NBA 1st Half Strategy

[ledjend]

Been using a strategy since the beginning of the season which has been extremely successful thus far...the focus is solely on 1st Half Totals...there's only been 1 losing night out of 8 and that was opening night...here's the breakdown to date:

Week of 10/28 - 11/2

10/28 - 0-2
10/29 - 5-3
10/30 - 3-0
10/31 - 4-0
11/1 - 5-3
11/2 - 2-1
..........19-9


Week of 11/3 - 11/9

11/3 - 5-0
11/4 - 2-0
..........7-0


TOTAL - 26-9


I've used these strategies before and when they're hot, they're hot...but they normally don't stay hot forever...kind of like the stock market...you gotta know when to sell...

So if you're thinking about tailing, I wouldn't wait too long...

Will have plays posted shortly.

[ledjend]

Here's tonight:

Orl/Phi.....UNDER 97.5
Tor/Bos.....OVER 102.5
Min/Brk.....OVER 104.5
NY/Det.....UNDER 93.5
Ind/Was.....OVER 93.5
Atl/SA.....UNDER 101
Mem/Pho.....UNDER 97
Den/Sac.....UNDER 101.5
LAC/GS.....OVER 105

Good Luck.

[KegKosmo]

Can you explain what the strategy is

[ledjend]

Sure...I'll use Orl/Phi as an example:

1. Look at tonight's 1st half line...97.5
2. Look for last time these 2 teams met at this venue, Philly
3. Look at total points scored in 2nd half of that game...in this case it was 107
4. 107 would be OVER tonight's 1st half line of 97.5
5. Play the opposite...which is UNDER

Other criteria...I don't play games involving the Bulls, Cavs, Heat, Thunder, or Lakers since they've had dramatic changes to their rosters...i.e, superstars added or lost...

I can't say logically why this is working so well other than the law of averages...if 2 teams lit it up in the 2nd half of the last game at this same site, I guess the law of averages says that the odds are against that happening again...

Anyway...it's working for now...and now is the only time that matters.

[gregmav1]

This is a laughable system. Kudos to you for winning, but yeah, definitely don't follow this for too long. Absolutely trash methodology that is doomed to regress back to the means. No sense at all behind it.

[ledjend]

This is a laughable system. Kudos to you for winning, but yeah, definitely don't follow this for too long. Absolutely trash methodology that is doomed to regress back to the means. No sense at all behind it.

Original stuff brother...thx for the input.

[KegKosmo]

Here's tonight:

Orl/Phi.....UNDER 97.5 LOSER
Tor/Bos.....OVER 102.5 WINNER
Min/Brk.....OVER 104.5 LOSER
NY/Det.....UNDER 93.5 WINNER
Ind/Was.....OVER 93.5 LOSER
Atl/SA.....UNDER 101 WINNER
Mem/Pho.....UNDER 97 LOSER
Den/Sac.....UNDER 101.5 LOSER
LAC/GS.....OVER 105 WINNER

Good Luck.

[KegKosmo]

4-5 ON THE NIGHT. so that would be your 2nd losing night according to your stats you posted without proof. Nonetheless this basically just looks like you're guessing/flipping a coin. anyway i am going to watch this thread the next few days im interested to see how it does.

Tomorrow night i have Rockets/Spurs over 101 and Mavs/Blazers over 103

lets see what you got.

[upscope]

This is a laughable system. Kudos to you for winning, but yeah, definitely don't follow this for too long. Absolutely trash methodology that is doomed to regress back to the means. No sense at all behind it.

100% agree

[ledjend]

Yup 4-5 last night...first losing night since opening night...

As far as posting without proof, I explained exactly how it works...you're more than welcome to backtest it...it's only 8 days so not that hard to do...

Here's tonight:

SA/Hou.....UNDER 99.5
Dal/Por.....UNDER 105

Good Luck.

[gregmav1]

I understood the methodology, which is why I'm saying it's trash haha. Honestly I would almost do the exact opposite, what they did before against the spread is what they are more likely to do again, rather than do the opposite. Good luck to you but yeah, be careful and if you start losing don't try and chase, and move on...

[ledjend]

First, the post wasn't directed at you...
Second, you would've been 9-26 before last night doing the opposite...and your logic wouldn't taken you straight to the toilet...

Listen guys, I'm not here to argue or prove anything...all I'm doing is posting a strategy that's been on fire the last week...whether you wanna call it "trash methodology" or "laughable" or say it's illogical, fine...but picking winners isn't about logic...if it was, everyone would win...

Odds are, this hot streak won't last...which I already said in an earlier post...and when the tide starts to turn, i'll drop it as fast as I picked it up...maybe the tide turning was last night...maybe not...

Anyway, I do this s**t for a living and I'm f**kin good at it...so I figured why not share a little bit...but it seems like this forum is overflowing with douchebags...so the sharing may be short lived.

[gregmav1]

Dude, relax. It's a sports betting forum what do you expect. And yes this post wasn't directed to me but it was directed to the forum which I'm a part of, or you wouldn't have made a post.

Relax man. I sincerely mean it good luck and if it keeps working, then that's awesome. I'm skeptical and voiced that, that's the point of this forum, to discuss strategies and picks.

[THam12]

Fight.

[ledjend]

2-0 last night...32-14 overall...here's tonight:

Atl/Cha.....OVER 96.5
Min/Orl.....OVER 100
Ind/Bos.....OVER 95.5
NY/Brk.....UNDER 95.5
Mil/Det.....UNDER 96
Was/Tor.....UNDER 98
Sac/Pho.....OVER 104.5
Dal/Utah.....OVER 104

Good Luck.

[labones00]

First, the post wasn't directed at you...
Second, you would've been 9-26 before last night doing the opposite...and your logic wouldn't taken you straight to the toilet...

Listen guys, I'm not here to argue or prove anything...all I'm doing is posting a strategy that's been on fire the last week...whether you wanna call it "trash methodology" or "laughable" or say it's illogical, fine...but picking winners isn't about logic...if it was, everyone would win...

Odds are, this hot streak won't last...which I already said in an earlier post...and when the tide starts to turn, i'll drop it as fast as I picked it up...maybe the tide turning was last night...maybe not...

Anyway, I do this s**t for a living and I'm f**kin good at it...so I figured why not share a little bit...but it seems like this forum is overflowing with douchebags...so the sharing may be short lived.

Appreciate you sharing this, don't mind all the negative people in here. They obviously are mad at the world lol

[gregmav1]

got a nice little run going dont you? ill be curious to see how the record is once you have about 100 picks under your belt. bol.

[ledjend]

Appreciate you sharing this, don't mind all the negative people in here. They obviously are mad at the world lol

Yea I guess I should've expected the dikheads to show up first...they have the most time.

[ledjend]

5-3 last night...37-17 overall...here's today/tonight:

Por/LAC.....UNDER 101.5
Was/Ind.....UNDER 92.5
NY/Atl.....UNDER 95.5
GS/Hou.....OVER 102
Mem/Mil.....OVER 93
NO/SA.....OVER 96

Good Luck.

[ledjend]

4-2 last night...41-19 overall...here's first game today:

Orl/Brk.....OVER 99.5

Good Luck.

[blackHIPPY]

nice

[ledjend]

Rest of tonight:

Phi/Tor.....UNDER 103.5
GS/Pho.....UNDER 106
Den/Por.....OVER 103

Good Luck.

[ledjend]

2 losing nights in 2 weeks...hopefully some of you had the balls to get in on the action...if you did, congrats...stay hot.


Week of 10/28 - 11/2

10/28 - 0-2
10/29 - 5-3
10/30 - 3-0
10/31 - 4-0
11/1 - 5-3
11/2 - 2-1
..........19-9


Week of 11/3 - 11/9

11/3 - 5-0
11/4 - 2-0
11/5 - 4-5
11/6 - 2-0
11/7 - 5-3
11/8 - 4-2
11/9 - 3-1
.........25-11


TOTAL - 44-20

[Trep]

Really interesting random streak. What are the calcs today?

If it works why question lol

[CommonSense]

Sure...I'll use Orl/Phi as an example:

1. Look at tonight's 1st half line...97.5
2. Look for last time these 2 teams met at this venue, Philly
3. Look at total points scored in 2nd half of that game...in this case it was 107
4. 107 would be OVER tonight's 1st half line of 97.5
5. Play the opposite...which is UNDER

Other criteria...I don't play games involving the Bulls, Cavs, Heat, Thunder, or Lakers since they've had dramatic changes to their rosters...i.e, superstars added or lost...

I can't say logically why this is working so well other than the law of averages...if 2 teams lit it up in the 2nd half of the last game at this same site, I guess the law of averages says that the odds are against that happening again...

Anyway...it's working for now...and now is the only time that matters.

No matter how crazy a "system" is, if it works, then it's just as good that Orlando is 9-1 under in the 1st half when shooting 50% in their last game blah blah blah blah. It's all a guessing game and if it ain't broke, don't fix it. Good luck!

[xpo310]

i'll tail you for tonight and see how that goes

[ledjend]

Nice to finally see a few people with some sense...

Here's the first 2 games for tonight...also could be a third, but will have to wait out line movement on the Indy/Utah game:

Atl/NY.....UNDER 97
SA/LAC.....UNDER 99.5



Good Luck.

[Dayuuum]

Nice to finally see a few people with some sense...

Here's the first 2 games for tonight...also could be a third, but will have to wait out line movement on the Indy/Utah game:

Atl/NY.....UNDER 97
SA/LAC.....UNDER 99.5



Good Luck.

Don't worry about other people bro. No matter how crazy a system is. If it works, it's all good.

Best of luck. Tailing you for the first time tonight and will do it tomorrow also. let's see how it goes.

[ledjend]

Last game:

Utah/Ind.....UNDER 92.5

Good Luck.

[Trep]

Missed the late though that looks like a lock already. 30% shooting lol

[Fang]

I missed it too lol

[jayboy300]

i think this is a cool little system. nice job so far.

[KegKosmo]

I need spurs over as the last leg of my 1st half 5 teamer! Took the other two unders

[xpo310]

Gonna go with whatever the over is on the warriors game tomorrow at the half.. curry gonna shoot lights out then fck me over 2nd half..

[Dayuuum]

Last game:

Utah/Ind.....UNDER 92.5

Good Luck.

Dang it!! Missed this play as it came in very late but went for first 2 and won.

So a 3-0 night for you sir. BOL for today!!!! Earn us some money!!!!