nba chase 12/13

**Steeler65** · 02-09-13, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

records:
S1: W 52 | L 2 (+15,10 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade

pending:
- S1 Sac fade, B Bet on 09.02.2013
- S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S1 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S3 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

I was wondering how come in your S2 series, you have a 25-2 record but show a negative unit amount.

**Stifler** · 02-09-13, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by Kababayan

I was also curious how the 4th quarter system is doing. Would someone mind please restating what the 4th quarter system is. Is it following a team to cover each quarter during live better? Thank you.

post #1213 page 35

**Kababayan** · 02-09-13, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

post #1213 page 35

Thanks Stifler

**olmec** · 02-09-13, 12:02 PM

Hi Stifler, Just a little question: we will go on take Pacers 2u also B,C,D bets? or will we accept 1u lost and go on with normal B,C,D?

**Grinder12000** · 02-09-13, 12:16 PM

I was wondering how come in your S2 series, you have a 25-2 record but show a negative unit amount.

When a chase loses the TOTAL units loss is 18.45.

Thus 25 - (2*18.45) = -11.90

If you look at wagering this way - I don't.

Once a bet has been lost you never get that back - move on. So yea, INSIDE the structure you can pretend you have not lost any units yet but in reality, those games are gone. Move on, raise your bets and win the next one.

NOTE - I gotta say - I'm a little disappointed Stifler. With only 8 games on Wallco's NHL chase today I was hoping for a big ticket here so we could REALLY have some fun tonight!

**jimmy007oc** · 02-09-13, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Do you know where 4th quarter system stands currently? Last I heard it was hitting at an amazing rate like 75% SU. Its no wonder you can bet props or whatever that a team doesn't win all 4 quarters at like -1000.

Heat- Clippers game 4Q opened at + 22. which was tie bet. For 4Q system bet, I based on Stiffer's theory, but I added one condition which is wait for a line till the first TO in 4Q. cuz team usually let their stater play around first 4 mins in 4Q. I'll double my bet if the winning team get b2b schedule.
btw, since i first saw Sitffer' post abt this system, im 19-1 -_- The only game I lost was Spurs against some shitty team. Spurs cover all 4Q

**parlay100** · 02-09-13, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by Stifler

OFFTOPIC

I already mentioned a nice 4Q system for single betting. This system thread was posted last year on this forum but somehow didnt get updated later in the season. I really really like this system and would like to play it myself. Problem is those nba games are too late to follow them live.

rules:

- whenever a team wins the first 3 quarters and heading into the 4Q with a lead of atleast 10 points fade them on the spread in the 4Q (a point differential of 10 will also qualify for the system)
- the team has to win every single of the previous 3 quarter

This system was well above 60% as long asit was posted last year. Ive backtested this system for this year by using the sbr historical lines on 4Q for bet365. Thing is those lines are no live lines right after the 3rd quarter, still i think its close to a realistic number. This year this system sits at 35-15-1 (lines from sbr). I could bite myself for not being able to play this system. If anyone can get instant 4Q lines right after the 3rd quarter and is willing to play or track it i would like to see the record for actual real lines.

4Q historical numbers can be found here, but as i said those lines are no live lines unfortunately:

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds...?date=20121210

Stiff Man,
What book do you use for live betting all games in the 4th?

**Ceebizcut** · 02-09-13, 01:48 PM

So this means if
OKC and Chicago are playing
OKC wins the 1st Q
Second Q
3rd Q
And is going into the 4th Q 92-80
Bet Chicago to win the 4th?

**jimmy007oc** · 02-09-13, 02:07 PM

IF it was 92-80, i wouldnt bet Chicago 4Q, since it wasnt a blow out game. It has to be up around 20+

**Ceebizcut** · 02-09-13, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by jimmy007oc

IF it was 92-80, i wouldnt bet Chicago 4Q, since it wasnt a blow out game. It has to be up around 20+

Ohh, but you bet the team thats down, because in theory the other teams going to stop trying?

**dlunc3** · 02-09-13, 02:42 PM

Here is a link to last yrs thread:

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1548879-lunts-4q-betting-system-p13.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**Stifler** · 02-09-13, 02:54 PM

- Cleveland line added.

09.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u

S2

(A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 02-09-13, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by Ceebizcut

So this means if
OKC and Chicago are playing
OKC wins the 1st Q
Second Q
3rd Q
And is going into the 4th Q 92-80
Bet Chicago to win the 4th?

if OKC wins the first 3 quarter and is up 10 or more points going into the 4th ur going to fade them. Means ur playing Chicago.

Stiff Man,
What book do you use for live betting all games in the 4th?

im not playing this system yet. NBA time= night time in germany, so hard to follow live. I would go with pinnacle or bet365, bet365 offers 4Q bets, pinnacle live spreads.

**Grinder12000** · 02-09-13, 03:23 PM

Off Topic here - about NFL handicapping and why you might as well play the slots because there is no skill in it. LOL

I disagree.

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/you_have_no_skill_at_betting_on_nfl_games/

When football season comes around remind me to post Bridgejumper - 21 years and I'm 541-372 59.2% ATS

**Nino7** · 02-09-13, 04:04 PM

Stifler,if you ever think of a solution to be able to play the 4th Q system at night I'm interested since I'm in europe also.

**Huego** · 02-09-13, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Off Topic here - about NFL handicapping and why you might as well play the slots because there is no skill in it. LOL

I disagree.

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/you_have_no_skill_at_betting_on_nfl_games/

When football season comes around remind me to post Bridgejumper - 21 years and I'm 541-372 59.2% ATS

I'll try to remember you when NFL season comes around. I've been very profitable past two NFL seasons betting mostly teasers and team totals.

**GIVEMETHEMONEY** · 02-09-13, 10:06 PM

Hey Stifler your on American Pie 2 on Bravo CST

Heya Stiff,

How's your mom doing????

Love American Pie and American Pie 2!!

**itsjhurley** · 02-10-13, 02:21 AM

It's crazy how this thread is really quiet today

**abzflabz** · 02-10-13, 04:32 AM

Bad day at the office. Erbody be chillin takn the night off ready for tomoro

**gamewinninglv** · 02-10-13, 05:18 AM

Happy Chinese New Year to those who celebrates it !!!

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by olmec

Hi Stifler, Just a little question: we will go on take Pacers 2u also B,C,D bets? or will we accept 1u lost and go on with normal B,C,D?

Still thinking about this...will make my decision tomorrow when the B bet starts. I still like the series tbh.

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 07:22 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

09.02.2013

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u

S2

(A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u

S4

(A Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 52 | L 2 (+15,10 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade

pending:
- S1 Sac fade, C Bet on 10.02.2013
- S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S1 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S3 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Cle, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S4 Sac fade, B Bet on 10.02.2013

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 07:52 AM

10.02.2013

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Bos: Boston - waiting on line movement

S4

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Steeler65** · 02-10-13, 12:17 PM

Anybody have a updated spreadsheet to share so I could follow like the one Degengamble shared back in post 40 something?

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 01:02 PM

- Boston line added.

10.02.2013

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Bos: Boston -2 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 03:37 PM

- Houston line added.

10.02.2013

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston -6 4,85u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston -2 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston -6 2,31u
(A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**J.M. Disciple** · 02-10-13, 04:33 PM

Someone want to help put together the 4th quarter history from this season? This is what I have so far (includes preseason). We can break it down or split it up by months. Ill work on NOV now. I do not know the live lines though, that would definitely be the biggest help.

OCT 9^th, CLE
OCT 10^th IND
OCT 12TH NOH
OCT 13TH DET
OCT 14TH MIA
OCT 15TH BOS
OCT 16TH MIL
OCT 16TH CHA
OCT 16TH LAL
OCT 18TH DET
OCT 19TH IND
OCT 20TH DAL
OCT 20TH LAC
OCT 22ND GSW
OCT 23RD CLE
OCT 24TH DAL
OCT 25TH DEN
OCT 26TH ORL
OCT 26TH ATL
OCT 26TH DEN
OCT 26TH MIL
OCT 30TH WAS
OCT 30TH BOS
OCT 31ST LAL
OCT 31ST DEN
OCT 31ST SAC
NOV 2ND BOS
NOV 2ND CLE
NOV 2ND POR

**Stifler** · 02-10-13, 07:46 PM

since 10.12.2012, record before was 35-15-1 (backtested lines)

team listed is always the team that should have been played:

10.12 Char
14.12 Wash
14.12 GS
15.12 Wash
16.12 NO
16.12 Phil
16 Sac
17 SA
19 Utah
19 Wash
19 Cle
19 Char
19 NO
20 Dal
21 NYK
21 Wash
21 Char
22 Utah
22 Mem
22 Char
23 Dal
23 Phoe
25 Chic
26 Tor
26 Utah
26 Sac
27 Bos
28 Port
29 Hou
02.01.2013 LAC
02 Orl
02 Port
04 Phil
04 LAL
05 Min
05 Phil
05 GS
09 Atl
09 LAL
10 Dal
11 Char
11 Hou
11 NYK
12 Mem
12 Sac
14 Atl
14 Mem
14 Min
14 Mia
15 Char
16 Brook
16 Den
16 GS
18 Sac
19 Cle
20 Orl
22 Orl
23 LAC
23 Wash
25 Dal
25 Min
26 NYK
26 Sac
28 Utah
30 Char
01.02 LAC
01 Mia
01 Orl
02 Sac
04 Min
04 Dal
05 GS
06 Char
06 Mem
07 LAL
08 SA
08 LAC
08 Port
09 Utah

**Mr.Bushido** · 02-10-13, 09:14 PM

nice Terry.lol

**John Deere** · 02-10-13, 09:15 PM

hahaha sick cover. (Boston game)

**abzflabz** · 02-10-13, 11:06 PM

lets go rocketsssssssssssss

**Grinder12000** · 02-10-13, 11:24 PM

I gotta buy another red pen!

Between Wallco and Stiffler I've won 8 out of the last 32 games! hmmmm What kind of wagering system can make a winner out of 25% LOL

**illisdre** · 02-10-13, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

I gotta buy another red pen!

Between Wallco and Stiffler I've won 8 out of the last 32 games! hmmmm What kind of wagering system can make a winner out of 25% LOL

atleast with stiflers system its not 30 units to win one.
and at +1.5 odds of -200 .. isnt that supposed to mean you win half of the time atleast... hockey is more messed than basketball.

**cubfan2121** · 02-10-13, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by abzflabz

lets go rocketsssssssssssss

rockets up by 10 with 5 min left
they are going to lose outright

brutal

**Askii** · 02-11-13, 12:03 AM

Anyone has the standing of each play? Just for example.
EX:
S1-A 6-4
S1-B 8-8
S1-C 5-7
S1-D 2-2

Just asking thanks. S1 to S4 would be great.