Leans for Sunday 12/21/08

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  • africanroller
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-30-08
    • 936

    #71
    Im hitting the Jets in the Seattle blizzard. Favre and Jones will flourish while Wallace gets pounded.
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #72
      Peanuts bet o the day!

      Taking Florida State+7 and Florida State moneyline +250 (small plays) $165 and $50 college basketball. Trying to find a way to get close to getting $300.00 off of this game without much invested
      Comment
      • W0lfy
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-06-08
        • 765

        #73
        Picking the over on the Atlanta / Detroit game is painful. Both squads kill the clock completely every possession down and miss.
        Comment
        • joanapoker
          Restricted User
          • 12-09-08
          • 2275

          #74
          TITANS are a WIN (thx ck)

          Comment
          • peterpan19
            Restricted User
            • 11-02-08
            • 3377

            #75
            pray for ot in atl
            Comment
            • peterpan19
              Restricted User
              • 11-02-08
              • 3377

              #76
              ck

              is bos a huge play today or only normal one ?
              thx
              Comment
              • isiah121
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-04-08
                • 313

                #77
                What a loss on ALT/DET OVER.
                Comment
                • isiah121
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-04-08
                  • 313

                  #78
                  CK, how confident are you on the Giants -2.5 game?
                  Comment
                  • Morpheus
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-21-08
                    • 3

                    #79
                    Hi mates! I am the new one..at first sorry about my english! I am form Czech republic. Hope you can understand me . I´m NBA betting rookie so glad to find forum like this and people like CK and others!

                    For tonight without NBA pick but agree with CK and play NFL Giants -2,5! GL to ALL
                    Comment
                    • chosen1
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-17-08
                      • 30

                      #80
                      ck, i am also wondering about the giants game. ive had a rough day so far and would like to make a little back tonight
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #81
                        Trent Edwards and crew look horrible. The Giants will get this one back.
                        Comment
                        • africanroller
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-30-08
                          • 936

                          #82
                          The Bills have looked horrible for the last 6 weeks.
                          Comment
                          • djpremier36
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-11-08
                            • 3479

                            #83
                            Originally posted by isiah121
                            CK, how confident are you on the Giants -2.5 game?
                            The question is...how confident are YOU in the Giants -2.5?

                            CK, give his picks to the public but he isn't instructing us how to make our picks.

                            Match your handicapping with his and you should do just fine!

                            Good Luck!
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #84
                              Okay,

                              I am also fading myself on the Boston game by taking the

                              Knicks moneyline for +900. $50 for $495.

                              Why not? Anything can happen. They only lost by 2 to the Lakers and 8 to Phoenix?

                              Money management is just what it is. Always take a moneyline chance against yourself with a couple of dollars instead of offering it every wager for the books to keep. Might as well take a chance on the other side anyway for your money. Get more bang for your buck. Don't pay ANY vigorish to anyone else but yourself! I's a little less than $50.00 return but if you're wrong, you might as well get something for it. I don't care if I have a favorite line for the other side that's -1400. I'm still gonna get me that small return instead of give it away. What if the dog wins outright? You can make back what you would have lost anyway in some cases.
                              tta fade yourself on the moneyline for the other team. Something that I have explained before. But it's not catching on yet. Everytime you take a big bet, fade yourself on a totally seperate account for the moneyline of the other team for % of your play on th side you've chosen. For instance, if you make a $300.00 play, don't give up the vigorish, make your play at risk $500.00(-110) to make $454.55 and then tke that vigorish you would have had to pay on the other side if you were all the way wrong and make a play for that same $50.00 on a chance for yourself to recoup something. Hell, you can't argue with that +900 is just what it is.
                              Comment
                              • indeed
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-17-08
                                • 224

                                #85
                                CK - why so high on FSU against Pitt? You think they'll win outright or just keep it close?
                                Comment
                                • shoebox
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-26-08
                                  • 5710

                                  #86
                                  3-0 for the day ne covered ck great pic on tenn and my second halfunder hit. Ck how good u feeling about the g-men?
                                  Comment
                                  • shoebox
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-26-08
                                    • 5710

                                    #87
                                    I know u. Like em but u like em as much as the bucks Last night and the celtics on Friday?
                                    Comment
                                    • cocknocker
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-06-08
                                      • 8001

                                      #88
                                      Kinda hard to ignore that the Oklahoma City Thunder are 4/1 straight up and ats. A little shot on their moneyline is in order too $30 will get you $300 if you're wrong, and $272.23 off of $300.00 if you're right on Cleveland. if you're all the way wrong, you at least activate your money for a possibility of a return in stead of voluntarily giving it up without any chance whatsoever. Every now and then it pays off, so it's obviously better than never getting a return for your hedge money.. Are you kidding me? I'm not playing Clevelnad tonight to concentrate on the G-Men, but I am putting peanut money on all of the dog moneylines since I'm not playing most of these games tonight. I mean, it's always big risk in everything. I want a name when I lose with a big favorite. I use the remnants of my baseball account to do these bets. i hit up Betus and got a monster bonus when I took my money out and redosited it with an NFL bonus. They hit me with some stupid preconditions that I have to make a certain amount of bets in order to have the money, so I just use it for peanuts bets just to make it have activity. Frequent activity. All full of plays with the vigorish money plays on the other teams moneyline. BigMoney calls this living on "The Dark Side". It's formula money. Shameless, plays against all of the bets you're discouraged to take by the books with the vigorish money you would have payed anyway.

                                      I like Betus. They always give you hella love when you call and ask for them to release your money. They always go for the same line hook and sinker. They want that vigorish money homes. You guys better study the Dark Side that the books don't want you to know about money management. Don't pay vig to anyone but yourself. I may not win everygame but I am an expert money manager. Always put some crumbs on the long shot.
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #89
                                        shoebox,

                                        Yup!
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #90
                                          Somehow, I knew the Bills would find a way to not get a touchdown off of that interception. But at least they're getting it done. Who cares how it looks
                                          Comment
                                          • joanapoker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-09-08
                                            • 2275

                                            #91
                                            Also adding NY/BOS OVER 208.5

                                            so FINAL CARD today:
                                            FLORIDA STATE +8 (CK courtesy)

                                            TITANS +3 (thx CK) WIN
                                            BILLS +7.5 (CK)
                                            GIANTS -2.5 (CK)

                                            CLE/OKC UNDER 194.5 (my big bet tonight)
                                            NYK/BOS OVER 208.5 (small bet)

                                            good luck all!
                                            Comment
                                            • joanapoker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-09-08
                                              • 2275

                                              #92
                                              Why the fc**k didn't I play BOS 1st QRT........1st Half..........Game........etc.......damn
                                              Comment
                                              • CTS5
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-02-08
                                                • 223

                                                #93
                                                CK,

                                                I'm feeling the Giants this game too. I actually want to go heavy on the 1st half line at -3. Also, I like the cavs to take care of the thunder, however, I'm leaning on the -7 1st half bet. Cavs like to come off strong, and I believe the carry over affect will take place as well. Any thoughts?
                                                Comment
                                                • jalein
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-19-08
                                                  • 1005

                                                  #94
                                                  I am really liking Troy St -4. Gonna pound em hard. Any thoughts? The line was steady most the day now as gametime approaches it is up to -4.5. Gonna lock in at -4
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #95
                                                    Jaelin,

                                                    If I had to wager on it, I would have to take Troy.

                                                    Don't worry gentlemen, Cutler is on our side. If this Buffalo game goes to overtime, it's a done deal +7. They don't kick extra points in overtime games. It's money in the bank with OT, baby!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Devon
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-25-08
                                                      • 371

                                                      #96
                                                      Second half thoughts on Celts/Knicks?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #97
                                                        4 is the same as 3.5. The Giants still have to beat the Panthers by a touchdown! I'll take this one with no cut on it. Bills outright dog winner. Cutler is on our side!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #98
                                                          No Devin, just let it ride. Don't compund anything if you know what I mean. This one has a strange feel to it. I am glad that I took out that Knicks moneyline wager. They were strong in the 2nd quarter
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Devon
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 11-25-08
                                                            • 371

                                                            #99
                                                            Thanks for the heads up, learning curve to be a capper is long but worthwhile so far!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • africanroller
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-30-08
                                                              • 936

                                                              #100
                                                              Well Im thankful the Eagles were once again stupid and the ball didnt get across the goaline. At least the second half Skins made up for my once again poor decision of playing the Brett Interception Favre Jets.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • showtime2000
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-09-08
                                                                • 1054

                                                                #101
                                                                nice call CK on the Bills! Denver chooooked! Nice write up and tip. Always teaching us! Thanks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • roasthawg
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-09-07
                                                                  • 2990

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Hey cocknocker...I read your thread on more days that not but I was wondering if you or one of your boys could maybe start keeping a record of your plays?? I'm not above tailing a good capper but I just can't do it without some accurate data on the capper's success. Just an idea...g/l on your plays tonight.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • showtime2000
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-09-08
                                                                    • 1054

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Some nice trends supporting Giants tonight aswell,
                                                                    Giants 8-2 palsying against conference opponents this year
                                                                    Giants 26-11 palying against conference opponents last 3 years
                                                                    Giants 5-1 against NFC south division last 3 years

                                                                    Any thoughts on the half time line,
                                                                    Carolina averages 10 points at the half on the road and gives up 10 points on the road
                                                                    Giants average 16.9 points at home and give up 8.0 at home.

                                                                    A clear advantage Giants. CK any thougths on the Giants dominating at the half aswell?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • joanapoker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-09-08
                                                                      • 2275

                                                                      #104
                                                                      OKC is gonna make my UNDER impossible!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • joanapoker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-09-08
                                                                        • 2275

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Lucky me on the Florida State game (+8) thx to bet365
                                                                        Comment
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