2012/13 NBA Thread

[Seto]

Raptors+6 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

I like the Raptors to spoil the party here. They have a decent squad this year and should be able to at least hang with the Nets throughout the game.

[Seto]

Today: 1-1, +0.45x
Total: 9-13-3, -2.17x

2nd time I lose a bet this season because of a completely unnecessary late game foul. Unreal.

[Seto]

Sunday

Raptors-3 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.575x to win 1.5x)
Suns+2 -107 (pinnacle) (risking 1.605x to win 1.5x)

Like those tomorrow. The Raptors have been in close games and should finally win. Playing on the road without Love will be very different than playing at home without him. I expect the Raptors to win rather comfortably.

Orlando will fade away after that opening day performance. The Suns are better and deeper and should win this one.

[Seto]

Today: 1-1, -0.105x
Total: 10-14-3, -2.275x

[Seto]

Monday

Knicks/Sixers under 185.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

Having seen the game today between these two or at least most of it I though that both teams shot the ball ok and despite that the game went under. Pinnacle are clearly in agreement as they've set this at 184.5 (2.5 pts lower) depsite the game only going under by 3pts. 185.5 given what pinnacle is offering is terrific value imo and worthy of a 2x play.

[Seto]

Grizzlies-5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 0.55x to win 0.5x)

Utah stink on the road and Memphis should roll for their home opener. I'm happy with 5 as I can see this going to 5.5 or 6 especially given the pinny line.

[Seto]

Today: 1-1, -1.70x
Total: 11-15-3, -3.975x

[bleek88]

Seto is a noob

[Seto]

Seto is a noob

where is your thread?

[Seto]

Wednesday

Nuggets+2.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 2.625x to win 2.5x)
Lakers+3.5 -103 (pinnacle) (risking 2.575x to win 2.5x)

LOVE both of these.

Expect the Nuggets to win today but regardless this line is good to go for me. Nuggets will start a positive run now and Houston is a tad overrated here. Nuggets should light up Houston's "defense".

Statement game for the Lakers. They more than match the Jazz inside and this is the time for them to go on a run. Jazz coming home off a road trip. This game is a coin flip at worst for the Lakers as far as I'm concerned.

[Seto]

Unreal. 4th 1-1 day in a row. Can't get on a run

Yesterday: 1-1, -0.075x
Total: 12-16-3, -4.050x

[Seto]

Friday

Grizzlies-4.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

I've been noticing for a little while these guys throw out lines way before games that often change a lot when sharp books get their lines out.

IMO this will be 5.5 or 6 tomorrow. This Rockets team will continue to regress and I will continue to fade them. Memphis is a tough out at home and should be good for a solid win here by 8 at least.

[Seto]

Bucks-3 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

It's "square" but I like this play. Bucks have been reliable as a road fave for a little while dating back to last year and are off a blowout home loss so shouldn't be complacent. Oh, and the Wizards suck.

[Seto]

Pacers ml +115 (5dimes) (risking 1x to won 1.15x)

I think the twolves will be a decent team to fade as long as love and rubio are out picking the right spots. The pacers should be hungry after blowing that game in atlanta and I expect them to win this game.

[Seto]

Pacers/TWolves under 184 -107 (5dimes) (risking 0.535x to win 0.5x)
TWolves under 93 -110 (5dimes) (risking 0.55x to win 0.5x)

Think this will be a defensive game too. Happy the number went up, has value now IMO.

[Seto]

Lakers-7 -110 (pinnacle) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Lakers-4 -104 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 0.52x to win 0.5x)
Lakers-2 -105 (bookmaker) (first quarter) (risking 0.525x to win 0.5x)
Spurs-1.5 -110 (pinnacle) (first quarter) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Playing the coach sacked angle for the Lakers. Should come out to play hard and if they do they should be way too much for the Warriors whom I don't expect 2 great games out of at Staples in a row.

Pop should have the Spurs ready after the blowout and I think they will start well. Only like 1Q though.

[Seto]

Yesterday: 4-5, +0.79x
Total: 16-21-3, -3.26x

[Seto]

Pistons+7.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.575x to win 1.5x)

I will take the ml too. Houston is an auto-fade for me as long as they're this overrated. 7.5 points lmao. And the Pistons should come to play after that embarassing opening day loss where they blew a game to these same Rockets.

[SiMON2g]

Keep posting mate, you'll pick up!

[Seto]

Keep posting mate, you'll pick up!

Yeah, had an OK night yesterday, had the TWolves not scored 300 points and shot 60% in the 2nd half I could be even better off.

It's still early, the only reason I'm down is that disaster of an opening night.

[Seto]

Pistons+7.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.575x to win 1.5x)

I will take the ml too. Houston is an auto-fade for me as long as they're this overrated. 7.5 points lmao. And the Pistons should come to play after that embarassing opening day loss where they blew a game to these same Rockets.

Pistons ml +285 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 1.425x)

[Seto]

Well that was embarassing.

Today: 0-2, -2.075x
Total: 16-23-3, -5.335x

[bleek88]

Seto you suck man, really, stop losing your $ or give your ends to me.

[Seto]

Heat/Grizzlies under 196 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Pinny already has 194.5. Nuff said.

[Seto]

Seto you suck man, really, stop losing your $ or give your ends to me.

Judge me at the end of the season. Thanks.

I'm up over 9 units in my soccer thread. Weirdly you haven't stopped by yet. I wonder why that is?

[Seto]

Hawks+6.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)

Again 1 pt better than pinny. Also here I like the Hawks, provided they come to play of course. If they do they can easily hang with the Clippers right to the end.

[Seto]

Just snatched this for tomorrow

Heat-5.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

[bleek88]

its setooooo lol u newbert im going to punish u 4n4lly style

[Seto]

Yesterday: 1-1, -0.65x
Total: 17-24-3, -5.985x

Celtics/Bulls under 184 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

Should be another defensive battle between these two... Also pinny has 182.5 which makes me want to go even bigger.

[Seto]

Nuggets/Suns over 201.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Gonna start playing these plays that have a 1pt differential with pinnacle more and more... I'll see where it takes me.

[Seto]

TWolves/Mavs over 194.5 -110 (bwin.com) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Think this one will come out a little higher than that...

[Seto]

Yesterday: 1-3, -4.50x
Total: 18-27-3, -10.485x

[SiMON2g]

hey pal, who you likin today?

[Seto]

hey pal, who you likin today?

Not much actually. Sort of like the Kings but not sure yet.

So pound the blazers with confidence

[Seto]

Cavs ml +210 (bookmaker) (risking 1x to win 2.10x)
Magic ml +235 (5dimes) (risking 1x to win 2.35x)
Raptors ml +435 (5dimes) (risking 1x to win 4.35x)

Yes I know, I'm betting on 3 shit teams playing against 3 playoff teams. However the Cavs have been pretty decent to back as a road dog and can get a win here. Raptors are worth way better than that 1-6 start and +435 is a great number to get against an Indy team that hasn't hit its stride yet, triple OT or not. Knicks will eventually lose.

Weirdly enough I don't really like the points in any of these. I feel they either win or get blown out. Hopefully I can hit at least one.