2012-13 NBA Picks

t-wizzle · 01-14-13, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I never said it was gold. I'd settle for hitting over 50% on lines where I BTCL -- because it doesn't happen for me.

I think you need to look at it more in terms of when you win BECAUSE you beat the closer. i.e. if you have a team +5, it closes +3.5 and it ends up a 4 pt game. Just because you beat the closer big doesn't mean it has any outcome on the game. In fact it's probably the opposite with such a huge middle.

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

nah beating the ml by 60 cents isnt meaningful in the nba. its only about the spread.

Didn't you used to say pay attention to the ML moves more than the spread?

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

coin did memphis throw this game?

I have no idea because I'm not watching it, but Memphis is one of the shadiest teams in the league. Conley is crooked. No one will ever convince me otherwise. He's been that way since he was bought by Ohio State.

t-wizzle · 01-14-13, 09:57 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Didn't you used to say pay attention to the ML moves more than the spread?

Watch ml movement to see if it drops. If it's back and forth that usually means a tight game. You need to beat the closer on spreads because we're normally betting points coin.

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 10:13 PM

UTA +7 2H +100 (2U to win 2)

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 10:14 PM

CLE/SAC over 204.5 live (1.15U to win 1)

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 10:24 PM

CLE/SAC live over 202.5 -108 (2.16U to win 2)

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 11:07 PM

UTA -5.5 live (1.15U to win 1)

BigDofBA · 01-14-13, 11:09 PM

I took the Jazz ML first half because I can't tell you how many times I took them +2 or +2.5 against teams like the Spurs, Heat, and Clippers and they're up double digits at halftime, up comfortably after three, and then end up losing by 4-5. I hope they don't penetrate you.

So far this is how they have scored by quarter:

30
29
25
6

Nice picks on the Kings total. You literally need 78 second half points.

Vinnie Paz · 01-14-13, 11:14 PM

I thought you live in Detroit

They let you play at SI?

No coincidences · 01-14-13, 11:16 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

I thought you live in Detroit

They let you play at SI?

We went through this earlier with Sherlock Pauly.

I've had an account there for almost three years. Yes, they still let me play there.

I don't live in Detroit anymore. Ohio.

Vinnie Paz · 01-14-13, 11:24 PM

Cool

Weird they let you - Im in Toronto and they suspended my account just for using an ip from a computer at work, said somehow it was registered as a US address.

Anyhow a good out to have, great for dog lines and the live betting is a gold mine.

BigDofBA · 01-14-13, 11:57 PM

I have under 104 for the 2nd half of the Kings/Cavs game. It was on pace to go way under until they scored 20 points in the final 2:12 of the third quarter and 11 points in the final 53 seconds.

I bet they score either 105 or 106. Probably on late free throws.

t-wizzle · 01-15-13, 12:03 AM

Looks like the over in the late game is gonna hit. Line move play?

BigDofBA · 01-15-13, 12:23 AM

I guess no one can miss a three point shot now. That's like 19 points in two minutes.. LOL.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 12:34 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Looks like the over in the late game is gonna hit. Line move play?

Nah -- just two shit teams who don't play D and really don't give a f\*\*k in general.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 12:40 AM

Sharp line in Sac-town eh?

LOL.

BigDofBA · 01-15-13, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Sharp line in Sac-town eh?

LOL.

The last game of the night being decided by .5? Nahh...just a coincidence.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 01:13 AM

4-4, -5.5U tonight
92-103, -6.56U thread

Could've used either the Cavs cover (missed by the hook) or the Jazz 2H cover (missed by a point). Oh well.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 09:47 AM

NO +3.5 (3.3U to win 3)

I'm going to take a long look at Houston tonight as well.

CHAZ · 01-15-13, 10:04 AM

Why NO?

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by CHAZ

Why NO?

I think they're a tough matchup for Philly. Hornets are finally healthy and, other than the Knicks meltdown the other day, playing good ball (four wins in a row before that). Will just kind of depend on if they can slow Holiday.

Sixers blew short-handed NO out by 15 back in November and the line is only -3/-3.5. I think the books are giving the Hornets respect here and hopefully it's justified.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 11:27 AM

HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.

og4667 · 01-15-13, 11:58 AM

good luck nocoin...like the hornets tonight also.

PAULYPOKER · 01-15-13, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I think they're a tough matchup for Philly. Hornets are finally healthy and, other than the Knicks meltdown the other day, playing good ball (four wins in a row before that). Will just kind of depend on if they can slow Holiday.

Sixers blew short-handed NO out by 15 back in November and the line is only -3/-3.5. I think the books are giving the Hornets respect here and hopefully it's justified.

Not because public is on Philly and RLM that has Stern's dirty fukkin hands all over it?

PAULYPOKER · 01-15-13, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.

Same deal here............

But Not because public is on Clippers and RLM that has Stern's dirty fukkin hands all over it?

PAULYPOKER · 01-15-13, 05:02 PM

You know one of these will most likely lose to disguise the fix...................

BigDofBA · 01-15-13, 08:13 PM

Was there really just 8 fouls called in the first 1:52 of the 2nd quarter in the Raptors/Nets game? LOL.

I hope everyone took the over....

BigDofBA · 01-15-13, 09:43 PM

I feel like I won money just by "not" backing Houston tonight because I really wanted to.

sbrhgary · 01-15-13, 09:48 PM

Nice pick. Had the same gut feeling on NO. Also the over, easy parlay.

Originally posted by No coincidences

NO +3.5 (3.3U to win 3)

I'm going to take a long look at Houston tonight as well.

CHAZ · 01-15-13, 10:03 PM

Good call bud!

PAULYPOKER · 01-15-13, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

You know one of these will most likely lose to disguise the fix...................

BINGO was his name-o

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

HOU -140 (4.2U to win 3)

Let's see if the Clippers can bury me two nights in a row.

Bam.

Unreal. Wasn't even injury news that pushed it to close at -163, yet for the second straight night, I kill the closing number and it loses.

Thanks Chaz. At least the Hornets cashed.

BigDofBA · 01-15-13, 11:38 PM

I'm so glad I had LA -3 first half instead of over 107.5.

It was stuck on 107 for like the last 30 seconds, the Bucks missed three shots and then Monta Ellis missed both free throws at the end of half. Total stays under by .5.

Another sharp line.

No coincidences · 01-15-13, 11:42 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'm so glad I had LA -3 first half instead of over 107.5.

It was stuck on 107 for like the last 30 seconds, the Bucks missed three shots and then Monta Ellis missed both free throws at the end of half. Total stays under by .5.

Another sharp line.

Yep -- nothing unusual there.