CK's International Week w/Pho3nix32 Leans for 2/18/09

[cocknocker]

All that I am going to play are the following

Temple-14.5 1st half
North Carolina-11 1st half
Kansas-10 1st half
Memphis-14.5 1st half

Added play Chicago Bulls-2 2nd half
Added play Atlanta-5.5 2nd half
BigMoneyMan Plays

Memphis-10 2nd half BigMoneyMan play small
Kansas-6.5 2nd half BigMoneyMan play small


NBA

Chicago Bulls -(PK)
Warriors+6 point buy

Pho3nix32-O-Meter 1-0-0

Pho3nix32's pick of the day Miami Heat-9.5

Secret Plays-O-Meter 38-19-2 ats

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

SP's hey?! Looks good!

Denver against Philly -1
Philly are on back to back and are playing terribly against Indy at the moment. Not sure if there's anyone out but will crunch more numbers. Denver are also 6-1 when road favourite of less than 3 points this season, Denver are 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS when playing at Philly in their past 5 games. Looking at this big.

Bulls against Bucks -1
Bucks, like Philly, are back to back. Chicago played very well prior to the allstar break. They are 3-2 SU & ATS when playing at Mil.

[rowdy08]

Love the Bulls -1

[Rellik]

Hello guys, why would the Bulls be favored here when they are very inconsistent and the Bucks play much better at home. I know the Bucks are playing back to back games but still I think they can win this game. Let's see how the line moves tomorrow.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Hello guys, why would the Bulls be favored here when they are very inconsistent and the Bucks play much better at home. I know the Bucks are playing back to back games but still I think they can win this game. Let's see how the line moves tomorrow.

Thomas and Rose have been stepping up to the challenge lately and improve with each game and if you look at the Bulls record since Deng, Gordon and Hinrich came back they have been playing very well as a team.

Definitely a good spot here.

[whatisit]

Bogut coming back? where'd you hear that? Everywhere I looked he prob won't be back until last week of the regular season at the earliest..

[cs11787]

Hey CK did you already play those SPs at those lines or are you waiting? The only line Ive seen move so far was KU went from -18.5 to -18 in like 20 minutes, then back up to 18.5

[Rellik]

Thomas and Rose have been stepping up to the challenge lately and improve with each game and if you look at the Bulls record since Deng, Gordon and Hinrich came back they have been playing very well as a team.

Definitely a good spot here.

Great point. I was thinking since the Bulls couldn't bet Miami at home that they would lose to the Bucks too playing away.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Bogut coming back? where'd you hear that? Everywhere I looked he prob won't be back until last week of the regular season at the earliest..

Nah, while I was checking stats one of the stats sites said Bogut probable but after looking around its not true.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Great point. I was thinking since the Bulls couldn't bet Miami at home that they would lose to the Bucks too playing away.

That was a tough loss, especially since they started slow. Dont forgot in their past few games the Bulls have beaten Detriot, lost in Dallas by 1 point, beat New Orleans and beat Phoenix. Plus wins against Sacramento and the Clippers.

[moneygrip]

Point of interest for Obamamania

Philly is 4-2 SU @ home vs. Western conf. teams above .500 (2 losses are lakers and mavs) but they were in b2b sitch vs. lakers and only lost to dallas by 2. I know this is b2b but theyre a tough home team and there might be better plays out there.

Chi-town @ Mil. is also a no play; imo

no fades here - just some facts to chew on. BOL

I'm really seeing Mavs -7 and maybe Blazers -12 (if that is the spread)

[W0lfy]

Not dissing the Bucks vs Bulls pick, but the Bucks are on FIRREEE and there are 10 other NBA games tomorrow to pick from instead. GL!

[nonsense48]

2/18 booked: nba:den-1 large dal-7 chi-1 cbb:ball st.-1 large akron-3.5 large n.c-11 1st 1/2 large kan-10 1st 1/2 large good luck everyone

[nonsense48]

take a good look at ball st. over toledo. toledo is in such disarray with the kids hatred of their coach who scream and degrades them in public and the team mission is to have him dumped as their coach.

[peetlui]

Ck I guess success comes with a price. There will always be rabble rousers and malcontents looking to rock the boat. Take it on the stride pal. Brush them off as you would dust.

[TodaysAction]

To be fair,

Sometimes before one get get to saw-bucks they have start with copper pieces. You get what I'm saying. Don't know how long either of you've been in the game but rare is the case when a person starts out $20+ per game. Think about it. Set it up at MB, so we can make a little off it too.

[moneygrip]

Suddenly thinking Phoenix might handle the Clipshow tomorrow night, anyone got a spread on that yet?

[TodaysAction]

nonsense48,

Do you see that Ball State line surpassing 4 by gametime and if so where do you think it will stop? Yes, I read your reasoning. TIA.

[nonsense48]

T.A., nice day today. congrats

[peetlui]

TodaysAction, nice call on Col and San Jose.

[nonsense48]

T.A., i see the line going to 4-4.5 maybe

[TodaysAction]

Suddenly thinking Phoenix might handle the Clipshow tomorrow night, anyone got a spread on that yet?

My guess is you won't see that until morning Eastern time.

[nonsense48]

ball st. handled toledo when toledo wasn't in such a mess so i don't see this one being pretty at all

[nonsense48]

but i don't know how aware the public is of the situation with toledo

[TodaysAction]

T.A., nice day today. congrats

The 4-3-0 portion was nice but what matters more to me wasn't so enjoyable.

[nonsense48]

i get some of the toledo players in my shop and they aren't very happy with the current regime and when the kids don't like their coach they won't put out for him and that's at any school not just toledo

[nonsense48]

T.A., what wasn't so enjoyable my friend?

[TodaysAction]

TodaysAction, nice call on Col and San Jose.

T.A., i see the line going to 4-4.5 maybe

ball st. handled toledo when toledo wasn't in such a mess so i don't see this one being pretty at all

but i don't know how aware the public is of the situation with toledo

Thanks guys.

[pho3nix32]

We had a good day to start the 2nd half of the season. Lets continue this tomorrow:

line: mt+9.5@mh
pick: mh-9.5

Some trends for the lean:

- Twolves are 11-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.
- Twolves are 0-5 ATS for the last 5 games.
- Twolves are 0-6 ATS against the Southeast.
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in home games where total is between 190-194.5.
- Head to head, the Heat are 8-2 ATS in games played at home since 1996.

The Twolves are in a very bad position here. First, they are in an end of a b2b. Second, they are in a 4 game slump. Third, the Southeast teams just plainly own them. They lost Al Jefferson. It's time to fade them. As for the Heat, they acquired a low post presence in JO. Yes they lost the Matrix, but that means more playing time for Beasley, who is much more a scorer than Marion. Add to the fact that the Heat are very much in the playoffs hunt while the Twolves are already looking forward to who to pick in the 2009 lottery. Expect Miami to pound on the lowly Twolves tomorrow my friends!

[nonsense48]

18k in the last wk. did you chase when you should have pulled back a little? never ever chase as it's always a crusher

[TodaysAction]

T.A., what wasn't so enjoyable my friend?

nonsense48,

The over not cashing (25 units), NJ not cashing (11.5 units) and CAL not cashing (29 units). This like the 3rd/4th/5th night in a row of dropping cash this season - most times it only goes up to three at most. Wednesday will be better.

[peetlui]

I'm liking it Phoenix. By the way what part of China? I'm in New York City but I have family in Shanghai.

[pho3nix32]

I'm liking it Phoenix. By the way what part of China? I'm in New York City but I have family in Shanghai.

cool peet, im in the southern part. Xiamen city.

[TodaysAction]

Yea, I'm new to this thread but I know enough to realize people need to put the petty bullshit aside and work towards beating the book(s). The games are tough enough without the squabbles. "You" stop trying to stir shit up and "You" do what it is you do best. Or maybe the thread should go back to where it was during the break - you remember that, where it was an enjoyable read. Think about it.

[nonsense48]

pho, i'm in agreement with you on miami-9.5 booked. good luck my friend