2012-13 NBA Picks

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #771
    Originally posted by No coincidences
    I never said it was gold. I'd settle for hitting over 50% on lines where I BTCL -- because it doesn't happen for me.
    I think you need to look at it more in terms of when you win BECAUSE you beat the closer. i.e. if you have a team +5, it closes +3.5 and it ends up a 4 pt game. Just because you beat the closer big doesn't mean it has any outcome on the game. In fact it's probably the opposite with such a huge middle.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #772
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      nah beating the ml by 60 cents isnt meaningful in the nba. its only about the spread.
      Didn't you used to say pay attention to the ML moves more than the spread?
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #773
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        coin did memphis throw this game?
        I have no idea because I'm not watching it, but Memphis is one of the shadiest teams in the league. Conley is crooked. No one will ever convince me otherwise. He's been that way since he was bought by Ohio State.
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #774
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Didn't you used to say pay attention to the ML moves more than the spread?
          Watch ml movement to see if it drops. If it's back and forth that usually means a tight game. You need to beat the closer on spreads because we're normally betting points coin.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #775
            UTA +7 2H +100 (2U to win 2)
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #776
              CLE/SAC over 204.5 live (1.15U to win 1)
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #777
                CLE/SAC live over 202.5 -108 (2.16U to win 2)
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #778
                  UTA -5.5 live (1.15U to win 1)
                  Comment
                  • BigDofBA
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-30-09
                    • 19313

                    #779
                    I took the Jazz ML first half because I can't tell you how many times I took them +2 or +2.5 against teams like the Spurs, Heat, and Clippers and they're up double digits at halftime, up comfortably after three, and then end up losing by 4-5. I hope they don't penetrate you.

                    So far this is how they have scored by quarter:
                    • 30
                    • 29
                    • 25
                    • 6


                    Nice picks on the Kings total. You literally need 78 second half points.
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #780
                      I thought you live in Detroit

                      They let you play at SI?
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #781
                        Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                        I thought you live in Detroit

                        They let you play at SI?
                        We went through this earlier with Sherlock Pauly.

                        I've had an account there for almost three years. Yes, they still let me play there.

                        I don't live in Detroit anymore. Ohio.
                        Comment
                        • Vinnie Paz
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-27-12
                          • 12177

                          #782
                          Cool

                          Weird they let you - Im in Toronto and they suspended my account just for using an ip from a computer at work, said somehow it was registered as a US address.

                          Anyhow a good out to have, great for dog lines and the live betting is a gold mine.
                          Comment
                          • BigDofBA
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-30-09
                            • 19313

                            #783
                            I have under 104 for the 2nd half of the Kings/Cavs game. It was on pace to go way under until they scored 20 points in the final 2:12 of the third quarter and 11 points in the final 53 seconds.

                            I bet they score either 105 or 106. Probably on late free throws.
                            Comment
                            • t-wizzle
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-18-09
                              • 38099

                              #784
                              Looks like the over in the late game is gonna hit. Line move play?
                              Comment
                              • BigDofBA
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-30-09
                                • 19313

                                #785
                                I guess no one can miss a three point shot now. That's like 19 points in two minutes.. LOL.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #786
                                  Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                  Looks like the over in the late game is gonna hit. Line move play?
                                  Nah -- just two shit teams who don't play D and really don't give a f\*\*k in general.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #787
                                    Sharp line in Sac-town eh?

                                    LOL.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #788
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      Sharp line in Sac-town eh?

                                      LOL.
                                      The last game of the night being decided by .5? Nahh...just a coincidence.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #789
                                        4-4, -5.5U tonight
                                        92-103, -6.56U thread


                                        Could've used either the Cavs cover (missed by the hook) or the Jazz 2H cover (missed by a point). Oh well.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #790
                                          NO +3.5 (3.3U to win 3)

                                          I'm going to take a long look at Houston tonight as well.
                                          Comment
                                          • CHAZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 4978

                                            #791
                                            Why NO?
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #792
                                              Originally posted by CHAZ
                                              Why NO?
                                              I think they're a tough matchup for Philly. Hornets are finally healthy and, other than the Knicks meltdown the other day, playing good ball (four wins in a row before that). Will just kind of depend on if they can slow Holiday.

                                              Sixers blew short-handed NO out by 15 back in November and the line is only -3/-3.5. I think the books are giving the Hornets respect here and hopefully it's justified.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #793
                                                HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

                                                Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.
                                                Comment
                                                • og4667
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-17-09
                                                  • 2438

                                                  #794
                                                  good luck nocoin...like the hornets tonight also.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                    • 36581

                                                    #795
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    I think they're a tough matchup for Philly. Hornets are finally healthy and, other than the Knicks meltdown the other day, playing good ball (four wins in a row before that). Will just kind of depend on if they can slow Holiday.

                                                    Sixers blew short-handed NO out by 15 back in November and the line is only -3/-3.5. I think the books are giving the Hornets respect here and hopefully it's justified.
                                                    Not because public is on Philly and RLM that has Stern's dirty fukkin hands all over it?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PAULYPOKER
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-06-08
                                                      • 36581

                                                      #796
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

                                                      Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.
                                                      Same deal here............

                                                      But Not because public is on Clippers and RLM that has Stern's dirty fukkin hands all over it?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PAULYPOKER
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-06-08
                                                        • 36581

                                                        #797
                                                        You know one of these will most likely lose to disguise the fix...................
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #798
                                                          Was there really just 8 fouls called in the first 1:52 of the 2nd quarter in the Raptors/Nets game? LOL.

                                                          I hope everyone took the over....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BigDofBA
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-30-09
                                                            • 19313

                                                            #799
                                                            I feel like I won money just by "not" backing Houston tonight because I really wanted to.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sbrhgary
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-28-12
                                                              • 275

                                                              #800
                                                              Nice pick. Had the same gut feeling on NO. Also the over, easy parlay.
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              NO +3.5 (3.3U to win 3)

                                                              I'm going to take a long look at Houston tonight as well.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CHAZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-09-09
                                                                • 4978

                                                                #801
                                                                Good call bud!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                                  • 36581

                                                                  #802
                                                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                                  You know one of these will most likely lose to disguise the fix...................
                                                                  BINGO was his name-o
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #803
                                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                    HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

                                                                    Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.
                                                                    Bam.

                                                                    Unreal. Wasn't even injury news that pushed it to close at -163, yet for the second straight night, I kill the closing number and it loses.

                                                                    Thanks Chaz. At least the Hornets cashed.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                                      • 19313

                                                                      #804
                                                                      I'm so glad I had LA -3 first half instead of over 107.5.

                                                                      It was stuck on 107 for like the last 30 seconds, the Bucks missed three shots and then Monta Ellis missed both free throws at the end of half. Total stays under by .5.

                                                                      Another sharp line.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #805
                                                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                        I'm so glad I had LA -3 first half instead of over 107.5.

                                                                        It was stuck on 107 for like the last 30 seconds, the Bucks missed three shots and then Monta Ellis missed both free throws at the end of half. Total stays under by .5.

                                                                        Another sharp line.
                                                                        Yep -- nothing unusual there.
                                                                        Comment
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