EP36's Three Point/Playoff Prop Shop

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #71
    I guess I can also see why 5d were such pussies during the regular season with this prop. How you would ever have the juice on the UNDER for this prop in this series is hilarious.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #72
      Well the Houston series I believe went 5-1 for the OVERs, a great series. As with what I wanted to stay in line with, likely sticking with just two series this round and going with OVERs. Knicks-Pacers is @ 15.5. The last meeting I think gives an indicator of what the series could be like as both were playing with a full deck. NY hit 11/31 from deep & IND hit 8/28. NY got away at times from being who they are in the Boston series it seemed with shooting threes. Indy is very mercurial in shooting from deep, so I think they will be a key if this is going to cash. They definitely ebb and flow to where they might get three one game and eight or nine the next. Starting @ MSG where the Knicks averaged double digit makes for the season gives me the green light in Game 1. We'll see if adjustments need to be made, but I think if the Knicks stay more true to their style and are putting up 25-30 per game, this number has a shot.
      Comment
      • vikingfan101
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-04-12
        • 475

        #73
        Seems like a good number today, wish Bovada had this up.
        Comment
        • Pick'nParlays
          SBR MVP
          • 02-22-08
          • 3134

          #74
          cant find it on 5dimes yet either
          Comment
          • Pick'nParlays
            SBR MVP
            • 02-22-08
            • 3134

            #75
            EP,

            Making my annual pilgramage down to vegas this upcoming weekend. Do you know of any casino books that offer the total 3 props?
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #76
              No clue on the Vegas books. Fell one shy. 42 attempts. Willing to try it again at this # or hopefully 15 with some juice on it. Will be looking at the Warriors-Spurs # on Monday. Guessing we'll see 16.5-17.
              Comment
              • Pick'nParlays
                SBR MVP
                • 02-22-08
                • 3134

                #77
                EP,

                See lots of value in 3 point prop with GSW/SAS.

                Think 5dimes will put out a line for this? Or will I be SOL.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #78
                  They have it for Chicago-Miami. No reason it shouldn't be on their props for Golden State-SA. In looking back, I guess the 15.5 is a fair number. I was expecting inflation from the GSW-DEN series where the threes flew quite a bit. Given the Spurs lack of threes in the LA series though, I can see where this number comes from. SA isn't as 3-centric as Golden State, but they were a solid 3 pt. shooting/making team in the regular season.

                  I think they'll need some more of that this series to win, so here's hoping for about 45 attempts per game. I'll be on the Over 15.5 from the get go in this series.
                  Comment
                  • BigBoi
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-01-11
                    • 1084

                    #79
                    15.5 with 30 cents juice at 5 dimes.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #80
                      Guessing we easily roll up to 16 with some juice for Game 2, but this could be another cash cow type of overs series.
                      Comment
                      • Pick'nParlays
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-22-08
                        • 3134

                        #81
                        $$$$
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #82
                          Willing to go once more with the Knicks-Pacers Over 15.5 @ -105 at Betonline. -130 @ 5Dimes.
                          Comment
                          • buurrdman
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-28-10
                            • 121

                            #83
                            My local bookie has it at U 15.5 -120....
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #84
                              And we got 16 even with some shitty shitty shooting.
                              Comment
                              • SlickRick1382
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-15-11
                                • 3838

                                #85
                                Some timely 3 pointers to close the game out.

                                5 in the last 3:30 minutes.....
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #86
                                  Made up for the 30 some odd misses before that LoL. Seriously if JR Smith could hit the broad side of a barn, these props would cash early. If Novak can play more, this prop is worth riding more. Ready for some Warriors-Spurs tomorrow. Guessing the number is 16 with juice on the over, but would not count out a book spaz at 16.5 after Game 1. Either way, I'm riding over again.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #87
                                    Books did a total spaz out. 17 @ +115 for the Over at 5Dimes for Warriors-Spurs. -105 @ Betonline. Gonna chew on that one for a bit, likely to try it - but maybe for lower stakes.

                                    Definitely giving the Heat-Bulls Over 13 [-105] @ Betonline a try tonight. Bulls started hitting more 3s late in the Nets series + Nate Robinson in the starting lineup continues to yield more three tries. Best price around because it's way inflated at 5dimes.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #88
                                      Gonna Roll on the Over 17 to win half a unit. Think it's a bit reactionary on the bump up to 17, but the pace in Game 1 was good. Still, if Curry gets defended better ... could struggle to get to this number, but worth a shot to me.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #89
                                        Gonna need a hot 4th quarter from deep to sniff a push in this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #90
                                          Meh. Had plenty of looks, winds up one short at 16.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #91
                                            All about Bulls-Heat Over 13 threes again.
                                            Comment
                                            • vikingfan101
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 02-04-12
                                              • 475

                                              #92
                                              Doesn't line seem low to you? Im gonna hit it anywhase but seems fishy after 14 in game one and 18 in game 2.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #93
                                                I maintain what I have all year - books have no clue how to set these lines and that's why they didn't post them for most of the year.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #94
                                                  Will ride Warriors-Spurs Over 17 for one more game and see if the Spurs can help this time.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • vikingfan101
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-04-12
                                                    • 475

                                                    #95
                                                    Winner winner on Bulls/Heat. Had me worried with the drought towards the end. Also grabbed Spurs one for small. Again, thanks for turning me on to these props.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #96
                                                      If books had the balls to post these all year, I would be a pig in slop. This season was weird because two years ago, these props were up for most games - made a good run with Portland a couple years ago when they turned into a 3 pt. shooting team without Aldridge at the end of the season ... be interested to see if they start next season posting them and then run scared again.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #97
                                                        Lame 1st half with the Warrios-Spurs from a 3 pt. shooting aspect. Will be off this series unless there is a serious rally hot streak in the 2nd half. Rather stick to Heat-Bulls & Knicks-Pacers for Overs.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #98
                                                          Pacers-Knicks up to 16. Still going for the over.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vikingfan101
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 02-04-12
                                                            • 475

                                                            #99
                                                            Sure as hell didn't expect the Knicks to completely abandon the 3 .. very strange.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #100
                                                              Yeah. Knicks have been odd in the postseason.

                                                              I took a shot at the Warriors-Spurs today even though I said I was done with that series beucause it dropped down to 15.5 which was just as dumb a reaction as it going up to 17 after Game 1. Good start in the 1st Q.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #101
                                                                They finally boinked the Bulls-Heat up to 13.5. I'm still riding the Overs with this one. If they're going to take 40+ threes, I like the chances of getting 14 or better still.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #102
                                                                  More reasons I hate the NBA, this game. What a shit fest.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Willing to try it one more time with the Heat-Bulls. Bulls have to keep shooting from 3 to have any chance. If they get D'ed up again, so be it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Late casher to end the series on an up note. Turned into a decent overs hit with three of the four games bet hitting.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #105
                                                                        [Game 1] Eastern Finals: Pacers Total Three Point Shots Made Over 7 [-115]
                                                                        Comment
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