Easysaid - Rugby Union Picks

sweepem · 08-29-12, 06:51 AM

Take the favs minus the points. They are 8-1 ATS so far.

easysaid · 08-29-12, 08:49 AM

Yeah your probably right, but ML is still -185 which is still awesome value.

TBsp75 · 08-29-12, 09:33 PM

hey nice picks easysaid. will follow this thread. cheers

easysaid · 08-30-12, 04:23 AM

Cashed Final score 33 BOP - 17 OTAGO

Would have definitely been alot closer if otago didnt a sin bin in the second half, was tied a 12 - 12 HT but certainly bay of plenty were planty the better rugby.

Will post another small play tommorow and have a big play coming up over the weekend.

Cheers,

nosaij · 08-30-12, 07:06 AM

thanks mate. you aussie btw?

easysaid · 08-30-12, 05:51 PM

No worries mate, and no im a kiwi through and through.

Posted todays play - Hawkes Bay -3 over Counties Manukau - 1 Unit

a little unsure about this counties side but reckon HB should get it done infront of their homecrowd, especially with 2 losses already (remeber these boys made it to the minor premiership last year).

TBsp75 · 08-30-12, 06:00 PM

hey easysaid. nice picks. u mind sharing some of ur thoughts on capping rugby union? wat's most important factor when u look at a rugby match? cheers.

by the way, i'm kiwi as well, u hitting on TAB 500,000 rugby pool jackpot this week? haha.

easysaid · 08-30-12, 06:13 PM

I look at alot of variables like past results, conditions, home advantage, injuries, derby-matches etc would you like a writes up on these picks, I just find no-one reads them though :/ and im not sure what that 500k rugby pool things about im not a fan of picking winning team and margins.

hawley · 08-30-12, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

hey easysaid. nice picks. u mind sharing some of ur thoughts on capping rugby union? wat's most important factor when u look at a rugby match? cheers.

by the way, i'm kiwi as well, u hitting on TAB 500,000 rugby pool jackpot this week? haha.

Do many people play those pools?

I doubt I would make it past the first night.

Don't know how you guys can use the TAB unless it isn't one of your main outs?

The odds and options are terrible.

TBsp75 · 08-30-12, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by easysaid

I look at alot of variables like past results, conditions, home advantage, injuries, derby-matches etc would you like a writes up on these picks, I just find no-one reads them though :/ and im not sure what that 500k rugby pool things about im not a fan of picking winning team and margins.

if u don't mind writing it, i'll definitely read it. like to know how every1 look at different matches.

TBsp75 · 08-30-12, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by hawley

Do many people play those pools?

I doubt I would make it past the first night.

Don't know how you guys can use the TAB unless it isn't one of your main outs?

The odds and options are terrible.

gonna be lots ppl betting on rugby pool this week coz its 500k. u don't need to win all 10 matches to win. there's around 15k price for 2nd and 3rd place. TAB just real convenient for kiwis coz its everywhere, but if u try to go pro on sports investment definitely need another sportsbook. i like pinnaclesports.

hawley · 08-30-12, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

gonna be lots ppl betting on rugby pool this week coz its 500k. u don't need to win all 10 matches to win. there's around 15k price for 2nd and 3rd place. TAB just real convenient for kiwis coz its everywhere, but if u try to go pro on sports investment definitely need another sportsbook. i like pinnaclesports.

I use the TAB purely for its convenience. Nothing beats being able to get cash out whenever you want.

For winning long term it becomes a lot harder.

I have been waiting for years just for the TAB to put up NRL totals

TBsp75 · 08-30-12, 08:21 PM

haha they do have totals but its somethin like 1-10, 11-20...etc.

easysaid · 08-31-12, 09:18 PM

First ITM Cup pick this weekend -

Canterbury -16.5 over North Harbour - 3 Units

Playing down in canterbury for the first time this season with a dry track, canterbury aren't going to show much mercy against a weak harbour side. Game might be close for the first half but the boys in red & black should open the floodgates in the second, going with this for 3 Units.

TBsp75 · 09-01-12, 12:01 AM

wow exactly how you predicted easysaid. nice picks.

easysaid · 09-01-12, 12:35 AM

Biggest play so far - Waikato vs Northland over 53.5 - 5 Units

Sorry guys 5 minutes to game starts, get a live bet on at Bet365. This game makes for the perfect over, northland is purely an offensive side and waikato (last year premier finalists) will pile it on. good luck all!

Dont take too long to lay your bets.

TBsp75 · 09-01-12, 02:22 AM

6 out of 6 so far this season. u must b a rugby freak or soemthing. haha

easysaid · 09-01-12, 06:23 AM

Haha, thanks! almost lost the bet with both sides creating 15 back to back errors and missed kicks.
Current Record 6-0-0 +17 Units

This weeks picks -

Wellington/Hawkes Bay u53.5 (ITM Cup) 4 Units
Canterbury -6.5 over Auckland (ITM Cup) 2 Units
Bay Of Plenty ML (ITM Cup) 2 Units
Canterbury -16.5 over North Harbour - 3 Units
Waikato vs Northland over 53.5 - 5 Units
Hawkes Bay -3 over Counties Manukau - 1 Unit

Current Pick -

Wellington/Southland - Game total under projected for 3 Units

With Wellington playing their weakest lineup so far this season (a lot of young inexperienced talent) and Southland looking for redemption for last weeks drubbing, this game should make for the perfect under. If you manage to get anything from your sportsbook over 50 points jump on it otherwise leave this alone.

Auckland -13.5 over Manawatu for 3 Units

Unfortunately for auckland this week they had to play a pissed off canterbury side at home which isnt always going to help your stat sheet, but this auckland side when inform are definetly one of the best teams in the comp and and this spread is far to low for a team of this nature. Manawatu on the other hand are a definitely one of the worst teams in the comp (a huge stepdown from last year) and dont pose much of a threat at all despite being well rested.

Vinnie Paz · 09-01-12, 06:41 AM

What book are these at?
Bet365 i only see 2 games

benandjerry · 09-01-12, 09:33 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

What book are these at?
Bet365 i only see 2 games

bet365 got both of these 2, no total wellington vs southland yet though, make sure you are looking under rugby union not league.

easysaid · 09-02-12, 01:59 AM

Cashed both games!!

Current Record 8-0-0 +23 Units

This weeks picks -

Wellington/Hawkes Bay u53.5 (ITM Cup) 4 Units
Canterbury -6.5 over Auckland (ITM Cup) 2 Units
Bay Of Plenty ML (ITM Cup) 2 Units
Canterbury -16.5 over North Harbour - 3 Units
Waikato vs Northland over 53.5 - 5 Units
Hawkes Bay -3 over Counties Manukau - 1 Unit
Auckland -13.5 over Manawatu for 3 Units
Wellington/Southland - Game total under 50.5 for 3 Units

benandjerry · 09-02-12, 03:33 AM

very well done! spot on with that under, few books opened it at 46.5, couple at 48.5, which was no good. Did anyone besides bet365 have it at 50.5 that you know of?

easysaid · 09-02-12, 03:36 AM

Nah not sure, only use bet365.

Was only going to play the under if it was 50 points or more.

Should have been alot less was so many soft tries for wellington, anyway a win is a win.

TBsp75 · 09-02-12, 07:39 PM

8 for 8. keep the winning streak goin! haha. like the counties tonite? only -2.5 in TAB.
any early thought on AUS v SA? SA ml 2.20 at the moment.

hawley · 09-02-12, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

8 for 8. keep the winning streak goin! haha. like the counties tonite? only -2.5 in TAB.
any early thought on AUS v SA? SA ml 2.20 at the moment.

Tomorrow pal!

TBsp75 · 09-02-12, 09:59 PM

haha true. my bad.
u have any early thoughts on the AUS v SA game hawley?

easysaid · 09-02-12, 10:56 PM

Current Pick -

Counties Manukau -2.5 over North Harbour for 4 Units

Despite playing away, counties will show up tommorow with all guns blazing after they gave away a 17 point lead last game against the magpies to lose 30-37. grab it quick will definitely jump before kick off!

No big write up needed.

Vinnie Paz · 09-02-12, 11:19 PM

Where is this on bet365???
All i see is australia vs South africa & New zealand/argentina?

Rugby union, correct?

TheCalculator · 09-02-12, 11:21 PM

Waiting for it to appear also

Vinnie Paz · 09-02-12, 11:26 PM

Calc you know date/time of that match by any chance?

TheCalculator · 09-02-12, 11:30 PM

http://rugbymatchcentre.nzherald.co.nz/default.aspx?s=home&cid=61&mid=2662

hawley · 09-02-12, 11:52 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Calc you know date/time of that match by any chance?

Starts in just under 27 hours mate.

hawley · 09-02-12, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

haha true. my bad.
u have any early thoughts on the AUS v SA game hawley?

Honestly no clue mate.

I'm not a fan of union at all and have been preoccupied with league recently

Truth be told I don't even know the line...

RobertPaulson · 09-03-12, 01:46 AM

Great plays mate, looks like we've got similar thoughts on ITM games ie. the right ones lol (touch wood). Keep it up

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