Leans for Saturday 12/13/08

[Spoon]

@Shoe, what did you get UCLA at?

@CK: I have the Knicks myself, but not to hyped about the under 191 in the Houston game and definitely staying clear of Detroit.

GL Guys

[BookBuster]

yea gs is risky...played last night with alot of high scoring....dont know if they'll have the mojo for tonight.....cleveland is scary too....a team so hot is only favored by 4 or 5 ...dont get me wrong its only a 25 dollar parlay but why not try to hit it big u know...so far i only have 3 plays....i need a 4th or even a 5th....i think im gonna scratch gs and take houston-4...the under 191...detroit-1...and new york+2

[shoebox]

CK thoughts on Detroit being they still have no identity as to what style of basketball they wanna play. I feel like pulling the trigger on it????

[africanroller]

Im with you 100% on that CK. After that Miss game I dont care and I didnt even have a bad day on them. Its just a coin flip, no capping involved.

[shoebox]

@Shoe, what did you get UCLA at?

CK: I have the Knicks myself, but not to hyed about the under 191 and definitely staying clear of Detroit.

GL Guys

Spoon,

16.5 and ill gladly take it. DepPaul is gonna have a real real real tough time getting points UCLA is a defensive squad im all over this play. Suprised this one did not catch the eye of anyone else GL

[tdotcotez]

The Knicks could get help with guard Nate Robinson expected to return on Saturday after missing seven of his last eight games with a strained groin.The 5-foot-9 Robinson is averaging career highs with 13.8 points and 4.1 assists in 15 games.

Nate Robinson is the fukin MAN

[spal2811]

Hornets Raptors

the early line is out for tomorrows raptors hornets matchup

Hornets -2 seems to good to be true

I know the raptors have won 2 strait blowouts but i cant see NO losing two in a row especially with chandler back and i dont believe the raptors are for real

any thoughts?

[cocknocker]

I don't care about the stinking consensus number for this game, but Detroit has been together a little longer than the Bobcats newly constructed squad, so i will take my chances with them and considering thier history with playing the Bobs, I have to go with the flow.

[africanroller]

Get up to the window and get your money boys Minn and LA had 2 goals until the last two minutes when the Goalie came out.

Let it ride

NY/Columbus over 5.5
Bos/Atl over 5.5 Hedberg in net tonight with a stagering 7-0 over record on the road and Manny is in net for the Bruins.

[DaProfessor23]

I don't care about the stinking consensus number for this game, but Detroit has been together a little longer than the Bobcats newly constructed squad, so i will take my chances with them and considering thier history with playing the Bobs, I have to go with the flow.

, you took the words right out of my mouth. African i have 3 team parlay .Thrashers/bruins , St.louis/San.Jose , Redwings/Coyotes = all over 5.5 . wish me luck lol i need to get lucky

[CTS5]

I already put 250 straight on detroit, but im thinking of doubling that to 500. I usually dont bet more than 250 on each game straight, but I lost a good chunk last night, and I really like detroit in this game. Any advice? I know im a little in chase mode but detroit seems like a really strong play at this point.

[nick2060]

Honestly people are afraid of riding a hot streak. When the Colts or Patriots used to go on there incredibly long winning streaks every week people would over analyze and plenty of people would give the underdog who had no business beating them a chance. My point is, lets look at Atlanta and Cleveland's games in the past 7 days (i think 5 games can stretch over more than a week and can sometimes be less relevant.)
Cleveland
They have played 4 games in the past week:
December 6,2008 @ Charlotte Cleveland 94 Charlotte 74
December 9,2008 vs. Toronto Cleveland 114 Toronto 94
December10,2008 @ Philly Cleveland 101 Philly 93
December12,2008 vs Philly Cleveland 88 Philly 72

Notes:
Charlotte shot 36.2 percent and 21.4 from 3 point land
Toronto shot 45.1 percent and 35.3 from 3 point land
Philly shot 42.3 percent and TEN percent from 3 point land
Philly shot 43.5 percent and 8.3 percent from 3 point land
These 4 teams have a combined record of 35-55 as of today

Atlanta is 13-9 A winning record!
They have also played 4 games in the past week ALL of them on the road. They went 1-3 and the games looked a little like this
December 6, 2008 @ Dallas Atlanta 98 Dallas 100
December 9, 2008 @ Houston Atlanta 84 Houston 92
December10,2008 @ SA Atlanta 89 SA 95
December12,2008 @ Miami Atlanta 87 Miami 73
Notes:
The teams Atlanta lost to had a combined record of 41-25 and Miami is 12-10 all as of today.

This is just to give you guys a different angle on the game, also Atlanta is coming off a 6 day long 4 game road trip. I'm trying to look up a few examples of how teams play when they come home after road trips to see if this should benefit Cleveland or Atlanta.
Chicago coming off a 7 game road trip came home to face philly and lost 103-95 in overtime
New Jersey came off a 4 game road trip to face washington and lost 108-88
Utah had a 5 game road trip and beat pheonix 109-97
After looking at this I really don't think it makes a difference whether your coming off a road trip. Good teams win and bad teams lose. Im gonna do a bit more research but i really can't find a solid angle on this game so it might just be a no play

[Spoon]

I already put 250 straight on detroit, but im thinking of doubling that to 500. I usually dont bet more than 250 on each game straight, but I lost a good chunk last night, and I really like detroit in this game. Any advice? I know im a little in chase mode but detroit seems like a really strong play at this point.

My advice... stay with the money you already laid down and if you feel good by halftime, place another wager.

[cocknocker]

I see what you were talking about with the Bucks, Wang. They actually have the best movement on the board in my opinion. I just don't ike betting with them because you never know what you're gonna get. But after 3 straight double digit losses, I am gonna play them with you for a small play. Whatever. This one's for you. I have never liked playing the Bucks. They lack heart and depth. Alright my little homie out there in Bakersfield. I'm gonna roll with you. So now I have made two plays today gained from the strengths of the board.

Bucks-3.5 (C'mon I'm not crazy...I had to get under that key)

[BigMoneyMan]

Well I hit all my college games except one. If anyone wants to see something F Ucked up and kind of funny since it was a good day. Go to covers. Click on NCAAB and go to the Oklahoma Utah matchup. Then hit bet graph. You will notice I got robbed in the last 1.50 when Oklahoma went on a 12 point run.

[tdotcotez]

i dunno what the UNC 2nd half spread is but you should jump on it cuz theyre gonna run this shit up.. told yall to fux w/ it half unit

[nick2060]

hey anybody who has a theory:

What do you guys think of a situation where you have two teams favoured by -5.5 by on the moneyline they are -225 and -235 respectively, much like philly and utah tonight. Common sense would have you believe they clearly like the team at -235 to win more, but do you think it gives any extra value to the spread?

[cocknocker]

Gametime fellers!

[africanroller]

Whats everyones opinion on the Dallas/OKC o/u 205. This is looking kinda high to me. These teams have gone under 3 out of the last 4 times they have met.

[LUNT101]

CK, what in god's name is with that Denver/GS line? The massive spread and reverse line movement is screaming Denver.

[cocknocker]

Good start so far for Detroit. They are putting the clamps on the Bobcats defensively for a change. I miss the old days of their shut down defense. Man do I miss that...

[cocknocker]

LUNT101,

I don't know. All that I know is that the spread for that game is like the ones given out at the end of the season when a team is trying to qualify for the playoffs and the other team is out of the hunt and has a had a few players bought with Mafia money to throw the game.

[BigMoneyMan]

OK some more tasty College games. The Greek has these all offered. N Colorado 1st half, Wisc Green bay 1st Half, Evansville.

[LUNT101]

I mean thats actually a ridiculous spread. There's Thunders @ Mavs at -13 and then Warriors @ Nuggets -15?? Doesn't make much sense. I could honestly see the Warriors w/o Maggette again coming in, getting in a hole early and losing this game by 20 against what has become a very solid team in the Nuggets.

[shoebox]

Great first half by the bruins hopefully they keep the vice grips tight and they will cruise!

[CTS5]

nuggets are not a solid team. Theyre inconsistent.

[LUNT101]

Not really. They have come together nicely with Chauncey at the point and are playing a good brand of basketball right now. Despite a lopsided loss to the Spurs, they have played very well over the past 2 weeks.

[Bookingyourmoney]

LOL CTS5,

Warriors are better,im not sure, ok warriors have good 3point shooter and nice speed but they dont control center, so if you dont have controll about center you can suk and louse half game and that is the true...

Nuggets have some problems but they are better and stronger, whatever, warriors will not win away home maybe but away in da home from nuggets that you can forget.

[shoebox]

CK thoughts on cavs second half?

[Broncos9798]

What are your guys thoughts if Cleveland is down double digits at half. Will they get rolling or not?

[CTS5]

bookingyourmoney,

I think you misunderstood what i said. I didnt say the warriors are better than the nuggets. Of course denver is a better team. I would just never take them to cover 15 points on another inconsistent team like the warriors. Two inconsistent teams like that with such a high spread is trouble.

[Broncos9798]

Shoebox you think a lot like me. LOL two days in a row.

[shoebox]

Shoebox you think a lot like me. LOL two days in a row.

Its been a good week, hell a good month I have a bad feeling watching this game. Cavs seem to be going through the motions but I dont wanna miss out on some easy $

[Broncos9798]

Cleveland -5 currently down by 9....I sort of like it

[joanapoker]

guess those o backe ATL new this would happen....