TEXAS motor speedway---

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  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61527

    #71
    Originally posted by unlearn
    Took Bottas -110 over Hamilton in F1 as 2nd leg of a parlay that I will hopefully close with Harvick. Hamilton has to serve a 5 place grid penalty and will be starting 9th to Bottas' 3rd. Bottas was slightly quicker in practice and qualifying and there is value here considering Bottas is -150 to Hamilton's +125 podium odds.
    Like your thinking re the bet value there. I don't trust Merc with their tire troubles though. They could sacrifice Bottas on an inferior strategy trying to do something innovative to catch the race pace of Ferrari and Red Bull.

    Ricciardo the dark horse to win at good odds I think.

    Kimi also value to win. Apart from Q3 he has looked better than Seb in most of the other 6 sessions so far this year.
    .
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 52006

      #72
      I git Kimi for FL like basically every week..lol

      might toss out another FL or Win bet or something...think it comes on at 11am here so def will watch
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 52006

        #73
        wow lots of guys got better...little surprised at a few
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 52006

          #74
          still waiting on everything to post up
          Comment
          • 5mike5
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-21-11
            • 52006

            #75
            harvick/truex win to close my open parlay odds are over 10-1, with those odds and payout I cant pass them up...

            also frees me up to add kyle B and larson single with both getting better this morning and maybe a longshot like Jones....will post will i am finished with entire card

            still looking over the matchups
            Comment
            • unlearn
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-22-14
              • 9037

              #76
              The Iceman just ran over a mechanic wtf
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52006

                #77
                Originally posted by unlearn
                The Iceman just ran over a mechanic wtf
                that was insane
                Comment
                • unlearn
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-22-14
                  • 9037

                  #78
                  Just need Bottas to hold off Lewis which would take an absolute disaster to lose and I closed 3 leg parlay with Harvick +240 and gives me +1250ish. Looks like Bottas is gonna possibly catch Vettel shortly and win the damn thing!
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 52006

                    #79
                    Originally posted by unlearn
                    Just need Bottas to hold off Lewis which would take an absolute disaster to lose and I closed 3 leg parlay with Harvick +240 and gives me +1250ish. Looks like Bottas is gonna possibly catch Vettel shortly and win the damn thing!
                    pullin for ya
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61527

                      #80
                      Originally posted by unlearn
                      Just need Bottas to hold off Lewis which would take an absolute disaster to lose and I closed 3 leg parlay with Harvick +240 and gives me +1250ish. Looks like Bottas is gonna possibly catch Vettel shortly and win the damn thing!
                      .
                      Comment
                      • pimike
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-23-08
                        • 37139

                        #81
                        Actually I don’t think Harvick will win boys.
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 52006

                          #82
                          TEXAS

                          Kyle B. (+650)
                          Larson (+1150)
                          Elliott (+1650)
                          Blaney (+1650)


                          Parlay:
                          Bell>McMurray(+100)--WIN
                          Hemeric>Reddick(+125)--WIN
                          Harvick/Truex win the race(+128)
                          (+1058)


                          matchup:

                          E.Jones > Jimmie (+100)...2X



                          Well i have a feeling this race is gonna be wild on these restarts...gonna need to avoid wrecks all day...Xfinity win and parlay makes this a chance at a really great day...Only thing i hate is i grabbed Elliott early cause he looks awful, but i cant complain...GOODLUCK fellas


                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52006

                            #83
                            Originally posted by unlearn
                            Just need Bottas to hold off Lewis which would take an absolute disaster to lose and I closed 3 leg parlay with Harvick +240 and gives me +1250ish. Looks like Bottas is gonna possibly catch Vettel shortly and win the damn thing!
                            Comment
                            • 5mike5
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 09-21-11
                              • 52006

                              #84
                              Kyle larson fails inspection

                              starts dead last

                              Comment
                              • hawk 5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-12-06
                                • 3982

                                #85
                                Parlay
                                Harvick Wins Penzoil 400 WIN
                                Harvick wins Guardian 500 WIN
                                Harvick/Truex to win today
                                Pays +2669
                                Was looking at alot of plays but settled on this. Seems Like a solid play and Mikes on it. All I have today. GL all.
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 52006

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by hawk 5
                                  Parlay
                                  Harvick Wins Penzoil 400 WIN
                                  Harvick wins Guardian 500 WIN
                                  Harvick/Truex to win today
                                  Pays +2669
                                  Was looking at alot of plays but settled on this. Seems Like a solid play and Mikes on it. All I have today. GL all.
                                  wow very nice Hawk...good idea for use of those earlier harvick wins..wish i would have too...GL bud hope we cash in!

                                  Comment
                                  • hawk 5
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-12-06
                                    • 3982

                                    #87
                                    Back at yah
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 52006

                                      #88
                                      jesus did u guys just see Stenhouse's woman ??

                                      WOW

                                      talk about an upgrade
                                      Comment
                                      • unlearn
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-22-14
                                        • 9037

                                        #89
                                        Added Truex +550 to go with Harvick to win roughly the same amount. First time I have left the 18 off my roster this year so obviously he wins today
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 52006

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by unlearn
                                          Added Truex +550 to go with Harvick to win roughly the same amount. First time I have left the 18 off my roster this year so obviously he wins today
                                          GL today

                                          lol that's the same way i feel if I leave Larson off mine
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61527

                                            #91
                                            GL all

                                            I'm just sticking with Jimmie and Jones both at +2100
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • PhoKing
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 07-04-16
                                              • 247

                                              #92
                                              i'm new to nascar, but if someone like larson who was supposed to be starting 10th falls back to last because of whatever reason, should people be betting AGAINST larson on most h2h matchups since it would +EV (if the book is slow to change the odds)?

                                              larson news was announced less than an hour before the race started and i haven't seen the odds change since the news came out so i was curious
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 52006

                                                #93
                                                HERE WE GO

                                                Comment
                                                • unlearn
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-22-14
                                                  • 9037

                                                  #94
                                                  Rip 78
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5mike5
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                    • 52006

                                                    #95
                                                    that looked painful
                                                    Comment
                                                    • unlearn
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-22-14
                                                      • 9037

                                                      #96
                                                      Down to just Harvick now. At least I have the best car
                                                      Comment
                                                      • unlearn
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-22-14
                                                        • 9037

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by PhoKing
                                                        i'm new to nascar, but if someone like larson who was supposed to be starting 10th falls back to last because of whatever reason, should people be betting AGAINST larson on most h2h matchups since it would +EV (if the book is slow to change the odds)?

                                                        larson news was announced less than an hour before the race started and i haven't seen the odds change since the news came out so i was curious
                                                        Not that big of a deal on any intermediate track. Jimmy won here from the back last year. Fast cars always find their way up front and most of the time by the end of stage 1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52006

                                                          #98
                                                          yeah harvick is wiping the track with the field early. lots having tire and pit road trouble
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 52006

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by unlearn
                                                            Not that big of a deal on any intermediate track. Jimmy won here from the back last year. Fast cars always find their way up front and most of the time by the end of stage 1
                                                            this is well said

                                                            a lot more to it than just starting positions
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 5mike5
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-21-11
                                                              • 52006

                                                              #100
                                                              larson rip

                                                              these cold tires are just giving out
                                                              Comment
                                                              • unlearn
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-22-14
                                                                • 9037

                                                                #101
                                                                Wow Larson hit the wall HARD
                                                                Comment
                                                                • unlearn
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-22-14
                                                                  • 9037

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Welp 4s pit crew bones me again. Done backing these gimps
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 52006

                                                                    #103
                                                                    this is turning into a war of attrition race

                                                                    harvick will be ok
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • unlearn
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-22-14
                                                                      • 9037

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Congrats 18 backers
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 5mike5
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                                        • 52006

                                                                        #105
                                                                        sure glad i got kyle B

                                                                        drivers falling out like flies

                                                                        this is nuts
                                                                        Comment
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