2012-13 NBA Picks

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 12:54 AM

Thank you, gambling gods.

vyomguy · 12-19-12, 12:54 AM

wow...lucky hornets didnt foul there with 22 seconds left

the referees were making several bad calls against hornets

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 12:59 AM

2-2, +10.89U tonight
51-63, -25.55U thread

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by vyomguy

wow...lucky hornets didnt foul there with 22 seconds left

the referees were making several bad calls against hornets

Yep -- just another "sharp" NBA line vyom.

Will you please take GM up on that stupid challenge and kick his shit to the curb?

vyomguy · 12-19-12, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Yep -- just another "sharp" NBA line vyom.

Will you please take GM up on that stupid challenge and kick his shit to the curb?

I asked him to open a thread with the conditions...he hasnt opened yet.

the default handicapping contests on sbr wont allow halves.

I opened it myself http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...g-contest.html

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by vyomguy

I asked him to open a thread with the conditions...he hasnt opened yet.

the default handicapping contests on sbr wont allow halves.

I opened it myself http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...g-contest.html

Good luck pal. I'm hoping this happens.

Kind of like the Sixers spread/ML tonight in Houston. Also looking at the Wizzz.

Broncos · 12-19-12, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

2-2, +10.89U tonight
51-63, -25.55U thread

Well done NC.

t-wizzle · 12-19-12, 06:22 PM

Are you going to fade the Greek in Indiana?

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Are you going to fade the Greek in Indiana?

To be honest, I haven't even been paying attention lately.

Long story short, I'm really not that interested in what The Greek has to say anymore.

t-wizzle · 12-19-12, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

To be honest, I haven't even been paying attention lately.

Long story short, I'm really not that interested in what The Greek has to say anymore.

Fair enough. Like I said, I still use them. Indiana is not on my radar tonight however.

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Fair enough. Like I said, I still use them. Indiana is not on my radar tonight however.

I'm looking at the Bobcats and possibly the Wizards. Do the Sixers cover? I'm interested in them as well.

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by Broncos

Well done NC.

LOL -- not sure if you're being serious re: yesterday or sarcastic re: overall. Thanks though.

t-wizzle · 12-19-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm looking at the Bobcats and possibly the Wizards. Do the Sixers cover? I'm interested in them as well.

I took sixers big. Basically martingaled it but not quite doubling up from last night.

I think they win tonight.

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 07:15 PM

CHA +9 (3.3U to win 3)
PHI +7.5 (1.1U to win 1)

No coincidences · 12-19-12, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

PHI +7.5 (1.1U to win 1)

I have literally never won a bet where I have gotten killed by late steam, so I'm sure this is a loser already.

t-wizzle · 12-19-12, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I have literally never won a bet where I have gotten killed by late steam, so I'm sure this is a loser already.

A lot of that had to do with the confirmation of Holiday being out.

Dexter · 12-19-12, 11:14 PM

NC - tomorrows TNT games have 2 road favorites (Thunder and Heat) which should be 70% public favorites. I think i am gonna chase the home dog tomorrow....

BigDofBA · 12-19-12, 11:16 PM

Minnesota usually plays the Thunder tough.

OKC has won 12 in a row and is on a B2B in a primtetime TNT game...

Take the over and the Wolves.

ShogunRua · 12-19-12, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

NC - tomorrows TNT games have 2 road favorites (Thunder and Heat) which should be 70% public favorites. I think i am gonna chase the home dog tomorrow....

ML or ATS?

Dexter · 12-19-12, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by ShogunRua

ML or ATS?

ATS.....my balls arent that big. i want to do a 2u/4u play.
if minny covers, i will take the heat

Dexter · 12-19-12, 11:25 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Minnesota usually plays the Thunder tough.

OKC has won 12 in a row and is on a B2B in a primtetime TNT game...

Take the over and the Wolves.

last 2 in Minny were 4 and 5 pt wins by OKC....this line is sharp at 3.5. B2B is irrelevant here imo....OKC is always fine on btb, and didnt exactly have a difficult game to bounce back from tonight.

No coincidences · 12-20-12, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

NC - tomorrows TNT games have 2 road favorites (Thunder and Heat) which should be 70% public favorites. I think i am gonna chase the home dog tomorrow....

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Minnesota usually plays the Thunder tough.

OKC has won 12 in a row and is on a B2B in a primtetime TNT game...

Take the over and the Wolves.

Agree. Starting with:

MIN +4 (5.75U to win 5)

And going from there.

With that being said, favorites have been covering like crazy in the NBA lately, so buyer beware.

bleedtoledo · 12-20-12, 06:22 PM

you have to think okc wants to cap off their win streak before their short Christmas break. Wolves hang around til 4th then lose by double digi's. This is wolves 5th game in 7 nights, they've been partyin down in florida

suicidekings · 12-20-12, 06:25 PM

In the interest of a little extra action on the home dogs tonight, and taking advantage of 5Dimes allowing you to buy an obscene amount of points in parlays:

5 teamer: SDSU +14.5 / Lions +17.5 / Wolves +13 / Mavs +13 / Blazers +13 (+102)

Just a token amount on this one, for fun, but with a larger weekend card, it seems like it's pretty simple to assemble ~5 team parlays that pay out around even money and offer a huge ATS edge on the individual lines. I'm trying to discredit the idea to myself that this is a long term winning strategy, small risk per play, but a winner over the course of the collective 8 months of NFL/NBA betting on these fairly efficient markets.

bleedtoledo · 12-20-12, 06:46 PM

I love putting together parlays & teasers like these. Number 1 rule: never play concurrent games. I've been very successful thus far.

suicidekings · 12-20-12, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by bleedtoledo

I love putting together parlays & teasers like these. Number 1 rule: never play concurrent games. I've been very successful thus far.

Under normal circumstances, my only rule for bigger parlays is to isolate the last event (sometimes the last 2), ideally using a big ML fave, so I can easily hedge out if i choose, on payouts in the range of 60-1 to 200-1. These worked out great in NCAAF this year.

However on one like this, buying the points to maximize the edge on each game while targeting approximately a +100 payout, hedging out isn't really a necessity. If there's no plan to hedge, concurrent events are ok.

BigDofBA · 12-20-12, 07:28 PM

OKC already down 11.

No coincidences · 12-21-12, 10:36 AM

CHI +6.5 (3.3U to win 3)
WAS +6 (1.1U to win 1)

No coincidences · 12-21-12, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by suicidekings

In the interest of a little extra action on the home dogs tonight, and taking advantage of 5Dimes allowing you to buy an obscene amount of points in parlays:

5 teamer: SDSU +14.5 / Lions +17.5 / Wolves +13 / Mavs +13 / Blazers +13 (+102)

Just a token amount on this one, for fun, but with a larger weekend card, it seems like it's pretty simple to assemble ~5 team parlays that pay out around even money and offer a huge ATS edge on the individual lines. I'm trying to discredit the idea to myself that this is a long term winning strategy, small risk per play, but a winner over the course of the collective 8 months of NFL/NBA betting on these fairly efficient markets.

Can't say the Mavs losing big surprised me, but what a meltdown by SDSU. Wow.

I almost made a play on them SU. Glad I passed.

suicidekings · 12-21-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Can't say the Mavs losing big surprised me, but what a meltdown by SDSU. Wow.

I almost made a play on them SU. Glad I passed.

I was sitting and looking at my +3.5 and SDSU ML in the second half and the +175 live line offered on BYU. I thought hard about buying back the ML to hedge, but let it sit a few minutes too long and in 45 seconds, the game was over on the B2B fumbles. Pathetic.

No coincidences · 12-21-12, 07:25 PM

Wiz are already a loser.

Adding 2U to the Bulls +6.5.

2daBank · 12-21-12, 07:29 PM

only 2 fri night home doggies,,bummer, after i saw how badly they were doing up until last week and jumping on them all the ml last week (3-3) was hoping to get in on some more as figure they bound to start doing better than they have early on, played phi ml...you think i should hit cavs as well? you know me i dont follow nba that close, bet some totals and few plays here and there but just numbers based, no idea even who plays for half the teams, lol... ive been told if im gonna bet cavs take them 1st half instead of gm??

No coincidences · 12-21-12, 07:31 PM

BOS TT over 97.5 (2.4U to win 2)

No coincidences · 12-21-12, 07:38 PM

CHA +10.5 (3.15U to win 3)
CHA +520 (.5U to win 2.6)

2daBank · 12-21-12, 09:30 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

only 2 fri night home doggies,,bummer, after i saw how badly they were doing up until last week and jumping on them all the ml last week (3-3) was hoping to get in on some more as figure they bound to start doing better than they have early on, played phi ml...you think i should hit cavs as well? you know me i dont follow nba that close, bet some totals and few plays here and there but just numbers based, no idea even who plays for half the teams, lol... ive been told if im gonna bet cavs take them 1st half instead of gm??

looks like that shit true about cavs and only playing them 1st half,,freaking bums..oh well split the ml dogs for 2nd fri in a row,,ill take + money splits every friday! even tho phi wasnt that good of plus money