Leans for 2/19/09 International Week

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for 2/19/09 International Week
    Here's what I'm smokin' on today:

    Duke-10 (1 point buy)
    Duke-6.5 1st half
    Boston 1st quarter
    Boston 1st half
    Gonzaga-19 1st half
    Villanova-9.5 1st half

    Celtics-.5 2nd half

    Only one whole game line for me today ladies and gentlemen. The old in and out is at play here. Original CK Mafia types rememeber that I would always announce my plays as "Here's what I'm smokin' on for today..." No need really for a drawn out essay on this one. All of th powerhouse teams have come out and won ats in the first game after the All Star Break with the exception of Orlando. I think that the Gang Green will do their thing, and Duke is desperate for a win, and St. John's is just in the way. And unfortunately, they are not even a good Big East team by any stretch of the imagination. This current version of the Blue Devils are 2-0 straight up and ats playing against St. John's winning by an average margin of 23.5. St. John's has lost their last 4 games by double digits. One more ain't gonna matter. There is no statistical category that favors the Red Storm for this game. This one has Duke 2nd half written all over it. The gap in talent and coaching is that bad in this one.

    The search for a non-JM Devil Dog pick continues....will we EVER see one......

    Pho3nix32-O-Meter 1-1-0

    Pho3nix32's pick Detroit/San Antonio over 180

    Secret Play-O-Meter 40-21-2 ats
  • CP Thrizzle
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-25-09
    • 254

    #2
    Interesting tidbit regarding the Duke/St. John's game tomorrow... Last season, the Blue Devils were in cruise control before dropping 2 straight in-conference games around the same exact time (mid-February). Who did they get to play next? That's right, the Johnnies -- destroying them by 30. It was a home game for the Dukies, while the one tomorrow is on the road, but that shouldn't matter much at all. Coach K's kids are more than hungry enough to get back in the win column. The Storm can say their prayers, kick their heels together, but you're right, CK, this one has "cakewalk" written all over it...
    Comment
    • anthonydiamondLC
      SBR MVP
      • 11-02-08
      • 2296

      #3
      I don't wanna give St Johns to much hope tomorrow, however they did beat ND this yr at the Garden. Don't underestimate a big game at the garden for these guys to play there hearts out trying to defeat a nationally recognized team in Duke. Duke has not been there dominant selves in a couple seasons now, there is a reason why they lost 2 in a row. I'm not saying bet your bankroll on St Johns tomorrow, however give St johns a punchers chance to maybe get under the number.
      Comment
      • UndersSuck
        SBR Hustler
        • 12-16-08
        • 86

        #4
        For all you Hockey newbies....lemme give you a quick education on one of the sickest goals you will EVER see.

        Alexander Ovechkin is arguably the best hockey player in the world at this moment. He plays for the Washington Capitals. Wednesday night against Montreal he showed skills that should impress even the neophyte hockey fan. Trust me when I say this, this goal is ridiculous.

        watch here


        but it isnt even Ovechkins favorite goal of all time....here it is



        Thanks HT and CK and the rest of the mafia.
        Comment
        • texhooper
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-05-09
          • 10001

          #5
          i saw that ish on sportcenter...the hockey virus is slowly spreading thoughout my body.

          if no one knows what undessuck is talking about, you should watch those two clips.
          Comment
          • cs11787
            SBR MVP
            • 08-26-08
            • 1088

            #6
            Wow did you guys check out Loyola Marymount and Gonzagas last game on 1/24/09? 1H Gonz 43-17. 2H Gonz 50-43. Wow!
            Comment
            • Odraca
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-09-09
              • 265

              #7
              its not even on the book i use
              Comment
              • CP Thrizzle
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-25-09
                • 254

                #8
                Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC
                I don't wanna give St Johns to much hope tomorrow, however they did beat ND this yr at the Garden. Don't underestimate a big game at the garden for these guys to play there hearts out trying to defeat a nationally recognized team in Duke. Duke has not been there dominant selves in a couple seasons now, there is a reason why they lost 2 in a row. I'm not saying bet your bankroll on St Johns tomorrow, however give St johns a punchers chance to maybe get under the number.
                They were lucky to get ND when they did, as were the other sub-par teams that got the best of the Irish during their little losing streak... Not saying the Johnnies won't put up a hell of a fight, but you can bet that the Dukies will also be playing with something to prove (as strange as that may sound, going against a team like St. John's). The Storm certainly have a good shot at covering, however, should the number continue to rise into tomorrow...
                Comment
                • actionaddict86
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-13-09
                  • 464

                  #9
                  washington vs ucla
                  oregon vs Cal
                  wa+8 cal -6.5
                  wow pick this....you can thank me later
                  haha
                  Comment
                  • lambogb
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-06-09
                    • 278

                    #10
                    not to knock ur pick action, but everyone whos anyone on covers is on UCLA -8 large

                    and duke as well CK! not that yall care just sayin
                    Comment
                    • lambogb
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-06-09
                      • 278

                      #11
                      dont wanna jock cks post so pm me for those writeups if u want em, action
                      Comment
                      • pho3nix32
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-09-09
                        • 1465

                        #12
                        There are only 2 games tomorrow, and to be honest, i've been 0-3 on days like this. I will try and get my first win tomorrow:

                        line: sas@dp 180
                        pick: 180 over

                        I find days like these very difficult to cap. I'm going out tomorrow and fade public perception on this game. When you put the Spurs and Pistons together, the public (even I) will normally call the UNDER play. But since its just 2 games, I am banking that these 2 teams will go against the public and score the lights out tomorrow. Aside from this speculation, I will also add a trend that the OVER for these 2 teams combined is 8-2 in the last 5 games. These mind games with the books just adds the excitement to gambling.
                        Comment
                        • actionaddict86
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-13-09
                          • 464

                          #13
                          Originally posted by lambogb
                          not to knock ur pick action, but everyone whos anyone on covers is on UCLA -8 large

                          and duke as well CK! not that yall care just sayin


                          u must be an ^ idiot ucla is way overated. ihave done the hw for the pac 10 teams. i wouldnt even be surprised if washington win this out right kid...
                          Comment
                          • wangichu
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-07-08
                            • 946

                            #14
                            yeah, having all the "covers wiz kids" on a team tends to discourage me from following suit
                            Comment
                            • mb19
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-18-09
                              • 111

                              #15
                              LOVE xavier -7 tomorrow.
                              Charlotte lost by 22 at Xavier earlier in the year. Charlotte may be a terrible road team (2-7 ovr and 0-5 in the conf) but xavier is an elite 8 type team.
                              Comment
                              • wangichu
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-07-08
                                • 946

                                #16
                                ok, the thing that i feel like i've noticed over the weeks in which thursday only showed 2 games is that the biggest public favorite covers and the other game you fade the public. I don't know if it's because vegas just makes money on totals and moneylines on thursday, or even maybe if it's just a losing day for vegas most of the time. All i know is that i've seen this happen a LOT, even last week with the celtics covering as the heavies public plays, the heat getting the public fading victory (while the golden state game i believe wound up with around 50/50 + or - 3 %'s and obviously went to the warriors). I want to be convinced that it can happen like that tomorrow, but that's probably how i will play it.

                                The last perfect thursday i remember was the day that CK got me on like SA -14 and the knicks +7 in dallas, and i remember the percents being accurate that day too, so that's my theory and if i can believe in it, that's how i'll play it.
                                Comment
                                • Vince Carter
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-15-09
                                  • 498

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by actionaddict86
                                  u must be an ^ idiot ucla is way overated. ihave done the hw for the pac 10 teams. i wouldnt even be surprised if washington win this out right kid...
                                  yeah i follow ucla pretty closely and they're definitely not experienced enough as a team and their first year center is still undeveloped
                                  Comment
                                  • BigDownUnder
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 02-18-09
                                    • 27

                                    #18
                                    Hi all,

                                    Was very happy to get my first pick on this forum right when the Bulls beat the Bucks last night. Waiting for today´s lines to come out before making next play. In the meanwhile though I have a strong tennis bet on the go:
                                    M Gonzalez to win first set vs B Dabul in ATP Buenos Aries 15:50GMT 19/2/09
                                    Decimal Odds: 1.67 (sorry American odds confuse me) WIN 6-3Gonzalez wins set1

                                    Best of luck!

                                    BigDownUnder Record as at 19/2/09:
                                    NBA: 1 - 0 - 0
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDownUnder
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 02-18-09
                                      • 27

                                      #19
                                      Adding one more ¨other sports¨ pick, this time a multi:
                                      19/2/09 -JM Del Potro to beat E Gulbis in ATP Memphis (1.35) AND Manchester City +0.5 vs FC Kopenhagan in UEFA Cup (1.35)
                                      Decimal Odds: 1.35 x 1.35 = 1.8225 (i think thats -122 american)

                                      Best of luck!

                                      BigDownUnder Record as at 19/2/09:
                                      NBA: 1 - 0 - 0
                                      Comment
                                      • Pensinger1
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-23-08
                                        • 505

                                        #20
                                        heavy coin being dropped on duke all night long.
                                        Comment
                                        • JGILL50
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-31-08
                                          • 836

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by pensinger1
                                          heavy coin being dropped on duke all night long.
                                          seen this also
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #22
                                            2/19-

                                            the spurs will be coming off a su loss, and looking to avenge an early season home loss to the pistons. a lot of people will be on this game tomorrow, including me. projected line of -3.

                                            spurs (big)
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC
                                              I don't wanna give St Johns to much hope tomorrow, however they did beat ND this yr at the Garden. Don't underestimate a big game at the garden for these guys to play there hearts out trying to defeat a nationally recognized team in Duke. Duke has not been there dominant selves in a couple seasons now, there is a reason why they lost 2 in a row. I'm not saying bet your bankroll on St Johns tomorrow, however give St johns a punchers chance to maybe get under the number.
                                              im a sju grad - stay away from this squad on the road!
                                              Comment
                                              • SamsNCharge99
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-22-08
                                                • 41242

                                                #24
                                                ....
                                                Comment
                                                • peterpan19
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-02-08
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #25
                                                  dex
                                                  numbers for SA are not so great only 2-6 ATS and SU, but thats not the Pistons team of old we are talking about here, they are horrible right now add that SA lost and that they want revenge, I dont know this game could get ugly for Det, SA is 8-4 ATS after losses this year (excluding their bad start to the year) and they never lost more than two games in a row this year (again excluding that bad bad start), and well I dont know about the line I think the books could surprise us here and either make it a pk or Det a slight favorite, but I am not a bookie so lets wait
                                                  3x or 5x today ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • solobass
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-15-09
                                                    • 1277

                                                    #26
                                                    anyone have lines on their books for the nba action today? seems like an inordinate waiting time even with the deadline coming today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CashMoney
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-07-08
                                                      • 1982

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by solobass
                                                      anyone have lines on their books for the nba action today? seems like an inordinate waiting time even with the deadline coming today.
                                                      Not yet...wanted to lock in before work.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dexter
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-24-08
                                                        • 25829

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by peterpan19
                                                        dex
                                                        numbers for SA are not so great only 2-6 ATS and SU, but thats not the Pistons team of old we are talking about here, they are horrible right now add that SA lost and that they want revenge, I dont know this game could get ugly for Det, SA is 8-4 ATS after losses this year (excluding their bad start to the year) and they never lost more than two games in a row this year (again excluding that bad bad start), and well I dont know about the line I think the books could surprise us here and either make it a pk or Det a slight favorite, but I am not a bookie so lets wait
                                                        3x or 5x today ?
                                                        well, they are 2-2 the last 4 in det, but revenge is the big angle for me today with sa - plus off the su loss to ny, they should be fired up to get the W.

                                                        i think the line s/b about sa -3.....im going 3x
                                                        Comment
                                                        • solobass
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-15-09
                                                          • 1277

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Dexter
                                                          well, they are 2-2 the last 4 in det, but revenge is the big angle for me today with sa - plus off the su loss to ny, they should be fired up to get the W.

                                                          i think the line s/b about sa -3.....im going 3x
                                                          right on, the triple x play! i agree about more recent data being more relevant and more heavily weighted.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • repski
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-01-09
                                                            • 1929

                                                            #30
                                                            Duke up to -13...@ 9AM EST..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • repski
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-01-09
                                                              • 1929

                                                              #31
                                                              Portland/Pepperdine no ML @ BetUS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ditaln1
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-26-07
                                                                • 588

                                                                #32
                                                                If any of you cashed on that James Madison I posted yesterday, we got it by a hook in double OT. Nice!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • solobass
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-15-09
                                                                  • 1277

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by repski
                                                                  Portland/Pepperdine no ML @ BetUS

                                                                  -500 at my book
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • repski
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                                    • 1929

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by solobass
                                                                    -500 at my book
                                                                    your right..Greek also
                                                                    BETUS is very slow and will probably have one later..hell NBA lines not even posted yet
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • solobass
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-15-09
                                                                      • 1277

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Booked Michigan -4, the gophers have been less than stellar on the road in conference play. also betting the under 126.5 as the wolverine offense is not too consistent and gophers have not hit 70 pts in a month.

                                                                      Michigan -4
                                                                      Under 126.5
                                                                      Comment
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