2011 NBL thread

**hawley** · 10-15-11, 04:55 AM

Originally posted by hawley

Total has dropped a few points at Pinnacle, want to play the over but that line movement is odd.

Glad I laid off this one now.

**hawley** · 10-15-11, 05:15 AM

Still haven't found a defence that can slow the breakers. going to come close to 100 points again

Breakers coasting to a victory here so I think I can cash it

Season Record: 9 - 4 - 1 + 6 units

**benrama** · 10-15-11, 09:00 AM

Good work so far hawley.

I've been slow getting into the NBL season - still on a AFL/NRL comedown - been spending my time getting into MLB playoffs ... have you been betting the Breakers team totals? Seems like a pretty +EV to do blindly at the moment - haven't even checked if my Aussie books offer them (I know Pinny won't)

**hawley** · 10-15-11, 05:42 PM

Dont have a book that offers them pre game either, when Bet365 offers live betting on a game they do live team totals but thats about it.

Definitely would be worth just taking their team total over every game though, they look set to score 80+ points against most sides in the comp.

Two games today, leaning Hawks full game and 1h spread and possibly the under.

Blaze Taipans over, not sure on the side there I am pretty surprised to see a 12 point spread, perhaps the books have overreacted to the Taipans horrible second half on friday?

**showtiime** · 10-15-11, 11:13 PM

EZ

**hawley** · 10-15-11, 11:56 PM

Big on the Hawks today, hope they dont bury me

Hawks 1q -2.5 (Bet365)
Hawks 1h -3.5 (Bet365)
Hawks -5.5 (Tab.co.nz)

Total combined points under 162.5

**hawley** · 10-16-11, 12:33 AM

burial in progress.

**hawley** · 10-16-11, 02:02 AM

Originally posted by hawley

Big on the Hawks today, hope they dont bury me

Hawks 1q -2.5 (Bet365)
Hawks 1h -3.5 (Bet365)
Hawks -5.5 (Tab.co.nz)

Total combined points under 162.5

2 - 2. Will take that in a game that had potential to cost me a few $$$.

Not too sure what happened with the total there. both teams shot around 50%.

Will probably have one more play tonight.

**Letusplay** · 10-16-11, 02:04 AM

Thanks for the tips, i will be following your NBL plays,
To make up for the lock out

Good luck and lets get them

**MrXYZ** · 10-16-11, 02:22 AM

Hawks came through in the end, had to sweat through that last minute though!

**hawley** · 10-16-11, 02:33 AM

Definitely was sweating out that last minute, wasnt on TV over here so was just watching the box score.

Thought I was going to get beaten by a last second 3 by the 36ers before the clock ran out.

In better news I tipped the Hawks by 8 in a tipping contest as my eliminator pick

haha

**Pride** · 10-16-11, 04:07 AM

under is looking really strong right now. much more defensive second half

**hawley** · 10-16-11, 04:13 AM

didnt make a play, got too into the All Blacks game hah

**Pride** · 10-16-11, 04:17 AM

yah my over is squashed but at least my bet on the AB covering is looking strong

**hawley** · 10-16-11, 05:05 AM

Originally posted by Pride

yah my over is squashed but at least my bet on the AB covering is looking strong

Your over is money. nice call.

Season record: 11 - 6 - 1 + 5.9 units.

**hawley** · 10-20-11, 01:28 AM

very likely I will be on the Hawks / Blaze over tomorrow night. 165 is actually a reasonable total for these two sides. I believe both have opened the season 2 - 0 on o/u's.

At first glance I think the 36ers have no place being 6.5 point favs against the Kings. Ballinger is back but he will not be great in his first game back. 36ers surprised me hanging around with the Hawks last week but I didnt watch the game so hard to really comment.

King stunk against the Breakers though so maybe its best to stay away or play the under.

**hawley** · 10-20-11, 01:47 PM

Breakers may be a big play on satuday.

**Gee** · 10-20-11, 06:21 PM

Martin is out for the wildcats this weekend. huge loss.

damaged ligament in left toe.

It is currently OTB at centrebet, dunno why.

I would caution against betting the wildcats in townsville. Qld is a huge road trip. You are mad to take them at 8.5 favourites over there.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 03:24 AM

The legendary Gee stopping by my thread

Just playing the over 164.5 in the Blaze / Hawks game.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 03:57 AM

over 162.5 in the second game.

Also took live over 152.5 in the blaze game.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 04:32 AM

Burial. How a professional team scores 21 points in a half is beyond me but this is what you get with the NBL.

Spewing that both my leans on the dogs tonight I didnt play.

**showtiime** · 10-21-11, 04:45 AM

farrrk.

Blindly put 36ers 1-10 in a 4 teamer, other 3 plays have gone through.

Should've checked in here first. 36ers down by 18 near the half, how the hell do I hedge this.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 04:47 AM

Originally posted by showtiime

farrrk.

Blindly put 36ers 1-10 in a 4 teamer, other 3 plays have gone through.

Should've checked in here first. 36ers down by 18 near the half, how the hell do I hedge this.

I loved the Kings but didnt play them

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 04:50 AM

The amount of scoring chances that are getting blown in the Blaze game are killing me

Onto tomorrow I guess. Maybe time to stay away from totals in this shit league.

**showtiime** · 10-21-11, 05:07 AM

seriously is it just me or has there been no live score updates since 36ers took a time out over 10 mins ago? it's stayed at 31-48? I can't even hedge because bet365 have taken down in-play betting, I assume because they don't have the current score??

This is seriously ridiculous, last time I'm touching NBL, my fault for touching this league when I know next to nothing about it.
oh how I want the NBA season to start ffs.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 05:08 AM

The NBL scoring thing is down

Radio stream here: http://www.abc.net.au/local/players/...Sydney%20Kings

**maroona** · 10-21-11, 05:15 AM

If ONE HD has the rights to these games why aren't they showing them live, there's no point in showing a replay at 11pm, we punters have moved on by then, especially if the live scores on their website keep fuking up, if the NBL hope to survive they need something done about this

**showtiime** · 10-21-11, 05:19 AM

so pathetic

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 05:19 AM

This blaze game has really put me off wagering on the NBL.

The amount of rubbish misses is actually painful even though my bets are well are truly buried.

**maroona** · 10-21-11, 05:20 AM

Originally posted by hawley

The NBL scoring thing is down

Radio stream here: http://www.abc.net.au/local/players/...Sydney%20Kings

Thanks for putting in the radio link mate but in 2011 I expect more, I don't want to listen to the radio, its crazy we can't at least get a live stream of these games, if it doesn't change it won't survive

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by maroona

Thanks for putting in the radio link mate but in 2011 I expect more, I don't want to listen to the radio, its crazy we can't at least get a live stream of these games, if it doesn't change it won't survive

The coverage is dreadful. This is not the first time the NBL live scoring has died either.

Amateur league in players and admin

**maroona** · 10-21-11, 05:28 AM

Its bullshit, either do it properly or not at all

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 05:31 AM

Wait so you guys in aussie do not have one game live all year?

That is beyond poor.

**hawley** · 10-21-11, 05:37 AM

Got bailed out with one final chase around start of 4th quarter: Over 133.5 @ 1.90

**maroona** · 10-21-11, 05:38 AM

Maybe the finals are live but these games are not, at least in QLD, not sure about other states