Leans for Thursday 1/22/09 CK versus hockeytown11 Challenge

[Mr Handicapable]

ok pacific -8 has no ml, I know its not over 10, but just saying... maybe not so bad too, will keep an eye on games that are not above 10 but somewhere around 8 or so

I have a line of Pacific -8 1H (-550)!

I was on them the other night and they absolutely COULD NOT MISS...over 63% for the game vs CS-Fullerton! They're playing a scrub..worth a play to me w/the confidence after a game like that on the road!

[nonsense48]

VASS, i'm also on the wiz with you.

[ManBearPig]

The Wiz are were an B play last night (A if you ignored the GSW game and the same rules apply) and I backed out on them at the last second and they did cash.

I have the same feeling about them tonight as I did last night but the Lakers are a different animal than the Queens these days. I do think that 14 is too many to lay especially since the Lakers couldn't cover 16 against the Clips last night...I don't see them doing much better on the Wizzles tonight. The lakers bad record against larger spreads such as these supports this and I think the Wiz aren't a bad play...otherwise hands off this one.

[strybie]

ORL ML and ORL -4,5 I think they are the best team at the moment and they have a chance to proof this tonight versus the champs of last year. Will be an interesting game !

[shoebox]

Two plays today
Providence -1 undervalued team look who they have played
Boise st -1 home team getting the love for me

A big FU to BYU last night I never seen a team implode in the second half like they did.
As CK would state though shall not wager against the C's in a big game. Watch the game and see the BS calls for the celts. Ill just sit back and cash on some college ball

GL everyone

Black wheres your plays???? Mine are not hiding behind the curtain. Its real easy to cut and paste step up!!!

[Dexter]

The Wiz are were an A play last night (even though it was their second game) if you use morrison and I backed out on them at the last second and they did cash. I have the same feeling about them tonight as I did last night but the Lakers are a different animal than the Queens these days. I do think that 14 is too many to lay especially since the Lakers couldn't cover 16 against the Clips last night...I don't see them doing much better on the Wizzles tonight. The lakers bad record against larger spreads such as these supports this and I think the Wiz aren't a bad play...otherwise hands off this one.

thats not true - i pm'd you manbear - hit me back.

i think last week there was some issues with this system being posted etc - i think it would be best to leave the chase system comments for johnmoore's thread.

[cocknocker]

peeiempee- Betus is good for the live batting angle of the 1st inning wager, but Grek is the best overall for the day to day wager of this type.

Maddog, I like Washington State in that game. UCLA is not going to walk into their house and pull it off. It will be a low scoring game though. Might want to take the under. Washington State is about ball possession.

Yeah, shoe, BYU stunk it up in the 2nd ahlf after going in up 13 and lookin' good..That was a tough one!

non,

I am going to tune into CNBC tonight. My situtation is very low key, so I doubt that there will be any reporters coming through my scene, maddog!

Kendrick Perkins is in for Boston tonight. his presence alone means that the game is more likely to go under. he can't shoot free throws, he can't shoot threes like Scals, and he is a great defender and he doesn't allow for offensive rebounds for the opposition.

[ManBearPig]

thats not true - i pm'd you manbear - hit me back.

i think last week there was some issues with this system being posted etc - i think it would be best to leave the chase system comments for johnmoore's thread.

I get what your saying...was trying to tread lightly.

[cocknocker]

Tread lightly ManBearPig,

Time for me to go on over to the 32 man tourney and check out the thread for possible line changes...

[cocknocker]

jaymac-5.5, naw I'm just kidding. You guys are avoiding the 32 man thread and if this continues, I am going to look for anything to alter the odds, both legal and illegal, lol! So no whispering!

[cs11787]

CK,
So your final plays for the day are Tenn-Mar, Gonz, Cal, and West Kent all 1H? By the way, Cals line is going down fast.

[cheesehead004]

so CK, who is the public pounding in the tournament?

[cap10]

hey ck;; follow the thread but don't post much;; good work;; just some thots on bos orl -4.5;;

bos is 0-6 su and 1-5 ats in last 6 trips to orlando;; the home tm is 21-6 ats in last 27 in this series;; the fav is 19-7 in last 26 in this series;; orlando is 11-0 su and 8-3 ats in last 11;; THIS IS A STATEMENT GAME FOR THE MAGIC;; take olrando -4.5..

found that in my local paper and they win at about 80%;; they only post 2 or 3 a week;;
my gut says bos due to the road trip rule but the above trends force me to play orlando or no play

gl all

[Dexter]

D12 lookin for Scal in the paint tonight!

[masr]

Like the pts tonight....GL

[Karayilan9]

CK
Only in college Dana4U. I have not seen an NBA 1st half without a line as fr back as I can remember.. but if I ever do, I will know what to do with it!

CK can you use Betfair in America? you can bet 1st half without a line for every NBA game and because its not a bookie in the traditional sense you can catch some great odds.

[Luv2Poker]

hey ck;; follow the thread but don't post much;; good work;; just some thots on bos orl -4.5;;

bos is 0-6 su and 1-5 ats in last 6 trips to orlando;; the home tm is 21-6 ats in last 27 in this series;; the fav is 19-7 in last 26 in this series;; orlando is 11-0 su and 8-3 ats in last 11;; THIS IS A STATEMENT GAME FOR THE MAGIC;; take olrando -4.5..

found that in my local paper and they win at about 80%;; they only post 2 or 3 a week;;
my gut says bos due to the road trip rule but the above trends force me to play orlando or no play

gl all

Nice numbers!!!: Add to that Orlando is 6 and 0 ATS after playing 3 or more road games, and 7-1 ATS off an upset. Celts are 1-4 ATS in last 5 rd gms against tms with a hm % over .500. As well 1-4 ATS in last 5 with no rest. Celtics are 1-5 ATS in last 6 rd gms against teams w/ a winning hm record. Tough to go against all of that. Little duplication but none the less... hard to go against

[NYCKEV]

Basketball is a team sport and even though DHoward and Kg are great players I think it will be the other key players that will keep this game closer than expected. Bos could even win this game straight up but I will take the +5 anyday, especially to a team Bos beat by 17 not too long ago. GL to all

I will also be tuned in to the TV at 9pm. Hopefully I see some familiar Mendo Mates.

[cheesehead004]

This whole board seems to be on the Magic. I'm feeling more and more confident about my Boston ML play

[Smacksmiter]

Boston is playing good ball now... Orlando playing good ball now...In my experience, these points should play very big in a tight game... Following the Kelly Criterion, If I believe that there is a better than 55% chance that Boston wins outright or covers with the 5 points, then that is the wager.. If you believe that Orlando wins and covers the 5, 55% or more of the time, you must play them...

I will take Boston with the +5 ... good luck!

[johnnyP]

Alright boys, you might see me around here a little more than usual the next couple of days. I received some radiation treatment for my thyroid this afternoon and the Doc has quarantined me for the next 3 days.

YIKERS! Can’t be around other people and cant even go to the gym!
I’m RADIOACTIVE! Sounds so weird.

But the doc told me it’s ok to drink alcohol. So I’ve got a nice bottle of Absolute with some orange juice and lemonade and I’m gonna have me a little party. Just hope pastor doesn’t call to check in later =)

So if I say or write something a little off … please accept my apologies now as I am not a pro at drinking anymore. =) But I hear its like riding a bike =)

Its getting closer and closer to game time for the Celts and Magic. I haven’t pulled the trigger on Boston yet. My gut is telling me to ride the Celts but the stats are telling me to hold off. Dex is helping the Magic cause as well.

Itching to play Boston
1st Quarter
1st Half
Game w/points

And I love CK’s tip on teasing points for Boston on the spread and Over.

Good luck to everyone and God Bless You All!

[ManBearPig]

You can't use Betfair in US...I found that out last night when they plasterd this crap all over my screen reminding me when I was looking on there last night. Dese pesky ame-r-icanns!!

[woodyman]

i'm also liking boston at +5, although i have bad luck betting against orlando...

[lonesomeloser]

CK I was sharing the knowledge but you it I thought it was about making money

[nonsense48]

i had a very good birthday as far as wagering yesterday and hopefully it continues today so here goes gang. my plays for this eve are as follows:nbarl-4' was+14 cbb:day-5' w.ky-13 wright st.-8'. i'll post when i lock in. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

[jgbgsox]

i locked in bos orl under 191.5,g-town-5,wismil-5,wash st+5,st mary's-4,wash-5.5

[jaymac82980]

After lots of thoughts, I think it is obvious that the Celts +5 is a great gift, and it would be a shame to not take it. orlando has been hot lately, but haven't the celts too? The heat were hot too, until yesterday. Orlando came to boston in dec, and got beaten, and guess what, typically orlando has been better on the road, which is how they beat the celts last year. Now the celts - back to their old ways - will go into Orlando, wiping the dust from Miami off their shoulders, ready to prove that Orlando is not the best team in the east.

[jaymac82980]

Cheese, JonnhyP, I'm with ya.. Celts +5, huge bet.

[jaymac82980]

CK, by the way, I think I should be -6. I've been watching this kid I'm against, he puts spreads on a dart board and takes what he hits.

[africanroller]

Little FYI

Purdue went from pick to -1 with 61% on Minny
Georgetown went from -6 to -5 with 87% on them
Tenn Chat went from -4.5 to -4 with 83% on them

I was going to lock in Purdue and this even confirms more for me.

[johnnyP]

Happy Belated Birthday NonSense!

[africanroller]

I am leaning Lakers/ Washington Under 208. Any thoughts from the peanut gallery

[SamsNCharge99]

Little FYI

Purdue went from pick to -1 with 61% on Minny
Georgetown went from -6 to -5 with 87% on them
Tenn Chat went from -4.5 to -4 with 83% on them

I was going to lock in Purdue and this even confirms more for me.

Don't always go w/ the percentages African.

Yesterday, about 80% were on both Cleveland and Boston and both won, so don't always go by that rule

[schaapattack]

Really like g'town -5...any thoughts?

[tdotcotez]

85-90% of the pub is on gtown but the line went down 2 points...


I'm all over WVA and the Newark/Bloomfield NJ (my former hometown) native Da`Sean Butler.

Lets go Da`Sean I need some costa rican hookers and blow this weekend.