2011 NBL thread

[hawley]

Looking at a bigger play on Perth and perhaps Townsville +7.5 at TAB.co.nz

Normally I would be all over the Crocs under but with a number of key players out it may be defense that suffers not the attack.

[hawley]

few plays tonight but focusing on RWC

Perth -3.5
Taipans / Crocs 150 and under

Perth 1q -2


good luck all.

[hawley]

Got that 1q just.

Come on Perffff

[hawley]

Perth is destroying the 36ers now.

Pretty poor the NBL live scoring is not working for the other game so have to search twitter for the score.

[maroona]

40-40 half time, thank god for twitter, what a disgrace the nbl is..

[hawley]

40-40 half time, thank god for twitter, what a disgrace the nbl is..

Not great for the under, hopefully the scoring slows down a bit.

Wish I had gone bigger on Perth like I had said but o well.

[maroona]

Yeah mate, Perth showing some class tonight, wish i smashed that 4.5 line also, books way off on this one but that gives me strength that they know about as much about this as I do, which isn't much..

[hawley]

few plays tonight but focusing on RWC

Perth -3.5
Taipans / Crocs 150 and under

Perth 1q -2


good luck all.

2 - 1.

Couldnt help myself on that Crocs under.

4 - 3 - 1 + 0.5u on the season

[maroona]

81-76 final score, taipans win, sounds like it was a good finish, shame we can't watch it anywhere

[showtiime]

thoughts on NZ wollongong? who takes it?

[hawley]

thoughts on NZ wollongong? who takes it?

Tough one to call. Havent seen the Breakers first game yet since the coverage is so poor.

I cant imagine how the Hawks are too much better than the Breakers if at all but the line is pretty short regardless.

I like Breakers 1q, hopefully they continue their roll from the first game and the hawks come out sloppy and maybe the game under.

What are your thoughts?

[showtiime]

thinking about playing breakers tossing up whether or not to play breakers 1-10 @ $4, they beat them twice in the pre-season right? tbh NBL is my weak spot, don't know much, just want some afternoon action.

[hawley]

I cant see any reason why the Breakers cant win? not big on the game but keen for some action so will post a few plays soon.

[hawley]

Breakers +4.5
Breakers +160
Total combined points 165.5 and under
Breakers to have highest scoring quarter

[hawley]

Tough one to call. Havent seen the Breakers first game yet since the coverage is so poor.

I cant imagine how the Hawks are too much better than the Breakers if at all but the line is pretty short regardless.

I like Breakers 1q, hopefully they continue their roll from the first game and the hawks come out sloppy and maybe the game under.

What are your thoughts?

Why didnt I play this?

[hawley]

Lets go Breakers, up 41-25 in the second quarter.

[hawley]

Dam breakers falling apart here.

Hopefully they can at least cover the spread.

[hawley]

Breakers +4.5
Breakers +160
Total combined points 165.5 and under
Breakers to have highest scoring quarter

this is the absolute biggest joke on the under ever.

Had about 20 points breathing room with 2 minutes to go and Hawks started fouling, then Breakers gave up open looks. Not really worried because I made some $$$ but it is such a joke.

[hawley]

7 - 4 - 1 on the season + 4 units and a bit of change.

One final note: now that Paul Henare has retired Dillon Boucher is hands down the worst player in the league.

[showtiime]

Yeah tough beat on the under dude. The amount of fouling that was going around 1 minute when the breakers were up by 10+ was ridiculous, yeah they could come back, (highly unlikely) but sometimes you really wonder if some of these gong players had the over.

I bitched out on the 1-10 NZ and ended up playing them +4.5, was thinking about parlaying it with the under, lucky I didn't!

[hawley]

Like I said I am not too worried because I was smallest on the under and had two plays at +odds so still made an alright profit from the game but it was ridiculous to be fouling with two minutes to play, there was still enough possession to get stops and try and get back in the game.

With the quality of FT shooters in the Breakers they were never going to come back and win the game by fouling so you kind of have to wonder

Nice cash on the +4.5 bro Breakers had me a bit nervous when they gave up the lead start of the 4th but they were clutch down the stretch.

Stoked to see them get off to a 2-0 start after being written off this season.


May have to consider laying off the unders when the Breakers play - they love to score points and cannot play defence yet

[hawley]

Early lines at Centrebet

Win Line

1. TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES 1.45 -4.5 : 1.91
2. CAIRNS TAIPANS 2.75 +4.5 : 1.91

1. PERTH WILDCATS 1.20 -8.5 : 1.91
2. MELBOURNE TIGERS 4.55 +8.5 : 1.91

1. SYDNEY KINGS 1.77 -1.5 : 1.91
2. NEW ZEALAND BREAKERS 2.05 +1.5 : 1.91

1. WOLLONGONG HAWKS 1.45 -4.5 : 1.91
2. ADELAIDE 36ERS 2.75 +4.5 : 1.91


Like the look of the hawks -4.5. Adelaide are plain awful.

Also Tigers +8.5. I think that late run will do big things for their confidence and they will come into the game with momentum.

Mills and Ubaka have proven they can turn a game within a few minutes. I like the Tigers getting 8.5 considering they have one of the best players in teh league.

Maybe Breakers ML again. Kings are not great aside from Khazzouh. Probably autobet the Breakers over.

[ExodusNZ]

Do you have your final plays yet mate? Going to follow this thread

[hawley]

Do you have your final plays yet mate? Going to follow this thread

na bloody useless TAB wont get lines out until probably late tomorrow or friday. No doubt the TAB lines will be a bit different too.

Will look in a few plays as soon as I can.

[hawley]

just playing the over in teh cairns game.

Not a great feel bu will give it a go.

[Gee]

Already spoken about this. Carts and over. Tigers play well and it goes over easy, or they play shit, cats cover and it nearly goes over...

[hawley]

just playing the over in teh cairns game.

Not a great feel bu will give it a go.

Sorry if anyone was actually interested in my plays I was at a mates place for the night and had to try post from phone.

Ended up playing the over as I posted above then tried to middle it with this: Under 162.5 @ 1.86

Total fell right on 162

final few minutes were funny sweating out an over which never looked like missing for the first half then sweating out the middle which came down to the final shot.

Wont be counting the second bet in my record since it was a live bet and I didnt post or update spreadsheet when I made it.

Season record: 8 - 4 - 1 + 5 units

[hawley]

Already spoken about this. Carts and over. Tigers play well and it goes over easy, or they play shit, cats cover and it nearly goes over...

Gee good work my man, hit both of them! hopefully talk tomorrow about some of this weekends sport.

I had the over but didnt post it so wont put it in spreadsheet or record. Can as always provide a screenshot though

[Gee]

Thanks Hawley. As long as you won cash, its all good. I'm pretty sure you said in chat you liked the over. Tigers were pretty ordinary. It went as predicted and just went over in the last minute.

Yes, some plays to discuss tomorrow. Wales should be a nice play

[showtiime]

What do you guys think about playing the breakers first half win @1.95?

They've come out strong early this season, not too knowledged up on NBL so some help would be great.

[hawley]

I think it could go either way as the odds reflect.

This game should be close the whole way. Kings have an advantage with Khazzouh inside but I think Breakers have the better squad overall.

Not sure if I will play the game at all

[hawley]

Total has dropped a few points at Pinnacle, want to play the over but that line movement is odd.

[hawley]

just playing Breakers h2h for a unit.

[hawley]

Breakers look good at least!

up 19 in the second quarter

[hawley]

Breakers up 49 - 22 at half time

Kings scored 7 points in 2q haha