NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

[JMon]

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 68-59-2 53.5% (+5.27) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 2-3 (-1.20)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 12-11 (+.80)

2. pip2 - 12-11 (+.33)

3. nash13 - 6-4 (+1.82)

4. Ronald S. - 9-11 (-2.70)

5. hyahya - 6-4-1 (+1.55)

6. Mako-SBR - 11-10 (0.00)

7. Heart - 1-0 (+1.00)

8. Consigliere - 8-4-1 (+3.77)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot

Overall record adjusted due to dmitean quitting. Nice first win Heart!!! Mako your little heater is not going unnoticed...popping off 6 straight Best Bets!

[JMon]

Can someone please be kind enough to translate the below query?

Average(margin@team and season)>=3

I believe you are after 'average margin of victory on the season is by 3 or more.'

[dmitean]

Not sure why you think the Best Bet is a contest- it was never intended to be (hence why I never put anyone in order for most units!!!); rather it is for us to have fun and track NBA SDQL 'Best Best' 2014-15 for ourselves and on-lookers. You're right, I won't waste another moment trying to explain, for accurate tracking, why your play wasn't documented as a SDQL play for that day. geez,lol .

Yeah, "contest" was a poor choice of words. Just didn't know how to name it properly...

[dmitean]

streak>9 and site=away and line >0 and playoffs=0
SU:9-28 (-7.05, 24.3%)ATS:13-24-0 (-3.31, 35.1%) avg line: 3.7O/U:20-17-0 (1.04, 54.1%) avg total: 195.6
Very hot teams, playing as dogs on the road don't do well

[Heart]

I believe you are after 'average margin of victory on the season is by 3 or more.'

yup thanks! I figured it out after I posted. Spent all day yesterday looking over the queries and whittling down what I personally think is useful. Hopefully that will show up in my best bet results.

Wow, damn lakers won in San Antonio straight up.

[Heart]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/13/14 7:05pm Brooklyn Nets +3½ -105 vs Charlotte Hornets

SDQL:
opvertime>0 and o:rest=0 and A and playoffs=0
ATS: 91-58-2 (1.87, 61.1%)


Translation to english
Play away team against a team coming off an overtime game on no rest in the regular season.


Uggh.. how do I turn the smiley's off?

[JMon]

Heart

Edit your post, select Go Advanced, select 'disable smilies' and save it.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/13/14 11:10a CT

Play Dal UN 215 -110


SDQL: total>=210 and tA(points)>=102 and 98>=oA(ooints)>=92 and points>=100 and ppoints>=100 and 2011<=season

English: Since 2011 play under a total of 210 or more, a good offensive team after scoring 100 points or more three straight against a good defensive team.

[hyahya]

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Play LAC -5 (-110)

A and p:AFL and p:line >= -4 and season > 2007

Play an away team off a loss on the road as a small favorite.

[pip2]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/13/14 12:03 pm pst Reduced Basketball 511 Los Angeles Clippers/Milwaukee Bucks Over 209 -105*

SDQL:

30 > game number > 19 and A and season > 2002 and oA(dpa,N=3)>3 and oA(dps,N=3)>1 and tA(dps,N=3)>1 and tA(dpa,N=3)>3

SDQL: English

2 teams meet, both on 3-game mini streaks where on average they both scored and allowed more points than expected by oddsmakers. These teams will go over.

[Cutler'sThumb]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/13/14 11:10a CT

Play Dal UN 215 -110


SDQL: total>=210 and tA(points)>=102 and 98>=oA(ooints)>=92 and points>=100 and ppoints>=100 and 2011<=season

English: Since 2011 play under a total of 210 or more, a good offensive team after scoring 100 points or more three straight against a good defensive team.

Nice hit Jmon! Small sample, but with that kind of record stretched over 3+ seasons it was def worth playing.

[Mako-SBR]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/13/14 3:55p PST

Play: LAC (-5.5) MIL -110

SDQL:
AF and p:AFL and p:line>=-3 and line>=-9 and game number>=12 and season>=2006

English:
Playing an away favorite that previously lost as an away favorite, with a line in that last game that indicated they should have won if they had played well. A typical bounce-back play, and it doesn't hurt much taking the Clippers on the road lately...

[JMon]

Nice hit Jmon! Small sample, but with that kind of record stretched over 3+ seasons it was def worth playing.

[GolfAddict]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/13/14 9:45pm EST

Piston +6 (-110)

AD and o:WP >= 48 and WP <= 18 and p:ats margin >= 11.5

When two below average teams play. Play the under dog coming off a big upset win

[dmitean]

Updated the file with tonight's queries.

[pip2]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/14/14 6:30am pst Reduced Basketball 813 San Antonio Spurs/Denver Nuggets Under 205 -105*

SDQL:

A and tA(assists) > oA(assists) and tA(rebounds) < oA(rebounds) and tA(FTA) < oA(FTA) and tA(blocks) > oA(blocks) and tA(FGP) > oA(FGP) and tA(TPP) > oA(TPP) and tA(TO) < oA(TO) and o:rest!=2 and season > 2006 and (194 > total or total > 198)

SDQL: English

Since 2006, 2 teams with different personalities defined by their season-long relative tendencies meeting today. SA excels in passing the ball with fewer turnovers, blocking more shots, and shooting a higher field goal percentage. Denver grabs more rebounds and has rested for any length of time besides 2 days. The total for the game is around 205, above the 198 stipulation of the query. These two teams should go under as sa's methodical disciplined approach to the game somewhat stunts den's capacity for grabbing rebounds and dashing to the other end of the court.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 71-61-2 53.7% (+6.07) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 3-2 (+.80)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 13-11 (+1.80)

2. pip2 - 13-11 (+1.33)

3. nash13 - 6-4 (+1.82)

4. Ronald S. - 9-11 (-2.70)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 11-11 (-1.10)

7. Heart - 2-0 (+2.00)

8. Consigliere - 8-4-1 (+3.77)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot

[Heart]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/14/14 7:05pm Los Angeles Lakers -2½ -105 vs Minnesota Timberwolves

I'm seeing two distinct queeries pointing to the Lake show today.

SDQL:
#1) AF and P:season=season and (Points in the paint)>(Pooints in the paint) and P:L and playoffs=0
#2) A and (tS(M2<=-10,N=5)>=3 or tS(M3<=-10,N=5)>=3 or tS(margin<=-10,N=5)>=3) and -0.5>= line>=-4.5 and playoffs=0

Translation to english
#1) Play away fav who's previous matchup against same team that season they had more points in the paint and still lost
#2) Play away team on a short fav line where they've been getting their ass kicked at the end of the half, 3rd qtr, or end of game for at least 3 out of the last 5 games. In this case it applies to end of game margin.

[JMon]

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

12/14/14 -9:45a CT

Play - TOR -6 -110

SDQL: tA(FTA)<=21 and oA(FTA)>=26.5 and HD and line<10 and rest<2 and o:rest<2 and 2 < wins < 21 and o:wins>14<wins<21 and="" o:wins="">

English: Fade a home dog of no more than 9.5, a team that is on less 2 days rest averages less than 22 FT a game against an oppt on less 2 days rest and averages more than 26 FT a games and has more than 14 wins on the season.</wins<21>

[Mako-SBR]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/14/14 12:17p PST

Play: UTH (+11) WAS -110

SDQL:
AD and WP<=50 and o:WP>=50 and ats streak<0 and o:ats streak>0 and division!=o:division and (opW or op:AFW) and on:H and 59>=game number>=10 and line<=12 and season>=2006

English:
Betting on a bad away dog, winning fewer than 50% of its games on the season, including a loss in their last game ATS, against a team outside their division that has won more than 50% of its games on the season, including a win in their last game ATS in which their were either a dog or an away favorite, and whose next game is at home and who are laying 12 points or less.

[Ronald S.]

NBA BEST BET

12/14/14 4:30 PM EST

Minnesota +130 (vs LA Lakers)

p:AD and p:line >= 11.5 and p:margin >= -2 and season >= 2002 and rest = o:rest

SU: 20-46 (-8.86, 30.3%)
ATS: 18-44-4 (-5.43, 29.0%) avg line: 3.4

Play against the team on equal rest with their opponent and are coming off a narrow loss or win in their previous game as a large underdog

[JMon]

NBA BEST BET

12/14/14 4:30 PM EST

Minnesota +130 (vs LA Lakers)

p:AD and p:line >= 11.5 and p:margin >= -2 and season >= 2002 and rest = o:rest

SU: 20-46 (-8.86, 30.3%)
ATS: 18-44-4 (-5.43, 29.0%) avg line: 3.4

Play against the team on equal rest with their opponent and are coming off a narrow loss or win in their previous game as a large underdog

Tough..those short favs =>-3 may spell trouble. Bol Ronald..did you view Heart's queries?

[GolfAddict]

I won't with Detroit+6 last night should be 4-4

[JMon]

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 74-63-2 54.0% (+6.97) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 3-2 (+.90)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 13-12 (+.70)

2. pip2 - 14-11 (+2.33)

3. nash13 - 6-4 (+1.82)

4. Ronald S. - 9-12 (-3.70)

5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)

6. Mako-SBR - 12-11 (-.10)

7. Heart - 3-0 (+3.00)

8. Consigliere - 8-4-1 (+3.77)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot

[GolfAddict]

JMON

On Saturday I had pistons +6 and they won. Think my record should be 4-4 (-.30)

[Heart]

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/15/14 7:35pm Orlando Magic +7 -108 vs Toronto Raptors

SDQL:
A and opvertime>0 and o:rest=0 and op:W and playoffs=0

Translation to english:
Play the away team going against a team coming off of an overtime victory with no rest in the regular season.

Other comments:
Extra BONUS play...but not my official best bet... I also like the Hawks -2.5 based on this query:
p:AFL and pp:HFW and ppp:FW and season>2000 and playoffs=0 ... tweak it to fit this situation even more by adding " and 0>line>-3" and percentage really shoots up.

[Ronald S.]

Tough..those short favs =>-3 may spell trouble. Bol Ronald..did you view Heart's queries?

Did not unfortunately!

I'm running so bad right now I don't think it would have mattered what I picked

[Ronald S.]

NBA Best Bet

12/15/14 1:30 PM EST

Orlando +7 -108 (@Toronto) (5dimes)

AD and ats streak >= 4 and season >= 2012 and 2.5 <= line <= 8
SU: 28-32 (-2.72, 46.7%)
ATS: 40-19-1 (2.56, 67.8%) avg line: 5.3
AD and ats streak >= 4 and season >= 2012 and 2.5 <= line <= 8 and P:ats margin >= 0
SU: 20-16 (-0.67, 55.6%)
ATS: 28-8-0 (4.76, 77.8%) avg line: 5.4


Well I hope I don't mush Heart's play but here goes. Play the away team who have covered in their last 4+ games and is a small to moderate underdog. Trend is even better if they covered in their previous matchup against their opponent.

[Heart]

Let's get it, Ronald!

[dmitean]

Today's queries - some are really nice I think:

80 Hawks -2.5
158 Under 196 in Toronto

126 Under 199 in Indiana
121 13 3 Boston -5 - very very mediocre (121)
96 Orlando +7
86 Under 209.5 in Phoenix - like it a lot
66 Over 206 in Philly

[nash13]

I like the Under for the Suns too. Waiting for odds movement to jump in.

[JMon]

JMON

On Saturday I had pistons +6 and they won. Think my record should be 4-4 (-.30)

I think there was a reason why I didn't document it, but don't recall..now. . Maybe cause the query you showed for the play wasn't active that day...I don't remember. Run it and see if it was and let me know.

[Heart]

how are totals trends doing as of late? I've completely avoided them since I started following along this thread since at one point they weren't doing so hot.

nash, you thinking that Suns total will go up before tip off?

[nash13]

NBA Best Bet

12/15/14 11:00 PM CET

Play: Under 209.5 Bucks@Suns (-103)

SDQL: tA(points)>101 and p:TPA>25 and p:TPP<30 and season>2007 and p:FTA<25 and 210>total>200 and p:L

SDQL English: Take the Under in a Game where the Average Points for a team is bigger than 101 and previous Three Pointers Attempted were bigger than 25 and Teams Point in the Paint where fewer than 30 and previous Free Throw Attempts were fewer than 25. the total for that match has to be between 200 and 210. only take games after 2007 into account.

[nash13]

how are totals trends doing as of late? I've completely avoided them since I started following along this thread since at one point they weren't doing so hot.

nash, you thinking that Suns total will go up before tip off?

line moved. it has been -114 at times. now it has gone up again. so people are trending the over. i fade the public at times.