Leans for Wednesday 2/11/09

[hockeytown11]

I actuall cashed that soccer game as well,mexico hasnt won in us since 99 and usa was only -120 at my book

[pho3nix32]

the magic sure misses jameer nelson

[nonsense48]

ck, very nice my friend. thank you

[cocknocker]

Well ck ,thanks once again for those plays. Last Saturday was definitely the exception rather than the norm. You are right, you have to do this without reservations, you can't let a bad day scare you off. The record speaks for itself.

I play them with reckless abandon. If the criteria is there, it gets played for $1500.00 each time. Not a thought about it.

[jaymac82980]

dont say that hockey. colorado isnt over quite yet.

[texhooper]

2/12/09-

lots of juicy angles point to the warriors in this one. golden state has beaten the blazers 5 straight in oak (covering 4 of 5) and winning by an avg margin of 10ppg. tomorrow night, the books are simply asking the warriors to win straight up. portland will likely be coming off a su win tonight, while the warriors will be rested and looking to avenge an earlier loss at port. this line screams value as i had my line set at gs -4. i'm getting down on this asap.

-warriors (big)

i haven't looked into this matchup yet, but give me a reason to take the warriors, just ****ing give me a reason!

but i'm going to see how portland shakes out against the thunder tonight.

you've probably given me reason enough, though, dex. you just keep them warriors (big)s coming...

[cocknocker]

We're headed for a squaeker, anthonydiamonds! The Spurs look like they want to do it, but then they keep letting the game stay close...

[cocknocker]

BTW, gentlemen I have Golden State pegged for tomorrow as well, and Eastern Kentucky looks like it will be a Secret Play as well.

[anthonydiamondLC]

CK I'm adding one more play tonight, Clippers -5.5.

[anthonydiamondLC]

Yeah lets get this spurs game...

[The_Kid]

Damn, Spurs can't get a stop! Raptors won't go away...

[texhooper]

the spurs were my only play tonight. not looking good unless there's mad foul shots and no answer from the raps.

[texhooper]

or ot, which somehow is now a possibility...this was not the matchup i wagered on.

[50lipa]

I didn't know its good to give open 3pt looks when thats the only way the opposing team can have a chance in the game.

[The_Kid]

Spurs deserve to lose. Actually, I hope they lose. Serves them right to give up two 3 pointers in the last 30 seconds.

[50lipa]

Altho i don't mind my Roko Ukic gettin 20 buckets as a rookie.

[Dexter]

i haven't looked into this matchup yet, but give me a reason to take the warriors, just ****ing give me a reason!

but i'm going to see how portland shakes out against the thunder tonight.

you've probably given me reason enough, though, dex. you just keep them warriors (big)s coming...

shame on me for sitting out vs utah and ny - kinda wanted to see how they would play w/o bierdrins. i should just play every warrior home game from here on out without any hesitation - just may do that.

[pho3nix32]

Good job by the Spurs in putting us back on the winning track today. Let's get another one tomorrow guys:

line: dn+8.5@om
pick: om-8.5

Trends:

- Nuggets are 5-8 ATS when playing as dogs.
- Nuggets are 10-14 ATS when playing against teams with winning records.
- Magic are a flawless 9-0 ATS when playing after 2 days rest!!!
- Magic are 19-5 ATS against non-conference teams.
- Magic are 18-6 ATS against bad defensive teams.
- Magic are 14-3 ATS against good offensive teams.

The trends of the Magic speaks for itself. Sure, the Nuggets are doing well ATS themselves this season but head to head, the Magic owns the Nuggets at home, going 8-1 ATS since '96 and perfect for the past 3 seasons. The Nuggets will be caught off guard tomorrow after winning easily in Miami today. Expect the Magic to laydown a can of Florida whoop-ass to Denver via their inside/outside game!

flawless no more on the 2 days rest. i try again tomorrow guys.

[texhooper]

now i lose.

[anthonydiamondLC]

overtime spurs?

[peetlui]

Hey ck, this might sound naive on my part but what is the signifigance of not having a moneyline at halftime for the plays? If this question was asked before then I apologize, maybe someone else could answer that for me. I just would like to know what the relevance of that factor is, ck or anyone?

[texhooper]

not so lucky

[nonsense48]

peet, that's just the way it works. it's the main sign and the other is at least a fav of 9.5 to 17.5 i believe

[cocknocker]

Let's go Portland! I have tham at 11.5 so they better come out and do their thing tonight. I think that the Blazers will avenge the loss to the Thunders with an outstanding effort on the boards tonight

[pho3nix32]

bad day today. wagered on both magic and spurs. the spurs are idiots! no bosh no calderon! good thing bobcats won to minimize loss. im gonna bounce back tomorrow!

[repski]

Let's go Portland! I have tham at 11.5 so they better come out and do their thing tonight. I think that the Blazers will avenge the loss to the Thunders with an outstanding effort on the boards tonight

do you think Port will come out on fire in the 1st Q....I kinda like the 1stQ

[cocknocker]

CK I'm adding one more play tonight, Clippers -5.5.

Gotcha! I have made the addition to the front page to reflect it

[maddogmadden86]

anyone liking new mexico they have destroyed every team that air force has lost to

[touchmoney09]

wow spurs blew it...they gave away 3 pointers twice less then 1 min..

[cocknocker]

Hey ck, this might sound naive on my part but what is the signifigance of not having a moneyline at halftime for the plays? If this question was asked before then I apologize, maybe someone else could answer that for me. I just would like to know what the relevance of that factor is, ck or anyone?

The relevance came into play during my research about 4 years ago, and it yeilded that the absence of a moneyline means that one team is overmatched and that the books don't want tojust give away mony for the big players who would rather just take the moneyline with huge money just to keep the money rolling in through the door. I believe that it's a move to discourage that kind of activity..It's more a result of my homework than anything else

[cocknocker]

Sounds good repski, but I am playing them for the whole game only

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Should clarify. Not quite a big play but bigger than the others.

Bobcats - 3.3 units WIN 2.2
Lakers - 2.2 units PENDING
Spurs - 2.2 units LOSS -2.2
Cavs - 2.2 units. WIN 1.5

2-1 today +1.5 units so far.

[peetlui]

peet, that's just the way it works. it's the main sign and the other is at least a fav of 9.5 to 17.5 i believe

Thanks non. I knew what the guidelines were but I was just wondering why that factor gives it a better chance of winning.

[repski]

MIL sessions 16A...this guy can ball

[nonsense48]

ok, peet, yep just something ck spotted and it stood out to him.