Leans for Monday 2/23/09 schaapattack Week

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

I play few put big. I only play lines and movement. That why I never give a pick at least 2 hours before game time.

Here are my rules for engagemet. This should cost you your house but here it is.

1. I only look for reverse line movement or strong movement with less than 55% on that team. All others are a no play unless there is 80% or over on a team I will tke the underdog. Use Sportsinsights. (multiple books)

2. I look at the last 5 games. Bball is a long season and streaks will come and go. I want what they do ATS in the last 5 and then overall. If the line is 2 or less then look at the win/loss record.

3. Look at the power ranking Scoresandodds is good for that.

4. Go to covers and look at the past performance(some teams just own others)

5. Look at the days rest performance.

6. Look at the score difference. Overall, total, home/away

&. Never take a team first game back after a long road trip

9. Never bet a away team on Friday night

If all of them add up its a play but the most important is line movement and trends. There it is GL

Play it big if theres a tick in all boxes but it helps for general capping!

[cocknocker]

Clippers moneyline is looking fine. Sacramento is teetering on the razor blade

[shoebox]

good start clipps barrons out for blood

[Ditaln1]

Sac only down 3 now...

[jaymac82980]

new orleans is falling apart.

[jaymac82980]

I still have faith the bumble bees with sting! I'm not happy that GSW has only scored 9 points half way through the 3rd. who the hell do they think they are??

[Ditaln1]

This sac game going to be really really close...

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

What spread do you have Sac at?

[jaymac82980]

nope. sac will start to foul, and hornets will cover with ease.

[cocknocker]

New Orleans was the wrong call. But then again,so was the PC Play on Atlanta tonight. Guess that makes things even!

[peterpan19]

come on sac and lac and I amonly down 8.5 at the end of the day

[jaymac82980]

the wrong call?

CK, you watching the same game?

[Ditaln1]

I got 8.5 on Sac...

down by 8. 3 pointer would be lovely.

[cocknocker]

I have Sacramento+9. Yes i am watching the game and you are about to get back door'd

[Ditaln1]

and there it was...

[peetlui]

3 pointer!

[maddogmadden86]

hahaha CK no worries man a PC is a PC kid shit happens man i know plenty about it after the last month i have had brother lets get them tomorrow!

[Ditaln1]

oh baby. I love these kind of games!

[jaymac82980]

oh am I? I got bees -7.5

[Ditaln1]

Sac cover!! Woohoo!

[maddogmadden86]

i told u CK back door son!!!! i just wished they won outright lol and made a killing tongiht! lol
but hit the over as well so no biggy told u jaymac it would hit

[peetlui]

Well that's one winner

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Sac cashes! Unlucky about moneyline!

[Ditaln1]

Now just need clips to hang on and night won't be so bad... cmon clipps!

[jaymac82980]

you killed Kenny! you bastard!

So I got backdoored. Oh well.

3-1 so far for the night. GSW -4 not looking so hot, and the over is looking tough too, but I can still hope for at least 1 to cover for a profitable night.

[peterpan19]

sac +10, jay sorry you didnt push

[cocknocker]

Well jaymac, all things being equal, you faded me and i faded you and it's all even Steven...

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

oh am I? I got bees -7.5

Unlucky chez! 1/2 a point, smash them books tomorrow!

[peetlui]

Jay if you got -7.5 you lost son hate to say.

[jaymac82980]

Maddog, yes you told me you'd win. and I told you that Utah would kill it tonight for the death of their owner. But nobody likes to play "I told you so". haha. just kidding.

Congrats on calling that over. Never would have thought Hornets were cable of a high total.

[pho3nix32]

line: noh@sk+7.5
pick: noh-7.5

Both teams are having subpar ATS records so far this season. Thus, i'm taking the playoff caliber team over the lottery team tomorrow. The Hornets are currently sitting at the number 7 spot in the west which is rather dangerous knowing Utah and Phoenix are on their tail. Add that to the fact that they are behind the Texas Triangle teams in the Southwest. This for me, is reason enough to believe that the Hornets will take tomorrow seriously and rout the hapless Kings. The trade IMO makes the Kings weaker. They also play worst at home than on the road ATS-wise. Expect the Hornets to "sting" the crap out of the Kings tomorrow folks.

hawks sucked...sixers lost by a halfcourt shot...hornets loss by 0.5...

what a brutal day...swept by the books...

i have revenge on my mind tomorrow...

[jaymac82980]

Ck, I didnt fade you. I just liked Utah way better. A fade is a dick move. I don't pull that sh*t.

Peetlui....i did lose "son"...but I bet you lost even more on ATlanta.

[peetlui]

Wow sounds like alot of us singing the monday blues

[Ditaln1]

Sorry Pho3nix32

[maddogmadden86]

either way guys whoever posts a play as a play he is paying on it as well so lets forget about that and just try to help each other out'?