2nd Half Strategy

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  • cmatth1326
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-18-08
    • 761

    #106
    I'm a believer.
    Comment
    • dykstra
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-20-13
      • 495

      #107
      Por/hou under 109
      Comment
      • dykstra
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-20-13
        • 495

        #108
        Lal/chi under 99 1/2
        Comment
        • rc86
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-21-13
          • 248

          #109
          man i don't know about those picks so...no action for me =)
          Comment
          • sunesaraz
            SBR Hustler
            • 02-10-08
            • 79

            #110
            Hopefully rockets play like they did against OKC last week.
            Comment
            • cmatth1326
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-18-08
              • 761

              #111
              So I take Portland and Chicago and Chicago goes into OT. FML.
              Comment
              • Trep
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-25-13
                • 375

                #112
                Almost made the lakers/chicago game even with ot. lot of ball fumbling in ot. oh well =(
                Comment
                • rc86
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-21-13
                  • 248

                  #113
                  been tailing you most of the day...let's get the next one!
                  Comment
                  • dykstra
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-20-13
                    • 495

                    #114
                    Ind/GS over 99 1/2
                    Comment
                    • Trep
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-25-13
                      • 375

                      #115
                      Wow changed 3x while trying to place. Got 100.5 only. Lets see how to cap the night
                      Comment
                      • dykstra
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-20-13
                        • 495

                        #116
                        1/20 Results = 5-4, +$300

                        Last Week Results = 22-13, +$3925

                        Since Discovery on 1/7 = 47-25, +$9825


                        5-4 yesterday...Lakers game sucked, but bad beats are gonna happen...

                        What's most important to me is that we had a shot to win every single game yesterday...

                        My feeling is that 60-75% of these games are gonna come down to the last minute...and at that point it becomes a coinflip...some of these teams will foul down 15 with 10 sec left...others will concede down 6 with 20 sec left...law of averages says we can expect to win 50% of these...

                        What I really focus on is making sure we're on the right side of the other 25-40%...the no sweat games...like the Memphis game yesterday...we got the over with 2 min left...the Sixers and Heat games were pretty easy, and the Lakers game was also a no sweat, had it not gone to OT...

                        One horrible quarter in both the Knicks and Rockets games did us in there, but we still had a shot in both at the end...and Dallas we lost in the last 10 seconds...

                        So, wins and losses are definitely the most important thing...there's no doubt about that...but the quality of the wins and losses is almost equally as important when you're following a cold hard numbers strategy...

                        If we start to find ourselves too often on the wrong side of the cakewalks, that may be an indicator that it's time to jump ship...

                        Until then, I'll be here...see ya bout 830.

                        Later.
                        Comment
                        • Trep
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-25-13
                          • 375

                          #117
                          Originally posted by dykstra
                          My feeling is that 60-75% of these games are gonna come down to the last minute...and at that point it becomes a coinflip...some of these teams will foul down 15 with 10 sec left...others will concede down 6 with 20 sec left...law of averages says we can expect to win 50% of these...
                          I really don't understand this either. It seems ridiculous sometimes they're down like 15 and keep fouling with 45s left. There really doesn't seem to be logic sometimes...so it really is a coin flip like you said.


                          I like how I know basically what you're going to bet before you post as it is basically my thoughts on it. You just do it systematically so leaves the degenerate aspect out of it. One of these days I would like to see your full logic on the games.

                          Until then. Really appreciate the picks and hope to actually hit the more sure ones and magically miss the unlucky ones (hard to tail at halftime every game with a day job).
                          Comment
                          • ChicagoCover
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-11-10
                            • 661

                            #118
                            Best of luck today, Tuesday!


                            Comment
                            • KeepItCummin
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-20-14
                              • 158

                              #119
                              BOL today n c u at halftime!
                              Comment
                              • dykstra
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-20-13
                                • 495

                                #120
                                Orl/Brk looks like no play
                                Comment
                                • dykstra
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-20-13
                                  • 495

                                  #121
                                  Bos/Mia also a no play
                                  Comment
                                  • Trep
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-25-13
                                    • 375

                                    #122
                                    Sounds good. Better no action than random action =)
                                    Comment
                                    • dykstra
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-20-13
                                      • 495

                                      #123
                                      Back on the books.

                                      WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
                                      STRAIGHT BET Jan 21 NBA [2508] TOTAL u106½-110 (2H POR TRAIL BLAZERS vrs 2H OKL THUNDER) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 70164718
                                      Comment
                                      • Highsaac
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-21-14
                                        • 208

                                        #124
                                        got u107. lets do it!
                                        Comment
                                        • dykstra
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-20-13
                                          • 495

                                          #125
                                          WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
                                          STRAIGHT BET Jan 21 NBA [2505] TOTAL o102½-110 (2H SAC KINGS vrs 2H NO PELICANS) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 70166982
                                          Comment
                                          • GT21Megatron
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-20-13
                                            • 10818

                                            #126
                                            Dykstra.....get your thinking cap on for the twolves/jazz game cause im taking whatever you lay down
                                            Comment
                                            • Highsaac
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-21-14
                                              • 208

                                              #127
                                              damn NOP can't throw a rock in an ocean right now.
                                              Comment
                                              • GT21Megatron
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-20-13
                                                • 10818

                                                #128
                                                Lay it down Lenny
                                                Comment
                                                • dykstra
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-20-13
                                                  • 495

                                                  #129
                                                  WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
                                                  STRAIGHT BET Jan 21 NBA [2510] TOTAL u101½-110 (2H MIN T-WOLVES vrs 2H UTA JAZZ) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 70170193
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GT21Megatron
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-20-13
                                                    • 10818

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by dykstra
                                                    WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
                                                    STRAIGHT BET Jan 21 NBA [2510] TOTAL u101½-110 (2H MIN T-WOLVES vrs 2H UTA JAZZ) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 70170193

                                                    LOCKED IN
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Highsaac
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-21-14
                                                      • 208

                                                      #131
                                                      don't understand this 2nd half. so frustrating.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Time is Money
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-03-07
                                                        • 2255

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Highsaac
                                                        don't understand this 2nd half. so frustrating.
                                                        Neither of these teams can play a lick of defense, what's not to get
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GT21Megatron
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-20-13
                                                          • 10818

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Time is Money
                                                          Neither of these teams can play a lick of defense, what's not to get
                                                          Hmmmmmm damnit......
                                                          Comment
                                                          • drfunkmaster
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-29-08
                                                            • 11162

                                                            #134
                                                            unreal... no defense what so ever...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cmatth1326
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-18-08
                                                              • 761

                                                              #135
                                                              My fault boys. Every game but one I've tailed him on has lost. I'm the cooler these days. I can't win a fukkin thing these days. I'll stay away and everything should clear out for smooth sailing.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Highsaac
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 01-21-14
                                                                • 208

                                                                #136
                                                                Utah scoring 62 in the first 3 combined and 35 in the 4th, while they were down 20 with nothing to play for. Just a little frustrating.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dykstra
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-20-13
                                                                  • 495

                                                                  #137
                                                                  1/21 Results = 1-2, -$600

                                                                  This Week's Results = 6-6, -$300

                                                                  Since Discovery on 1/7 = 48-27, +$9225


                                                                  Not an awful night...just feels a lot worse cause we really never had a chance in either of the losses...not sure which one was more frustrating...

                                                                  Anyway, big night tomorrow...see ya round 8.

                                                                  Later.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GT21Megatron
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-20-13
                                                                    • 10818

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by dykstra
                                                                    1/21 Results = 1-2, -$600

                                                                    This Week's Results = 6-6, -$300

                                                                    Since Discovery on 1/7 = 48-27, +$9225


                                                                    Not an awful night...just feels a lot worse cause we really never had a chance in either of the losses...not sure which one was more frustrating...

                                                                    Anyway, big night tomorrow...see ya round 8.

                                                                    Later.
                                                                    Later bro....keep after it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dykstra
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-20-13
                                                                      • 495

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by cmatth1326
                                                                      My fault boys. Every game but one I've tailed him on has lost. I'm the cooler these days. I can't win a fukkin thing these days. I'll stay away and everything should clear out for smooth sailing.
                                                                      Dude I hope you don't actually believe this...every week has started off a little slow...keep following and it'll turn.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KeepItCummin
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 01-20-14
                                                                        • 158

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Yea not to good today but never loose hope... It will b better. Books gotta make some money also to stay in business.. C y'all tomorrow halftime!
                                                                        Comment
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