Leans for Tuesday 11/25/08

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #71
    Showtime2000,

    tomorrow I like the Raptors (Styles' pick), Detroit Pistons for everything I own. Just kidding, but I am going heavy on that one. They just got blown the heck out in their last game by Minnesota. The Knicks are going to get beat up upon in that one. I may end up taking the Pistons team total too. Until the Knicks shore up their defense, i may continue to fade them in certain spots. And you are spot on, I also do like the Hawks as well. Milwaukee is on a 7-1-1 ats streak. The Hawks are on a 0-5 ats streak, so already I like that one heavy, too.

    Whew! It's over. I went so heavy on the Cleveland team total that I played it on all three of my books heavily. I was scared for a minute in the 4th, but they pulled it out for a player.
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #72
      The Kid,

      Hell no! The Lakers may end up blowing them off in the 1st half. The nets will cover for the game though. They always cover the number in Los Angeles.
      Comment
      • The_Kid
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-09-08
        • 5049

        #73
        Originally posted by cocknocker
        The Kid,

        Hell no! The Lakers may end up blowing them off in the 1st half. The nets will cover for the game though. They always cover the number in Los Angeles.
        Haha, I like the defiant response. I took the Nets for the game, so let's hope they can keep it within that number. Thanks for the input, CK!
        Comment
        • showtime2000
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-08
          • 1054

          #74
          Awesome, can't wait till tomorrow! We're going to do it CK and Styles way!

          Not sure if your into NHL, but Buffalo Sabres might be a strong play for tomorrow night against Boston, one of the hottest teams atm. Buffalo has lost 5 games in a row, and Boston is 9-1 games won last 10. Tides have to change and tomorrow might just be the night!
          Comment
          • showtime2000
            SBR MVP
            • 11-09-08
            • 1054

            #75
            Need some shut eye.......Let's rock dem lakers jersey boys!!!!! Cmon jersey!
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #76
              With a moneyline of +1100, I have to take a small stab at the moneyline play on this one too. The Nets have won 4 of the last 6 games in Los Angeles
              Comment
              • MikeZaW
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-12-08
                • 472

                #77
                I'm in on the +13.5 ..... if I could get a moneyline on this one I'd go small on it as well but my book isn't offering it. Let's Go Nets!


                I don't like saying that much being a Sixers Fan but it's betting so LET'S GO NETS!
                Comment
                • jalein
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-19-08
                  • 1005

                  #78
                  All in all I cant complain.
                  Lost GS-2 for 3 units
                  Won Clev TT over 110 3 units
                  Won Ball St -10 3 units
                  Nets +13.5 2 units
                  Nets ML small Fiddy to win $575 (ML +1100)
                  Took UNC bb -17 (winning BIG at 1/2) 1 unit

                  I likely donated $50 on the Nets ML.....but the THOUGHT of turning fiddy in to more than $500 simply got me pumped
                  Comment
                  • BrandonLaz
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-18-08
                    • 855

                    #79
                    I know it is very early, but I am really impressed with the way NJ has started out. It gets me worried though I don't want the Lakers to come out at half determined to destroy them. I would like for the Lakers to go in with a lead and just start playing lazy basketball like they normally do in the second half of games.
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #80
                      Half numbers

                      Jerz road defense
                      22.80 (3rd)
                      31.20 (4th)

                      54 total

                      Lakers Home defense
                      20.43 (3rd)
                      25.00 (4th)

                      45.43 total

                      advantage lakers 8.57

                      Jerz road offense
                      25.40 (3rd)
                      30.60 (4th)

                      56 total

                      Lakers home offense
                      24.71 (3rd)
                      24.71 (4th)
                      49.42

                      Advantage Jerz 6.58

                      overall a 1.99 advantage for the Lakers and a total of 99.5 for average surendered 2nd half

                      with a spread of Lakers-7.5, and a total of 107

                      the advantage lies with:

                      Jerz+7.5

                      Jerz/Lakers under 107
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #81
                        I myself am not playing anything at the half, but apparently the linesmaker does not feel that the Lakers are going to cover the game spread with a second half line such as that one. I give the nod to the under, which always seems to hit in the 2nd half of Lakers games as the public is always on the over. With 107 scored in he second half, the game woul have a finishing total of 217. No way....
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #82
                          Not looking too good at this point. The Nets are not getting any of the loose balls or rebounds, and Los Angeles is having their way with them. Down by 19, the spread is not out of reach conceivably, but the Nets have to get a little tougher and start knocking down some shots.
                          Comment
                          • johnnymapalo
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-14-08
                            • 2999

                            #83
                            Just like I said. Cleveland massacred New York. Easy money!!!
                            Comment
                            • cnleaf
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-08-08
                              • 346

                              #84
                              Nets is crashing
                              Comment
                              • jalein
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-19-08
                                • 1005

                                #85
                                nets are nuttin all over themselves. i am going to bed. money still made for the day, just not nearly as much money. But will not complain about making money.
                                Comment
                                • The_Kid
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-09-08
                                  • 5049

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                  Not looking too good at this point. The Nets are not getting any of the loose balls or rebounds, and Los Angeles is having their way with them. Down by 19, the spread is not out of reach conceivably, but the Nets have to get a little tougher and start knocking down some shots.
                                  Ugh! I just checked the box score and it looks like the Nets are just collapsing. I'm hoping for a backdoor cover with the Laker subs in. Chris Mihm is in for crying out loud!
                                  Comment
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