Leans for 2/19/09 International Week

cnleaf · 02-19-09, 12:34 PM

anyone knows what happened to spur's line? went from -2 to +1 with 94% bettors on the SA.

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by hockeytown11

no RICHARDS for Dallas I need to see them play a few games without him before they see my money

Ahh good point, I might play the Tor/CBJ over 6- both backup goalies may be playing and have 3.86 and 4.25 GAA. Will wait and see who becomes confirmed.

Ditaln1 · 02-19-09, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by cnleaf

anyone knows what happened to spur's line? went from -2 to +1 with 94% bettors on the SA.

I would assume because Ginobli is out.. but I still think SA can beat Detroit..

cocknocker · 02-19-09, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by cnleaf

anyone knows what happened to spur's line? went from -2 to +1 with 94% bettors on the SA.

The news of Ginobili's injury has hit the airwaves. I am waiting on this one until right before gametime as i am playing the moneyline. but if the Spurs go down to +2, then i will play this game normally and buy all the points involved in this type of wager. I honestly thought that the Pistons would be the way to go because it is the most unlikely of circumstances, but i can't question the system, i just make the play that i am supposed to do....

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by Ditaln1

I would assume because Ginobli is out.. but I still think SA can beat Detroit..

To move the spread that much that is quite alot of money being dropped on what right now is a sham of a team. I wouldn't like to be parting with so much of my dollar dollar bills on Det. I am not playing this game, yet, but San An can still beat Det even without Ginobili. They still have Duncan and Parker for gods sake.

jaymac82980 · 02-19-09, 12:44 PM

go pistons. they suck, but the spurs without manu are a different team. They really need all three of their big guys to win consistently. As you all noticed early in the season. Detroit beat the spurs earlier this year, and now they are playing again, WITH NO MANU.

Take Detroit. Who cares about the line movement. Detroit sucks but they can beat a hurt Spurs team. They will look to exploit a Manu-less San Antonio, and it will make detroit think they are a good team! (even though they can really only beat an injured team)

Detroit wins by 10

jaymac82980 · 02-19-09, 12:45 PM

Andy, detroit already beat the spurs earlier this year.

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 12:46 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

go pistons. they suck, but the spurs without manu are a different team. They really need all three of their big guys to win consistently. As you all noticed early in the season. Detroit beat the spurs earlier this year, and now they are playing again, WITH NO MANU.

Take Detroit. Who cares about the line movement. Detroit sucks but they can beat a hurt Spurs team. They will look to exploit a Manu-less San Antonio, and it will make detroit think they are a good team! (even though they can really only beat an injured team)

Detroit wins by 10

Det by 10

, Jay I hope you're still not laying down $$ lol

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by jaymac82980

Andy, detroit already beat the spurs earlier this year.

revenge factor? Also, difficult to see the Spurs losing to both the Knicks and the Pistons.

jaymac82980 · 02-19-09, 12:52 PM

Andy, I wish I was laying down cash for this game. I'm still shut off. But revenge wont be a factor here. detroit sucks and they can't beat a healthy team. so they will try and capitalize on the injury. The spurs suck when they arent 100%. How can they go for revenge when they are missing one of their best players?

nope. detroit. (and I really hate detroit)

p.s. since I'm not laying real cash, theres a pretty good chance I'll be on point with this pick - then I'll be kicking myself for not being able to put money on it!

repski · 02-19-09, 12:52 PM

bailey · 02-19-09, 12:55 PM

Dog sp Pepperdine +8

Posted record 6-5
Record since Feb1 22-10-1

MindGames · 02-19-09, 01:00 PM

I think the strongest SP of the day is definitely Villanova +10 1H. Most of the time they get off to hot starts and then lay off in the second half to lowly ranked competitors. I look for them to be up by 15 at half. Rutgers are a very sub par road team as well. Good Luck Tonight!

Dexter · 02-19-09, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by esz04

There is a ton of RLM on this Spurs game. From what I've seen, RLM on a team that starts as a favorite and ends up as a dog is deadly. I just bought out and lost the vig. This shouldn't have ever been an A or B bet in my opinion due to Ginobili.

not rlm when injury news affects the line.

repski · 02-19-09, 01:02 PM

Duke

ST JOHNS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against ACC opponents over the last 2 seasons.

repski · 02-19-09, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

not rlm when injury news affects the line.

I agree about the A/B..Dexter

Ginobili didn't play last game either...I thought the books took that into account with the -2 as I thougth that was a tad low

Dexter · 02-19-09, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Thanks JohnMorr08,

I have the play that you and I both know we need to make tonight involved and it's eating up some of the cap space

do what i do - keep a seperate account for them so they dont interfere with your normal plays.

heck, you thought me about seperate accounts!

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by bailey

Dog sp Pepperdine +8

Posted record 6-5
Record since Feb1 22-10-1

Bailey, I don't know when you started playing these with real money i.e. with your posted plays rather than the record but I think it gives added credence to CKs SP plays. You have to look at the record over the course of the season rather two bad weekends before judging a system.

Dexter · 02-19-09, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by repski

I agree about the A/B..Dexter

Ginobili didn't play last game either...I thought the books took that into account with the -2 as I thougth that was a tad low

so did i - i posted my projected line of -3 thinking no manu.

but the move was right in line with the news hitting the wire that hes out tonight. clearly the 2 point swing was b/c of that.

now lets see what the line does.

if you go to betus, the spurs are prob -6.5

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 01:12 PM

booked:nba bos-2 nhl:st.lou ml n.j. ml van/ott over 5.5 chi/fla over 5.5 buf/phil over 5.5 l.a./s.j. over 5.5

repski · 02-19-09, 01:12 PM

St. Bonaventure

ST BONAVENTURE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.

this is not your average GW team and shouldn't be laying 3 to St. Bonnie......

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 01:19 PM

well gang, i'm going with the green machine-2 over utah just cuz they're the better team. i'm staying away from the spurs/pist game due to manu being out and det sucking so it's a no play for me. as for hockey, i tail the hockman on most so i'm on 4 of his plays and i've tried to cap 2 of my own in buf/phil over 5.5 and l.a./s.j. over 5.5 good luck everyone

ANDYW15 · 02-19-09, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

well gang, i'm going with the green machine-2 over utah just cuz they're the better team. i'm staying away from the spurs/pist game do to manu being out and det sucking so it's a no play for me. as for hockey, i tail the hockman on most so i'm on4 of his plays and i've tried to cap 2 of my own in buf/phil over 5.5 and l.a./s.j. over 5.5 good luck everyone

Nice Non, I am going to play the LA/SJ over as well. LA on a B2B, and more than likely have the back up goalie in. I see SJ taking this one 5-2.

bailey · 02-19-09, 01:31 PM

Originally posted by ANDYW15

Bailey, I don't know when you started playing these with real money i.e. with your posted plays rather than the record but I think it gives added credence to CKs SP plays. You have to look at the record over the course of the season rather two bad weekends before judging a system.

I've only been playing them since I started posting them about 2 weeks ago

Dexter · 02-19-09, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

well gang, i'm going with the green machine-2 over utah just cuz they're the better team. i'm staying away from the spurs/pist game do to manu being out and det sucking so it's a no play for me. as for hockey, i tail the hockman on most so i'm on4 of his plays and i've tried to cap 2 of my own in buf/phil over 5.5 and l.a./s.j. over 5.5 good luck everyone

look at the ole vet puttin on the skates.

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 01:40 PM

DEX, not much in bb tonite so i'm taking a fly with the pucks as i've been doing quite well lately with the h-mans' picks and trying to cap 1 or 2 for myself. the old dog is learning a new trick if you will.

TheLemonDropKid · 02-19-09, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by Bezerk15

Lemon - How did you hit em' last night?

Hey Bezerk......I got greedy with the late games and should have stayed away. I lost the Blazers, Hawks, and Warriors....won only the Suns.

Should have known better and been happy with the earlier winnings.

How bout you?

KillaBeesSwarmin · 02-19-09, 01:45 PM

good day yesterday.

today i am parlaying htown's over plays.

taking st louis +120

small parlay on celts -2.5 and spurs 0

waiting for my book to put out the 1h and 1q lines.

plan on taking bos 1q

and the villanova SP

cant wait to see what the suns/thunder game lines will be tomorrow. like dexter said earlier, will pound the over and probably take suns 1q/1h. the thunder should be able to get out and run with the suns, but with the books trying to make back some thunder money and not having an answer to amare or shaq, the suns should get out and up quickly.

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 01:58 PM

booked nhl:4 team parlay on the games total over 5.5 van/chi/buff/l.a.

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 02:01 PM

7-2 so far in the tourney. not a bad start so far. i'm playing all of my tourney picks for cash just as i did in the first round.

TheLemonDropKid · 02-19-09, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by nonsense48

7-2 so far in the tourney. not a bad start so far. i'm playing all of my tourney picks for cash just as i did in the first round.

It's about time you show up on the thread......slacker.

What.....you and Jaymac slept in today or what???

Bezerk15 · 02-19-09, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by TheLemonDropKid

Hey Bezerk......I got greedy with the late games and should have stayed away. I lost the Blazers, Hawks, and Warriors....won only the Suns.

Should have known better and been happy with the earlier winnings.

How bout you?

Murdered the puck plays - with both hockeytown and TA - had two parlays that I hit combining games in there as well.

NBA - hit Bulls, Mavs, and teaser w/ Suns & Warriors to get GSW at +8.5 which covered - Lost on Cavs 1q

NCAA - didn't fair so well 1-1 on CK Sp's Kansas & Temple, lost Ball St., but picked up later on Wyoming +7, 1h, & 2h which was nice...
also played Penn State the same - small - and can't believe it covered that horrible game (girlfriend is a PSU alumn)

All in all it was my best night in two weeks - including last night - light's out so far this week.

chipper13101 · 02-19-09, 02:21 PM

Hockeytown is THE MAN.

nonsense48 · 02-19-09, 02:45 PM

lemon, i usually don't show up here until after noon tues.-sat. cuz that's when i start work. noon-6pm

hockeytown11 · 02-19-09, 02:57 PM

Without Vanek I think Philly is the play vs Buffalo,cant count on consistant offense from Buffalo without Vanek,they scored 3 in the first the other night agaisnt the lowly Leafs defense only to end on 4,I will be pulling for you non but without Vanek Buffalos O is just to unpredictable right now for my liking