Horrible weekend. Got crushed. Put alot of time into my plays. Didn't work out. Confidence is low, but I'll bounce back. My sincere apologies to any who tailed. Not done yet however. Confident the Dee's will smash the Pies tomorrow. No, not a tilt play, don't really tilt as have been doing this for so long that I've pretty much seen it all by now. Was always planning on playing the Dee's big, was just waiting for late money on the Pies to reduce the line.
Melbourne v Collingwood 3* Melbourne -4.5 (Luxbet)
Comment
binomial
SBR Wise Guy
08-02-10
507
#11658
i am finding afl very tough lately, regularly getting my neck broken from whiplash.
ie was on the saints previous two weeks and they don't show up, then go against them this week and they come to play.
seems alot of variability in some teams performance, but hard to pick spots where teams will play well.
Comment
hedgejob
SBR MVP
12-21-09
2561
#11659
Melb should do them 40+
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11660
NRL
Bulldogs v Dragons 2* Bulldogs -7.5 (Luxbet)
Cowboys v Sharks 1* Over 38
Comment
garygroundwork
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-12
728
#11661
no play for me..both teams suck-melb and pies
Cantebury got to win this.
Comment
garygroundwork
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-12
728
#11662
how the penetrate did collingwood beat geelong
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11663
Nice finish to a poor weekend with the Panthers, Bulldogs & Demons all saluting for a desperately needed 7 units profit. Hope you lads were on the Dee's today.
Comment
garygroundwork
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-12
728
#11664
Good work today Sando.
Comment
therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#11665
Sando great call on the Dee's and the Doggies, tailed both for some great cash on my Monday check your pm's!
Comment
ender749
SBR Hustler
11-30-12
71
#11666
Originally posted by sando
Nice finish to a poor weekend with the Panthers, Bulldogs & Demons all saluting for a desperately needed 7 units profit. Hope you lads were on the Dee's today.
great comeback!
Comment
kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#11667
Great job! Was at the Bulldogs game haha runaway in the 2nd half
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11668
Lads for those who are tailing better free up some funds because we are going to go BIG on GWS this weekend. Will have a play tomorrow before the line gets too out of hand.
Will update my record & post couple of early plays tomorrow...
PS - Very keen on Warriors game 6 ML. At this stage considering 2 units on the ML. Expecting them to start fast, so also leaning towards a 1st Half play?
Comment
aussieH
SBR MVP
02-04-11
1188
#11669
Gws are the real deal but it is a big line if they lose interest Maybe half time line is the go
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11670
Was opening my mail last night, got a letter offering $10 free on some online casino. Was just watching NRL shows on Foxtel so I thought sure I'll gamble away your free $10 on a couple of spins. Hit the free games straight away and won $100, so tried to withdraw it, and they said no no no, you have to turn over $400 before you can make any withdrawals, so I said no problem & just set the machine to auto-spins. By the time It had run through the required $400 worth of spins I had myself a balance of $409 (USD) & have now requested a withdrawal. Other than a couple of small tennis wagers I certainly wasn't expecting to make any money last night. Hilarious!
Comment
ExodusNZ
SBR Wise Guy
09-02-11
605
#11671
Hello boys! Hows it going! Thought id get back into the game! Good to see the regulars are still here!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11672
Originally posted by ExodusNZ
Hello boys! Hows it going! Thought id get back into the game! Good to see the regulars are still here!
Good to see you mate. The more Anzacs on this site the better!
Do you think Wallabies can win 2nd test?
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11673
Posting early because this ML will continue to get crunched (Expect Parra to start around $1.55-$1.60)
NRL
Rabbitohs v Eels
2* Eels ML ($1.79 Pinnacle, great price! Won't last. Next best is $1.70 at W. Hill, still good price)
1* Eels -2.5 ($2.04 Pinnacle) 0.5* Eels 13+ ($3.40 Sportsbet)
Souths are horrible. Burgeye bro's way down on form, Inglis & Reynolds gone to origin, average forward pack, terrible backline, weak bench, Keary at 6 is the only shining light for this team. Worst ATS team, have been horrible in defence las 2 months conceding 29+ ppg. Their block block 1 out crap isn't working without a dominant forward pack & for the 1st time questions are being asked of Madge's game plan.
Eels have actually won 2 in a row & showed plenty of heart against a gritty Titans team last week. Still have plenty of class & experience in Norman, Scott, Gordon & Ma'u. Also genuine game breaker in Radradra & great young talent in French & Gutherson in the backline. On paper & on form they have Souths covered. Also statistically - they are 4-1 this season against teams outside top 8, they have a fantastic ATS record at ANZ stadium, and a positive ATS record this season (7-6) They have bigger forwards, better forwards, more dangerous 3/4 line, best half on the field (Norman) better bench.
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11674
AFL
Sydney v Melbourne 2* Swans 1-39 ($2.00 William Hill)
Under looks very strong play as well but is too low for my liking.
NRL
Dragons v Storm 2* Under 34 (William Hill - surprised if it lasts more than a few hours before dropping to 32.5) 0.5* Storm 1-12 ($3.50 everywhere)
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11675
Originally posted by sando
Posting early because this ML will continue to get crunched (Expect Parra to start around $1.55-$1.60)
NRL
Rabbitohs v Eels
2* Eels ML ($1.79 Pinnacle, great price! Won't last. Next best is $1.70 at W. Hill, still good price)
1* Eels -2.5 ($2.04 Pinnacle) 0.5* Eels 13+ ($3.40 Sportsbet)
The surprise return of Souths captain John Sutton is the reason that the ML hasn't come in as predicted, but is holding firm around $1.80. Also because Sammy Burgess was under an injury cloud but was named to play. Whatever. Eels win & win well...
Comment
ExodusNZ
SBR Wise Guy
09-02-11
605
#11676
Originally posted by sando
Good to see you mate. The more Anzacs on this site the better!
Do you think Wallabies can win 2nd test?
Haha im more of a NRL bettor! Only watch the All Blacks, but gutt tells me Aus win.
Nice bet on the Eels! Kind of sucks that we got on them at the worst time (yesterday) - But all good!
Comment
kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#11677
Let's ride the eels train tonight! Choo Choo
im on them for 8 units - $1.78 ML
p.s. Welcome back Ex!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11678
NRL
My favourite match up (from a betting POV) in a long time.
Warriors v Roosters 2* Warriors -7.5 1* Warriors 13+ ($2.50 Sportsbet) 1* Warriors team total Over 25.5 ($1.82 Sportsbet) 1* Over 45.5
3rd & 4th worst teams defensively.
Between them they concede over 50ppg.
In 3 of 5 matches this season at Mt Smart, the Warriors have scored 26+ but they are currently in their best form of the season.
Warriors have put on 84 points in their last 2 matches.
Roosters had 46 put on them last week, but it wasn't a once off as they have conceded 30.5ppg over their last 4 and I expect the Warriors to put 30+ on them as well. Roosters defence is certainly not helped by the loss of star back rowers Cordner & Guerra.
No doubt coach will have torn shreds off them & would expect a better effort this week, however it won't be enough. Very little in the NRL is scarier than a confident an in form Warriors team. Their spine of Johnson, lo-lo & Luke are electric when they are in form, and that they are...
Comment
kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#11679
Love it! Cheers Sando...if my parra play comes off tonight I'm gonna pump warrior hard.
Comment
mohye1980
Restricted User
01-25-14
2363
#11680
Good luck on the eels fellas!!!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11681
Comment
ExodusNZ
SBR Wise Guy
09-02-11
605
#11682
Lol the refs and commentators were putting down the eels the whole game pretty much
Comment
kingsr
SBR MVP
01-23-10
1983
#11683
Winner!!!! penetrate yeah!! Sippin on scotch, what a lovely start to the weekend
Comment
therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#11684
Nice win Sando! Beast mode! I think we're in for a high scoring affair in Perth tomorrow. I think the Dockers can notch their third win in a row.
Comment
mohye1980
Restricted User
01-25-14
2363
#11685
Easy Peasy. Well done fellas.
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11686
Originally posted by therealdealau
Nice win Sando! Beast mode! I think we're in for a high scoring affair in Perth tomorrow. I think the Dockers can notch their third win in a row.
Thanks mate. Agree 100% on the high scoring affair. Season not looking so bad after after all for the purple haze with 2 rising star nominations in a row...
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11687
AFL
Freo v Port 1.5* Over 179.5 (William Hill - 180.5 is ok)
Two good looking forward lines on paper, although Freo's depends somewhat on how much gas super Pav has left in the tank & whether Ballantyne is back in form? (4 goals last week). Anyway Port hasn't had a game under 180 points in 6 weeks & appears to be back playing their trademark run n' gun footy. Also Freo put 147 on hapless lions last week. Perfect football weather predicted.
Geelong v Western Bulldogs 1* Geelong 1-39 ($2.30 William Hill)
Almost a 50/50 non betting game, but after already losing so many A graders (Murphy, Johannisen, Wood, etc) I feel like the underrated Dahlhaus is just 1 star too many. Also the power of Danger-Wood appears to be unstoppable at the moment haha. Feel like there is a definite edge to Geelong here and hence the $2.30 available on the Cats 1-39 provides enough for a small bet. Dogs biggest loss has been 25 points this season, hard to see them losing by more than 40.
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#11688
AFL
Essendon v GWS 2* GWS -60.5 (Pinnacle)
Was going to play big, but I don't like Shane Mumford out (huge out) for GWS & McDonald-Tipungwuti in (huge in) for Essendon, so not as excited as I was originally but still expect Giants to cover...
Comment
garygroundwork
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-12
728
#11689
Sando what are your thoughts on the NBA final tomorrow?
Comment
therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#11690
Unfortunately the Freo game didn't go as expected lots of pressure on the ball from both sides and lots of missed shots cooked the over. Happy with how my boys looked, I think theyll beat Collingwood for four in a row. Our forward line is much better than theirs.