2012/13 NBA Thread

Seto · 10-08-12, 09:40 AM

line is from pinnacle btw.

Seto · 10-24-12, 11:10 AM

Total: 0-0-1, 0.00x

For tonight:

Dallas/OKC under 198 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

Mavs offense is not same without Dirk... I know Rick wants this new squad to push the ball more but still don't think they'll put up a ton. Major reason though is that I do expect a serious defensive effort from both teams, specifically Dallas given this is a playoff revenge game for them even if this is preseason. Will obviously not bet this big but I think this line should be more towards the lower 190s than high 190s (like 193 or something).

Seto · 10-28-12, 06:53 PM

Total 1-0-1, +1.00x

I'll take a 1 unit lead going into the season

Kicking off the season with

Celtics+6 -102 (pinnacle) (risking 2.55x to win 2.5x)

I LOVE this play and have loved it since the schedule came out. This is a huge game for Boston, a playoff revenge game especially given the hatred between these 2 teams even more increased by the whole Ray Allen story. The Heat don't play as hard in the reg season. I like the additions the Celtics have made and they should be solid enough this year. The books are clearly giving the Celtics respect in this spot here because this would under normal circumstances be +7 I feel. This is going down to the wire and I could easily see Boston snatching it. Waiting for ml.

Seto · 10-28-12, 07:28 PM

Mavs/Lakers under 187.5 -110 (5dimes) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)

This one looks good. Both teams have made plenty of changes so I don't expect them to be clicking too much on offense. Dirk is out and Mavs offense without him is garbage and should be smothered by Lakers D that will probably be the best in the West this year. I'll take 187.5, I'd set this at 184 personally (this is completely different from the point i made about the heat being -7 in normal circumstances, there i was talking about books giving boston respect here i'm talking about the actual value of the line)

hotnapkinman · 10-28-12, 07:37 PM

I'm on it with Boston . Love it. Boston is vary underrated . That team is just as good as the heat. Give me the 6 points tho lol .

Frisco · 10-28-12, 08:51 PM

"Mavs/Lakers under 187.5 -110 (5dimes) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)"

I always like Lakers unders.

Seto · 10-29-12, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Total 1-0-1, +1.00x

I'll take a 1 unit lead going into the season

Kicking off the season with

Celtics+6 -102 (pinnacle) (risking 2.55x to win 2.5x)

I LOVE this play and have loved it since the schedule came out. This is a huge game for Boston, a playoff revenge game especially given the hatred between these 2 teams even more increased by the whole Ray Allen story. The Heat don't play as hard in the reg season. I like the additions the Celtics have made and they should be solid enough this year. The books are clearly giving the Celtics respect in this spot here because this would under normal circumstances be +7 I feel. This is going down to the wire and I could easily see Boston snatching it. Waiting for ml.

Celtics ml +227 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 2.27x)

thetrinity · 10-29-12, 11:43 AM

riding the lakers under as long as d12 is in there should be a good strategy.

Seto · 10-29-12, 01:46 PM

I don't agree that Boston is as good as the Heat, but this is definitely a great spot, if watching Bron and co get their rings doesn't pump them up nothing will

And yeah, that Lakers under looks good to me. D12 will definitely be a more consistent defender than Bynum

Seto · 10-29-12, 04:06 PM

Weds 31st

Kings+7 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

The Kings are gonna upset a few teams this year and this is a good bet in my opinion, the Bulls have lost key pieces on top of Rose and should struggle early on. If Sacramento come to play they can easily steal this game. 6.5 at Pinny, 5Dimes etc so 7 is a good number IMO.

Seto · 10-29-12, 04:37 PM

Weds 31st

Grizzlies ml +150 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 1.5x)

If the Grizzlies don't get up for this game after blowing a 27pt lead in game 1 and scoring 72 pts at home in a game 7 then they never will. I still think they're a better squad (or at least as good) than the Clippers and I expect them to get the modicum of revenge they can here.

Seto · 10-29-12, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Weds 31st

Kings+7 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

The Kings are gonna upset a few teams this year and this is a good bet in my opinion, the Bulls have lost key pieces on top of Rose and should struggle early on. If Sacramento come to play they can easily steal this game. 6.5 at Pinny, 5Dimes etc so 7 is a good number IMO.

Kings ml +231 (pinnacle) (risking 0.5x to win 1.155x)

SiMON2g · 10-29-12, 05:26 PM

Good luck mate, ill follow

Seto · 10-29-12, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by SiMON2g

Good luck mate, ill follow

thanks

Seto · 10-30-12, 05:35 PM

Added prop for tonight:

Kevin Garnett points/rebounds+2 (vs Chris Bosh) +100 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 0.5x)

I think this has value. I expect a good game from KG who should be very active as usual, and as well as all the Celtics. I expect him to dominate this matchup and will gladly take +2.

Seto · 10-31-12, 12:23 AM

Wow. What an absolute burial. I'm not even going to ask why the Lakers fouled down 10 with 10 seconds to go. And of course to rub it in my face even more the final blow came 2 secs from the end.

Total: 1-4-1, -5.25x

Seto · 10-31-12, 01:07 AM

Mavs+8.5 -103 (risking 1.03x to win 1x), ml +380 (risking 0.5x to win 1.9x)

both 5dimes

Yes, I know the line SCREAMS Utah. And yes, I know this is typically a letdown spot for the Mavs. However, I'm gonna let myself get sucked into this one. I just feel the value is too good to pass up. This Dallas team is much younger and should be able to take the back-to-back. They will come into the building brimming with confidence, and if they show the same effort as last night I see no reason why they couldn't keep this close and even win. Utah is way overvalued and overrated IMO. Time will tell but I can see this closing at 8 or even 7.5.

Seto · 11-01-12, 12:19 AM

Today: 1-4, -2.03x
Total: 2-8-1, -7.28x

Another hugely frustrating day. Nothing for tomorrow at first glance.

Seto · 11-01-12, 03:01 PM

Friday

Hawks-5.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.575x to win 1.5x)
Thunder-9.5 +100 (pinnacle) (risking 1.5x to win 1.5x)
Knicks+5.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Hornets+3.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

Will have writeups later.

Seto · 11-01-12, 03:55 PM

Ended up playing this for tonight

Spurs-2 -103 (5dimes) (risking 1.03x to win 1x)

Seto · 11-01-12, 04:03 PM

I like the playoff revenge spot for the Spurs even though The Grizz and Celtics have already fukked me in the same situation. Hopefully playing at home will help. Also I'm feeling a public burial tonight, everyone seems to be overreacting to the b2b... Seeing 75% on OKC. IMO Spurs roll.

I like the Hawks' team this year even though they lost JJ. I feel they will be a good team this year and this is a great spot to fade the Rockets after yesterday's game. Josh Smith and Al Horford should have a field day.

Thunder looks like a good play, Blazers will fade away on the road especially after shocking the Lakers. I'm waiting for 1st hf and tt over here too.

Knicks getting 5.5 at home should be good. I'm not underestimating Miami in any way but the Knicks getting that many points at home seems great. They will stop being a farce this year and probably get homecourt. Waiting for ml

Hornets looked ok against SA and should beat Utah here. I still feel this Utah team is overrated and I love the home dog here.

Hopefully a good couple of days coming up

Seto · 11-01-12, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Ended up playing this for tonight

Spurs-2 -103 (5dimes) (risking 1.03x to win 1x)

adding:

Spurs by 7-9 +725 (5dimes) (risking 0.2x to win 1.45x)

SiMON2g · 11-01-12, 05:40 PM

I'm also on Spurs, got it for -1.5 though

bleek88 · 11-01-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Hi all,

Had a thread last year and after a good start went on a bad run and shortly after stopped posting plays... Kinda regret that. Anyway, this year I'll definitely not abandon ship and keep all my plays here. Also have a soccer thread here if anyone's interested.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-betting/1851842-2012-13-soccer-thread.html

I will play a bit of Preseason but obviously not big.

For tonight:

Utah+3 -108 (risking 1.08x to win 1x)

Like Utah in this spot playing their first game. Warriors being the Warriors they'll come out sluggish after yesterday's blowout, especially back home. This is generally more of a regular season angle but I'll ride my gut feeling here for a unit.

GL everyone.

This clown "seto" has a thread now? ROFL this guy is a flamer and a fraud gtfo seto

Seto · 11-01-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

This clown "seto" has a thread now? ROFL this guy is a flamer and a fraud gtfo seto

I'm a fraud? I post a perfectly honest record. Every time you start losing plays you run away like a little girl and make a new thread hoping everyone will forget your losses. Unfortunately for you, you have been exposed time and time again. Too bad for your promising tout career

Seto · 11-01-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by SiMON2g

I'm also on Spurs, got it for -1.5 though

good luck. where did you get 1.5? it was 2.5 yesterday and today 2 all day. unless i missed something?

Seto · 11-01-12, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Friday

Hawks-5.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.575x to win 1.5x)
Thunder-9.5 +100 (pinnacle) (risking 1.5x to win 1.5x)
Knicks+5.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Hornets+3.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

Will have writeups later.

Adding: Knicks ml +201 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 2.01x)

therealdealau · 11-01-12, 07:39 PM

Spurs backer checking in, hopefully we all cash in here. Love your play on the Hornets and the Knicks, not sure I like the ML good luck bud!~

Seto · 11-01-12, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by therealdealau

Spurs backer checking in, hopefully we all cash in here. Love your play on the Hornets and the Knicks, not sure I like the ML good luck bud!~

thanks man

i think the ml has value, the heat have a better chance to win obviously but i think the % chance the knicks win is good enough to have a shot at the +201

Seto · 11-01-12, 11:10 PM

unreal

so close to defeat, so close to victory, i guess a push is a fair result. dunno why i still play those silly props lol.

Today: 0-1-1, -0.20x
Total: 2-9-2, -7.48x

Seto · 11-02-12, 02:47 PM

Adding:

Hawks tto 104.5 -110 (5dimes) (risking 0.55x to win 0.5x)
Thunder tto 106 -110 (5dimes) (risking 0.55x to win 0.5x)
Hawks-3 -105 (first half) (pinnacle) (risking 0.525x to win 0.5x)
Thunder-4.5 -102 (first half) (pinnacle) (risking 0.51x to win 0.5x)

Seto · 11-02-12, 09:07 PM

Final prop:

Kobe Bryant over 26.5 -105 (5dimes) (risking 0.525x to win 0.5x)

Seto · 11-02-12, 11:50 PM

Today: 6-3-1, +4.86x
Total: 8-12-3, -2.62x

Needed that. Hopefully a positive run is here now.

Seto · 11-03-12, 01:04 AM

Saturday

Celtics/Wizards under 191.5 -110 (bookmaker) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)

Celtic defense should finally show up after 2 miserable outings. The Wizards are a very limited offensive team. I expect this one to stay low and love the 191.5, it should be in the 187-188 range IMO. Might take Wizards TTU when it comes out.