terrortwylight - 2015 NBA Playoffs thread

[terrortwylight]

WED 4/29
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5, -117, 1u (W)


DAILY:
1-0-0 (+1.0u)


YTD:
11-7-1 (+5.50u)


Thank god I bought the half point last night!

[terrortwylight]

THURS 4/30:
Chicago Bulls -3, -110, 1u


YTD:
11-7-1 (+5.50u)


The guy I do all of my NBA postseason stuff works a busy job. Sometimes during the day he's super busy and he doesn't adjust to the line changes right away. Went ahead and got this one without the hook while I still could. Hoping it hits!

[terrortwylight]

THURS 4/30:
Chicago Bulls -3, -110, 1u (W)


DAILY:
1-0-0 (+1.0u)


YTD:
12-7-1 (+6.50u)


Looks like that half point didn't matter at all. Jesus!

Chicago - 120
Milwaukee - 66
= Bulls win by 54.

I read just on SBNation that it was the largest ALL TIME win margin in an NBA series-clincher.

At the very least, Milwaukee DID make it to the postseason this season. Gotta give them some credit for that, especially seeing as last season they went 15-67 (Bucks all time franchise-worst and overall pathetic).

I hope they trade Giannis Antetokounmpo to a contender. I really like him. Maybe I'm being overly optimistic, but within 2-3 years I think he'll really emerge as an elite player in this league.

Just for fun, check this out. I put this table together real fast to try and show why I'm optimistic about his future. Right now, he's kind of like a poor man's Kevin Love. I included Love's Cleveland season and his career averages because I think it's important to take into account Giannis has only been in the NBA for 2 full campaigns.

IMO, you could easily chalk the disparity in PPG due to how each player is utilized on their respective teams. Giannis is primarily used as an SF. Love is a PF/Center. But mostly everything else is strikingly similar.

Like I said, just for fun, it's worth checking out:

Giannis Antentokounmpo	FG%	3P%	FT%	RPG	APG	SPG	BPG	PPG	Games started	Games Played	Minutes PG
2013-2014	.414	.347	.683	4.4	1.9	.8	.8	6.8	23	77	24.6
2014-2015	.491	.159	.741	6.7	2.6	.9	1.0	12.7	71	81	31.4
Kevin Love	FG%	3P%	FT%	RPG	APG	SPG	BPG	PPG	Games started	Games Played	Minutes PG
2013-2014	.457	.376	.821	12.5	4.4	.8	.5	26.1	77	77	36.3
2014-2015	.434	.367	.804	9.7	2.2	.7	.5	16.4	81	75	33.8
K. Love CAREER	.448	.363	.814	11.8	2.4	.7	.5	18.7	357	439	32.9

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1:
Atlanta Hawks -3.5, -130, 1u


YTD:
12-7-1 (+6.50u)


Been busy all morning... Looks like I missed the good line on ATL. My local only charged me an extra 5 cents for the entire point than 5D would have. I can live with that.

Either way Saturday is the day we always settle up. In other words, no matter happens, with the Hawks tonight, he's handing me an envelope tomorrow.


Double guns, cocksuckahhhhhhhhhhh

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1/15
Atlanta Hawks -3.5, -130, 1u (W)


DAILY:
1-0 (+1.0u)


YTD:
13-7-1 (+7.50u)

[terrortwylight]

SAT 5/2
LA Clippers ML -2.5, -120, 1u


YTD:
13-7-1 (+7.50u)



Today was payday. I'm feeling good after making money on a sport I know next to nothing about.

I've been on quite a roll too if you go back and look through my thread. I haven't lost since Monday night on the Hawks.

Anyway, the small bit I did look at the game.. my heart was telling me Spurs.. but my gut told me Clips.

I still bought the half point so that -3 won't push. You can probably buy it down cheaper online.

I won't be around, I'm gonna be with my lady doing boyfriend things. Whatever that means.

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!

[terrortwylight]

SAT 5/2
LA Clippers -2.5, -120, 1u (L)


YTD:
13-8-1 (+6.30u)



I should have just bought an entire point, because then I would have at least Pushed;

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/13
Washington Wizards +7, -110, 1u


YTD:
13-8-1 (+6.30u)


Sorry for late post.

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/13
Washington Wizards +7, -110, 1u (W)


YTD:
14-8-1 (+7.30u)

[terrortwylight]

Glad I decided to lay off GSW. They'll win but IDK if they're necessarily gonna cover 10.

[terrortwylight]

adding:
2H: MEM @ GSW under 100, -105, .5u


updated:
WED 5/13
2H: MEM @ GSW under 100, -105, .5u
Washington Wizards +7, -110, 1u (W)


YTD:
14-8-1 (+7.30u)

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/13
2H: MEM @ GSW under 100, -105, .5u (W)
Washington Wizards +7, -110, 1u (W)


DAILY:
2-0-0 (+1.5u)


YTD:
15-8-1 (+7.80u)

[terrortwylight]

SUN 5/17
LA Clippers -2, -120, 1u


YTD:
15-8-1 (+7.80u)


Decided to go ahead and buy the hook.. Good luck everyone!

[terrortwylight]

Wow.. I didn't expect this. Wish I wouldn't have even bothered with that hook. Damn.

[terrortwylight]

SUN 5/17
LA Clippers -2, -120, 1u (L)


YTD:
15-9-1 (+6.60u)


Was on a nice little run there w/ NBA postseason. Especially considering I don't really know shit about handicapping NBA. Looks like I'm coming back down to earth here.

[terrortwylight]

I will definitely be taking Houston tonight. Maybe that's idiotic. I don't claim to know NBA at all. But here's what I have gathered from watching this postseason.. take this about as seriously as you'd take your girlfriend or wife explaining it to you.

It looks as if Houston THRIVES on being underdogs. When the media is completely dismissing them as one dimensional, that's when they really hit their stride. It's like they all have a human toilet fetish. As soon as they really get pooped and pissed on, their boners rage and drip everywhere. Going into this series, they're being totally disrespected. I've already read 3 different articles in 10 minutes predicting a sweep. Trust me, THEY LOVE BEING DISRESPECTED.

It seems like Houston's whole gimmick is bringing a weird tempo to the game. If basketball is like music, then Houston is Tom Waits. They've become infamous for adopting the Hack-a-Shaq. Intentionally fouling a bad free throw shooter wasn't even a brilliant strategy when Don Nelson was doing it against Rodman when I was 12. Everyone knows this is what they do. But they still seem to bother everyone with it. They lose their share of battles but they're resilient.

At the end of the day, I think the Warriors win the series.. they're too healthy and too deep right now for anyone. But I tend to think that in at least these first couple games, Houston will be totally disrespected by the betting public, and I'm going to take advantage of these ridiculous lines. 10.5 points just seems like a lot here.

Remember, you're not supposed to take any of this seriously. I don't know what I'm even talking about.

[terrortwylight]

TUES 5/19
Houston Rockets +10.5, -110, 1u


YTD:
15-9-1 (+6.60u)

[terrortwylight]

TUES 5/19
Houston Rockets +10.5, -110, 1u (W)


YTD:
16-9-1 (+7.60u)

[terrortwylight]

This Cavs/Hawks series is interesting. Even with K. Love out, I still think these teams are evenly matched. Going back to the beginning of this season, they've played 4 times. Hawks took 3 of those 4 games.

First time they played in November, it was in Cleveland. Cavs completely smashed them in this one. Almost a month later to the day, Atlanta completely smashed them (again, in Cleveland). Two weeks later, Hawks won by 8 points in ATL.

The next time they played was in early March, again in ATL. Hawks won by 9 points.

At home, ATL has gone 40-7 and Cleveland has gone 35-11 (regular season + playoffs).

Based off of these trends, I feel comfortable taking Atlanta tonight. With these lines so close like this, I think the smart bet is just taking the home team in these games. Unless I see something tonight that makes me rethink this, that'll be my strategy with this series.

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/20
Atlanta Hawks -1, -101, 1u

[terrortwylight]

Yikes. Guess this is what happens when you don't know what you're doing. I was wayyy off on this one.

[terrortwylight]

adding:
LIVE BET: Cleveland Cavs -10.5, -110, .5u

[terrortwylight]

Dumb reactionary live bet. Started freaking out as soon as Carroll went down. Hope it's not as bad as it looked. Definitely looked like he shredded his ACL.

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/20
Atlanta Hawks -1, -101, 1u (L)
LIVE BET: Cleveland Cavs -10.5, -110, .5u (L)


DAILY:
0-2-0 (-1.56u)


YTD:
16-11-1 (+6.04u)

[terrortwylight]

I got my Houston bet in last night at 10.5 -103 but I forgot to post it. Best I'm seeing on 5dizzle right now is -108, so in fairness that's what I'll post here.

THURS 5/21
Houston Rockets +10.5, -108, 1u

[terrortwylight]

Wish I woulda waited a bit, looks like this thing went up to 11 at some point. May come down to that half point. Hope not.

[terrortwylight]

THURS 5/21
Houston Rockets +10.5, -108, 1u (W)


YTD:
17-11-1 (+7.04u)

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/22
Cavs @ Hawks OVER 193, -108, 1u

[terrortwylight]

Gonna need 50 point quarters in the 3rd and 4th if I'm gonna have any hope of hitting this one..

[terrortwylight]

we were on pace just fine.. then this 4th quarter happened.. ugh

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/22
Cavs @ Hawks OVER 193, -108, 1u (L)


YTD:
17-12-1 (+5.96u)

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/27
Golden State Warriors -10, -107, 1u
Houston Rockets ML, +480, .25u

[terrortwylight]

WED 5/27
Golden State Warriors -10, -107, 1u (W)
Houston Rockets ML, +480, .25u (L)


DAILY:
1-1-0 (+0.75u)


YTD:
18-13-1 (+6.71u)

[terrortwylight]

THURS 6/4
Cleveland Cavaliers +6, -120, 1.5u
Cleveland Cavaliers ML, +200, .5u

[terrortwylight]

THURS 6/4
Cleveland Cavaliers +6, -120, 1.5u (L)
Cleveland Cavaliers ML, +200, .5u (L)



YTD:
18-15-1 (+4.41u)