Great bounce back is right. Awesome calls.
-
Comment -
Whats up SANDO?????
Just wanted to say hi. Kind of bored bec tennis on break till end of year, ARG! Hope you are doing well in the NBA. And football, of course. BOL.
Comment -
-
Any plays in particular for tonight Sando? Lots of games onComment -
Sorry boys to leave things so late I've been really struggling for time lately but have a few days off work now so will be able to get plays out a lot earlier in the next few days. Working on some plays now - half an hour.Comment -
Looking forward to them, but you don't owe us a appology, life comes firstComment -
NBA
Memphis @ OKC
Grizzlies +6 (-119 Pinnacle) 1.5x -
***Buy the half point and pay the extra juice just to be safe
Unfortunately everyone seems to like Memphis and we have missed a lot of the value at +6, however I still like this play even with the extra juice, in fact I will most likely throw a half unit on the Griz m/l, although that is not an official pick. Griz are red hot, best start to a season in long time, OKC played league leading 9 games and 5 in a week, would not be surprised if they are a bit flat and struggle to match Griz intensity especially early on. Memphis matches up really well with OKC. No time for a bigger write-up sorry.
If you can only get the +5.5 then no more than 1 unit max or just avoid or consider Memphis 1st Quarter +2 as an alternative option. (Again not an official pick just a lean)
Chicago @ Phoenix
Suns m/l (+129 Pinnacle) 1x
Suns have been good at home going 3-1 with only loss being a 2 point loss to G/S. Bulls not impressive so far, tell me who exactly have they beaten this year above .500. Bulls play great defence however Suns have so many scoring options, like a lucky dip on any given night, Brown, Beasley, Gortat, Dragic, Morris... Anyone of them can explode. Suns will try and quicked the pace, bulls will try and slow it down, interesting battle to see what tempo the game is played at.
***Posted the wrong odds for Phoenix m/l sorry. They have been adjusted appropriately from +113 - +129
New Orleans @ Houston
Hornets +6.5 (-107 Pinnacle) 1x
The Hornets are a tough young team, Monty got these boys playing a bruising style of Defence that I do not think the Rockets will appreciate. Hornets played only 1 away game this year, beating Chicago in Chicago without Davis. Rockets have a nice platform to build on with Lin and Harden but at this stage I think they are over hyped and over rated. I actually think New Orlens is the better team. Hornets will hopefully slow the game down and keep it close. 6.5 is plenty of points in a situation like this.
NBA Totals
Charlotte @ Minnesota
Over 182.5 (Evens Pinnacle) 1.5x
Indiana @ Milwaukee
Under 189.5 (-109 Pinnacle) 1x
Pacers desperately missing Grangers scoring, George not stepping up, Pacers D is excellent but they can't score a bucket to save their lives, Bucks strong on the road, yet struggling at home.
*Will be continually editing this page over the nexy half hour with more plays...
NO MORE PLAYS - Good luck tonight boys...Last edited by sando; 11-14-12, 07:36 PM.Comment -
Great thread Sando
Been tailing the last few days.
Can't get +6 anywhere, most books have +5, TAB had +5.5 @1.87
Which books offer pick your own line on NBA? Centrebet only has it for the NFL...Comment -
solid reasoning as always. love to read posts with some actual content. gl tonight you are still on fire in nba--hands down the best nba capper on this site imo. i will rival you when playoffs start though lol
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
bet365 allows you to pick alternate lines.Comment -
The plays look really solid Sando......I am with Goat on this one, I love coming into your thread and reading your analysis on your games.
On a side not....is it too early to talk about UFC 154? I just really like the line on Johny Hendricks.....I got him at -140 and if he uses all of his tools in the fight then I think he should definitely win. My only concern is if he tries to strike with Kampmann the whole fight....although I believe Hendricks definitely has the power advantage, I feel as though Kampmann's Muay Thai would give Hendricks fits in the later rounds.
But if Hendricks decides to fight smart and incorporate his wrestling into the fight as well....then it is his fight to lose IMO. What are your thoughts? Or do you like any other fights at first glance???
I also believe Condit is a very live dog against St. Pierre...although I am sure a lot of people feel this way. Condit gave Kim tons of trouble in their fight and Kim couldn't hold him down and that is a guy who has top notch top control. I think Condit has had so much time to prepare for this fight that his ttd is going to be good enough to keep GSP from getting him down on every td. Also, his scramble ability and danger from his back are second only to Nick Diaz....just wondering your thoughts. GL Tonight!!!Comment -
The only alternate spreads for grizzlies i found are -1.5 and +12.5. With the 12.5 being at -300 odds. Are they a safe enough bet even to take?Comment -
good luck palComment -
Should've done the alternate spread for the blazers last night. I just avoid making my own decisions on my team, so I don't make bad decisions. Thanks for the tip South.
And sando GL tonight man. Been tailing for a bit and you're helping me win my money back, after I made a ton on bonus casino chips, then promptly lost it all.
Comment -
Gl tonight! I'm on 3/5 of your plays. Got suns +148 at marathonbet for incredible €59
Usually only get to place €4.26
Comment -
No problem man! Hopefully Sando is able to make us all a little bit of money over the course of the season.Should've done the alternate spread for the blazers last night. I just avoid making my own decisions on my team, so I don't make bad decisions. Thanks for the tip South.
And sando GL tonight man. Been tailing for a bit and you're helping me win my money back, after I made a ton on bonus casino chips, then promptly lost it all.Comment -
Good luck tonight brother, with you on grizz and hornets. lets cashComment -
Hornets were all over the shop in that 2nd quarter. Really hope they can start getting a groove offensively and pull this game back but it doesn't look promising.Comment -
Cash the hornets pal boom.Comment -
Suns were looking good until they absolutely choked in OT
Comment -
Ok so so day, should have stuck with my lean on the Bucks, the Pacers are a joke at the moment. I hope some of you put a sneaky bet on the Griz m/l as I hinted at in the write-up? Anyway could have been a really good day, but the Suns were a joke in OT against the Bulls.
The NBA - where amazing happens...
NBA
3-2 today +0.6 Units
NBA YTD 40-20-4 (+25.14 Units) 66.6%
(NBA ATS/ML 31-15-2 YTD)
(NBA totals 9-5-2 YTD)
Tennis YTD 31-25-4 (+17.16 Units) 55.3%
See you tomorrow...Comment -
Good job by still having a better than .500 record. Keep up the good work.Comment -
Early release NBA Play...
NY @ San Antonio
Over 192 (-116 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*This line is already moving against us and will probably settle around 194.5 by game time IMO. Do not reccomend taking any worse than O193 at -110 but personally am going to pay a tad more juice for the O192 @ Pinnacle.
Two dynamic offenses stacked with three point bombers could lead to a shoot out. No obvious match-up to stop Carmello (there hardly ever is), although I expect Leonard to put in an honest effort. Felton is an under-rated defender but probably not quick enough to stop Parker's penetration. Chandler a solid P&R defender but coach Pop smart enough to adjust to any teams strengths and game plan accordingly. Plenty of X-factor types who can light up the score board, specifically JR Smith
and Manu Ginboli but also Green, Novak, Captain Jack, and even Patty Mills (if they ever play him). All those guys are capable of "going off".
**Further Analysis to be added laterComment -
Love them write ups thanks for the effort you put in with theseComment -
I rarely play totals but am really liking this one. Best of luck.Early release NBA Play...
NY @ San Antonio
Over 192 (-116 Pinnacle) 1.5x
*This line is already moving against us and will probably settle around 194.5 by game time IMO. Do not reccomend taking any worse than O193 at -110 but personally am going to pay a tad more juice for the O192 @ Pinnacle.
Two dynamic offenses stacked with three point bombers could lead to a shoot out. No obvious match-up to stop Carmello (there hardly ever is), although I expect Leonard to put in an honest effort. Felton is an under-rated defender but probably not quick enough to stop Parker's penetration. Chandler a solid P&R defender but coach Pop smart enough to adjust to any teams strengths and game plan accordingly. Plenty of X-factor types who can light up the score board, specifically JR Smith and Manu Ginboli but also Green, Novak, Captain Jack, and even Patty Mills (if they ever play him). All those guys are capable of "going off".
**Further Analysis to be added laterComment -
Another winning day sando, keep it up pal. Unlucky with the Suns I was cheering for you in the 4th and OT. Suns really have no defense really, they need their bench/hot shooters to stay hot or they will struggle against more disciplined squads.Comment -
wow that total is really low. Like it but wont play it lol. Good luck sandoComment -
1 x play added.
More plays to follow through-out the w/e. Have strong reasons to believe a +290 dog could win at the m/l this w/e. More info to follow as the play unfolds...
Comment -
Good work mate.
Shame about Bobcats - a few quiet mins & it goes UNDER. Then looked certain it was into OT, but wasn't to be.
Keep killing the books!Comment -
I haven't seen the number yet, but the heat/nuggets over could have some good value.
Last year in the exact same spot, George Karl's Nuggs ran the Heat into the ground, and the total reached 221Comment -
Love that over mate, tailing ya hereComment
