2014-15 John Morrison NBA Thread

[Wallco99]

Wallco, do you think that the system is trending downward so quickly that you want to make the switch this weekend? Do you think the all-star break would affect results so that it would be better to wait?

I'm going for it in two days.

[Wallco99]

I'm going for it in two days.

No doubt about it now. WTF?

[zxc]

I'm going for it in two days.

Best of luck Wallco. BTW I'm interested how do you play it backwards? Do you play it like for example if LAL is an A bet tomorrow on 1-7-5, you risk to win 1 unit by fading LAL? Then if LAL wins you fade it the next game again to win the loss from A bet and additional 7 units? But if LAL has already lost from the A bet then you stop betting it and profit from the 1 unit you earned?

[Kev the Brit]

Morrison 1/30 Results & 1/31 Plays

Note: 1-7-5 System Rules are available here (Post #97)

1/30 Results
(Covers.com)
Legend/Abbreviations/Definitions: won - Series won 1/7/5 unit(s). lost - Bet did not win but series continues.
lost/stopped - Series lost or stopped. Series/Bet filtered out - for reason stated. MEP - Most Efficient Player.
Lose heavily ATS - lose by more than 3 points ATS

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
7.30pm #93 V2 Sacramento: C Bet won 1 unit (PB) - MEP played
7.30pm #98 V1 Sacramento: B Bet won 1 unit (PB) - MEP played

Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
7.30pm #93 V2 Sacramento: C Bet lost
7.30pm #97 V1 Portland: B Bet lost. C Bet 1/31
7.30pm #98 V1 Sacramento: B Bet lost. C Bet 1/31
8.00pm #100 V2 Dallas: B Bet won 7 units
8.00pm #101 V3 LA Clippers: B Bet lost. C Bet 1/31
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1/31 Plays
(All times EST)

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
None

Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
7.00pm #98 V1 Sacramento: C Bet to win 5 units plus lost A & B Bet amounts
8.30pm #97 V1 Portland: C Bet to win 5 units plus lost A & B Bet amounts
9.00pm #101 V3 LA Clippers: C Bet to win 5 units plus lost A & B Bet amounts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Upcoming Plays (2/1)

Currently Published Morrison System:
Scheduled:
1.00pm#103 V3 Miami: A Bet to win 1 unit
2.00pm#104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
Possible:
None

Morrison 1-7-5 System:
Scheduled:
1.00pm#103 V3 Miami: A Bet to win 1 unit
2.00pm#104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
Possible:
None
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Results to Date (11/1 - 1/30)
Completed Series

Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54): +84.00 units

Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +20.84 units

Please refer to Post #579 for detailed stats for the season so far: 11/1 to last Saturday 1/24. Detailed stats will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

* Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.

[Wallco99]

Best of luck Wallco. BTW I'm interested how do you play it backwards? Do you play it like for example if LAL is an A bet tomorrow on 1-7-5, you risk to win 1 unit by fading LAL? Then if LAL wins you fade it the next game again to win the loss from A bet and additional 7 units? But if LAL has already lost from the A bet then you stop betting it and profit from the 1 unit you earned?

You got it, Mojumbo!

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2014-15 System to Date: 48-0 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +48.00 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 1 (-1.10 units)

(1/30/15):
#48 Dallas (M/L) (B) - Win
#49 Sacramento (+10½) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 19-30
(B) 16-13
(C) 7-5
(D) 5-0
Losses: None


Games for (1/31/15):
#49 Sacramento (**) @ Indiana (B) (7:05 pm EST)

** Denotes line not available at time of post.


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses, or line changes later in the day. Get proper line if different than the one I have posted, based on the criteria that I have listed below.

We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #52 & #53.

[njb5572]

No doubt about it now. WTF?

I should have just done it two weeks ago when I first asked.. Instead I came here looking for approval. DUMB DUMB DUMB DUMB

[Wallco99]

I should have just done it two weeks ago when I first asked.. Instead I came here looking for approval. DUMB DUMB DUMB DUMB

You in with me?

[alexknyc]

You in with me?

I am.

[Wallco99]

I am.

Let's get it!

[Kev the Brit]

It took 78 series to get from 0 to 147 units, including 2 losses. After tonight there will be another 75 series to play, so its not impossible to recover significantly from here on.

I could understand fading a system if it was based on following a single team's (or small group's) long term performance (ie level bet on a single team ATS throughout the season). However, this system has no trend. It follows random teams over 178 series and the eventual outcome will be the sum of the ups and downs. Just now we are accumulating a few downs.

I liken the concept of switching to fading a system to changing a constant "heads" call on a 100 times coin toss, to a "tails" call due to a perceived tails trend half way through the process. There is no logic.

[njb5572]

Damnit Kev, I thought we were on to something..

[imotiv8]

It took 78 series to get from 0 to 147 units, including 2 losses. After tonight there will be another 75 series to play, so its not impossible to recover significantly from here on.

I could understand fading a system if it was based on following a single team's (or small group's) long term performance (ie level bet on a single team ATS throughout the season). However, this system has no trend. It follows random teams over 178 series and the eventual outcome will be the sum of the ups and downs. Just now we are accumulating a few downs.

I liken the concept of switching to fading a system to changing a constant "heads" call on a 100 times coin toss, to a "tails" call due to a perceived tails trend half way through the process. There is no logic.

I couldnt have said it better myself! Hell, just play the regular system and you'll be up

[Wallco99]

No.

[jonny2k4]

Play it buying the points.

[bonhammer]

The 1-7-5 by nature is a high variance system. 2 series losses has a swing of between 55 and 67 units. Really it comes down to what is a realistic goal of units to win per season. Wallco i don't see you suggesting people fade your NHL Gold which is doing much worse at the moment. Really people need to look at things in the long run.

[Wallco99]

The 1-7-5 by nature is a high variance system. 2 series losses has a swing of between 55 and 67 units. Really it comes down to what is a realistic goal of units to win per season. Wallco i don't see you suggesting people fade your NHL Gold which is doing much worse at the moment. Really people need to look at things in the long run.

NHL Gold is currently on a 22 series win streak. Last loss was series #114, series #115-#136 have all won. I am fading 1-7-5 starting tomorrow. I really don't care how anyone else plays it. This totally feels like a replay of last season, and last season, fade was the play.

[Wallco99]

Play it buying the points.

No.

[bonhammer]

Feels like that sounds very scientific to me. Lets forget from series 101 to 114. Of course everyone is willing to play how they like.

[Wallco99]

Feels like that sounds very scientific to me. Lets forget from series 101 to 114. Of course everyone is willing to play how they like.

Forgotten! LOL.

[Kev the Brit]

Morrison 1/31 Results & 2/1 Plays

Note: 1-7-5 System Rules are available here (Post #97)

1/31 Results
(Covers.com)
Legend/Abbreviations/Definitions: won - Series won 1/7/5 unit(s). lost - Bet did not win but series continues.
lost/stopped - Series lost or stopped. Series/Bet VOID/filtered out - for reason stated. MEP - Most Efficient Player.
Lose heavily ATS - lose by more than 3 points ATS

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
None

Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
7.00pm #98 V2 Sacramento: C Bet won 5 units
8.30pm #97 V1 Portland: C Bet lost
9.00pm #101 V3 LA Clippers: C Bet won 5 units
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2/1 Plays
(All times EST)

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
1.00pm#103 V3 Miami: A Bet to win 1 unit
2.00pm#104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit

Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
1.00pm#103 V3 Miami: A Bet to win 1 unit
2.00pm#104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Upcoming Plays (2/2)

Currently Published Morrison System:
Scheduled:
9.00pm #105 V3 Memphis: A Bet to win 1 unit
#106 V1 LA Clippers: A Bet - Series VOID - Did not lose SU all preceding in-conference road games
Possible:
None

Morrison 1-7-5 System:
Scheduled:
9.00pm #105 V3 Memphis: A Bet to win 1 unit
#106 V1 LA Clippers: A Bet - Series VOID - Did not narrowly lose all preceding in-conference road games
Possible:
None
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Results to Date (11/1 - 1/31)
Completed Series

Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54): +84.00 units

Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +4.32 units

Please refer to Post #652 for detailed stats for the season so far: 11/1 to last Saturday 1/31. Detailed stats will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

* Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.

[Kev the Brit]

Morrison Season's Results & Profit/Loss Statement to Date: 11/1 - 1/31

Currently Published Morrison System:
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)

V1 Summary
Series scheduled: 45
Series void: 4 (#1, #26, #61, #72: won all preceding road games in conference)
Series filtered out: 4 (#13, #14, #48, #64: worst road teams)
Series completed: 37
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 24-13
B Bets: 10-3
C Bets: 3-0
Unit P/L:
37 series won = +37.00 (2 PB, 2 ML - would have won series PB anyway, 1 ML - would have won series ATS anyway, 32 ATS )
0 series stopped = -00.00
0 series lost = -00.00
V1 Total P/L = +37.00 units

V2 Summary
Series scheduled: 20
Series filtered out: 4 (#9, #46: worst road teams; #31, #51: MEP injured)
Series completed: 16 (#93 in progress)
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 9-7
B Bets: 4-3
C Bets: 3-0
Unit P/L:
16 series won = +16.00 (1 PB, 1 PB & 1 ML - would have won series ATS anyway, 13 ATS)
0 series stopped = -00.00
0 series lost = -00.00
V2 Total P/L = +16.00 units

V3 Summary
Series scheduled: 37
Series filtered out: 6 (#19, #50, #60, #84: worst road teams; #40, #43 MEP injured)
Series completed: 31
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 25-6
B Bets: 5-1
C Bets: 1-0
Unit P/L:
31 series won = +31.00 (3 PB, 3 ML - would have won series PB anyway, 1 PB - would have won series ATS anyway, 26 ATS )
0 series stopped = -00.00
0 series lost = -00.00
V3 Total P/L = +31.00 units

All Versions Summary
Series scheduled: 102
Series void: 4 (see above)
Series filtered out: 14 (see above)
Series completed: 84
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 58-26
B Bets: 19-7
C Bets: 7-0
Unit P/L:
84 series won = +84.00 (6 PB, 3 ML - would have won series PB anyway, 2 ML & 2 PB - would have won series ATS anyway, 71 ATS).
0 stopped = -00.00
0 series lost = -00.00

Currently Published Morrison System Total P/L for the season so far; 11/1 to 1/31: +84.00 units
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Morrison 1-7-5 System
All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91

Series scheduled: 102
Series void: 5 (#1, #26, #36, #61, #72: didn't lose heavily ATS all preceding road games in conference)
Series completed: 97
Completed series results:
A: 58-38-1. 58 series won @ 1 unit; 1 series stopped (A Bet push) = +58.00 units
B: 20-18. 20 series won @ 7 units = +140.00 units
C: 9-9. 9 series won @ 5 units = +45.00 units; 9 series lost @ -26.52 units = -238.68 units. C Bet total = -193.68 units
Unit P/L:
A Bets: +58.00
B Bets: +140.00
C Bets: -193.68
Series scheduled: 102 A Bets lost: 38 B Bets lost: 18
Series void: 6
Series completed: 96
A Bets won @ 1 unit: 58 > > > > >
A Bets pushed: 1 B Bets won @ 7 units: 20 > >
A Bets lost: 38 B Bets lost: 18 C Bets won @ 5 units: 9
C Bets lost @ -26.52 units: 9

Reconciled totals 103 38 18

Morrison 1-7-5 System Total P/L for the season so far; 11/1 to 1/31: +4.32 units
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

* Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.

The next comprehensive Morrison statement for the season so far will be posted on Sun 2/8

[Kev the Brit]

Eagle-eyed readers of my preceding post will note that my recording of series won on PB, ML, ATS, etc, is not balanced correctly between the individual versions and the all-version summary. I'm working on it.

[BAMAsharp]

NFL bet?

Can somebody explain the difference in his Super Bowl never lost bet, and his normal NFL system? I'm sure its another JM misleading strategy, but was curious how it differed.

Thanks!

[Wallco99]

Can somebody explain the difference in his Super Bowl never lost bet, and his normal NFL system? I'm sure its another JM misleading strategy, but was curious how it differed.

Thanks!

That bet is for next season, you will fade this year's Super Bowl winner. But the way she markets it, she misleads you in to thinking it is for tonight's game. She just wants you to buy it now.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2014-15 System to Date: 49-0 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +49.00 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0

(1/31/15):
#49 Sacramento (+5½) (B) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 19-30
(B) 17-13
(C) 8-5
(D) 5-0
Losses: None



There are no system plays for (2/1/15):


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #52 & #53.

[Brundle99]

Any of you guys thinking of betting on the Super Bowl tonight? Line was PK, now Seattle is -1.0

[imotiv8]

Seahawks

[Kev the Brit]

Seahawks

Well, they got lucky then they got stupid.

[Kev the Brit]

Morrison 2/1 Results & 2/2 Plays

Note: 1-7-5 System Rules are available here (Post #97)

2/1 Results
(Covers.com)
Legend/Abbreviations/Definitions: won - Series won 1/7/5 unit(s). lost - Bet did not win but series continues.
lost/stopped - Series lost or stopped. Series/Bet VOID/filtered out - for reason stated. MEP - Most Efficient Player.
Lose heavily ATS - lose by more than 3 points ATS

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
1.00pm #103 V3 Miami: A Bet won 1 unit
2.00pm #104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet lost. B Bet 2/4


Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
1.00pm #103 V3 Miami: A Bet won 1 unit
2.00pm #104 V1 LA Lakers: A Bet lost. B Bet 2/4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2/2 Plays
(All times EST)

Currently Published Morrison System
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
9.00pm #105 V3 Memphis: A Bet to win 1 unit
#106 V1 LA Clippers: A Bet - Series VOID - Did not lose SU all preceding in-conference road games

Morrison 1-7-5 System
(ATS all bets)
9.00pm #105 V3 Memphis: A Bet to win 1 unit
#106 V1 LA Clippers: A Bet - Series VOID - Did not narrowly lose all preceding in-conference road games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Upcoming Plays (2/3)

Currently Published Morrison System:
Scheduled:
7.00pm #107 V1 Denver: A Bet to win 1 unit
Possible:
None

Morrison 1-7-5 System:
Scheduled:
7.00pm #107 V1 Denver: A Bet to win 1 unit
Possible:
None
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Results to Date (11/1 - 2/1)
Completed Series

Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far (3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54): +85.00 units

Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far (ATS all bets @ odds -110/1.91): +5.32 units

Please refer to Post #652 for detailed stats for the season so far: 11/1 to last Saturday 1/31. Detailed stats will continue to be posted weekly on Sundays.

* Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.

[imotiv8]

Well, they got lucky then they got stupid.

Yep, just runnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

[Wallco99]

***

[skyscrapers]

The trophy was gift-wrapped and handed to the Pats.

[Brundle99]

The trophy was gift-wrapped and handed to the Pats.

The last few minutes were incredible. Won $100 on NEP 😀

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2014-15 System to Date: 49-0 (fin. series)
System Profit/Loss: +49.00 units (fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0

v1 Plays
(A) 19-30
(B) 17-13
(C) 8-5
(D) 5-0
Losses: None