MAZ NBA Halftime Picks -

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  • MAZ Sports
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-15-13
    • 138

    #1
    MAZ NBA Halftime Picks -
    Hi
    A friend and I have observed certain patterns and trends in professional (and college) sports that seem to repeat. We have recently pooled our efforts in formulating these ideas into mathematical betting systems and are pretty excited about the results.


    For the rest of this season, we will be posting our computer selections in this forum so as to get a public track record. For now this will only involve NBA halftime plays. Historically these have won at a rate of 55% on small plays, 57% on medium plays and 60% on large plays. Small plays should be around 1 in 3 NBA games, medium around 1 in 5 NBA games and large plays around 1 in 12 NBA games.. If you do the math, this is.....attractive. We will post in this thread, a few minutes after halftime, our NBA plays which we are playing ourselves for 1/3 unit, 1 unit and 2 units respectively.

    Will post in this thread a few minutes after games go halftime and the computer spits out its prediction. Each day I will post the day before and YTD record.

    Good luck to us and may the free throws and late fouls go (y)our way.
    MAZ
  • MAZ Sports
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-15-13
    • 138

    #2
    Charlotte/Tor 2H Under 97 1 unit (medium) play
    Comment
    • MAZ Sports
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-15-13
      • 138

      #3
      Lakers/Pacers over 94.5 small play 1/3 unit
      Comment
      • MAZ Sports
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-15-13
        • 138

        #4
        Minn/Hou Under 106 large play - 2 units
        Comment
        • MAZ Sports
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-15-13
          • 138

          #5
          Cle/Dal Under 101 small play (1/3 unit)
          Comment
          • MAZ Sports
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-15-13
            • 138

            #6
            3/15/2013
            Small 2-0 +.66
            Medium 1-0 +1
            Large 0-1 -2.2

            3-1 -0.54 units
            YTD 3-1 -0.54 units

            (Note: I know the 1/3 unit complicates the math, but we expect to have alot of plays of that caliber and they are definitely worth playing but will not approach the win rate of the strongest plays. Ergo the 1/3, 1, 2, ratio on plays makes the most sense for this forum, though I am playing the games myself for 1%, 3% and 6% of my bankroll)
            Comment
            • MAZ Sports
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-15-13
              • 138

              #7
              3/16 Pho/Wash 2H over 93.5 small play (1/3 unit)
              Comment
              • natelli1
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-01-08
                • 251

                #8
                Good luck bro. Is every game gonna have a play? Or do you only play games at a certain % or higher?
                Comment
                • MAZ Sports
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-15-13
                  • 138

                  #9
                  Ind/Phil 2H over 91.5 medium play (1 unit)
                  Comment
                  • MAZ Sports
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 03-15-13
                    • 138

                    #10
                    Char/Bos 2H Under 93.5 medium play (1 unit)
                    Comment
                    • MAZ Sports
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-15-13
                      • 138

                      #11
                      Originally posted by natelli1
                      Is every game gonna have a play?
                      Natelli1, about 1 in 3 games have small play, 1 in 5 games have medium play and 1 in 12 games have large play, so about 40% of games or so will have some play. Thats alot of games. I dont think i will have time to post the 'no plays', so if there is nothing posted after 5-6 minutes after game gets halftime it is likely a no play. (but Ill try to post 'no play' if that is the case)
                      Comment
                      • MAZ Sports
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-15-13
                        • 138

                        #12
                        3/16 cle/sa 2H no play
                        Comment
                        • pulledclear
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-19-12
                          • 6684

                          #13
                          Oh Lord not another shill tout!
                          Comment
                          • MAZ Sports
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-15-13
                            • 138

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pulledclear
                            Oh Lord not another shill tout!
                            pulledclear, ya I hear you, but we are not that. Just 2 guys with phds (one in computer science/math) who have created an algorithm we think works. For obvious reasons I don't intend to expand on how/why it works.

                            We're not going to do alot of chatter here, its just a repository for the track record. You can follow/believe if you wish, and even be skeptical. We're pretty confident in the system hitting 57%+ on several hundred games per year (which if you bet you know is a big deal), but a) this is our first season implementing it and b) NBA halftimes have low max bets, so having others play it might eventually make sense. Check back here in a month.
                            Comment
                            • pulledclear
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-19-12
                              • 6684

                              #15
                              Sounds like Reemer and Macdummy jerking each other off again!
                              Comment
                              • MAZ Sports
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-15-13
                                • 138

                                #16
                                Mem/Utah 2H Under 92 small play (1/3 unit)
                                Comment
                                • MAZ Sports
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-15-13
                                  • 138

                                  #17
                                  det/port no play
                                  Comment
                                  • MAZ Sports
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-15-13
                                    • 138

                                    #18
                                    3/16/2013
                                    Small 2-0 +.66
                                    Medium 1-1 -0.1
                                    Large 0-0

                                    3/16 sum 3-1 +0.56 unit

                                    YTD
                                    Small 4-0
                                    Medium 2-1
                                    Large 0-1
                                    Total 6-2 +.02 units
                                    Comment
                                    • figue
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-23-10
                                      • 2524

                                      #19
                                      Comment
                                      • figue
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-23-10
                                        • 2524

                                        #20
                                        Comment
                                        • MAZ Sports
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 03-15-13
                                          • 138

                                          #21
                                          3/17 Orl/Mil 2H under 104.5 small play (1/3 unit)
                                          MIa/Tor 2H under 97 small play (1/3 unit)
                                          Comment
                                          • FreddieGibbs
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 03-04-13
                                            • 347

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by MAZ Sports
                                            3/17 Orl/Mil 2H under 104.5 small play (1/3 unit)
                                            MIa/Tor 2H under 97 small play (1/3 unit)
                                            Any reason no play on Miami .5?

                                            Good Luck!
                                            Comment
                                            • MAZ Sports
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 03-15-13
                                              • 138

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by FreddieGibbs
                                              Any reason no play on Miami .5?

                                              Good Luck!
                                              we only post totals (overs/unders) here, if I didnt mention that
                                              Comment
                                              • figue
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-23-10
                                                • 2524

                                                #24
                                                damn 0-2
                                                Comment
                                                • MAZ Sports
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-15-13
                                                  • 138

                                                  #25
                                                  New York Kincks vs LA Clippers
                                                  under 94
                                                  small play (1/3 unit)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MAZ Sports
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-15-13
                                                    • 138

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by figue
                                                    damn 0-2
                                                    I know - sucks. Hope we get some higher level plays and wins in the afternoon!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • figue
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-23-10
                                                      • 2524

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • figue
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-23-10
                                                        • 2524

                                                        #28
                                                        1-2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MAZ Sports
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 03-15-13
                                                          • 138

                                                          #29
                                                          GS/Hou 2H Under 107.5 Large play 2 Units
                                                          NO/Min 2H no play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MAZ Sports
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-15-13
                                                            • 138

                                                            #30
                                                            OKC/Dal Under 102.5 medium play 1 unit
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MAZ Sports
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-15-13
                                                              • 138

                                                              #31
                                                              atl/Brook 2H Under 93 Medium play - 1 unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • figue
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-23-10
                                                                • 2524

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • figue
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-23-10
                                                                  • 2524

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MAZ Sports
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 03-15-13
                                                                    • 138

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Sac/Lakers 2H Under 107.5 medium play (1 Unit)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MAZ Sports
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-15-13
                                                                      • 138

                                                                      #35
                                                                      3/17/2013
                                                                      Small 1-2 -.396
                                                                      Medium 1-2 -1.2
                                                                      Large 1-0 +2.0

                                                                      3/17 sum 3-4 +0.404 units

                                                                      YTD
                                                                      Small 5-2
                                                                      Medium 3-3
                                                                      Large 1-1
                                                                      Total 9-6 +.424 units
                                                                      Comment
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