2nd Half Strategy

**cmatth1326** · 01-20-14, 08:02 PM

I'm a believer.

**dykstra** · 01-20-14, 09:06 PM

Por/hou under 109

**dykstra** · 01-20-14, 09:08 PM

Lal/chi under 99 1/2

**rc86** · 01-20-14, 09:14 PM

man i don't know about those picks so...no action for me =)

**sunesaraz** · 01-20-14, 09:19 PM

Hopefully rockets play like they did against OKC last week.

**cmatth1326** · 01-20-14, 10:25 PM

So I take Portland and Chicago and Chicago goes into OT. FML.

**Trep** · 01-20-14, 10:40 PM

Almost made the lakers/chicago game even with ot. lot of ball fumbling in ot. oh well =(

**rc86** · 01-20-14, 10:55 PM

been tailing you most of the day...let's get the next one!

**dykstra** · 01-20-14, 11:43 PM

Ind/GS over 99 1/2

**Trep** · 01-20-14, 11:52 PM

Wow changed 3x while trying to place. Got 100.5 only. Lets see how to cap the night

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 01:52 PM

1/20 Results = 5-4, +$300

Last Week Results = 22-13, +$3925

Since Discovery on 1/7 = 47-25, +$9825

5-4 yesterday...Lakers game sucked, but bad beats are gonna happen...

What's most important to me is that we had a shot to win every single game yesterday...

My feeling is that 60-75% of these games are gonna come down to the last minute...and at that point it becomes a coinflip...some of these teams will foul down 15 with 10 sec left...others will concede down 6 with 20 sec left...law of averages says we can expect to win 50% of these...

What I really focus on is making sure we're on the right side of the other 25-40%...the no sweat games...like the Memphis game yesterday...we got the over with 2 min left...the Sixers and Heat games were pretty easy, and the Lakers game was also a no sweat, had it not gone to OT...

One horrible quarter in both the Knicks and Rockets games did us in there, but we still had a shot in both at the end...and Dallas we lost in the last 10 seconds...

So, wins and losses are definitely the most important thing...there's no doubt about that...but the quality of the wins and losses is almost equally as important when you're following a cold hard numbers strategy...

If we start to find ourselves too often on the wrong side of the cakewalks, that may be an indicator that it's time to jump ship...

Until then, I'll be here...see ya bout 830.

Later.

**Trep** · 01-21-14, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by dykstra

My feeling is that 60-75% of these games are gonna come down to the last minute...and at that point it becomes a coinflip...some of these teams will foul down 15 with 10 sec left...others will concede down 6 with 20 sec left...law of averages says we can expect to win 50% of these...

I really don't understand this either. It seems ridiculous sometimes they're down like 15 and keep fouling with 45s left. There really doesn't seem to be logic sometimes...so it really is a coin flip like you said.

I like how I know basically what you're going to bet before you post as it is basically my thoughts on it. You just do it systematically so leaves the degenerate aspect out of it. One of these days I would like to see your full logic on the games.

Until then. Really appreciate the picks and hope to actually hit the more sure ones and magically miss the unlucky ones (hard to tail at halftime every game with a day job).

**ChicagoCover** · 01-21-14, 04:04 PM

Best of luck today, Tuesday!

**KeepItCummin** · 01-21-14, 04:50 PM

BOL today n c u at halftime!

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 08:40 PM

Orl/Brk looks like no play

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 08:45 PM

Bos/Mia also a no play

**Trep** · 01-21-14, 08:45 PM

Sounds good. Better no action than random action =)

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 09:02 PM

Back on the books.

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Jan 21	NBA [2508] TOTAL u106½-110 (2H POR TRAIL BLAZERS vrs 2H OKL THUNDER)	550.00 USD / 500.00 USD	70164718

**Highsaac** · 01-21-14, 09:04 PM

got u107. lets do it!

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 09:20 PM

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Jan 21	NBA [2505] TOTAL o102½-110 (2H SAC KINGS vrs 2H NO PELICANS)	550.00 USD / 500.00 USD	70166982

**GT21Megatron** · 01-21-14, 09:36 PM

Dykstra.....get your thinking cap on for the twolves/jazz game cause im taking whatever you lay down

**Highsaac** · 01-21-14, 09:42 PM

damn NOP can't throw a rock in an ocean right now.

**GT21Megatron** · 01-21-14, 10:05 PM

Lay it down Lenny

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 10:08 PM

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Jan 21	NBA [2510] TOTAL u101½-110 (2H MIN T-WOLVES vrs 2H UTA JAZZ)	550.00 USD / 500.00 USD	70170193

**GT21Megatron** · 01-21-14, 10:12 PM

Originally posted by dykstra

WagerType:	Date:	Team:	Risking / To Win	Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET	Jan 21	NBA [2510] TOTAL u101½-110 (2H MIN T-WOLVES vrs 2H UTA JAZZ)	550.00 USD / 500.00 USD	70170193

LOCKED IN

**Highsaac** · 01-21-14, 11:11 PM

don't understand this 2nd half. so frustrating.

**Time is Money** · 01-21-14, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by Highsaac

don't understand this 2nd half. so frustrating.

Neither of these teams can play a lick of defense, what's not to get

**GT21Megatron** · 01-21-14, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by Time is Money

Neither of these teams can play a lick of defense, what's not to get

Hmmmmmm damnit......

**drfunkmaster** · 01-21-14, 11:15 PM

unreal... no defense what so ever...

**cmatth1326** · 01-21-14, 11:16 PM

My fault boys. Every game but one I've tailed him on has lost. I'm the cooler these days. I can't win a fukkin thing these days. I'll stay away and everything should clear out for smooth sailing.

**Highsaac** · 01-21-14, 11:25 PM

Utah scoring 62 in the first 3 combined and 35 in the 4th, while they were down 20 with nothing to play for. Just a little frustrating.

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 11:32 PM

1/21 Results = 1-2, -$600

This Week's Results = 6-6, -$300

Since Discovery on 1/7 = 48-27, +$9225

Not an awful night...just feels a lot worse cause we really never had a chance in either of the losses...not sure which one was more frustrating...

Anyway, big night tomorrow...see ya round 8.

Later.

**GT21Megatron** · 01-21-14, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by dykstra

1/21 Results = 1-2, -$600

This Week's Results = 6-6, -$300

Since Discovery on 1/7 = 48-27, +$9225

Not an awful night...just feels a lot worse cause we really never had a chance in either of the losses...not sure which one was more frustrating...

Anyway, big night tomorrow...see ya round 8.

Later.

Later bro....keep after it

**dykstra** · 01-21-14, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by cmatth1326

My fault boys. Every game but one I've tailed him on has lost. I'm the cooler these days. I can't win a fukkin thing these days. I'll stay away and everything should clear out for smooth sailing.

Dude I hope you don't actually believe this...every week has started off a little slow...keep following and it'll turn.

**KeepItCummin** · 01-21-14, 11:50 PM

Yea not to good today but never loose hope... It will b better. Books gotta make some money also to stay in business.. C y'all tomorrow halftime!