GS/SA 2H Under 100.5 small play (1/3 unit)
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I much prefer OT when we are on OVER.....;-( and we almost won in OT. that was one of those that shoulda been in W column...Comment -
Wash/Pho 2H Under 96.5 medium play 1 Unit GLComment -
nice nigth
Comment -
3/20/2013
Small 1-0 +.33
Medium 2-2 -0.2
Large 0-0
3/20 sum 3-2 +.13 units
YTD
Small 10-5
Medium 6-6
Large 1-1
Total 17-12 +0.89 unitsComment -
as you know, we shoulda been 4-1 - that OT game shouda been easy winner.
17-12 doesnt feel that great since we are 50% on the top plays, but 17-12 is 58.5% which is in range of what we expect season long (but I would expect the win rate on small plays and medium/large plays to reverse somewhat - anyways - 29 games very small sample size). Will have picks tonight and maybe tomorrow then off to South America for a week..Comment -
no play ??Comment -
Phi den 2h under 100 medium play 1 unitComment -
pfft.
3/21/2013
Small 0-0
Medium 0-1 -1.1
Large 0-0
3/21 sum 0-1 -1.1 units
YTD
Small 10-5
Medium 6-7
Large 1-1
Total 17-13 -0.21 unitsComment -
3/22 OKC/Orl under 102 2H Medium 1 unitComment -
NY/Tor 2H Under 94 Medium play (1 unit)Comment -
Port/Atl 2H Under 100 small play 1/3 unitComment -
cle/hou under 105.5 medium play 1 unitComment -
mem/no 2H under 89.5 small (1/3 unit)Comment -
3/22/2013
Small 1-1 -.033
Medium 1-2 -1.2
Large 0-0
3/22 sum 2-3 -1.23 units
YTD
Small 11-6
Medium 7-9
Large 1-1
Total 19-16 -1.44 units
Not the best start on this forum. And now we're dark for a week. Back on 3/29. CheersComment -
we're back.
models while we were away were 5-5 small plays, 8-4 medium plays, 4-1 large plays (we won't include these in the stats obviously, just posting fyi)
3/31 bos/ny 2h under 98.5 medium play 1 unit.Comment -
3/31
Small 0-0
Medium 1-0 +1.0
Large 0-0
3/31 sum 1-0 +1.0 units
YTD
Small 11-6
Medium 8-9
Large 1-1
Total 20-16 -0.44 unitsComment -
4/2 New York/Miami Un 95½ medium play (1 unit)Comment -
Dal/Lak 2H under 100.5 medium play (1 unit)Comment -
why under?Comment -
because our model says that the advantage we have in this matchup is worth betting. (We cant/won't share the algorithm - but its entirely black box based on historical results)
(and yes, on this forum our initial record is much poorer than our season long results but thats murphys luck - we also have been playing alot more unders on here than the season long averages. interestingly last night the system was on 4 overs, but we were on a plane so couldnt post (or bet). Should be posting here every night now rest of season.Comment -
Thanks MAZ I tailed your 2H under 100 play. I needed that to save my night after the A's buried me..Comment -
4/2
Small 0-0
Medium 2-0 +2.0
Large 0-0
4/2 sum 2-0 +2.0 units
YTD (on posted plays)
Small 11-6
Medium 10-9
Large 1-1
Total 22-16 +1.56 unitsComment -
Wizards/raptors under 96, small play (1/3 unit)Comment -
76ers/bobcats over 96, small play (1/3 unit)Comment -
Kincks/hawks under 94.5, medium play (1 unit)Comment -
pistons/celtics under 97.5, large play (2 units)Comment -
Magic/spurs over 98.5, medium play (1 unit)Comment -
rockets/kings under 109, medium play (1 unit)Comment -
4-1 on the night, hopefully about to be 5-1! good job! tailing you on this play for sureComment -
suns/clippers under 99, medium play (1 unit)Comment -
lmao this 4th quarter for the rockets game is beautiful. The third quarter i thought we were screwedComment -
4/3
Small 1-1
Medium 2-2
Large 1-0
4/2 sum 4-3 +1.77
YTD (on posted plays)
Small 12-7
Medium 11-10
Large 2-1
Total 26-19 +3.33Comment -
If anyone wants to get these picks sent to their phone or computer - which would probably be easier for most of you than clicking refresh here, send me a message and I can add you for that. (We send them to ourselves so we can bet when traveling etc.) I will still be posting them here however...Comment