Huge Early Money (Sharps) Plays

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  • schaapattack
    Restricted User
    • 12-23-08
    • 1007

    #36
    excellent thread...keep it up...added Golden St -1 myself...buying a pt...
    Thanks Pete. I cant understand why GS opened as a home dog.
    Comment
    • schaapattack
      Restricted User
      • 12-23-08
      • 1007

      #37
      Man i should have jumped on dallas when it opened at 4 its already down to +2.5
      Im going to leave that game alone JGILL
      Comment
      • JGILL50
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-31-08
        • 836

        #38
        Me too prolly but if this betting trend holds up or if the public moves the line back to 4 i might try some of that Maverick moneyline .
        Comment
        • schaapattack
          Restricted User
          • 12-23-08
          • 1007

          #39
          Last day of the Association due to all-star break. If there are college basketball plays for tomorrow i will post them later after the lines are posted!

          Now lets go WARRIORS!



          NBA 1-0-1
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          • Dexter
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-24-08
            • 25829

            #40
            Originally posted by schaapattack
            No as of now its not. The wagering is 50-50
            so then this is not a true RLM play.....unless the opening % was on port?

            if thats how ur doing it - i concur...as ck mentioned, the opening action is where the true sharps get down.
            Comment
            • schaapattack
              Restricted User
              • 12-23-08
              • 1007

              #41
              so then this is not a true RLM play.....unless the opening % was on port?

              if thats how ur doing it - i concur...as ck mentioned, the opening action is where the true sharps get down.
              Dex this isnt a true RLM post. Just concentrating on the sharp money as soon as the book opens. Watching the very early huge money dont really care about the %.
              Comment
              • solobass
                SBR MVP
                • 01-15-09
                • 1277

                #42
                word, good stuff here shaap. looking at g-state myself, i just started my work. best of luck!
                Comment
                • schaapattack
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-23-08
                  • 1007

                  #43
                  u2 slob...hopefully we can make some $$$
                  Comment
                  • schaapattack
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-23-08
                    • 1007

                    #44
                    College basketball for Friday, 02/12, wont be posted until later tonight. Take a look tonight for tomorrows plays. There are no College basketball plays for tonight. As stated earlier, the booked NBA play for tonight is Golden State -1.5
                    Comment
                    • MILEHIGHMONSTERS
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 618

                      #45
                      damn schaap you one of the best i seen.
                      do you have any golf picks fool.
                      Comment
                      • schaapattack
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-23-08
                        • 1007

                        #46
                        No. Im cool with the golf....i only watch golf when i need to take a nap
                        Comment
                        • MILEHIGHMONSTERS
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 618

                          #47
                          im all in schaap on golden state
                          keep it up
                          Comment
                          • schaapattack
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-23-08
                            • 1007

                            #48
                            Cbb lines for friday are posting and any plays will be posted as soon as there is a official play.
                            Comment
                            • Bob Roberts
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-30-09
                              • 163

                              #49
                              Schaap, good job! All the douchebags talking trash with you in yesterdays lakers/jazz thread owe you an apology..... Its funny how you never hear from the shit talkers when they are wrong......
                              Comment
                              • schaapattack
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-23-08
                                • 1007

                                #50
                                True, glad you noticed...i knew it was a bad spot for the Lakers and i dont like to bet against Kobe but I had the game capped @5 for the Jazz so i was close. Yeah, when they are wrong they dissapear.
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by schaapattack
                                  Dex this isnt a true RLM post. Just concentrating on the sharp money as soon as the book opens. Watching the very early huge money dont really care about the %.
                                  i would suggest focusing on the games with no major injury question marks. that could move the line and its not sharp money. just adjustments by the books to the news.
                                  Comment
                                  • roasthawg
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-09-07
                                    • 2990

                                    #52
                                    I'm on the Blazers +3.5 myself tonight...g/l.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dexter
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 25829

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Masu485
                                      this seems interesting. i used to try this technique, but using lines from pinnacle, and i found it didn't end up that profitable, also backtracked lots of games.

                                      What i do now is the complete opposite of this to get the better number... and i'm finding that a bit more profitable at the moment, but i suspect it'll end up at 50% also.

                                      I do agree with you though that the keys to winning in this business is using the line movements. handicapping the game itself and researching stats for hours is not the way to go.
                                      well, someone out there has to be doing the research. i like to do a combo of capping and making my own line - which i in turn use vs the actual (look for value etc)- last night was a perfect example as i made a post about capping the game to golden state and loving it at the line of -2 (since i had mine set at -4). i would have put this in last night asap if i could have. got down at 3.5 today.
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                                      • Dexter
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-24-08
                                        • 25829

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by schaapattack
                                        Dex this isnt a true RLM post. Just concentrating on the sharp money as soon as the book opens. Watching the very early huge money dont really care about the %.
                                        ok, but wouldnt you think "sharp" money is made clear when the public bet % is in one direction, and the spread moves the other?

                                        ck would know better then me, and perhaps he did clarify that the other day. i missed several pages of that thread.
                                        Comment
                                        • schaapattack
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 12-23-08
                                          • 1007

                                          #55
                                          Plays will be posted in the morning
                                          Comment
                                          • schaapattack
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-23-08
                                            • 1007

                                            #56
                                            Warriors looking strong as i predicted
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                                            • schaapattack
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-23-08
                                              • 1007

                                              #57
                                              NO PLAYS IN CBB FOR FRIDAY, 02/13

                                              nba 2-0-1
                                              cbb 0-0
                                              Comment
                                              • schaapattack
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-23-08
                                                • 1007

                                                #58
                                                There are no plays tonight for college basketball...

                                                College basketball for Saturday will be on the board tonight.
                                                I will also post Frosh/Soph All-Star game tonight if its a profitable play.


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                                                • JGILL50
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-31-08
                                                  • 836

                                                  #59
                                                  Penn over Brown Maybe
                                                  Comment
                                                  • schaapattack
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-23-08
                                                    • 1007

                                                    #60
                                                    I dont wager on maybe's..lol...nah nothing tonight for this thread.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • schaapattack
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-23-08
                                                      • 1007

                                                      #61
                                                      Opening Line for Frosh/Soph

                                                      Soph -5.5 (251.5)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • schaapattack
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-23-08
                                                        • 1007

                                                        #62
                                                        Rookie Team Roster Player (Team)PositionHeightWeightSchool/CountryMichael Beasley (Heat)F6-9245Kansas StateRudy Fernandez (Trail Blazers)G-F6-6185SpainMarc Gasol (Grizzlies)C7-1265SpainEric Gordon (Clippers)G6-3222IndianaBrook Lopez (Nets)C7-0260StanfordO.J. Mayo (Grizzlies)G6-4210USCGreg Oden (Trail Blazers)C7-0285Ohio StateDerrick Rose (Bulls)G6-3190MemphisRussell Westbrook (Thunder)G6-3187UCLAHead Coach -- TBD
                                                        Assistant Coach -- Dwyane WadeSophomore Team roster Player (Team)PositionHeightWeightSchool/CountryAaron Brooks (Rockets)G6-0161OregonWilson Chandler (Knicks)F6-8220DePaulKevin Durant (Thunder)G-F6-9215TexasJeff Green (Thunder)F6-9235GeorgetownAl Horford (Hawks)F-C6-10245FloridaLuis Scola (Rockets)F-C6-9245ArgentinaAl Thornton (Clippers)F6-8220Florida StateRodney Stuckey (Pistons)G6-5205Eastern WashingtonThaddeus Young (Sixers)F6-8220Georgia Tech
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                                                        • schaapattack
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-23-08
                                                          • 1007

                                                          #63
                                                          2008 New Orleans Sophomores 136, Rookies 109

                                                          2007 Las Vegas Sophomores 155, Rookies 114

                                                          2006 Houston Sophomores 106, Rookies 96

                                                          2005 Denver Sophomores 133, Rookies 106

                                                          2004 Los Angeles Sophomores 142, Rookies 118

                                                          2003 Atlanta Sophomores 132, Rookies 112

                                                          2002PhiladelphiaRookies 103, Sophomores 97

                                                          2001WashingtonSophomores 121, Rookies 113

                                                          2000OaklandRookies 92, Sophomores 83 (OT
                                                          Comment
                                                          • schaapattack
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-23-08
                                                            • 1007

                                                            #64
                                                            Last 6 years sophs have outscored frosh by avg. Margin of 24.6.
                                                            Last 6 years avg. Game point total 243 points.


                                                            Comment
                                                            • schaapattack
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-23-08
                                                              • 1007

                                                              #65
                                                              02/13

                                                              Booked play:

                                                              SOPH -5.5 WIN




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                                                              • tyler36
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-25-08
                                                                • 426

                                                                #66
                                                                love your thread schaapattack, took that g.s. game to the bank, told a couple buddies of mine to jump on it with me and they thought i was crazy and stayed away, worked out awesome. keep up the great work.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • schaapattack
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-23-08
                                                                  • 1007

                                                                  #67
                                                                  No problem..now go medium on the sophs -5.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JGILL50
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-31-08
                                                                    • 836

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Its amazing how the average gambler reacts to lines and plays. i can see why making lines the way vegas does makes them a killin. Pubic perception is hilarious. i freak my buddies out when i use sports insights and run down the card. i can pretty much pick dead on what they are betting on game by game, they still cant figure out why i win and they lose. when they choose to follow me it will be one of the times that the smart money loses and of course im the idoit who bet against the lakers cavs celts or magic. Great thread though this is exactly how i gamble in EVERY sport every day
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JGILL50
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-31-08
                                                                      • 836

                                                                      #69
                                                                      And props to all the cappers on this site i was a 50/50 capper last year at best. this year is a whole different story
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • schaapattack
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-23-08
                                                                        • 1007

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Dont wait to long on Sophs...probably will be 6.5-8 point spread before long
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