JJONES NBA Ref Picks

trillz · 10-25-16, 06:56 PM

Link to last years thread?

JJones07 · 10-25-16, 07:10 PM

Last year, went 268-234-8, ATS and Totals, up until Jan 4, trying to get a better job. Got it and chillin'

For those that weren't here or didn't follow. This does not count for players being out, just strictly "Referee Bias" for those that believe in it. Dropping totals, because last year was what killed me up to that point in the season. Anyways lets go... Good luck everybody this NBA season

JJones07 · 10-25-16, 07:14 PM

***Up until Jan 14 not 4***

***So my spread sheet in excel record was 268-234-8, and post plays here were 231-204-7, so... apparently I keep betting without posting. Either way both at 53% ***

***** Another Explanation For the reasons why the plays are the plays*****

Originally posted by JJones07

Added some new filters. Instead of just the head official, I'm taking in account the other 2 referees. I'm inputing all of their trends as well as a new added month filter. As of today posting these and tracking with past plays as an "update" to the system as well as individually tracking. In the case of curiosity/explanation here are all of the trends: *ALL DATA FROM BETLABS* via http://sportsinsights.com/

(All teams that are *(trend)* vs all opposing teams in that situation with this specific referee)
Example chart:

DOGS ATS	(ANY Combo)	60%
REFS	DOGS	FAVS
Bennett Salvatore	Atlanta Hawks	Boston Celtics
Bennie Adams	Boston Celtics	Cleveland Cavaliers
Bob Delaney	Chicago Bulls	Dallas Mavericks
Brian Forte	Denver Nuggets	Detroit Pistons
Courtney Kirkland	Golden State Warriors	Golden State Warriors
David Guthrie	Indiana Pacers	Indiana Pacers
Eli Roe	Los Angeles Lakers	Los Angeles Lakers
Gary Zielinski	Memphis Grizzlies	Miami Heat
Jack Nies	Milwaukee Bucks	Minnesota Timberwolves
James Capers	New York Knicks	New Orleans Pelicans
James Williams	Oklahoma City Thunder	New York Knicks
Jason Phillips	Phoenix Suns	Orlando Magic
Jim Clark	Sacramento Kings	Philadelphia 76ers
Joe Crawford		Sacramento Kings
Joe Forte		Utah Jazz
Ken Mauer
Leroy Richardson
Marat Kogut
Marc Davis
Monty McCutchen
Phil Robinson
Scott Twardoski
Sean Wright
Tommy Nunez Jr.
Tony Brothers
Tony Brown
Tre Maddox

DOGS ATS
FAV ATS
HOME ATS
AWAY ATS
HOME DOGS ATS
AWAY DOGS ATS
HOME FAV ATS
AWAY FAV ATS
(8)

8* 3 (Referees)= 24

Individually filtered specific to day of week and month separately

Day of week (7) * 8 (Total Trends) * 3 (Referees)= 168

6 Months (November-April) Not counting October too few game * 8 (Total Trends) * 3 (Referees) =144

Specific team against any team in any team with specific referees
(30)

24+168+144+30=366 Total trends searched instead of previously
8+56+48+30= 142

For the record all trends hit at least 55%, *Posted by Betlabs*

Example Today: Toronto@Cleveland, on a Monday, in January.
Officials: Ed Malloy, Michael Smith, Dedric Taylor

TREND COUNTER
	HOME	AWAY

	Cleveland Cavaliers	Toronto Raptors
	1	0	TvT & REF
	2		HOME FAV
	0		HOME DOG
		3	AWAY FAV
		2	AWAY DOG
	2		HOME
		1	AWAY

	0		DOG
	0		FAV

RAW TOTALS	5	6

IF HOME FAV	5	3
IF HOME DOG	3	4

If anytime a game has a situation where the trends match, no play.

JJones07 · 10-26-16, 03:35 PM

Season 0-0

10/25
1-2

NYK+9	-109	L
POR-6	-105	W
GS-8.5	-101	L

-1.1 Units

JJones07 · 10-26-16, 03:37 PM

Season 1-2
33%
-1.1 Units

10/26

DAL+5.5	-103
ORL-3	-105
BKN+11.5	-105
TOR-7	-105
CHR-2	-105
NO-1	-108
MEM+1	-105
OKC-9	-107
LAL+6	-108

JJones07 · 10-27-16, 06:10 AM

10/26
5-4
+.77

DAL+5.5	-103	L
ORL-3	-105	L
BKN+11.5	-105	W
TOR-7	-105	W
CHR-2	-105	W
NO-1	-108	L
MEM+1	-105	W
OKC-9	-107	L
LAL+6	-108	W

Season 6-6
50%
-.33

JJones07 · 10-27-16, 03:59 PM

Season 6-6
50%
-.33

10/27

WAS+4	-107
BOS+1.5	-103
SA-8.5	-105

JJones07 · 10-28-16, 05:14 AM

10/27
0-3
-3.15

WAS+4	-107	L
BOS+1.5	-103	L
SA-8.5	-105	L

Season 6-9
40%
-3.48

JJones07 · 10-28-16, 02:08 PM

Season 6-9
40%
-3.48

10/28

CLE-3	-105
BKN+6	-108
DET-4	-102
CHR-1	-105
PHX+9.5	-105
LAL+9.5	-105
NO+11	-105

JJones07 · 10-29-16, 06:44 AM

10/28
6-0-1
+6

CLE-3	-105	P
BKN+6	-108	W
DET-4	-102	W
CHR-1	-105	W
PHX+9.5	-105	W
LAL+9.5	-105	W
NO+11	-105	W

Season 12-9-1
56%
+2.52

JJones07 · 10-29-16, 08:57 AM

Season 12-9-1
56%
+2.52

10/29

ATL-7.5	-110
BOS-2	-110
NY-1.5	-110
ORL+12	-110
MIL-6.5	-110
SA-13.5	-110
DEN-2	-110
MIN+1.5	-110

JJones07 · 10-30-16, 08:35 AM

10/29
5-3
+1.7

ATL-7.5	-110	W
BOS-2	-110	W
NY-1.5	-110	W
ORL+12	-110	W
MIL-6.5	-110	L
SA-13.5	-110	W
DEN-2	-110	L
MIN+1.5	-110	L

Season 17-12-1
58%
+4.22

JJones07 · 10-30-16, 09:47 AM

Season 17-12-1
58%
+4.22

10/30

UTA+7.5	-110
PHX+11.5	-110
MIA+7	-110
DET-7.5	-110
WAS-2.5	-110
LAL+8	-110
HOU-5.5	-110

JJones07 · 10-31-16, 06:15 AM

10/30
2-4-1
-2.4

UTA+7.5	-110	L
PHX+11.5	-110	W
MIA+7	-110	P
DET-7.5	-110	W
WAS-2.5	-110	L
LAL+8	-110	L
HOU-5.5	-110	L

Season 19-16-2
53%
+1.82

JJones07 · 10-31-16, 02:26 PM

Season 19-16-2
53%
+1.82

10/31

DEN+7	-103
CHI-6	-107
ATL-7	-102
LAC-11	-105

Happy Halloween!

JJones07 · 11-01-16, 06:15 AM

10/31
4-0
+4

DEN+7	-103	W
CHI-6	-107	W
ATL-7	-102	W
LAC-11	-105	W

Season 23-16-2
58%
+5.82

Roscoe_Word · 11-01-16, 06:53 AM

Excellent nite, JJ07!

JJones07 · 11-01-16, 01:59 PM

hey roscoe thanks for the love! Hope your having a good season.

Season 23-16-2
58%
+5.82

11/1

Cle-9, -108
Ind-8.5, -105
Orl-5, -105
NY+4, -105
Sac+4.5, -102
Mem+3.5, -105
Mil+3.5, -105
Uta+10.5, -105
GS-5, -102

relax_urself · 11-01-16, 02:29 PM

good luck brother

JJones07 · 11-01-16, 05:07 PM

Hey! Relax_urself, hows it going man?

FlyinAir · 11-01-16, 10:34 PM

I like it, keep plugging

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 06:17 AM

11/1
3-6
-3.3

CLE-9	-108	L
IND-8.5	-105	L
ORL-5	-105	L
NY+4	-105	L
SAC+4.5	-102	L
MEM+3.5	-105	L
MIL+3.5	-105	W
UTA+10.5	-105	W
GS-5	-102	W

Season 26-22-2
53%
+2.52

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 06:20 AM

FlyinAir, thanks for the love. Yep long season

iheartAlabama · 11-02-16, 07:29 AM

JJones good to see you still doing business

Roscoe_Word · 11-02-16, 08:13 AM

Like the bounce back after L6. Patience and endurance. Good job, brother!

thebestinsj · 11-02-16, 01:04 PM

So with all these random fouls being called all the time, how does blindly betting overs sound? Feel like its hitting 80% right now with all the bs calls.

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 03:25 PM

iheartAlabama, thanks man. Glad to be back, gonna finish the season this time around. How's it going?

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 03:28 PM

Well Roscoe, last time we lost 3+ units we came back and won 6 the next day. So maybe, another plus 6 today?

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 03:33 PM

thebetisinj, well randomly betting anything goes against my will. If you feel it, go for it. Actually that kind of makes me think of doing what I did with ATS, I didn't go nearly in depth in O/U's. Day of week, month etc. Not even all three refs, I think I'm about to work on that.

JJones07 · 11-02-16, 03:35 PM

Season 26-22-2
53%
+2.52

11/2

TOR-1	102
HOU-1	102
LAL+12	-105
DET-4	-105
MEM-6	-105
CHI+3	-107
DAL+4	-108
PHX+2.5	-103
LAC-7.5	-105

JJones07 · 11-03-16, 06:29 AM

11/2
4-4-1
-.21

TOR-1	102	W
HOU-1	102	W
LAL+12	-105	W
DET-4	-105	L
MEM-6	-105	P
CHI+3	-107	L
DAL+4	-108	L
PHX+2.5	-103	W
LAC-7.5	-105	L

Season 30-26-3
52%
+2.31

JJones07 · 11-03-16, 04:34 PM

Season 30-26-3
52%
+2.31

11/3

BOS+10.5	-105
DEN+3	-105
IND-3	-105
OKC+11.5	-102

JJones07 · 11-04-16, 06:08 AM

11/3
2-2
-.07

BOS+10.5	-105	W
DEN+3	-105	W
IND-3	-105	L
OKC+11.5	-102	L

Season 32-28-3
52%
+2.24

JJones07 · 11-04-16, 02:51 PM

Season 32-28-3
52%
+2.24

11/4

ATL+1	-105
TOR-7.5	-102
BKN+6.5	-105
CHI-7.5	-102
LAC-6	-102
NO-3	-105
POR-2	-102
UTA+4	-108
GS-11	-105