3-4	1-7	1-1	1-1	1-1	7-14
Home Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	4-1	2-3	1-3	2-1	0-0	9-8
Away Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	5-5

[JJones07]

1/3

4	PHI+4.5	-110
1	DET-5	-110
2	SA-6.5	-110
7	MIA+2.5	-110

[JJones07]

1/3

2-2
-0.2

4	PHI+4.5	-110	W
1	DET-5	-110	L
2	SA-6.5	-110	W
7	MIA+2.5	-110	L

Season 187-227-4
45%
-59.66

SINCE 12/26
ALL T.D.'s	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	10-9	5-11	4-5	3-3	2-1	24-29
T.D.'s HOME	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	5-2	3-3	2-2	2-1	0-0	12-8
T.D.'s AWAY	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	5-7	2-8	2-3	1-2	2-1	12-21
T.D.'s DOGS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	3-3	2-7	1-2	2-2	1-1	9-15
T.D.'s FAVS	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	7-6	3-4	3-3	1-1	1-0	15-14
Home Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	0-0	1-0	1-0	0-0	0-0	2-0
Away Dogs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	3-4	1-7	1-1	1-2	1-1	7-15
Home Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	5-2	2-3	1-3	2-1	0-0	10-9
Away Favs	1-2	3-4	5-6	7-8	9+	TOTAL
Records	2-3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	5-5