HEAT/PACERS GAME 3 PRELUDE AND GAMBLING IDEOLOGIES - I Know What The Books are Doing

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  • yisman
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-01-08
    • 75682

    #36
    Originally posted by rawzay
    They could of set the line @ INDY -10 and I would still take it. Indy is clearly the better team and Dwade isn't gonna save the Heat this year. Indy in 6
    lol
    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
    [/quote]

    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
    Comment
    • nelsonrc24
      SBR MVP
      • 04-02-13
      • 1578

      #37
      this was a good banana theory..
      Comment
      • GUNSHY
        SBR High Roller
        • 06-02-12
        • 116

        #38
        Originally posted by nelsonrc24
        this was a good banana theory..
        Classic....
        Comment
        • Hadley13
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-03-13
          • 125

          #39
          Indiana is in no way better than the Heat. The first two games, Indiana played great, and Miami played below average and yet it was still tied 1-1. You have to get a better understanding of what is really happening behind the box scores..
          Comment
          • Splashingthrees
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-19-13
            • 14

            #40
            so many people in this thread will have their jimmies rustled because they bet on this game because of what they read here lmao
            Comment
            • JayLA
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-12
              • 7806

              #41
              lol Ya really scared em with this idea. books are petrified of you now
              Comment
              • GUNSHY
                SBR High Roller
                • 06-02-12
                • 116

                #42
                Just when I thought that we had this whole betting thing figured out... Miami enters the 4th quarter with a head full of steam and a 15 point lead. Oh well, I guess we will have to go back to the drawing board, lol..
                Comment
                • NittanyLionsFan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-26-10
                  • 2857

                  #43
                  What a joke
                  Comment
                  • bjb7223
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-03-12
                    • 10349

                    #44
                    vegas insider
                    Comment
                    • sportsfanatic
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-10-07
                      • 3967

                      #45
                      Originally posted by El Sol
                      Books don't really work this way. The number one goal of a book is to have equal probabilities or outcomes on both sides of the bet, by doing so, the house margin is equal on both sides of the bet. They try to do this every time, every game, every day, every month, every year.

                      Contrary to popular belief, they really don't care how much money is on either side if they set their lines correctly because in the end, the lofty 4.54% house edge they enjoy makes them all the profit they really need without having to resort to wild schemes and cons. Plus, you are assuming all the books in the world are working together to make something like this happen, thrust me, they don't. Competition among them is just as fierce as any other business, as linesmen are highly prized and sought after.

                      With that said, Linesmen are not soothsayers, so if you can interpret the same information they have differently and set the line differently. You can find your advantage and negate their edge and actually shift the margin toward your side of the action. So, Is this what you are trying to do?
                      nominated post
                      Comment
                      • trevor123698
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-26-09
                        • 1071

                        #46
                        every last one of you with your comments will lose money on game 4
                        Comment
                        • Hadley13
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-03-13
                          • 125

                          #47
                          Originally posted by trevor123698
                          every last one of you with your comments will lose money on game 4
                          The ones who backed Indiana or or Miami?
                          Comment
                          • rake922
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-23-07
                            • 11692

                            #48
                            kush how much you lose?
                            Comment
                            • raydog
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-07-07
                              • 6984

                              #49
                              mother of god...please dont quit your day job kid
                              Comment
                              • matt711
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-09-12
                                • 2289

                                #50
                                Originally posted by rawzay
                                They could of set the line @ INDY -10 and I would still take it. Indy is clearly the better team and Dwade isn't gonna save the Heat this year. Indy in 6
                                I sure would have taken the Heat +6....Miami is clearly the better team,if they played indiana 100 times they would beat them at least 85 times..
                                Comment
                                • Potentate
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-31-13
                                  • 1089

                                  #51
                                  If everyone would just edit their signature to "But who knows what'll happen," there's be a lot less flaming on this forum... lol.
                                  Comment
                                  • GUNSHY
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-02-12
                                    • 116

                                    #52
                                    I can't wait to hear the prelude and gambling ideology on game 4, it should be very interesting.
                                    Comment
                                    • nj1035
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-19-09
                                      • 902

                                      #53
                                      Lesson: Don't try and "guess" what the books are doing. Watch all of the games and bet on the team you think will win.
                                      Comment
                                      • MDRTYson
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 05-12-13
                                        • 105

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Splashingthrees
                                        so many people in this thread will have their jimmies rustled because they bet on this game because of what they read here lmao
                                        Guilty as charged.
                                        Comment
                                        • GUNSHY
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 06-02-12
                                          • 116

                                          #55
                                          Does anyone know what time we're getting the GAME 4 PRELUDE for the GRIZZLIES vs. SPURS game tonight???
                                          Comment
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