Leans for Friday 12/12/08

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #106
    JM5900,

    KelsoSportsHandicapping.com has all the power ratings for all sports, and freshly updated every week
    Comment
    • LUNT101
      Restricted User
      • 03-12-07
      • 919

      #107
      My plays are in.

      Warriors +2 1 unit
      Warriors ML/Hawks ML 1 unit
      Comment
      • AC1318
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-09-06
        • 6712

        #108
        cocknocker I'm liking

        memphis
        sixers
        miami
        hornets
        spurs
        golden st.
        toronto
        lakers

        what are your final selections ?
        Comment
        • AC1318
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-09-06
          • 6712

          #109
          Originally posted by AC1318
          cocknocker I'm liking

          memphis
          sixers
          miami
          hornets
          spurs
          golden st.
          toronto
          lakers

          what are your final selections ?
          add clippers scratch toronto
          Comment
          • peterpan19
            Restricted User
            • 11-02-08
            • 3377

            #110
            det -5.5 at pinny now
            should I get it now ck ?
            Comment
            • Jm5900
              SBR Hustler
              • 11-07-08
              • 67

              #111
              thank you
              Comment
              • wangichu
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-07-08
                • 946

                #112
                hmm... orl +0 1st half at +100... might have to take that too... damn... big board today... I'm having a hard time widdling this thing down...

                leaning
                1st halfers:

                NO +4 (-105)
                ORL PK (+100)
                DET -3.5

                games:
                DET -6
                ORL +2
                GS +2
                ATL +2.5
                Comment
                • wangichu
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-07-08
                  • 946

                  #113
                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                  I am surprised that no one came onto the thread extolling Portland tonight. I am surprised that they arent favored by an even 10 after losing that many ats in a row, but the 8.5 is fine. I don't care about that. Nor do I care to bet on them right now, here today. But I am watching.When they get the covering machine going you can't catch on after the 2nd one. All that I know is that next week will be Blazers' week all week long with doubling up on two games straight. I'm gonna wear them out with these plays, Portland 12/16, 12/18/08.
                  the clips have been covering big spreads and the reverse line movement has me scared off this game. I'll roll with them next week though.

                  what the hell is up with all that line movement in the detroit game though... got me nervous about it.
                  Comment
                  • Spoon
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-21-08
                    • 592

                    #114
                    The last time the Pistons line started out at -5.5 and dropped to -4.5 they lost the game outright. Now it starts out at -7 and just dropped to -5.5. What's the story? What don't I know?
                    Comment
                    • LUNT101
                      Restricted User
                      • 03-12-07
                      • 919

                      #115
                      Adding:

                      NO +2 1Q

                      to

                      GSW +2
                      GSW ML/ATL ML
                      Comment
                      • IrwinFletcher
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 11-10-08
                        • 96

                        #116
                        Originally posted by cocknocker
                        I am surprised that no one came onto the thread extolling Portland tonight. I am surprised that they arent favored by an even 10 after losing that many ats in a row, but the 8.5 is fine. I don't care about that. Nor do I care to bet on them right now, here today. But I am watching.When they get the covering machine going you can't catch on after the 2nd one. All that I know is that next week will be Blazers' week all week long with doubling up on two games straight. I'm gonna wear them out with these plays, Portland 12/16, 12/18/08.
                        CK.. for what it's worth.. I like the lowly Clipps to keep this one close. I really think fatigue is gonna be a big factor on the defensive end tonight. On the tail end of the B2B after having played a tough road schedule over the past two weeks and all the time in the air with only one day at home over that span. These guys are happy to be home to face a shitty team for the first time in a while and may relax a bit too much..
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #117
                          That Sixers line finally went up to +11. I think if I wait a little more, then the public can get it to 11.5. The Cavs should be favored by 6, and actually 5 with a starter lost for the game.

                          Anyway, just for you, my homie in Stockholm, I am gonna make a parlay for you. Don't put more than $25.00 on it:

                          Memphis+2.5
                          New Orleans +7.5 (1 point buy)
                          Atlanta+2.5
                          Minnesota +12.5 (4 point buy gotta face the music)
                          Detroit-5.5
                          Orlando+100 moneyline
                          Philladelphia +12.5 (1.5 point buy)
                          Toronto+2.5

                          I am putting $25.00 to win $2102.75
                          Comment
                          • nick2060
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-08
                            • 1051

                            #118
                            maybe the Detroit line drop is cause stuckey is starting? I really can't figure it out
                            Comment
                            • cs11787
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-26-08
                              • 1088

                              #119
                              CK what are your reccommendations on two big plays for tonight I can play heavy on? Please email me soon as I am leaving. Thanks.
                              Comment
                              • cocknocker
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-06-08
                                • 8001

                                #120
                                I am still waiting for my half point. If I don't get it, i may drop this game. Cleveland's moneyline dictates that the linemaker has room to take this line up to 13 just prior to gametime. If that happens, then i am laying off of this game, because the points would match the moneyline. So I am still waiting...

                                My official plays so far

                                Detroit-6
                                Warriors+2.5
                                New Orleans+7.5
                                Orlando +100 Moneyline
                                Comment
                                • peterpan19
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-02-08
                                  • 3377

                                  #121
                                  your playing them all for the same amount ck ?
                                  Comment
                                  • BigMoneyMan
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-14-08
                                    • 925

                                    #122
                                    Alright hes back. Had some time to look at the games and here is what I have so far. I am going with Cleveland. I know Ck is touting Philly but everything says the Cavs and now the line is moving up as it should. The only thing that says take Philly here is the past trends and Gents you can throw that crap out the window. This is not the same team you have seen in the past. BTW Iluglast only scored 8 and had 3 rebounds in the last game so him being out is probably a plus. CLEV -10 bought the hook.

                                    Second play I am taking Memphis. This one looks right on all of my capping factors, movement, trends, situation, recent performance. MEMPHIS +3

                                    BE back with more
                                    Comment
                                    • Bookingyourmoney
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-12-08
                                      • 17

                                      #123
                                      Im pickt today this :

                                      Pistons -6
                                      lakers-16
                                      Phili+10,5
                                      Orlando over104
                                      GS+1,5
                                      Hornets +6,5
                                      Spurs-8,5
                                      Miami-2,5

                                      and contra ticket for :

                                      Indiana+6
                                      Boston-6,5
                                      Cavs-10,5
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #124
                                        cs11787,

                                        I played them all evenly. I didn't favor any over the other tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #125
                                          The Sixers can piss off. I am thinking that the Cavs should have had more movement. After talking with BigMoney and my own reservations about the line, i am laying off of that one.

                                          No play Sixers +11
                                          Comment
                                          • dreday
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-11-08
                                            • 34

                                            #126
                                            my NO line just jumped from +6.5 to +7.5
                                            Comment
                                            • MarkHammond
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-12-08
                                              • 247

                                              #127
                                              Beasley out with the Flu for the HEat
                                              Comment
                                              • BigMoneyMan
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-14-08
                                                • 925

                                                #128
                                                OK a update. I am rolling with NO tonight. This is a bad situation for Boston on a BTB. No is a young team and matches up well. Boston is older and the BTB will effect them. NO +7

                                                I can't roll with Ck on Detroit tonight. With AI in the mix up I just don't think they gel as well. With that said Detroit after a loss on the road usually wins by 20+ and that why he likes them. Just not the same team without Billups so I have to see if they will respond the same before laying cash on it to find out. GL
                                                Comment
                                                • Spoon
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-21-08
                                                  • 592

                                                  #129
                                                  Celtics -6 (Bought 1pt)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • haserfauld
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-12-08
                                                    • 957

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
                                                    Ok a update. I am rolling with NO tonight. This is a bad situation for Boston on a BTB. No is a young team and matches up well. Boston is older and the BTB will effect them. NO +7
                                                    Obviously a newbie here (hello 1st post). I have had a fairly decent record with NFL but I always got killed on NBA. I decided to read up here and follow some advice of the more experienced. I went to pick up NO at +7 and right as I did it it changed to +8. Even better for me I suppose. Good luck all
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tbond10
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-02-08
                                                      • 1014

                                                      #131
                                                      My final plays:

                                                      Det -5.5
                                                      GS +2
                                                      Over Celtics 189
                                                      Clev -9.5 (-130) (my buddy loved em at -11 so I told him I'd ride with him... had it at -10.5 so bought the point)

                                                      and I'm making a last minute decision on hornets... POSSIBLY taking em +7.. but may just lay off.. Good luck everyone.. Been a phenomenal week and would LOVE to keep it going.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • africanroller
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-30-08
                                                        • 936

                                                        #132
                                                        Pistons -6
                                                        Orlando +2
                                                        GS +1.5
                                                        Bruins - 165
                                                        Florida/Calgary Under

                                                        Still debating the Chicago/Avs game later.

                                                        Like Celtics over and NJ -3 but will wait until second half to make my decision
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #133
                                                          dreday,

                                                          The linemakers are covering their bets no0, trying to get some bets on New Orleans. But 6.5 is still 8. With the consensus number like that, (74-26%), they had to leave some wiggle room. But what you are not paying attention to is the moneyline. It has fallen quite a bit, while the spread went up. Boston is now only -330 with that 7.5 spread
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigMoneyMan
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-14-08
                                                            • 925

                                                            #134
                                                            OK Last one until 9:30 got to run out and will capp the last three when I return. Taking Orlando. Lets face it the Suns are a mess right now and management knows it. (ie the trade) Now shag is out and really doesn't;t matter if hes in against Howard. Then there going to throw Richardson in the mix tonight. If you don't think that is going to spell disaster against a rested Magic team common. ORLANDO ML
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cocknocker
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 8001

                                                              #135
                                                              Tyson Chandler is out for tonight with neck spasms, but that wasn't released until right before gametime. Oh well, insider information that we didn't have access to. Their backup is plus/minus nightmare Hilton Armstrong. I hope that he gets into foul trouble early so that he won't be a factor. This is bad news...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • showtime2000
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-09-08
                                                                • 1054

                                                                #136
                                                                CK any chance New Orleans pulls off a win in Boston? Heck the way the line is moving. Never mind that with Chandler out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #137
                                                                  That's why the sharp increase in the spread, Christ!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • peterpan19
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-02-08
                                                                    • 3377

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                                    Tyson Chandler is out for tonight with neck spasms, but that wasn't released until right before gametime. Oh well, insider information that we didn't have access to. Their backup is plus/minus nightmare Hilton Armstrong. I hope that he gets into foul trouble early so that he won't be a factor. This is bad news...
                                                                    so no play on NO tnite ? didnt bet em so far
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cocknocker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                                      • 8001

                                                                      #139
                                                                      But now mine has dipped back own to -7 just that quick!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MarkHammond
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-12-08
                                                                        • 247

                                                                        #140
                                                                        damn
                                                                        Comment
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