Leans for Friday 1/9/09

[showtime2000]

Good morning all and CK. Another great day for ya yesterday CK. Liking your card tonight. I'll have time tonight to look at else and NHL too.
Hey Africanroller, hope all is well. Any NHL for ya tonight?


P.s. has anyone having problems connecting to the forum at night? The last couple of nights i haven't been able to get these forums. the page takes forever too load and most times i get page cannot display. Please help. Thank you.

[BigMoneyMan]

"

[fiveteamer]

cocknocker, do you play with a local???

[pho3nix32]

'Games Played in the New Orleans over the last 3 seasons:
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons'

lac@noh 185 --- going to ride with the OVER on this game.

[vassman86]

I'm seeing a lot of movement with the Heat/Kings line, which was around Heat -4.5. It's both rising and falling on different books to -5 and -4. Is there some news that we should be aware of? Anyone following this?

[africanroller]

Showtime, I am having the same exact problem and it prevented me from posting my nhl picks last night until it was to late. I dont know if the site is getting to much use but it has really stunk for the last couple of days. It just took me like 5 minutes to even get this page up.

[Dexter]

Sports insights is the best one for free. You get more than one book to look at unlike Vegasinsider.

As far as the games. I am on Houston early +8. I will be back later when I see the movement on the rest. GL

free? can you provide the link - b/c i show sportsinsights as a pay for site. thx.

http://www.sportsinsights.com/betting_percentages.aspx

[africanroller]

Dexter you do have to pay except for the basics.

[zackattack]

Where on the ESPN website are the basketball picks posted?

its not on espn website.........
espn bottom line is the ticker that scrolls along the bottom of the tv channel....some games espn gives out what they consider good leans. i tracked these for awhile and noticed that they are wrong most of nthe time.......so for the last 3 days i have posted espn's leans and completely faded them. so far to the tune of 15-3

[africanroller]

Im on my way out for awhile but I locked in the Capitals tonight as Columbus is completely decimated by injuries. If it keeps up they will have to start getting players from the ECHL.

[joanapoker]

joanapoker,

where do you see the betting trends?

thnks

statfox and covers


-------------

I've waited for so f***ing long to the OKC pass form +7.5 to +8.5 and it went +6.5 damn!!!!!!!!!

locked OKC+6.5

[joanapoker]

Zack still nothing for 2night on ESPN??

man I'm gonna hammer those ESPN fades!
cya later

[kitsters2k]

Hey Ck

You think OKC still a good play at +6.5 or should i wait?

[roasthawg]

With you on Charlotte...got em at +5.5, my best bet of the day. G/L.

[joanapoker]

No totals for 2night??

My friends here in Portugal like the OVER at NOH....but I don't! I'm more on to the OVER at 76ers and at Orlando.

I'll take suggestions

So far, my card is like this:
Cavs -3.5 (hook buy)----guess only me and Dexter are on the Cavs 2night
Thunders +6.5
Bobcats +6
Heat -4 (CK pick)

[nick2060]

I don't wanna tell anybody what to do, but hammering the espn fades might not be the best thing to do considering even though its goddamned incredible so far, its only 2 days.

[lambogb]

hornets -15?
lakers -14.5?

im still learning about movement but these should lower right?

[akharlip]

Joanapoker

With you on all

Staying away from BOS/CLE

[Jsonic]

King James is as solid as it gets. I am going big on Cleveland and any body that likes money should follow$$

[therber2]

OKC +points is an interesting gamble. The odds are 99% in favor of this pick, but damn....its OKC...the Thunder. They suck! I'm putting a small wager on this one and hoping the Thunder can realize that they NEED a moral victory, because they are simply pathetic.

Message to OKC: You guys see that bulge in you pants? Those are your balls. Use them.

Maybe I'll tease this too with the BOS +pts. I'm with CK on this one. It is Boston's time to shine. This will be one hell of a show ladies and gents! If Boston and OKC don't cover shame on them.

[NBA Hero]

joanapoker,

any link on that

[ragiche]

Hello everybody.That was avery good payday yesterday.Congrats to all.I will now share my plays for tonights game and some thoughts,and it's already official guys.(i'm going out to make some errand,be back later tonight).

Orl -5 this will be my pick for today.we all know all the bettors are on orl.Remember that orl is a covering team.And they also to have some revenge for the humiliation they've receive from the hawks in their first meeting at orl.They beat the hawks at atl their last meeting only by 4.But they blowout the hawks earlier and they just collapse in the 4th qtr(same against the wizzles).But the magic always rebound better results from their mistakes,ats wise i know that the hawks have the edge.But this is a different orl team right now,with a very good home pct. against not so good on the road team.I smell blowout here.( Very Heavy play)

Cha +7(styles) This team was blown out by one of the very good teams in the nba.And they will rebound for that embarrasment and what a good timing will be.coach brown visiting his former team.Simply speaking,this game not only the players of the bobs have the edge but also the coach.We know the 76ers are playing very good as late but i'll take the bobs covering this one or even win su.( Heavy play)

Mia -4 (CK) Only have 1 reason to this game.D-WADE(Dismantle everyopponent Whoever blocks his way.Aggresiveness in both sides of the floor equals bringing Excitement to the crowd).He will score 40 pts.- 50pts. above in this game.No kings player can gurard him.(Heavy play)

Only 3 games for me tonight right now cause it's time for work.GL to all of you tonight,let's beat again the bookies tonight.Is it wonderful to have that feeling?(K.O the bookies)

[killersweet]

I like the Raptors -5.5 today. Raptors are playing well lately and they are a January team. So I believe they should be able to beat the Griz by 6 points.
Also liking the Cavs tonight. Lebron wants to prove himself and I think Cavs will take this.

[Dana4U]

ESPN Bottom Line

The 15-3 record is quite amazing. I played one of the games last night and came up a loser (StL vs. Xavier). Do you fade all of their picks or just some?

its not on espn website.........
espn bottom line is the ticker that scrolls along the bottom of the tv channel....some games espn gives out what they consider good leans. i tracked these for awhile and noticed that they are wrong most of nthe time.......so for the last 3 days i have posted espn's leans and completely faded them. so far to the tune of 15-3

[cocknocker]

fiveteamer,

I don't believe in using locals.

vassman86,

I took Miami down to 3.5. I think that the line will rise as the day goes on.

Kitsters,

If you have to take the Thunder back up then do so. 7.5 is fine. as roasthawg pointed out for usyesterday, 7 is also becoming a key number in basketball in terms of the figure that games end with respect to margin. So if you get back on top of that 7, you should be fine.

lambogb,

I won't be playing the Lakers now. The size of the spread disqualified that play for me. I will have to put that information on my opening statements as well. As far as the Hornets are concerned, this is thier first home game after a road trip. I decided to lay off of that one because of that fact. The Lakers spread is 7 points too high in my opinion

[cocknocker]

killersweet,

That's the wrong call on that one. the Grizzlies is the way to go. Checkout the ats record of Memphis in games at Toronto. I think it was 4-1 if I am not mistaken.

[vassman86]

I'm playing Charlotte +6.5 as my heaviest play so far. I really like OKC +7, and I've also locked in Miami -4.

I'll be back with some picks after a mid-day nap.

africanroller,
I'm seeing some value in the puckline for the Washington Capitals -1.5 at even money. Washington is on a rampage on home ice, and is 11-1 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. Columbus is without Nash. To make matters worse for Columbus, this is the final game of a six-game road trip.

[peterpan19]

ck
did you play all your 4 games so far the same amount?

Today I like, besides ck plays (I really like that Mia game):
Under 197 WAS/Chi under is 6 out of 7 in Chc, Was is only scoring 84 ppg (L5) lately and CHI is well rested, as are both, so they should be a bit rusty out of the gate. They will probably score some close to 95 both, but that wont be enough, under

Under 194 Det/Den under is 5 out of 6 in Den, Det plays some great D lately (only 84 ppg L5), and I just dont think Den will put up more than 100 on them and for Det, they only score 88 ppg with so many injuries, under it is

pho -5.5
Pho lost to Ind at home, they want some blood at home, perfect fit is Dal, just played a close one last night, Pho it is

[English Bloke]

Help!!

Hi,
I'm looking for some serious big-time CK Mafia help here tonight. I've just gone and lost 9 consecutive parlays (Idiot, I hear you'll say), and my bank balance has a large hole in it now. My last loss included CK's PC Play (Cavs-14) and then my mistake was to back Ok City +6 and they blew out.

I really want to snap a win before I hit number 10, so where better to ask for a surefire, nailed on, put your mortgage on it, as sound as a pound, dead cert two team parlay than this magnificent thread.

I bow to the greater knowledge of this fine game to most of the contributors on CK's threads and really appreciate your tips over the last year or so.

So can anyone help me out? I would be more than happy to pass on a few English football tips if I (we) can snap my bad run.

All the best

GMP

[killersweet]

killersweet,

That's the wrong call on that one. the Grizzlies is the way to go. Checkout the ats record of Memphis in games at Toronto. I think it was 4-1 if I am not mistaken.

Well, Toronto has laid some eggs at home. But they have been playing well lately and espeically their former #1 pick Bargnani has come out of the dead and has been shooting the lights out. And Griz has been 2-14 on the road and i think Raptors will get the job done tonight. They have been good to me lately, so just riding the streak:-)

[nick2060]

yea im really anticipating those espn fades, whether i play them or not is a different story but in canada we dont rly get espn, so please make sure to post them if you dont mind

[joanapoker]

joanapoker,

any link on that

here it is man:

http://www.statfox.com/nba/

[sportsgenius1]

Lock

What's the lock tonight???

[kitsters2k]

killersweet,

That's the wrong call on that one. the Grizzlies is the way to go. Checkout the ats record of Memphis in games at Toronto. I think it was 4-1 if I am not mistaken.

<LI class=more>MEM are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.

But I still wouldn't touch this game, both teams could put through.

[joanapoker]

Under 197 WAS/Chi under is 6 out of 7 in Chc, Was is only scoring 84 ppg (L5) lately and CHI is well rested, as are both, so they should be a bit rusty out of the gate. They will probably score some close to 95 both, but that wont be enough, under

Under 194 Det/Den under is 5 out of 6 in Den, Det plays some great D lately (only 84 ppg L5), and I just dont think Den will put up more than 100 on them and for Det, they only score 88 ppg with so many injuries, under it is

Locked those two Under, nice info pete!

Also adding CHA/PHI OVER 191 - this two teams in the past 10 games have gonne 7-3 for the OVER and PHI is really scoring some points lately. I could be way off but I think that the bobcats are gonna keep this close (that's why I also played CHA+6) and they will score much more than against King james and his crew!

gl all!

P.S. Zack still waiting for those ESPN fades