2nd Half Strategy

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  • dykstra
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-20-13
    • 495

    #71
    Taking under in Bos/Orl...waiting for better price.
    Comment
    • dykstra
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-20-13
      • 495

      #72
      WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
      STRAIGHT BET Jan 19 NBA [2804] TOTAL u97-110 (2H BOS CELTICS vrs 2H ORL MAGIC) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 20485863
      Got it.
      Comment
      • dykstra
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-20-13
        • 495

        #73
        WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
        STRAIGHT BET Jan 19 NBA [2805] TOTAL o98½-105 (2H MIL BUCKS vrs 2H SAN SPURS) 525.00 USD / 500.00 USD 20486864
        Comment
        • dykstra
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-20-13
          • 495

          #74
          Taking under in Sac/Okc...waiting for better price.
          Comment
          • dykstra
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-20-13
            • 495

            #75
            WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
            STRAIGHT BET Jan 19 NBA [2808] TOTAL u105-110 (2H SAC KINGS vrs 2H OKC THUNDER) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 20487867
            Got it.
            Comment
            • dykstra
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-20-13
              • 495

              #76
              WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
              STRAIGHT BET Jan 19 NBA [2810] TOTAL u106½-110 (2H DEN NUGGETS vrs 2H PHO SUNS) 550.00 USD / 500.00 USD 20490122
              Comment
              • glfnut0
                SBR Hustler
                • 02-02-10
                • 75

                #77
                dyxstra how confident in the suns/Denver that seems low
                Comment
                • Trep
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-25-13
                  • 375

                  #78
                  As long Phoenix takes lead higher should be solid IMO...so they don't pull foul/ot bs
                  Comment
                  • dykstra
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-20-13
                    • 495

                    #79
                    1/19 Results = 4-1, +$1450

                    New Strategy Results = 19-13, +$2425


                    Boom!...and that's how you finish a week.

                    As noted above, "documented" new strategy plays went 19-13...add Monday which would've been 3-0, you're 22-13 on the week...the 6 days prior to that went 20-8...

                    Add it all up, we're 42-21 over the last 13 days...pretty goddam good.


                    I said when I started this thread that I had a good feeling about this strategy...I've been doing this s**t for quite some time...and while it's been profitable, I've never really come up with something that logically made sense, and actually worked.

                    I've always gone by feel and line movement...which most of us do...but that only takes you so far...no matter how hot you get, it always seems like you're one or two bad beats away from losing your groove...

                    With this strategy, there's none of that...it's all cold hard numbers and percentages...type in the formula, make the percentage play...done.

                    That being said, of course, there's still a chance that I get my ass handed to me this week...and it wouldn't be the first time...

                    But I can tell you this, I am not someone who would be wasting my time posting plays on a forum unless I thought I had something that could really benefit others...

                    And although it seems like the majority of people who comment on these threads are complete dips**ts, I know there's a lot of good people out there who just watch and keep quiet...and that's why I'm here.


                    Anyway, for those of you who are planning on tailing or have already began to do so, I recommend you flat bet as I'm doing...I play to win $500 on every single game...no more, no less.

                    So pick a number you're comfortable with and play every single game for that exact amount for the entire week...consistency in money management is critical to your success.

                    You can follow the best strategy in the world with the highest winning percentage, but if you're all over the place with your money, you will eventually crash and burn.


                    Ok lecture's over...early day tom...see ya round 2:00.

                    Later.
                    Comment
                    • Trep
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-25-13
                      • 375

                      #80
                      Thanks for the picks. Regardless of a win or loss I still appreciate everyone that takes the time to share as no one is forcing people to bet.

                      regarding shopping for prices...any tips on that? Haven't noticed much movement in the short halftime. Are you normally just going for -110...or what are good lines? It seems my books close a bit early so I end up just locking early to be sure. Posting ahead of time who you're taking like you have been also has been really helpful
                      Comment
                      • dykstra
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-20-13
                        • 495

                        #81
                        -110 or better - lock it in
                        -111 or worse - wait for -110 or better


                        It's rare that I don't get -110 or better...it happens, but rarely...sometimes I'll have to wait til just a few minutes before the half starts, but it usually comes.
                        Comment
                        • KeepItCummin
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-20-14
                          • 158

                          #82
                          dykstra, been following you for the past couple of days and really enjoyed your strategy. nicely done! and just let you know that i registered with sbr just to give you props on what you are doing and thank you so much for your work! KeepItCummin!
                          Comment
                          • KeepItCummin
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-20-14
                            • 158

                            #83
                            by the way, not to sound like an idiot but what do you mean by:

                            -110 or better - lock it in
                            -111 or worse - wait for -110 or better

                            wouldnt 111 be considered better in the "110 or better"? but looking forward for this morning!
                            Comment
                            • Trep
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-25-13
                              • 375

                              #84
                              Lower is better. -110 means betting $110 to win $100. -111 means betting $111 to win $100
                              Comment
                              • KeepItCummin
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-20-14
                                • 158

                                #85
                                lol...damn rookie minded me... thanks Trep. i was thinking the opposite.. lol here for the halftime wait buddy! good luck today guys and gals!
                                Comment
                                • Trep
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-25-13
                                  • 375

                                  #86
                                  Check this page out (not sure if i'm allowed to post links) for a good general overview of everything:
                                  Guide to sports betting for NFL, NBA, MLB and college football with analysis of major types of bets, strategies, and calculators. Tackle them all in one move!
                                  Comment
                                  • dykstra
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-20-13
                                    • 495

                                    #87
                                    My guy did me dirty today and cut me off 15 min before the 1:00 games...now I'm scramblin to find a new book...in the meantime, I'll continue to track and post the plays for those of you following:

                                    Dal/Cle under 100 1/2
                                    Comment
                                    • boydako13
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-08-13
                                      • 2051

                                      #88
                                      How abt clip/det?..thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • dykstra
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-20-13
                                        • 495

                                        #89
                                        Lac/Det under 102 1/2
                                        Comment
                                        • LetsStreak2442
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-15-14
                                          • 145

                                          #90
                                          hoping on the under with you.
                                          Comment
                                          • Trep
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-25-13
                                            • 375

                                            #91
                                            Was only getting dal at 99

                                            Hoped on clips at 102
                                            Comment
                                            • dykstra
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-20-13
                                              • 495

                                              #92
                                              Tor/Cha no play
                                              Comment
                                              • sunesaraz
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 02-10-08
                                                • 79

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by dykstra
                                                Tor/Cha no play

                                                Agreed.
                                                Comment
                                                • boydako13
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-08-13
                                                  • 2051

                                                  #94
                                                  Tailing u on Tor/Cha..lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dykstra
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-20-13
                                                    • 495

                                                    #95
                                                    Phi/Was under 103
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 16johnnymac
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-27-10
                                                      • 3499

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by dykstra
                                                      My guy did me dirty today and cut me off 15 min before the 1:00 games...now I'm scramblin to find a new book...in the meantime, I'll continue to track and post the plays for those of you following:

                                                      Dal/Cle under 100 1/2
                                                      I will message u with good book not sure I can post here so check your private messages

                                                      16johnnymac
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dykstra
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-20-13
                                                        • 495

                                                        #97
                                                        Brk/Ny over 96
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LetsStreak2442
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-15-14
                                                          • 145

                                                          #98
                                                          any reasoning?? which team do you think lights it up?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 16johnnymac
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-27-10
                                                            • 3499

                                                            #99
                                                            My book let's you book till clock starts to
                                                            Tick
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dykstra
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-20-13
                                                              • 495

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by KeepItCummin
                                                              dykstra, been following you for the past couple of days and really enjoyed your strategy. nicely done! and just let you know that i registered with sbr just to give you props on what you are doing and thank you so much for your work! KeepItCummin!
                                                              My man.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dykstra
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-20-13
                                                                • 495

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                                                                My book let's you book till clock starts to
                                                                Tick
                                                                Dude I appreciate it but I only use locals.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dykstra
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-20-13
                                                                  • 495

                                                                  #102
                                                                  NO/Mem over 94
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dykstra
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-20-13
                                                                    • 495

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Mia/Atl under 101 1/2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cmatth1326
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-18-08
                                                                      • 761

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Shoot. I took the only one that didn't win today and I'm scared of the Miami one. It seems like your strategy is great but does it recognize "outliers"? Let's see if the Miami game goes over. Sometimes when things are all out of wack it can be an outlier.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rc86
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-21-13
                                                                        • 248

                                                                        #105
                                                                        half time total score = 141
                                                                        +101
                                                                        242

                                                                        122 ATL
                                                                        120 MIA?
                                                                        Comment
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