Aussie Rules (AFL) picks

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  • DHB
    SBR MVP
    • 04-14-11
    • 1538

    #36
    Originally posted by cincyhammer
    I like the play on St. Kilda. The over/under is at 170.5. Do you have any thoughts? I am leaning under because the Bulldogs are incredibly average right now.....
    i dont play u/o, never been interested in that market.
    did u end up playing under?
    if so, good call.
    Comment
    • DHB
      SBR MVP
      • 04-14-11
      • 1538

      #37
      Originally posted by Shifty107
      Damn you got a good number bro. I got 14.5 at TAB.
      TAB is crap, use pinnacle.
      Comment
      • DHB
        SBR MVP
        • 04-14-11
        • 1538

        #38
        Originally posted by DHB
        [Round 12]

        Friday 10/06


        St Kilda v Western Bulldogs - STK-11.5 @1.96

        Score: 81-57 WIN
        BANK +3.82 units
        Comment
        • DHB
          SBR MVP
          • 04-14-11
          • 1538

          #39
          [Round 12]

          Saturday 11/06

          Adelaide v West Coast - W.C-6.5 @1.95
          Gold Coast v North Melbourne - G.C+21.5 @2.07
          Comment
          • Brian891
            SBR MVP
            • 04-28-10
            • 2049

            #40
            west coast line has been all over the place. i just need em to win su. good luck!
            Comment
            • brucethebear
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-16-10
              • 724

              #41
              Originally posted by DHB
              Will be posting my AFL plays here.
              Starting at [Round 11] this coming weekend.

              Still watching the line movements, will post later in the week.
              Fantastic - looking forward to your picks.

              BtB
              Comment
              • Lookingtostart
                SBR MVP
                • 04-25-11
                • 1584

                #42
                Originally posted by DHB
                TAB is crap
                You can say that again... unfortunately, I'm on austudy, so TAB is the safer option. I'm even too embarrassed to mention what I got for Gold Coast...
                Comment
                • cincyhammer
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 05-03-10
                  • 50

                  #43
                  Thanks DHB. I did hit the under on STK (2x). Now, I am sweating out the GC-NM over at 173.5 (8x).

                  How ugly should the game be with Carlton? The 47.5 is a lot.....
                  Comment
                  • DHB
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-14-11
                    • 1538

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Lookingtostart
                    You can say that again... unfortunately, I'm on austudy, so TAB is the safer option. I'm even too embarrassed to mention what I got for Gold Coast...
                    what did you get?
                    Comment
                    • DHB
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-14-11
                      • 1538

                      #45
                      guess i was wrong, teams CAN still beat G.C by 60 points haha.
                      was expecting them to give North a good fight.
                      maybe i'm giving them too much credit
                      Comment
                      • DHB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-14-11
                        • 1538

                        #46
                        Originally posted by DHB
                        [Round 12]

                        Saturday 11/06

                        Adelaide v West Coast - W.C-6.5 @1.95
                        Gold Coast v North Melbourne - G.C+21.5 @2.07
                        Score:
                        Adel v W.C - 67-106 WIN
                        G.C v N.M - 63-122 LOSS

                        BANK +3.77 units
                        Comment
                        • DHB
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-14-11
                          • 1538

                          #47
                          Originally posted by cincyhammer
                          Thanks DHB. I did hit the under on STK (2x). Now, I am sweating out the GC-NM over at 173.5 (8x).

                          How ugly should the game be with Carlton? The 47.5 is a lot.....
                          Gratz on that GC-NM over

                          yea 47.5 is alot to cover, but its at Etihad and the Blues are playing awesome footy at the moment.
                          still can't decide whether to play that or the sydney game though.
                          Comment
                          • DHB
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-14-11
                            • 1538

                            #48
                            [Round 12]

                            Sunday 12/06

                            Carlton v Brisbane - Carlton -47.5 @1.95
                            Sydney v Richmond - Sydney -23.5 @1.98
                            Fremantle v Essendon - Essendon @2.04
                            Comment
                            • DHB
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-14-11
                              • 1538

                              #49
                              couldn't decide between the carlton & sydney game so i'm gonna play both.
                              better to play both and adjust the labby line instead of playing one, then wishing i'd played the other.
                              both teams should comfortably beat their opponents.

                              essendon moneyline also looks like good value.
                              Comment
                              • Lookingtostart
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-25-11
                                • 1584

                                #50
                                Originally posted by DHB
                                what did you get?
                                Doesn't matter, they lost. I got $3.15 ML, they only allow ML.
                                Comment
                                • NEW_WORLD
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 10-30-09
                                  • 677

                                  #51
                                  what do you think about under 194.5 in essendon-fre match?
                                  Comment
                                  • sportscash
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-16-09
                                    • 2894

                                    #52
                                    Nice call on the Carlton pick.I took the over but only just scraped in
                                    Comment
                                    • DHB
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-14-11
                                      • 1538

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by dhb
                                      [round 12]

                                      sunday 12/06

                                      carlton v brisbane - carlton -47.5 @1.95 / 124-63 win
                                      sydney v richmond - sydney -23.5 @1.98 / 75-65 loss
                                      fremantle v essendon - essendon @2.04 / 98-64 loss
                                      bank +2.72
                                      Comment
                                      • DHB
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-14-11
                                        • 1538

                                        #54
                                        [Round 12]

                                        Monday 13/06

                                        Melbourne v Collingwood - Melbourne+28.5 @2.05
                                        Comment
                                        • DHB
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-14-11
                                          • 1538

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by dhb
                                          [round 12]

                                          monday 13/06

                                          melbourne v collingwood - melbourne+28.5 @2.05 / 41-129 loss

                                          bank +1.72 units
                                          Comment
                                          • DHB
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-14-11
                                            • 1538

                                            #56
                                            [Round 13]

                                            Friday 17/06

                                            Western Bulldogs v Adelaide - Adelaide+26.5 @1.95
                                            Comment
                                            • binomial
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-02-10
                                              • 507

                                              #57
                                              hard to put money on either of them the way they have been going.

                                              leaning the other way a bit. dogs look decent on paper, whereas adelaide without reilly look rather chimpy to me.

                                              if dogs can get a few goals early and get some confidence back they could smash them.

                                              Comment
                                              • Domestic
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-10-09
                                                • 6323

                                                #58
                                                Also taking the Crows spread, just because the Bulldogs have been so impotent and recently the Crows matched it with Collingwood for three quarters.
                                                Comment
                                                • cincyhammer
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 05-03-10
                                                  • 50

                                                  #59
                                                  DHB, I love the Adelaide pick. I was able to get +27.5 and I like it!

                                                  The over on the game is at 180.5. Think it will turn into that big of a track meet? Or does it play as slowly as paint drying and finish much closer to 160?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brettels
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-04-10
                                                    • 3376

                                                    #60
                                                    Its a defining moment for the bulldogs tonight. If they are to have any chance of making the top 8(if they want to??) they have to win tonight. If they lose, it will definately explain where this team is at. I expect bulldogs to win, small ML bet for me. once more if they lose, they wont be backable again with $ against any side outside the top8, but very betable against when facing a top 8 side. Will soon see. Funny thing about herald sun top 22 indication is they havn't got cooney as in there 22, funny stuff.

                                                    BULLDOGS ML is the play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • donkson
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-12-11
                                                      • 411

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by brettels
                                                      BULLDOGS ML is the play
                                                      Getting under 1.30 playing against a team with an equal win-loss isn't a great position.

                                                      I agree they should win, but the dogs should have won a lot of other games this season too.

                                                      Terrible value imo.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brettels
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-04-10
                                                        • 3376

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by donkson
                                                        Getting under 1.30 playing against a team with an equal win-loss isn't a great position.

                                                        I agree they should win, but the dogs should have won a lot of other games this season too.

                                                        Terrible value imo.
                                                        Its 1.31 at sportsbet right now but I got it at 1.28 and yes no value and a bit skeptical hence why it's a small bet!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DHB
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-14-11
                                                          • 1538

                                                          #63
                                                          bloody hell the Crows are disappointing, always dominating 1st quarter then end up getting their ass kicked!
                                                          Crows have some good players, but they just can't put anything together.

                                                          thought the +26.5 was a good spread since they are both as shit as eachother. guess the Crows are even shitter.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DHB
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-14-11
                                                            • 1538

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by cincyhammer
                                                            DHB, I love the Adelaide pick. I was able to get +27.5 and I like it!

                                                            The over on the game is at 180.5. Think it will turn into that big of a track meet? Or does it play as slowly as paint drying and finish much closer to 160?
                                                            hope you didn't pick the over!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DHB
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-14-11
                                                              • 1538

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by DHB
                                                              [Round 13]

                                                              Friday 17/06

                                                              Western Bulldogs v Adelaide - Adelaide+26.5 @1.95
                                                              Western Bulldogs v Adelaide / 100-70 LOSS

                                                              BANK +.72 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DHB
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-14-11
                                                                • 1538

                                                                #66
                                                                [Round 13]

                                                                Saturday 18/06

                                                                Essendon v North Melbourne - N.M @2.3
                                                                St.Kilda v Geelong - Geelong-21.5 @1.96
                                                                Last edited by DHB; 06-17-11, 01:21 PM. Reason: have decided to go with N.M on the moneyline instead
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DHB
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-14-11
                                                                  • 1538

                                                                  #67
                                                                  i'm liking north at the moment, they are quiet achievers.
                                                                  i have them making the 8.

                                                                  they should beat the bombers in a close game. thinking bout going ML but i'll choose the spread just to be safe.
                                                                  Last edited by DHB; 06-17-11, 10:40 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • maroona
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 07-13-10
                                                                    • 493

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I agree with north, they have a good record against essendon who seem to be struggling, also on Swans +22.5, think this also will be a close game..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lookingtostart
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-25-11
                                                                      • 1584

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I'd say **** it, go ML on North, Essendon are coming back from Perth.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DHB
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-14-11
                                                                        • 1538

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Lookingtostart
                                                                        I'd say **** it, go ML on North, Essendon are coming back from Perth.
                                                                        yea ur right! and they were stranded in perth for a day or 2 due to the volcano ash aswell.
                                                                        gonna change my bet to ML.
                                                                        Comment
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